#but it was predictably snubbed at the oscars | Explore Tumblr Posts and Blogs

sleepynegress · 6 months

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BELOVED - 1998

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larrylimericks · 2 years

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28Jul22

A new low in promo stunt fiction Sells Wilde tales of lead lady friction. Meanwhile Harry’s top tier Of contenders this year In Variety’s Oscar predictions!

#larry #harry #harry styles #actor harry #variety #oscar predictions #harry ranked fairly high on variety's list of oscar predictions #12th for best actor for my policeman #13th for best supporting actor for don't worry darling #these predictions are based on 'history buzz news reviews and sources'#so i think this news is more a victory of promotion than harry's acting merit #olivia ranked 24th for director #how amazing would it be for him to get a nom?#with a bonus of her getting snubbed #and it looks like the latest promo strategy is an O/Flo cat fight over harry #she absolutely does not care what it takes to get eyes on this movie #don't worry darling #stunts #holivia #my policeman #harry also made the short list for the mercury prize #an award created in response to the brits that focuses on artistic merit not charts and promo #i think it's interesting arlo parks and wolf alice are both mercury winners #and were both openers for harry #(and wet leg is a fellow short-lister)#those are very specific image-making choices #limerick-hs #july 28 #2022

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trollprincess · 3 months

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So I think the Academy may have screwed over “Oppenheimer.”

Now I know what you’re thinking. “Wait, what are you talking about? Did you miss the Barbie snubs? Are you paying attention?” Yup, I’m totally paying attention. Let me explain.

This year’s crop of Best Picture nominees is very good. There’s not a one that doesn’t make me immediately flinch as to why it’s even there. There are some I might have added (“The Boy and the Heron” and “Across the Spider-verse” both deserve to be there, for example), but this is a good list. Not just by Academy standards, which can be questionable as hell, but by anyone’s standard.

Up until now, “Oppenheimer” has pretty much been a lock for this. It’s very well made, acted, directed, written, all of it. It’s good. It deserves it.

But. BUT.

Final voting is between February 22nd and 27th this year. So that’s an entire month of press and interviews and predictions and whatnot. And already the big story is not “Oppenheimer has 13 nominations.” It’s “Why the fuck weren’t Margot Robbie and Greta Gerwig nominated for best actress and best director for Barbie?!”

And the thing is, they DID get nominated - Margot for producing and Greta for writing. Which is not me dismissing the fact they *should* have gotten nominated for directing and acting. (Note: There will be no Ryan Gosling shaming in this house. He deserves his nomination. So does America Ferrera. This is not a case of “only the man got the nomination.” Don’t erase America’s well-deserved nomination.)

So back to Greta and Margot. The next few weeks are going to be the Hollywood media asking “Did the Academy fuck up?” about their nominations. Did they not get the point of the movie? How does one of the best movies of the year not get a nomination for it lead actress and female director? Did Oppenheimer only get so much attention riding on “Barbenheimer”’s coattails? (Monetarily, oh, yeah. Awards show-wise, no.) Like, today we’re talking about their snubs, but it’s not going to stop today. There’s going to be discourse and prediction discussion and “Annette Bening stole Margot’s nomination” bullshit probably.

Basically, the Academy accidentally made the fact it snubbed Margot and Greta the story, and not the fact three other movies got more nominations than “Barbie,” including the likely winner of Best Picture.

The next part depends on if Hollywood can feel guilt and shame. So, you know, it’s anybody’s guess. But directors only voted for directing nominees, and actors only voted for acting nominees. Everybody gets to vote for best film.

Now, here’s the thing. Even IF they got nominated for directing and acting, they wouldn’t have won. Actress is between Gladstone and Stone (I’m hoping for Gladstone), and Nolan probably already has an empty mantel spot prepared. They just wouldn’t have won, it’s just nice to be nominated, yadda yadda.

But the Oscars have this *thing* where sometimes it’s not so much you getting an award because *that performance* deserved it, but because YOU deserved it. Leonardo DiCaprio should have gotten an Oscar for “What’s Eating Gilbert Grape” and/or “Wolf of Wall Street,” they gave it to him for “The Revenant,” which isn’t as good as either previous role. Kate Winslet wins for “The Reader,” which if Best Acting By Kate Winslet were an Oscar category wouldn’t even make the list and would probably get beat by “Mare of Easttown,” which isn’t even a goddamn movie.

You’re an Oscar voter this year. It’s the end of February, and you’re looking at your ballot. And you’ve spent the past few weeks hearing about the Oscars fucked up. How Hollywood didn’t get the point of “Barbie.” How the Academy didn’t even nominate BARBIE for the fucking “Barbie” movie. And you might be thinking, “… I mean, we CAN still give them Oscars.”

Greta’s an easy choice. The Barbie script is incredible, and detailed and smart and funny. Greta already has Oscar nominations for writing. Adapting a book is one thing. Adapting sixty years of canon is a high achievement. I think this pretty much locked her screenplay win.

Margot is nominated for best producer. We’re going to spend the next four weeks seeing articles about just how much work Margot put into this movie. When Margot Robbie loves a project, she works her ASS off on it. And the work shows with Barbie. It’s a good goddamn movie, AND it made $1.4 billion dollars. As good as it was, “Oppenheimer” doesn’t make $955 million if “Barbenheimer” isn’t a thing. There’s an argument to be made that Margot deserves the producer nomination AND win MORE than the actress nomination, because as a producer she made TWO movies reach a billion at the box office, *and she had fuck all to do with one of them*.

So, yeah, I think the Academy might have fucked over “Oppenheimer.” Because for the next month, while people are debating what and who to vote for, all that right there? That’s going to be the discourse they’re sitting on right before voting for Best Picture.

#barbie #oscar nominations #this is me playing 3D chess with an awards show I know frighteningly well and yet still want to throw things at

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filmperidot · 1 year

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2023 Oscars Thoughts

This Oscars was (in my opinion) the best in a while.

The jokes weren’t that bad! You can never expect everything to land at award shows, but oftentimes the entire show is downright painful (shoutout to Amy Schumer). Overall, Jimmy Kimmel did a good job!!

The lovely birthday tribute to James Martin of An Irish Goodbye was one of my absolute favorite moments, how sweet was that.

I can’t remember if they’ve done this in past years, but regardless, the individual shoutouts to each Best Picture nomination was really nice to see.

This goes without saying, but all of the nominees and winners this year were absolutely wonderful and totally deserving. It made me really happy to see all of them recognized (despite a few snubs).

The reduced play off music! I was really happy to see they dialed it back compared to some of the other shows. Don’t get me wrong it’s always a little awkward and disappointing to see, but when award shows are playing off their biggest winners it’s downright embarrassing. At least the Oscars aren’t doing that too.

JENNYY!!! Her death absolutely DEVASTATED me so seeing her on stage was very healing<3

The performances were great! Naatu Naatu from RRR was really fun, Hold My Hand from Top Gun: Maverick was heartfelt, This Is A Life from Everything Everywhere All At Once had great visuals, and Lift Me Up from Black Panther was beautiful.

The speeches were heartfelt! They often are, but these really struck a chord.

The fashion was gorgeous too! Some favorites were Cara Delevingne, Jessica Chastain, and Lady Gaga.

All of my predictions were correct except one (director)! And they were who I was rooting for anyways so that was awesome.

Finally, this has been said many times before, but it’s been beyond delightful to see underappreciated older actors who’ve been in the industry for a long time finally having their well deserved moments. I don’t think I’ve ever been quite so happy to see anyone win an award before. I’m over the moon for Ke Huy Quan, Jamie Lee Curtis, Brendan Fraser, and Michelle Yeoh.

Edit: Just wanted to add this because I think it’s kinda funny but I was fully prepared to watch this muted and just turn the volume on for the speeches and people I like. I had the remote on hand and everything.

#oscar’s #2023 oscars #film #everything everywhere all at once #jimmy kimmel #banshees of inisherin #RRR #top gun maverick #black panther: wakanda forever #oscar predictions #ke huy quan #daniels #jamie lee curtis #brendan fraser #michelle yeoh #academy awards #eeaao

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honeybumblebeebee · 2 months

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oscar predictions:

best picture: oppenheimer all the way. it's been set that way since july last year. ofc i'd argue that barbie, kotfm, the holdovers, anatomie d'une chute and poor things deserve it just as much. and past lives!!

director: obviously nolan. with such an achievement AND years of movies behind him, it would be crazy not to give it to him. but i think it's a really good combo this year, any other year justine triet or yorgos would get it.

actor: obviously cillian murphy. i couldn't be more sure about this. he was incredible. but also paul giammati? andrew scott snubbed.

actress: this one is a tossup between emma stone and lily gladstone. me personally I don't reallyyy think lily did enough (EVEN THOUGH SHE WAS AMAZING) but they would get a lot of backlash for not giving it to her. emma would win every other year. also carey mulligan jesus. or sandra huller could come out of nowhere and get it. margot snubbed.

supporting actor: i think rdj will get it and he totally deserves it but god comedy roles never get recognised and ryan gosling was just so so good. also charles melton was snubbed

supporting actress: da'vine joy randolph all the way. i have no idea who else it could go to (stacked group this year though)

animated: i think it should go to spiderverse, but i think there is a fair chance it goes to boy and the heron too.

snubs: charles melton, greta gerwig, paul mescal, margot robbie, andrew scott, priscilla, saltburn (for cinematography especially), the iron claw, bottoms!!!, theater camp, asteroid city, all of us strangers in general

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denimbex1986 · 2 months

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'...I expect Past Lives to triumph here and while American Fiction seems like a very possible runner-up I can’t help but think that the post-Oscar snub popularity of films like May December and All of Us Strangers could be strong pushes for FI voters...

Here are my predictions for the 39th Film Independent Spirit Awards for film and television, where I expect Beef, The Last of Us to do well.

BEST FEATURE (Award given to the producer)

Predicted winner: Past Lives Producers: David Hinojosa, Pamela Koffler, Christine Vachon

Possible spoiler: All of Us Strangers Producers: Graham Broadbent, Pete Czernin, Sarah Harvey...

BEST DIRECTOR

Predicted winner: Celine Song – Past Lives

Possible spoiler: Todd Haynes – May December

Other nominees:

Andrew Haigh – All of Us Strangers William Oldroyd – Eileen Ira Sachs – Passages

BEST LEAD PERFORMANCE Predicted winner: Greta Lee – Past Lives

Possible spoiler: Andrew Scott – All of Us Strangers...'

#Andrew Scott #Andrew Haigh #All of Us Strangers #Independent Spirit Awards #Graham Broadbent #Sarah Harvey #Pete Czernin

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kylesvariouslistsandstuff · 3 months

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I don't take the Oscars too seriously, but it's always fun to guess...

So, for tomorrow's nomination rollouts... Best Animated Feature... 5 slots this year...

I think...

THE BOY AND THE HERON

NIMONA

ROBOT DREAMS

SPIDER-MAN: ACROSS THE SPIDER-VERSE

TEENAGE MUTANT NINJA TURTLES: MUTANT MAYHEM

Originally, I had predicted that CHICKEN RUN: DAWN OF THE NUGGET was going to easily secure a slot, simply because it's an Aardman stop-motion film and they almost never miss, and also it's a sequel to a beloved film that partially helped create the Best Animated Feature category in the first place...

But it seems to me like the tides are swaying another direction... I'm actually beginning to think that ROBOT DREAMS, a silent Spanish/French feature directed by Pablo Berger that is to be distributed in the U.S. some time this year by Neon, gets a slot.

Debuted at Cannes all the way back in May, got some critics awards already, and has a ton of other nominations to its name... ROBOT DREAMS looks to be a little sleeper, a surprise perhaps.

DAWN OF THE NUGGET, by contrast, is largely and unusually very dry in the critics' circles, only nominated for *four* awards. Not even an *Annie*... An Aardman stop-motion movie is usually a shoe-in. The one time it wasn't was EARLY MAN in 2018, which garnered way more nominations elsewhere than DAWN OF THE NUGGET... This one might just miss, unfortunately. The reception was pretty muted for it upon arrival.

I've explained my other choices before... BOY AND THE HERON is Miyazaki's newest, and is possibly his last. He came out of retirement in his *80s* to direct it. Miyazaki usually never misses, nomination-wise. SPIRITED AWAY won for 2002; HOWL'S MOVING CASTLE, PONYO, and THE WIND RISES were all nomm'ed for their respective U.S. release years. It also won the Globe, in addition to getting tons of love all across the board... I wouldn't be surprised if it straight-up WINS... I feel it should...

NIMONA... The one that got away from Disney. Nearly killed, but revived, and turned out pretty great. Lots of praise all across the board, strong in its political themes (always a plus for an Oscar), innovative in its visuals, plus Netflix usually has a horse in the race... And given how well this one's been doing, especially at the Annies, I see it easily getting a nom.

ACROSS THE SPIDER-VERSE, need I say more? I won't be surprised if it wins, honestly.

MUTANT MAYHEM has seemed like the wild card to me, given how funky the Oscars can be with nominating animated movies. Remember how THE LEGO MOVIE was snubbed? Despite being a big hit and arguably having the best critical reception for an animated movie released in 2014? MUTANT MAYHEM *could* face that, too... I feel? I dunno, maybe it's because it's kind of a superhero action-adventure like SPIDER-VERSE 2 is... Then again, that didn't stop the Academy from nominating both INCREDIBLES 2 and INTO THE SPIDER-VERSE for 2018... Maybe it's because it's a reboot in a franchise that's been well-tread before? Then again, three theatrical live-action versions of Spider-Man existed before SPIDER-VERSE... Maybe it's because Paramount - with the exception of the DreamWorks movies they distributed circa 2006-2012 - never really has had much of a presence in this category for various reasons. That being said, this could be their first real break-out since RANGO got the nom for 2011 and *won*... I don't know, this one kinda feels a little weird. The film does has a high number of nominations, a single win. Other mainstream releases this year, such as ELEMENTAL and MARIO, weren't as well-received... So, I think it sneaks in. Just makes it, you could say.

We shall see...

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aliveandfullofjoy · 4 months

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i think the hardest category to predict at the oscars this year is best director.

nolan is winning, so his spot is secure. scorsese is next in line, with lanthimos after him. any of those three missing would be affleck/2012-level shockers.

the other two spots are between four directors imo, two men and two women, each with a lot of compelling pros/cons: gerwig (barbie), triet (anatomy), payne (holdovers), and glazer (zone of interest).

gerwig's a previous nominee and barbie's the highest-grossing film of the year. conventional wisdom says she's likely in. however, the directors branch gets weird sometimes, esp with moneymakers that aren't necessarily in the running to win best picture -- remember when denis villeneuve got snubbed for dune? i can absolutely see gerwig being the high-profile snub (which could potentially catapult her into winning adapted screenplay, lol).

payne is beloved by the old guard, and holdovers is guaranteed two acting nominations, but it might be too stacked of a year. it's not a very flashy movie, and his last nomination was ten years ago, and the academy has changed a lot since then. i'd place him seventh right now.

triet and glazer both fit the bill of the recent trend of international nominees (östlund, hamaguchi, vinterberg, pawlikowski). she's got the palme d'or winner (plus two golden globe wins), he's got best director wins from lafca and nsfc. neither are anything to sneeze at. zone of interest is the one to beat in foreign language film, which helps (anatomy is ineligible there), but anatomy also has surefire nominees in actress and screenplay. they both make a ton of sense.

i... think i'm leaning nolan/scorsese/lanthimos/triet/glazer, but i wonder if lanthimos could shockingly miss for gerwig. or maybe gerwig is safer than i think and only one of triet or glazer make it in! or maybe the worst case scenario happens and we get five men! idk!!!

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shanneltarot · 2 months

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Margot Robbie

In Trending Celebrity Gossip News, Margot Robbie Oscar Snub for Barbie Movie. Was Margot Robbie age an issue? Tarot Reading reveal future predictions for her. Chile, did she regret being a plastic doll in Hollywood? Let's chat

youtube

#margot robbie barbie #margot robbie #barbie #tarot #trendingnow #tarot reading #trending #fashion #oscars #youtube #Youtube

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bcofl0ve · 1 year

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I know I shouldn’t worry bc it does not affect me but I’m scared for the Oscars. I don’t doubt that Austin will get nominated, I do doubt that they will give it to him. So many prediction lists saying that the Academy might give it to Tom Cruise just because it’s been a “long time coming in his career” (like they did with Leo, constantly snubbed him) or they’ll give it to Brendan Frasier who I’m sure will do amazing in the movie but it’s also his comeback so that gives him an edge. Late night anxiety thoughts 💀

a fun fact about me is that i have really bad rejection anxiety to the extent that even watching things like americas got talent/american idol auditions make me want to curl up in a ball and hide. that to say i want to support austin so bad but watching the oscars live *will* make me breakout in hives and it is largely bc of brendon. bless him, his comeback is very well deserved and he's an upstanding dude. i just really want austin to get this one.

#my poor housemates on oscar night LMAO good luck to them #gossip time with mollie #austin butler

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popculturebrain · 1 year

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Danielle Deadwyler Addresses ‘Till’ Oscars Snub: “We’re Talking About Misogynoir”

The actress did not receive an Oscar nomination last month for her role as Mamie Till-Mobley after many analysts predicted that she would.

Subscribe to the Pop Culture Brain Daily newsletter for more stories like this!

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neowitcher · 1 year

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MY OSCARS PREDICTIONS 2023 | PART 1

With the Oscars almost there (finally!), I've once again put together my personal predictions and picks. Here's to another incredible film year gone past, enjoy my predictions!

Big snubs for the more technical categories are definitely Nope, The Batman, and The Northman. Especially the first really upset me as it was easily one of the greatest films I've seen all year and didn't get the love and attention it deserved at all.

Best Cinematography

Should win: TÁR

Will win: All Quiet on the Western Front

Should have been nominated: Nope, The Batman

Somehow, I find the cinematography category a bit weak this year. Although All Quiet on the Western Front seems like an obvious winner to me, TÁR is the one that cinematographically really spoke to me.

Best Adapted Screenplay

Should win: Sarah Polley, Women Talking

Will win: Sarah Polley, Women Talking

Best Original Screenplay

Should win: Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin or Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert, Everything Everywhere All At Once

Will win: Martin McDonagh, The Banshees of Inisherin

Best Film Editing

Should win: Everything Everywhere All At Once or Elvis

Will win: Everything Everywhere All At Once

Should have been nominated: Decision to Leave, The Batman

Best Visual Effects

Should win: Avatar: The Way of Water

Will win: Avatar: The Way of Water

Should have been nominated: Nope, Everything Everywhere All At Once

Best Production Design

Should win: Babylon

Will win: Babylon

Best Sound

Should win: All Quiet on the Western Front or The Batman

Will win: Top Gun: Maverick

Should have been nominated: Nope, The Northman

Best Original Score

Should win: Babylon

Will win: Babylon

Should have been nominated: Nope, The Batman, The Northman

Babylon's production design and score really worked well together and made the entire long watch very engaging. Although The Batman's soundtrack has been my favourite all year, perfectly capturing the gloomy atmosphere, Babylon has taken over that number one spot. Incredible score, I cannot stop listening!

Best Original Song

Should win: Lift Me Up by Rihanna, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Naatu Naatu by Rahul Sipligunj, Kala Bhairava, M. M. Keeravani, RRR, This Is A Life by Son Lux, Mitski, David Byrne, Everything Everywhere All At Once

Will win: Lift Me Up by Rihanna, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

Should have been nominated: Carolina by Taylor Swift, Where The Crawdads Sing, Nobody Like U by Josh Levi, FINNEAS, Jordan Fisher, Grayson Villanueva, Topher Ngo, Turning Red

As is clear, I cannot pick a favourite song this year. Lift Me Up gave me the most feelings when watching the film, which definitely makes me find it a lot more important than the other songs. On the other hand, This Is A Life has been a favourite outside of the film as well and Naatu Naatu is so good, the song alone made me want to watch the film (although I ended up preferring the song outside of the film). I do sincerely believe Carolina and Nobody Like U were snubbed, the latter probably because it released early in the year and never really got the same long-lasting hype as Encanto did last year.

Best Makeup and Hairstyling

Should win: Elvis

Will win: The Whale

Should have been nominated: Everything Everywhere All At Once, X, The Northman

Best Costume Design

Should win: Black Panther: Wakanda Forever or Everything Everywhere All At Once

Will win: Elvis

Should have been nominated: The Northman

I find the final two categories a bit difficult. For Makeup and Hairstyling, there's not one but two fat suits used. For The Whale, I am okay with this and would understand the win, although my favourite lies elsewhere. But The Batman's fatsuit felt very unneeded and I wish other films would have been recognised instead. For Best Costume Design, I adored Everything Everywhere All At Once but I do think Black Panther: Wakanda Forever is the most deserving one, especially with all the different kinds of costumes used. It looked stunning and the costumes really visually made the film.

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melicmedia · 1 year

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Predictions for the 95th Academy Awards (March 12, 2023)

And the Oscar goes to...

KEY: Predicted Winner | My pick*

Best Picture

Everything Everywhere All at Once*

The Banshees of Inisherin

All Quiet on the Western Front

Avatar: The Way of Water

Elvis

The Fabelmans

Tár

Top Gun: Maverick

Triangle of Sadness

Women Talking

Best Actor

Brendan Fraser (The Whale)

Collin Farrell (The Banshees of Inisherin)*

Austin Butler (Elvis)

Paul Mescal (Aftersun)

Bill Nighy (Living)

Best Actress

Michelle Yeoh (Everything Everywhere All at Once)*

Ana de Armas (Blonde)

Andrea Riseborough (To Leslie)

Cate Blanchett (Tár)

Michelle Williams (The Fablemans)

Best Supporting Actor

Ke Huy Quan (Everything Everywhere All at Once)*

Brendan Gleeson (The Banshees of Inisherin)

Brian Tyree Henry (Causeway)

Judd Hirsch (The Fablemans)

Barry Keoghan (The Banshees of Inisherin)

Best Supporting Actress

Angela Bassett (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever)

Stephanie Hsu (Everything Everywhere All at Once)*

Hong Chau (The Whale)

Kerry Condon (The Banshees of Inisherin)

Jamie Lee Curtis (Everything Everywhere All at Once)

Best Animated Film

Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio

Marcel the Shell with Shoes On*

Puss in Boots: The Last Wish

The Sea Beast

Turning Red

Best Director

Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert (Everything Everywhere All at Once)*

Martin McDonagh (The Banshees of Inisherin)

Steven Spielberg (The Fabelmans)

Todd Field (Tár)

Ruben Östlund (Triangle of Sadness)

Best Adapted Screenplay

Women Talking (Sarah Polley)*

All Quiet on the Western Front (Edward Berger, Lesley Paterson, Ian Stokell)

Glass Onion: A Knives Out Mystery (Rian Johnson)

Living (Kazuo Ishiguro)

Top Gun: Maverick (Ehren Kruger and Eric Warren Singer and Christopher McQuarrie; Peter Craig and Justin Marks)

Best Original Screenplay

The Banshees of Inisherin (Martin McDonagh)*

Everything Everywhere All at Once (Daniel Kwan, Daniel Scheinert)

The Fabelmans (Steven Spielberg, Tony Kushner)

Tár (Todd Field)

Triangle of Sadness (Ruben Östlund)

Best Cinematography

All Quiet on the Western Front

Tár*

Bardo, False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths

Elvis

Empire of Light

The Banshees of Inisherin was SNUBBED here

Best Film Editing

Everything Everywhere All at Once

The Banshees of Inisherin*

Elvis

Tár

Top Gun: Maverick

Best Original Score

The Fabelmans

The Banshees of Inisherin*

All Quiet on the Western Front

Babylon

Everything Everywhere All at Once

Best Original Song

Naatu Naatu (RRR)*

Applause (Tell it Like a Woman)

Hold my Hand (Top Gun: Maverick)

Lift Me Up (Black Panther: Wakanda Forever)

This Is a Life (Everything Everywhere All at Once)

Best Visual Effects

Avatar: The Way of Water*

All Quiet on the Western Front

The Batman

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

Top Gun: Maverick

Best Sound

Top Gun: Maverick

All Quiet on the Western Front*

Avatar: The Way of Water

The Batman

Elvis

Best Costume Design

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever*

Bablyon

Elvis

Everything Everywhere All at Once

Mrs. Harris Goes to Paris

Best Makeup & Hairstyling

The Whale

The Batman*

All Quiet on the Western Front

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever

Elvis

Best Production Design

Avatar: The Way of Water

All Quiet on the Western Front*

Babylon

Elvis

The Fabelmans

Best Documentary Feature

Fire of Love*

All That Breathes

All the Beauty and the Bloodshed

A House Made of Splinters

Navalny

Best Documentary Short Subject

Haulout*

The Elephant Whisperers

How Do You Measure a Year

The Martha Mitchell Effect

Stranger at the Gate

Best Animated Short

The Boy, the Mole, the Fox, and the Horse

The Flying Sailor

Ice Merchants

My Year of Dicks

An Ostrich Told Me the World Is Fake and I Think I Believe It

Best Live-Action Short

An Irish Goodbye

Ivalu

Le Pupille

Night Ride

The Red Suitcase

Best International Film

All Quiet on the Western Front (Germany)

EO (Poland)*

Argentina, 1985 (Argentina)

Close (Belgium)

The Quiet Girl (Ireland)

DISCLAIMER:

It is unlikely I will be able to see everything nominated for an Award either due to time or accessibility (or both). I chose not to predict or say my pick in categories where I haven't seen enough of the nominations to form a good enough opinion.

Also, these are my opinions, if you have different predictions or are rooting for another film/person, please let me know! Please stay tuned for my next post: explaining my picks & predictions. Happy watching!

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filmperidot · 1 year

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2023 Oscar Predictions, Hopes, and Snubs

Best Picture:

Prediction: The Fabelmans or Everything Everywhere All At Once

Rooting For: Everything Everywhere All At Once, Banshees of Inisherin

Best Director:

Prediction: Steven Spielberg

Rooting for: The Daniels

Best Actor in a Leading Role:

Prediction: Brendan Fraser

Rooting For: Colin Farrell or Brendan Fraser

Best Actress in a Leading Role:

Prediction: Michelle Yeoh

Rooting For: Michelle Yeoh or Cate Blanchett

Best Actor in a Supporting Role:

Prediction: Ke Huy Quan

Rooting For: Ke Huy Quan or Barry Keoghan

Best Actress in a Supporting Role:

Prediction: Angela Basset or Jamie Lee Curtis

Rooting For: Stephanie Hsu

Biggest Snubs:

Decision to Leave: Best Cinematography and International Film

The Batman: Best Soundtrack

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shirkers2018dirsanditan · 1 year

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the critics choice awards are the least predictive major awards show for the oscars but i do think babylon’s strong showing there will give it a boost for oscar nominations. the fact that babylon was shortlisted for hair and makeup, sound, and score bodes well for it. all i care is that it is recognized for the objectively strong elements of it - sound, score, and hair and makeup. cinematography, directing, AND best picture is deserved but with the baftas snubs i think that might be pushing it. i think acting nominations are deserved, but i was over the moon (no pun intended) when first man won visual effects. so

#babylon had the best score of the year though #its a strong contender for that i believe #baftas be damned #but lol at glass onion being all over the critics choice nominations no way the oscars shows it that much love #if any

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denimbex1986 · 9 months

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'Two of the year’s biggest hits, Barbie and Oppenheimer, were finally released on July 21, and both films have received significant Oscar buzz in the days since. They are likely to do well at next year’s Academy Awards ceremony, including in the top eight categories. Barbie has a good shot at getting into Best Adapted Screenplay for Greta Gerwig and Noah Baumbach, along with Best Picture. Oppenheimer will probably perform even better, with nominations predicted for Best Adapted Screenplay and Best Director for Christopher Nolan as well as Best Picture.

But what about the acting categories? Does anyone in the Barbie cast have a chance at hearing their names called on Oscar nominations morning? And despite Heath Ledger being the only actor in a Christopher Nolan movie to ever manage an Oscar nomination (and win) for The Dark Knight, might some of the talent from Oppenheimer receive acting Oscar nods? Here are the five actors from the two movies who can do it…

1. Robert Downey Jr., Best Supporting Actor for Oppenheimer

The most surefire contender from the two films is Robert Downey, Jr., who gives one of the best performances of his career as Lewis Strauss, the government official who did not see eye-to-eye with Robert Oppenheimer. His character goes through a fascinating arc, cool and confident in his earlier scenes, and losing his patience to dramatic effect in the third act. A moment near the end when his character goes berserk in an angry rant is particularly memorable. The character allowed Downey Jr. to flex his acting chops in a way he hasn’t done in years, and with two Oscar nominations behind him—for Chaplin in 1993 and Tropic Thunder in 2009—look for Downey, Jr. to enter the Best Supporting Actor Oscar race as the presumed frontrunner in early 2024.

2. Ryan Gosling, Best Supporting Actor for Barbie

It is extremely difficult to make it into the acting categories at the Academy Awards for a comedic performance, but Gosling’s hilarious, high-spirited turn as Ken in Greta Gerwig’s film is too much of a delight to pass up. If his character was only allowed to act silly and idiotic, he wouldn’t necessarily be a contender, but Gerwig takes Ken into unexpected directions, including giving him a long segment of the movie to sing his heart out and build more complexity into the character. Gosling already having two Oscar nominations behind him doesn’t hurt either—for Half Nelson in 2007 and La La Land in 2017. With Barbie’s massive popularity, the Academy is going to want to reward at least one of the cast members with a nomination, and the same way Melissa McCarthy was deemed worthy of an Oscar nod for Bridesmaids in 2012, Gosling will make the final cut next year for Best Supporting Actor.

3. Cillian Murphy, Best Actor for Oppenheimer

Murphy not making it in for his impressive lead performance in Oppenheimer would be one of the craziest snubs in recent years. Nolan’s epic rests on his shoulders, Murphy in almost every scene of the three-hour running time. He has never been nominated before, which could put doubt in people’s minds, but he’s never had a juicy role like Robert Oppenheimer to sink his teeth into and show what he’s made of as an actor. It’s not a colorful performance the way Ken is in Barbie, and Murphy isn’t given a ton of showy moments the way Robert Downey, Jr. is in Oppenheimer’s third act. However, Murphy is essentially the entire movie, and given Oppenheimer’s behemoth box office and massive critical acclaim, you can bet on a Best Actor nod for Cillian Murphy.

4. Margot Robbie, Best Actress for Barbie

If Greta Gerwig’s warmly embraced film can get into Best Supporting Actor, Best Adapted Screenplay, and Best Picture, is it possible the star of the film gets left off the Best Actress list? Unlike Cillian Murphy, who is almost guaranteed a Best Actor nod for Oppenheimer, Robbie’s best shot at getting into Best Actress for Barbie comes down to how competitive the category will be next year. It’s difficult for comedic performances to get into the supporting acting categories, and it’s nearly impossible for them to make it into Lead Actor or Lead Actress. Her character goes to some moving and dramatic places in the second half, which should help Robbie’s chances, as will her two previous Oscar nominations for I, Tonya in 2018 and Bombshell in 2020. Whatever happens, Robbie is likely to get at least one Academy Award nod for Barbie—even if she doesn’t make it into Best Actress, a producing nod is likely for Best Picture.

5. Emily Blunt, Best Supporting Actress for Oppenheimer

The immensely talented Emily Blunt has done great work in films like The Devil Wears Prada, Sicario, and A Quiet Place, and yet she still has never received an Oscar nomination. Will 2024 finally be the year Blunt receives some much overdue recognition from the Academy? Although she doesn’t have a big role in Oppenheimer as Robert’s wife Kitty, many of her scenes in the film’s first half being brief and with little dramatic power, she’s given a few excellent moments in the second half. Her back-and-forth with Murphy show frustration and longing, and her riveting interrogation room scene near the film’s conclusion might be enough for Blunt to find herself with her first Academy Award nomination.

The only other person I could see being a potential spoiler in the acting Oscar categories is America Ferrera in Barbie for Best Supporting Actress. Her one beautifully delivered monologue she delivers about the frustrations of being a woman could be her ticket to a surprise Oscar nomination if the category isn’t super competitive. Overall, look for both Barbie and Oppenheimer to show up on Oscar nominations morning in the acting categories. The race in Best Supporting Actor between Robert Downey Jr. and Ryan Gosling is especially going to be a fun one!'

#Oppenheimer #Barbie #Robert Downey Jr.#Ryan Gosling #Emily Blunt #Cillian Murphy #The Devil Wears Prada #Sicario #A Quiet Place #America Ferrera #Margot Robbie #I #Bombshell #Half Nelson #La La Land #Tropic Thunder #Chaplin

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