The Old Lion: A Novel of Theodore Roosevelt by Jeff Shaara #ARC #BookReview #StMartinsPress #NetGalley

I know a lot about #TheodoreRoosevelt so I was curious about an upcoming #HistoricalFiction book, #TheOldLion by #JeffShaara. How much was right and how much was exaggerated? You'd be surprised. #NetGalley #ARC #BookReview #TeddyRoosevelt #USPresident

In one of his most accomplished, compelling novels yet, acclaimed New York Times bestseller Jeff Shaara accomplishes what only the finest historical fiction can do – he brings to life one of the most consequential figures in U.S. history – Theodore Roosevelt – peeling back the many-layered history of the man, and the country he personified. From the mid-nineteenth century to the early twentieth…

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the level at which people are misusing the term "Never Again" in the far left absolutely infuriates me.

"Never Again" doesn't refer to the idea of no more genocides -- unfortunately people are evil and corrupt and seek scapegoats and destruction, there were genocides in the years following the Holocaust, there were genocides 10 years ago, there are multiple genocides going on as we speak

"Never Again" means we as Jews will pay attention to the warning signs, will not mindlessly allow antisemitism to fester and take over our communities, we will fight back. it means we will be proud. it means we will not let you hate us without a word of refusal.

"Never Again" is a warning for us, it is a reminder that what happened then can happen now -- is happening now. The Far Left doesn't get to use it against us. You don't get to turn our tragedies into hate-speech and antisemitic rhetoric.

Am Yisrael Chai

Let the BINGO game begin.

This was actually my first drawing of the year!

I feel like Nas'hrah is misunderstood as a character. Is he an asshole? In life and in godhood, absolutely, but the Nas'hrah we see is likely not the Nas'hrah we hear stories of, and we'll probably never know what he was like in his prime. All the other new gods hate him, so we can only take their testimonies with a grain of salt, and his own sense of self is massively inflated. I think the only time we see anything close to the real deal is in those tiny moments where he seems lucid, such as when you arrive at the golden throne, and he warns you in such a calm and kind manner which seems massively out of character, but I think that's closer to who he really is. I think his overly crass personality is just a product of his mind being absolutely broken after *vaguely gestures at his long ass timeline*

No evidence of inflated mortality reporting from the Gaza Ministry of Health

Benjamin Q Huynh, Elizabeth T Chin, Paul B Spiegel

Published: December 06, 2023

Mortality reporting is a crucial indicator of the severity of a conflict setting, but it can also be inflated or under-reported for political purposes. Amidst the ongoing conflict in Gaza, some political parties have indicated scepticism about the reporting of fatalities by the Gaza Ministry of Health (MoH).

The Gaza MoH has historically reported accurate mortality data, with discrepancies between MoH reporting and independent United Nations analyses ranging from 1·5% to 3·8% in previous conflicts. A comparison between the Gaza MoH and Israeli Foreign Ministry mortality figures for the 2014 war yielded an 8·0% discrepancy.2 Public scepticism of the current reports by the Gaza MoH might undermine the efforts to reduce civilian harm and provide life-saving assistance. Using publicly available information, we compared the Gaza MoH's mortality reports with a separate source of mortality reporting and found no evidence of inflated rates. We conducted a temporal analysis of cumulative-reported mortality within Gaza for deaths of Gazans as reported by the MoH and reported staff member deaths from the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA), from Oct 7 to Nov 10, 2023. These two data sources used independent methods of mortality verification, enabling assessment of reporting consistency.

We observed similar daily trends, indicating temporal consistency in response to bombing events until a spike of UNRWA staff deaths occurred on Oct 26, 2023, when 14 UNRWA staff members were killed, of whom 13 died in their homes due to bombings. Subsequent attacks raised the UNRWA death rate while MoH hospital services diminished until MoH communications and mortality reporting collapsed on Nov 10, 2023. During this period, mortality might have been under-reported by the Gaza MoH due to decreased capacity. Cumulative reported deaths were 101 UNRWA staff members and 11,078 Gazans over 35 days. By comparison, an average of 4884 registered deaths occurred per year in 2015–19 in Gaza.

Cumulative reported mortality rates (Oct 7–Nov 10, 2023)

Data are calculated by separate death reports from the Gaza Ministry of Health (MoH; red line) and the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA; blue line).

If MoH mortality figures were substantially inflated, the MoH mortality rates would be expected to be higher than the UNRWA mortality rates. Instead, the MoH mortality rates are lower than the rates reported for UNRWA staff (5.3 deaths per 1000 vs 7.8 deaths per 1000, as of Nov 10, 2023). Hypothetically, if MoH mortality data were inflated from, for example, an underlying value of 2–4 deaths per 1000, it would imply that UNRWA staff mortality risk is 2.0–3.9 times higher than that of the public. This scenario is unlikely as many UNRWA staff deaths occurred at home or in areas with high civilian populations, such as in schools or shelters.

Mortality reporting is difficult to conduct in ongoing conflicts. Initial news reports might be imprecise, and subsequent verified reports might undercount deaths that are not recorded by hospitals or morgues, such as persons buried under rubble. However, difficulties obtaining accurate mortality figures should not be interpreted as intentionally misreported data. Although valid mortality counts are important, the situation in Gaza is severe, with high levels of civilian harm and extremely restricted access to aid. Efforts to dispute mortality reporting should not distract from the humanitarian imperative to save civilian lives by ensuring appropriate medical supplies, food, water, and fuel are provided immediately.

i think that while micro labels can seem useful and affirming ultimately they're isolating and kind of an obstacle to your understanding of self. that's because you can never find a word specific enough. there will never be a label or two labels or even ten, twenty of them to perfectly capture and describe all of your thoughts, feelings, experiences, preferences, needs, interests, identities, etc. because you learn more and more about yourself every day and then you change and your wants and needs change with you. having to hop between labels, fearing that you don't 'fit' into a label anymore (both in your own and others eyes), worrying how soon your current label will wear out, questioning if you'll ever fully fit a single one. all that causes a lot of uncertainty and anxiety which could be avoided by just picking a more general thing and molding it according to what it means to YOU. because words will always mean different things to different people, you will never be understood immediately and maybe never completely by anyone but yourself and that's fine

Awkwardly sips drink because I actually haven’t vibed a lot with Q!Tubbo’s leadership the few times I’ve managed to catch him on Bads stream because he’ll lament about BM but then will also suddenly go “let’s kill them” but will also then lament killing them. He doesn’t want his team to have Bad Manners but also the way he tries to steer his team from that has been basically going “don’t do thaaaat” and hasn’t really given a substantial reason to be nicer (or at least one that holds weight)

Which is greatly interesting from a character perspective especially one in Purgatory. But I think some on the team just do not believe they’ll be given the same kindness if they had started acting nicer before, and that the other teams would take advantage to pull ahead or destroy Soulfire’s base. And with no reason or proof to combat that belief, Tubbos words about playing fairly ring hallow, nice sentiments that he’ll also denounce the minute they lose

Today really jut highlights that. Tubbo has very strong morals that clashes with some of his team members, and the way he wants to go about Purgatory and winning does not align with his teams. And I don’t think he’s given them a very strong reason to believe or trust in his way, and sadly some members have already dug and made themselves cozy in their graves

the 2007 L nendoroid (+ secret figure?) the and miniture Near nendoroid

why is Rick Riordan allergic to consistency

Love the fact that Suns is in constant danger from Zephyr, do you think she could ever convince them to join her cause?

nah man, not this fucker. they don't Want to be convinced Specifically cuz if they Did admit that Zephyr might have a point with her cause it'd make Them into a really horrible person

and heavens, that is the last thing Suns wants to be

sketch of sirella i drew in a frenzy after watching the royal shakespeare company’s production of antony and cleopatra

I know several people who like LOVE seasons 5-7 (11th doctors run) and think the storylines and moffats writing are brilliant and I don't get it!!! what am I missing??? why does literally every single episode have the exact same stakes: Rory/Amy/the doctor is dead. forever. so dead. but wait!!! what if they aren't!!! why do so many of the explanations for why they're not actually dead feel so rushed like they were added at the last minute!! why does every single queer character act kind of weird and awkward about being queer!! why does the doctor casually say that women are inferior when no one's around!!! what the fuck!! hello!!!

golden fool,chapter ten. "...the suppleness of his waist." really fitz? really?

israeli forces have arrested ahed tamimi in the occupied west bank based on false accusations

the first time she got arrested, she was a teenager and it was because she punched a soldier after he shot her cousin. she was convicted and jailed like most palestinian children tried in israeli military courts. now she's been arrested again on the basis of false allegations.

in the beginning of the russia/ukraine war, her pictures and story were circulated, and people applauded her when they thought she was a ukrainian teen who had fought back against a russian soldier - when palestinians clarified the truth, most of the aforementioned people retracted their support. such double standards. israelis posted the bottom right picture as a 'victory' - clearly, israel's idea of victory is terrorizing civilians in their homes, from the occupied west bank to gaza.

As happy as I am that CDPR added the cut Johnny dialogue regarding the love interests in 2.0, I really wish they would have added that Kerry 'mmm, someone missed me huh?' kiss that happens after you lock in his romance. It would have really been a step in the right direction of making the romances equal, but I guess that ain't ever happening...they really did the male options dirty and despite so many of us asking for equal content, we're ignored.