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Dirty Fuel, Clean Conscience
A few recent stories got me thinking about the oil industry this week, leading me to actually wonder how fossil fuel CEOs can stand to live with themselves given that the world is burning up in front of their faces, much as their own scientists predicted decades ago.
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#climate change#climate#climate crisis#environment#fossil fuels#oil#ipcc#cartoon#comic#global warming
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New IPCC report (March 20, 2023)
The newest report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was published on the 20th of March 2023.
Read the synthesis report, or check out the IPCC's YouTube channel if reading isn't your thing.
Climate YouTubers Zentouro and ClimateAdam have also released a short summary video of the report.
(If you're currently dealing with climate anxiety, you may want to skip these reports.)
#wasteless crafts#ipcc#climate change#global warming#tw climate change#intergovernmental panel on climate change#ipcc report#climate crisis
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Loving the nature pics? Check out my new blog about how we can protect that nature and rebel for life <3
If you knowledgeable eggs have any feedback on the summary/style etc, it would be very welcome. These are my latest forays for returning, toe dippingly, in the rebellion after such a long bout of illness and disability. Wishing you all the gift of the gab as we hit the streets this week 🤍
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“Scientists have delivered a “final warning” on the climate crisis, as rising greenhouse gas emissions push the world to the brink of irrevocable damage that only swift and drastic action can avert.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), made up of the world’s leading climate scientists, set out the final part of its mammoth sixth assessment report on Monday.
The comprehensive review of human knowledge of the climate crisis took hundreds of scientists eight years to compile and runs to thousands of pages, but boiled down to one message: act now, or it will be too late.
More than 3bn people already live in areas that are “highly vulnerable” to climate breakdown, the IPCC found, and half of the global population now experiences severe water scarcity for at least part of the year. In many areas, the report warned, we are already reaching the limit to which we can adapt to such severe changes, and weather extremes are “increasingly driving displacement” of people in Africa, Asia, North, Central and South America, and the south Pacific.
All of those impacts are set to increase rapidly, as we have failed to reverse the 200-year trend of rising greenhouse gas emissions, despite more than 30 years of warnings from the IPCC, which published its first report in 1990.
Monday’s “synthesis report” is the final part of the sixth assessment report (AR6) by the IPCC, which was set up in 1988 to investigate the climate and provide scientific underpinning to international policy on the crisis. The first three sections of AR6, published between August 2021 and April 2022, covered the physical science behind the climate crisis, and warned irreversible changes were now almost inevitable; section two covered the impacts, such as the loss of agriculture, rising sea levels, and the devastation of the natural world; and the third covered the means by which we can cut greenhouse gases, including renewable energy, restoring nature and technologies that capture and store carbon dioxide.
The “synthesis report” contains no new science, but draws together key messages from all of the preceding work to form a guide for governments. The next IPCC report is not due to be published before 2030, making this report effectively the scientific gold standard for advice to governments in this crucial decade.”
Some of the key points from the report are:
- The temperature of the Earth is higher than it’s been in 100 000 years; most of the change has occurred in the last 50 years. By now the avg temperature has exceeded the inevitable 1°C, and we will almost certainly breach the 1,5°C limit of the Paris Agreement in 2030 (seven years). The way things are now, no matter what we do the temperature will continue to rise until at least the year 2040.
- We are still far from doing enough. If we follow the plans to mitigate climate change put forward by the governments of the world, we will reach around a 2,8°C increase in 2100 (worst case scenario being an extreme 4,4°C!). Thus we will reach irreversible “tipping points” such as a rise of sea levels with 2 metres (submerging cities such as Amsterdam and New York), Southern Europe turning into a desert, a 30-40% decrease in crops leading to mass starvation, 40% of all animal species going extinct. This in just about 70 years.
- There are still things that can be done to mitigate this change and limit it to the inevitable 1,5°C, and it’s all within the realm of possibility - money and technology are not a problem. But we must act fast, and unfortunately the ambition and drive are far from present. People in power - but everyday people like you and me, too, to a certain extent - are not making an effort. This is why these reports are so important, and why I’m posting this to spread the word - we all need to understand the urgency of this that overshadows just about everything else. It’s all, in the end, about our survival.
(sources 1, 2)
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Se una soluzione esiste, potremmo non essere in grado di trovarla
C'è uno studio, effettuato in doppio cieco su 22 volontari, che sembrerebbe dimostrare una diminuzione di alcune capacità cognitive, e in particolare il prendere decisioni, sopra una concentrazione di CO2 di 600 ppm. Per questo motivo si consiglia di areare i posti di lavoro, in modo da riportare l'anidride carbonica ai livelli accettabili presenti nell'atmosfera esterna, che è attualmente di 420 ppm.
Al contrario dell'inquinamento da polveri sottili e sostanze tossiche, la CO2 ha una cosa molto comoda: il valore è pressoché uniforme nel mondo, con lievi variazioni in base alla zona nella quale viene fatta la misurazione. Per questo il valore di riferimento viene preso in cima al Mauna Kea, nelle isole Hawaii.
Questo grafico dell'IPCC mostra le previsioni, con diversi scenari ottimistici e pessimistici, dell'aumento della CO2, legato dall'attività umana, a partire proprio dalle 313 ppm registrate nel 1958 a Mauna Kea. Ci ho aggiunto solamente una linea arancione in corrispondenza dei 600 ppm, per evidenziare il momento molto vicino nel quale probabilmente inizierà ad esserci ovunque troppa CO2 per garantire un ottimale funzionamento del nostro cervello.
Possiamo ragionevolmente supporre che trovare una soluzione per ridurre le emissioni di anidride carbonica sia uno sforzo intellettuale notevole, dal momento che non siamo ancora stati in grado di trovarla.
Questo vuol dire che, dal 2055 in poi, se non avremo già trovato una soluzione per ridurre le emissioni di anidride carbonica e se non avremo già iniziato a invertire la rotta, potremmo non essere più in grado di compiere quello sforzo cognitivo necessario a risolvere il problema delle emissioni. E gradualmente non saremo neppure più in grado di risolvere problemi via via più semplici.
La vita sulla Terra probabilmente continuerà, visto che ha sopportato concentrazioni di anidride carbonica ben più alte. Ma probabilmente il nostro pianeta non sarà più compatibile con l'intelligenza umana, la quale, invece, si è evoluta nell'ultimo paio di milioni di anni a concentrazioni di C02 più basse. E che non farà in tempo ad adattarsi, proprio a causa della velocità straordinaria con la quale stiamo continuando assurdamente ad immettere anidride carbonica nell'atmosfera.
Difficile dimostrare che i problemi cognitivi non si stiano già verificando.
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By Damian Carrington, Environmental Editor
The Guardian
March 20, 2023
After a 10,000-year journey, human civilization has reached a climate crossroads: what we do in the next few years will determine our fate for millennia.
That choice is laid bare in the landmark report published on Monday by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), assembled by the world’s foremost climate experts and approved by all the world’s governments. The next update will be around 2030 – by that time the most critical choices will have been made.
The report is clear what is at stake – everything: “There is a rapidly closing window of opportunity to secure a liveable and sustainable future for all.”
“The choices and actions implemented in this decade [ie by 2030] will have impacts now and for thousands of years,” it says. The climate crisis is already taking away lives and livelihoods across the world, and the report says the future effects will be even worse than was thought: “For any given future warming level, many climate-related risks are higher than [previously] assessed.”
“Continued emissions will further affect all major climate system components, and many changes will be irreversible on centennial to millennial time scales,” it says. To follow the path of least suffering – limiting global temperature rise to 1.5C – greenhouse gas emissions must peak “at the latest before 2025”, the report says, followed by “deep global reductions”. Yet in 2022, global emissions rose again to set a new record.
The 1.5C goal appears virtually out of reach, the IPCC says: “In the near-term, global warming is more likely than not to reach 1.5C even under a very low emission scenario.” A huge ramping up of work to protect people will therefore be needed. For example, “extreme sea level events” expected once a century today will strike at least once a year by 2100 in half of all monitored locations.
However, the faster emissions are cut, the better it will be for billions of people: “Adverse impacts and related losses and damages from climate change will escalate with every increment of global warming.” Every tonne of CO2 emissions prevented also reduces the risk of true catastrophe: “Abrupt and/or irreversible changes in the climate system, including changes triggered when tipping points are reached.”
The report presents the choice humanity faces in stark terms, made all the more chilling by the fact this is the compromise language agreed by all the world nations – many would go further if speaking alone. But it also presents the signposts to the path the world should and could take to secure that liveable future.
Amid the maze of detail set out in the thousands of pages of supporting documents, three of these signposts stand tallest. First is that the climate crisis is fundamentally a crisis of injustice: “The 10% of households with the highest per capita emissions contribute 34-45% of global consumption-based emissions, while the bottom 50% contribute 13-15%.” The climate emergency cannot end without addressing the inequalities of income and gender for the simple reason that “social trust” is required for “transformative change”.
The second signpost is that any new fossil fuel developments are utterly incompatible with the net zero emissions required. “Projected CO2 emissions from existing fossil fuel infrastructure without additional abatement would exceed the remaining carbon budget for 1.5C,” the report says.
Put plainly, that means the oil, gas and coal projects already in operation will blow our chance of limiting heating to 1.5C, unless some are shut down early or fitted with carbon capture technology that is yet to be proven to work at scale.
The third signpost points to the technology and finance that we need: “Feasible, effective, and low-cost options for [emissions cutting] and adaptation are already available.” Solar and wind power, energy efficiency, cuts in methane emissions and halting the destruction of forests are the key ones.
The report does not shy away from the daunting scale of the choices we need to make: “The systemic change required to achieve rapid and deep emissions reductions and transformative adaptation to climate change is unprecedented in terms of scale [and] near-term actions involve high up-front investments.”
The money is key but, the report says, “there is sufficient global capital to close the global investment gaps” if barriers to the redirection of financial flows are overcome. Furthermore, it says, the costs of climate action are clearly lower than the damages climate chaos will cause.
But there is also a gaping climate policy gap, between what is in place and what is needed: “Without a strengthening of policies, global warming of 3.2C is projected by 2100.” That is the “highway to hell”.
Three decades of IPCC warnings, mostly ignored, have brought us to the climate crossroads. As we stand there, perhaps this is the simplest way to state the choice set out by the IPCC for the world’s political and corporate leaders: what price a “sustainable and liveable future for all”?
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Things the newest IPCC report doesn't change:
- The amount of work that needs to be done
- The incredible progress that's been made already and still being made as I type this
- The value you can provide by joining the movement
-qbv
#queerbrownvegan#environment#environmentalism#climate change#climate crisis#global warming#sustainability#activism#intersectionality#ipcc
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People often resist transformation because their fear of losing what they have is more powerful than knowing they might gain something better. Wanting to retain things as they are – known as status quo bias – explains all sorts of individual decisions ... even when the alternatives may be rationally better.
This effect may be even more pronounced for larger changes. In the past, delaying inevitable change has led to transformations that are unnecessarily harsh. ... As more people experience the harms of climate change firsthand, they may begin to realize that transformation is inevitable and embrace new solutions. ...
Optimism resides in deliberate action
The IPCC reports include numerous examples that can help steer such positive transformation.
For example, renewable energy is now generally less expensive than fossil fuels, so a shift to clean energy can often save money. Communities can also be redesigned to better survive natural hazards through steps such as maintaining natural wildfire breaks and building homes to be less susceptible to burning.
Land use and the design of infrastructure, such as roads and bridges, can be based on forward-looking climate information. Insurance pricing and corporate climate risk disclosures can help the public recognize hazards in the products they buy and companies they support as investors.
No one group can enact these changes alone. Everyone must be involved, including governments that can mandate and incentivize changes, businesses that often control decisions about greenhouse gas emissions, and citizens who can turn up the pressure on both.
Transformation is inevitable
Efforts to both adapt to and mitigate climate change have advanced substantially in the last five years, but not fast enough to prevent the transformations already underway.
Doing more to disrupt the status quo with proven solutions can help smooth these transformations and create a better future in the process.
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AR6 Synthesis Report: Climate Change 2023
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Graphical projection of what our future generations have to face:
For children being born in this and future decades, we really, truly have fucked up earth for them. And there’s still no urgency by any government to try and address this because it’s more important to make rich people happy. Greed will be our doom.
“It’s easier to imagine an end to the world than an end to capitalism - Fredric Jameson
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A new study has found that mountains across the globe, including the Himalayas, are now seeing more rainfall at elevations where it has mostly snowed in the past. The change has made the mountains more dangerous, scientists say, as increased temperatures not only bring rain but also accelerate melting of snow and ice. The rainwater also loosens the soil resulting in landslides, rockfalls, floods and debris-flows. "Our findings provide several lines of evidence demonstrating a warming-induced amplification of rainfall extremes at high altitudes, specifically in snow-dominated regions of the Northern Hemisphere," says the study, published in June in the Nature journal. The finding is consistent with a special report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in 2019 which said that snowfall had decreased, at least in part because of higher temperatures, especially at lower elevations of mountain regions.
Navin Singh Khadka, ‘Himachal Pradesh floods: More rain, less snow are turning Himalayas dangerous’, BBC
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#climate24 #climatechange #globalwarming #climatecrisis
#climate24#climate change#climate crisis#global warming#cop28climateconference#climate catastrophe#climate emergency#cop28#environment#ipcc
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Reprobados en cambio climático
Reprobados en cambio climático
#aperturaintelectual #vmrfaintelectual
@victormanrf
@Victor M. Reyes Ferriz
@vicmanrf
@victormrferriz
Víctor Manuel Reyes Ferriz
12 DE DICIEMBRE DE 2023 Esto es para ti papi
POR: VÍCTOR MANUEL REYES FERRIZ
El día de hoy culmina la cumbre del clima “Conferencia de Partes” (COP) en su edición número 28 que comenzó el pasado 30 de noviembre en el “Expo City” de Dubái y ésta reúne a los delegados de 197 países, organizaciones no gubernamentales, empresas, científicos, representantes de la industria, activistas y por supuesto…
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#AperturaIntelectual#vmrfaintelectual#Acuerdo de París#Cambio Climático 2022#Cambio Climático 2023#Climate Action Tracker#CMNUCC#Convención Marco de las Naciones Unidas sobre el Cambio Climático#COP28#Dr. Roberto A. Sánchez-Rodríguez#Grupo Intergubernamental de Expertos sobre el Cambio Climático#Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change#IPCC#Libro "El medio ambiente como fuente de conflicto binacional entre México y Estados Unidos"#ONU#Protocolo de Kyoto#Reprobados en cambio climático#Sexto Informe de Evaluación del IPCC#Víctor Manuel Reyes Ferriz#VMRF
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Knew this year was set to be record heat yet again but 18°C Feburary Indiana. People have no idea how much worse this year can and is going to get.
#climate change#ipcc#1.5 degrees#environmental justice#global warming#climate emergency#climate crisis
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Taking Action for a Sustainable Future: A Global Stocktake "Must Be the Tipping Point" to Limit Global Warming" TO learn more: https://blog.geohoney.com/tipping-point-towards-limiting-global-warming
#climate change#cop28#climate finance#capacity building#green technology#technology transfer#capacity#ipcc#global warming#stock takes#Geohoney
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