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theculturedmarxist · 11 months

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No doubt some readers of my essay yesterday were wondering how I could know that it was the Ukrainians who were responsible for destroying the Kakhovka hydroelectric plant and consequent flooding of the adjacent settlements on both banks of the Dnepr and further downstream. Where is the proof someone wrote to me in the Comments section of my website. Where is the photo showing how the breach was made?

Sticklers like these are the same folks who always argue that we simple people never can know what is really going on. Only the “big boys” have all the facts.

I never have accepted such argumentation in favor of total passivity of the population and blind obedience to authorities who, as we so often discover, are neither as intelligent nor as well-meaning as what you were told in kindergarten. I am quite satisfied that application of normal reasoning processes like cui bono and identification of flagrant contradictions in the narratives of one or another side, of flagrant contradictions within mainstream reporting are sufficient to arrive at the truth independently and without reliance on insider information or wild speculation.

In the given instance it was quite sufficient to rely on the Marxist thinking processes differentiating between “subjective” and “objective” causality. And the “subjective” approach leaves no doubt about what happened on 5 June at the Kakhovka dam.

Why do I say that? Because even today as I watched the BBC morning news there was extensive video coverage of the flooding along the lower reaches of the Dnepr river, but not a peep about the military fiasco of the Ukrainian army in the previous three days of its long awaited counter-offensive. Indeed, other news channels even made reference to a new commitment by Joe Biden to provide assistance to Ukraine in light of the destruction of the reservoir at Kakhovka.

Meanwhile, yesterday all Russian news outlets gave primary attention to a speech by Minister of Defense Sergei Shoigu in which he set out in detail the results on the battlefield over the previous three days of fierce engagement of Russian and Ukrainian military forces along several points of the line of confrontation, in particular in southern Donetsk. This is a summary of his report in today’s Fontanka.ru :

In the words of the minister, on 4 June the 23rd and 31st mechanized brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine undertook an attempted attack in five areas but did not achieve success in any of them. On 5 June, the Ukrainian army attempted an attack in seven areas deploying the forces of five brigades. Shoigu stated that the attempted attacks were stopped, ‘and the enemy did not achieve his objectives while bearing considerable and incomparable losses.’

As Shoigu reported, over the course of three days of military action in all areas Ukraine lost up to 3715 soldiers, 52 tanks, 207 armored vehicles, 134 automobiles, 5 airplanes, 2 helicopters, 48 field artillery pieces and 53 drones.

The minister also named the losses of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation: in the course of repelling the attack 71 soldiers died and 210 were wounded. They lost 15 tanks, 9 troop carriers, 2 automobiles and 9 artillery pieces.

As the host of the Evening with Vladimir Solovyov talk show remarked last night, this is the first time in the armed conflict that the Russians have officially reported the losses of both sides. Comparing directly the 71 Russian soldiers who died with the 3615 Ukrainians said to have lost their lives tells the whole story of the way the Ukrainian “counter-offensive” is playing out. This is a massacre that in a just world would justify immediate cessation of all further arms deliveries to Ukraine and insistent demand for capitulation to end the senseless bloodshed.

#kakhovka dam #kakhovka hydroelectric power plant #ukraine conflict #ukraine counter offensive

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head-post · 5 months

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Control over Maryinka in eastern Ukraine remains uncertain

Ukraine’s General Staff said in an evening report that Russian forces were trying to advance towards villages near Maryinka.

Russian forces concentrated in eastern Ukraine have been attacking the town of Avdiivka, 40 kilometres (25 miles) north of Maryinka, since the middle of October. Ukraine claims its forces are in control of Avdiivka.

Ukrainian military spokesman Volodymyr Fitio did not mention either Maryinka or Avdiivka, but said Russian forces were carrying out attacks along many parts of the 1,000-kilometre front line. He said Ukrainian military forces had repelled attacks near Kupyansk.

Learn more HERE

#world news #world politics #news #europe #european news #ukraine news #ukraine conflict #ukraine war #ukraine russia news #ukraine russia conflict #russia ukraine war #ukraine russia war #ukraine russia today #ukraine counter offensive #russia ukraine conflict #russia ukraine today #russia ukraine crisis

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liberty1776 · 11 months

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#Ukraine War #Ukraine Counter Offensive #Youtube

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dksexpress · 2 years

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President Zelensky visits recaptured Ukrainian city of Izyum: Report 14Sep 202

President Zelensky visits recaptured Ukrainian city of Izyum President Volodymyr Zelensky leaves for the recaptured city of Izium, a major logistics hub in north-eastern Ukraine. During his visit, Mr. Zelensky thanked the soldiers who took part in the counter-offensive against the Russian occupiers. He oversaw a flag-hoisting ceremony and said that the flag of Ukraine would return to every city…

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herukapadmajungiansworld · 2 years

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#ukraine resistance #ukraine counter offensive #ukraine is winning #stop putin #putin war criminal #stop russian invasion #stop putin's agents usa #putin war ukraine russia #defend ukraine #stop putin allies #help ukraine #ukraine war #ukrainian unit coming to the russian border

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stillunusual · 9 months

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Meanwhile in tankie clownland Russia became the largest country in the world because of "counter-offensives"…. It's almost funny how most tankie clowns claim to be communists while simultaneously embracing Russian fascism, supporting the imperialism of Russia’s mega-rich ruling class, mindlessely repeating the Kremlin's propaganda and cheerleading their war crimes. These morons seem to have no idea that the Russian Federation is an empire made up of many conquered states that Russia invaded, occupied and colonised in the 16th, 17th, 18th, 19th and 20th centuries, or that Russia's war against Ukraine is a brutal attempt to reassert control over one of its former colonies. Russia's history of imperialism is at least as bad as that of any western country - and they're still doing it in the 21st century….

#russia #history #tankie #useful idiot #keyboard warrior #ignorance is strength #finland #baltic states #poland #ukraine #russian imperialism #counter-offensives #tankie clownland #alternative reality

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bearded-shepherd · 10 months

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Anyone have Russia invading itself on their 2023 bingo?

#russia #wagner #what is going on #politics #russian politics #war in ukraine #welp if wagner is leaving at least ukraine can continue the counter offense #slava ukraini #civil war

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jloisse · 9 months

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🇺🇦 Véhicules blindés des forces armées ukrainiennes détruits et abandonnés dans la direction de Zaporizhzhya

#zaporizhzhia #zaporozhye #russia ukraine war #ukraine war news #war ukraine russia #ukraine war #ukraine #counter offensive #counteroffensive #contre offensive #contreoffensive

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yeltsinsstar · 2 years

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#ukraine #russia #europe #russo-ukrainian war #kerch strait bridge #ukrainian counter offensive #war #black sea #sea of azov

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mandiffe · 10 months

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I'm so tired of living in a history book

#wake up babe it's military coup #I wasn't over possible legalization of conversion therapy and ban of gender transition then THIS??#at least Ukraine can succeed in their counter-offensive sooner #russia

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gwydionmisha · 8 months

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#Zaporizhzhia #Robotyne #Ukrainian Counter Offensive #Russian War on Ukraine #News

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theculturedmarxist · 11 months

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I do not know what Washington Post columnist David Ignatius or the Biden administration officials he is talking to are smoking, but it must be extraordinary strong stuff:

Administration officials were encouraged by better-than-expected progress Monday, as Ukrainian units pushed through heavily mined areas to advance between five and 10 kilometers in some areas of the long front. That raised hopes that Ukrainian forces can keep thrusting toward Mariupol, Melitopol and other Russian-held places along the coast — severing the land bridge.

The 'thrust' was against a small Russian held salient in the front line near Velyka Novosilka at the center of this map.

Zooming in we see the current frontline as depicted by the Ukraine friendly LiveUAmap.

Using the 'Time' feature of that map we can see the front line in the same area one week ago.

Using the scale at the bottom right of the map we can tell that the sole total 'progress' of the Ukrainian forces on the upper left was about two kilometers deep on a four kilometer wide front. They conquered two tree lines between open fields. Not one settlement of farm was 'liberated' by those forces.

Here is the same place depicted on the map of the pro-Ukrainian neoconservative Institute for the Study of War.

It shows the same story. Again the 'progress' of the Ukrainian forces was limited to some treelines between flat open fields.

It came at enormous cost:

During the three days of combat operations in all directions Ukraine lost up to 3,715 men, 52 tanks and 207 armored combat vehicles, 134 trucks, 48 field artillery guns, as well as five aircraft, two helicopters and 53 drones. Russia’s losses were immeasurably smaller: "Altogether 71 servicemen of the combined group of forces were killed and 210 others wounded while repulsing the enemy offensive. Fifteen tanks, nine infantry fighting vehicles, two trucks and nine guns were taken out."

That's Russian propaganda you say? Yes, you may want to cut those numbers in half to get to the real ones. They are still enormous.

Gilbert Doctorow notes that The Ukrainian Army is run not by the Generals but by the PR Department. Accordingly the demolition of Kakhovka dam is a diversion from the disastrous losses of the last few days.

The Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu said that the dam damage was done to allow for the transfer of Ukrainian forces (machine translation):

"Tonight, the Kiev regime committed another terrorist crime: the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station was blown up, which led to the flooding of large areas," he said. The minister added that the purpose of undermining the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station by Kiev is to transfer units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) from the Kherson direction to the offensive area. He pointed out that the Kiev regime had blown up the structures of the Kakhovskaya hydroelectric power station. "The purpose of these actions, according to available data, is as follows. Having not achieved success in offensive operations, in order to strengthen its potential, the enemy intends to transfer units and equipment from the Kherson direction to the area of its offensive operations, thus significantly weakening its positions in the Kherson direction," Shoigu said.

I have a different reading of the situation. With the dam intact any large crossing of the lower Dnieper would be endangered by the ability of the other side to release water from the dam. With the dam blown up flooding will, for a week or two, turn the area along the river into a swamp. But after two weeks or so the water will be gone and a large crossing, without the danger of being flooded, will become possible. This reading is based on several reports of ferrying and bridging units being transferred to Ukraine:

Russia has depended upon unbridged waterways and other geographical features for a measure of security. As Ukrainian armored bridging units begin to emerge in battle, Russia will be challenged by the sudden emergence of fast-moving Ukrainian units in lightly-defended areas. Bridging units are really some of the last few pieces Ukraine requires to take the offensive. The fact that they are getting donated now can only be interpreted as a sign that American experts feel confident that Ukraine is finally ready to employ their new, highly-mobile equipment effectively, at scale, and in large offensive operations.

Then again - Shoigu will surely have better access to battlefield information than I do.

Back to Ignatius class delusions:

It might take weeks before the results of the Ukrainian campaign are clear, but Kyiv has already succeeded in expanding the stalemated fighting in Bakhmut, the bitterly contested eastern city that was ground zero throughout the winter.

Ahem - Ukraine was utterly defeated in Bakhmut and no longer holds any ground within that city.

If it wants to expand on that the Russians will surely welcome it to do so.

#ukraine conflict #ukraine counter offensive

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head-post · 5 months

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Zelensky working hard to keep receiving US military aid

Ukraine’s president met with the US defence secretary and the president of Fox TV, which has criticised arms aid to Kyiv, on Monday, according to EL PAÍS.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has called “maintaining sufficient international support for the country for the coming year” a top priority as the military conflict in Ukraine drags on.

Apart from Russian troops, the main threat to Ukraine’s interests is the Republican Party’s legislative blockade of US military aid. Zelensky held two meetings in Kyiv on Monday: with US Defence Secretary Lloyd Austin and the head of Fox television Lachlan Murdoch.

In addition, time is playing against Ukraine. On the tenth of November, the Pentagon warned that it had already used 95% of the $62 billion previously allocated for aid to Kyiv. At the same time, the arsenals of Ukraine’s NATO allies are already not in the best condition, and the head of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, Valery Zaluzhny, admitted in early November that he does not expect the situation with ammunition supplies to improve for at least a year.

Read more HERE

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danny4xb · 1 year

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#ukraine #kherson counter offensive #kherson #2022 #war #🍉🌻✊

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ysbnews · 2 years

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Has the Kherson Counter Offensive Begun in Ukraine?

🎬 Jake Broe | 8/29/2022 | ⏱️ 19’48”span / 100K views

Reports are coming out that Ukraine has begun their counteroffensive in Kherson to retake the north bank of the Dnipro river.

Currently there are roughly 25,000 Russian soldiers defending this area, but they are completely cut off from being re-supplied. This counteroffensive could take days or weeks. What will the Russian forces do?

Watch Jake Broe on YouTube ▶️ https://youtu.be/ZAyXhc7NuKc

#russia #withdrawal #ukraine #counter offensive #kherson #kyiv #Zelonsky #russia lost #ukraine won #slava ukraini

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dialogue-queered · 2 years

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{D-Q Note}: Nato Tactics in Ukraine#6

Offensive Weapons, Counter-Offensives and the Issue of Escalation

5 May 2022

1.

Having launched a fresh offensive in Ukraine’s Eastern Front since late April, Russian forces appear to gained further ground moving beyond what was ‘seized’ since 2014. US intelligence forces report that the Russian goal is to annex as much of eastern Ukraine as possible.

Moscow also seeks, it seems, to keep Kyiv and NATO off-balance by false flag operations in Transnistria, Moldova - diverting attention and resources as well as articulating a maximalist, southern Ukraine war aim extending through Odesa and Moldova thus removing Ukraine’s access to a port.

2.

Kyiv’s ability to respond and even push-back, right now, is in transition. Once the Ukrainian forces receive, and can effectively use, the accelerating volume of NATO-provided, longer-range weaponry from artillery, drones, tanks and the like, counter-offensives will occur in earnest, Their likely success in reversing Russian gains since February is an open question especially in places like Kherson where Russian administrations are now bedding-down including incorporation of the region into the ruble-currency zone.

Mick Ryan, an Australian strategist and former general has analysed the issue of prospective Ukrainian counter-offensives.

Source: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-05-03/war-ukraine-russia-donbas-nuclear-china-diplomacy-west-strategy/101030510

3.

The question of escalation has been present from the start of Russia’s invasion especially in relation to nuclear weapons use and proliferation. But now the transformation of Ukraine’s conventional force structure raises issues of limiting escalation. For example, it appears Kyiv’s forces have launched attacks into southern Russia to disrupt supply lines and in a spirit of ‘karma’ (and/or revenge) as one official put it. Despite their undoubted value in diverting Russian forces and resources - how far should these go?

US figures have spoken of weakening Russian capacities to intervene for the longer-term: Is this a valid war aim, and if so, how far should it also go? Any weakened, partly or fully defeated Russia is a dangerous state - as Mick Ryan notes. This is only highlighted by Moscow’s astonishing verbal gymnastics to defend the goal of de-nazification in Ukraine including a kind of pre-1945 racial profiling of Jewry as self-hating anti-semites. Longstanding elite ‘views’ or stereotypes in Russia (recently articulated by Dimitri Medvedev, no less), maintain, according to Jason Stanley, that:

Russian Christians are targets of a conspiracy by a global elite, who, using the vocabulary of liberal democracy and human rights, attack the Christian faith and the Russian nation.

Source: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/feb/25/vladimir-putin-ukraine-attack-antisemitism-denazify

A defeated Russia, then, remains dangerous.

4.

Until all these transitions in the war are completed - including the implementation of recent war aims the time, dare l say, is not yet ripe, for serious peace negotiations. Once events have played out on the Eastern Front, bargaining positions at the negotiating table will be clearer.

#Ukraine #Russia #crisis #military-strategic policy #foreign policy #weapons #counter-offensive #US #politics #the guardian #the australian broadcasting corporation #denazification #mick ryan

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