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#20220518
dreamsdreams13 · 2 years
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falling in love | Damián & Anya ~ Spy x Family
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yamasakiko---ji · 2 years
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asterkurayami · 2 years
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Mystery Squishmallow.
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CUTE! Smells sweet.
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jie-c-c · 2 years
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對我來說 只要願意努力學習 外匯保證金透析能力 是快樂的富裕的 #賺美元 #只要學會外匯分析 #吃喝玩樂 #每天快樂領美元 #投資標的物很多 #請選擇自己適合的 #清楚的懂的 #20220518 #卓德charterprime #Tmgm #外匯保證金 #沒有年資問題 ⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️ #厚實大水餃 #旅遊行程規劃 #包車自由行(在 澎湖國際海上花火節) https://www.instagram.com/p/CducbiVLmgt/?igshid=NGJjMDIxMWI=
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alwayshomewithyou · 2 years
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beckysioux · 2 years
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One day I’ll actually go inside #20220518 #138of365daysof2022 https://www.instagram.com/p/CduJ7B-La0t/?igshid=NGJjMDIxMWI=
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eagleargent · 2 years
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20220518: Thoughts on various markets
It’s been a while, huh?  Here’s a quick update before I forget what I’m thinking.
S&P 500
The rally of the past few days stalled out at C = 0.618*A (which converged nicely with the downtrend channel line established by the last top and two bottoms, orange on the chart below) and dropped like a lead balloon in today’s session, ending any thoughts of the rally being impulsive.  The whole rally was on very weak volume, so this is not too surprising.
I have gone short with a stop above yesterday’s high, but only with a small lot: if we get a corrective retrace, I’m prepared to add to that short position.  The stop is as tight as it is because, if this crash channel breaks, a rally back to the 4600 zone would be very possible.
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It’s worth noting that the Ichimoku picture on S&P 500 shows all signs bearish and has since about April 26.  I’m seeing similarities to May 5 which had a similarly strong decline after a brief close above the conversion line.
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I’ve identified the 3520-3540 zone as a downside target (I think this was based on the P&F charts), probably in early June if the downtrend channels hold up.
Crude oil (/CL)
Crude oil’s monster rally topped out on March 7.  Since then we’ve had a drop followed by a sideways movement; this looks best to my eye as a complete I-II (or A-B) that ended at yesterday’s high of 115.56.
In any case, once the morning’s action showed a decent downward momentum, I got short to scalp the drop, closing out when oil hit my downside zigzag target (in purple) converging with the oversold line of the crash channel and bounced... except that I accidentally closed out only half my position, which ended up being a happy accident when crude continued to power lower.
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I now expect a trip to the bottom of the shallow red uptrend channel, if not even lower, before any revisiting of 115.56.  This is supported by the renewed volume that accompanied today’s drop.  If this is in fact the kickoff to a big III/C wave, then the first target zone would be C = A at 80-84.
Wheat (/ZW)
I had thought that wheat was in a similar situation as oil, with a shallow corrective rally channel... and then it powered out of it a few days ago.  The candlesticks and volume certainly give yesterday’s tag of 1284 the appearance of a significant top, but it’s hard to make any significant bearish bets until and unless it drops past 1135 -- and even then you would really prefer such a drop to be clearly impulsive, to quash the bull nest possibility.
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Soybeans (/ZS)
Soybeans have consistently found support right around 1580 and currently appear to be ending an impulsive rally.  A three-wave decline on weak volume could be a buying opportunity for a trip back to the 1750 zone; I am not willing to say anything bolder than that absent a lot more time and analysis.
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Bitcoin (/BTC)
If we view the entire move down from last November’s all-time high, then this looks like a zigzag that still needs 5 of C down to be complete.  On the log scale, C = A at around 23,000.  But on the nearer term chart, there is nothing to suggest that the current bounce is over yet.  A trip back up to the gap around 34,500 would not be out of the question for this pattern.  If we get back up to the 37,500 zone, only then would we have to start thinking that maybe the May 12 bottom was the entire zigzag.
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Silver (/SI)
Oh yeah, this is the market you’re probably here to read about, right?
Here’s the weekly chart of silver (I used the e-Micro for this so it wouldn’t be clogged with my annotations), just to show you how much of a mess this has been for almost the past two years now.  It seems to be some sort of messy complex correction, but I’d hate to put money on specifics or whether it is over at this most recent low.
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On the daily chart, at least the decline from the March 8 high (which coincided with the peaks in crude oil and wheat!) paints a somewhat clear picture.  The 20.42 low was most likely wave 3 of an impulse, and that means we need wave 5 down to complete the move.  Any rally above about 24.00 would KO this.
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Zooming in further to the hourly chart, we see an apparently impulsive shape for the rally, though it was on weak volume.  Bears had a chance overnight to get a nested decline set up, but now I can only see the decline as a corrective one.  The purple and cream targets are C = A for the zigzag and the 38.2% retracement of the rally respectively; they landed within a cent of each other, and today’s price action came within a cent of that while retaining the corrective look.
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If ((b)) is in fact over, then ((c)) = ((a)) at 22.87, before things presumably drop again for wave 5.  Again, bulls could knock out that count, and create a very real possibility of the 20.42 bottom being the beginning of that long-awaited monster rally I’ve been keeping in the back of my mind for months, by taking it up to around 24.00.
And this is why I don’t update more often: this took over an hour and it wasn’t even really that in-depth.
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bryanhsiao · 2 years
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#20220518 #myzone #WorldGymTaiwanTaichungDongXingEx(在 天工琉璃,台中的家) https://www.instagram.com/p/CdtOfwgJvS9/?igshid=NGJjMDIxMWI=
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life5642 · 2 years
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今天自己煮!7分飽的一天(゚∀゚)
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ddianika · 2 years
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Lucuuuu...
Bakpia sekarang cantik-cantik kemasannya
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imnot-kuknz · 2 years
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내 불행은 누구에게 간절했나.
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gineys-anatomy · 2 years
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You won’t believe what more can make sense when time passes after something confusing happened. So just hold on.
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sokonowa · 2 years
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booasaur · 2 years
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Do you think they’re dragging out the angst? Because I don’t. I feel after what happened, is really unreal if Lucy forgive Kate.
I feel like they are doing this in a natural way.
Sad we haven’t had so that much scenes between them, but still we got so many scenes about how the break up is affecting them.
I feel that’s nice.
Lol, this ask on late Tuesday night arrived at such a good time. I'd been thinking about how Leyren, Kacy, and Marina handled their respective major conflicts and I have to say, I feel like Kacy gave theirs what it deserved the most.
Marina got over it so quickly, Leyren took a long time but kept Leyla off screen for most of it and seem to have jumped several stages of their reconciliation without showing how onscreen, while Kacy's taken a full half a season, with lots of screentime and discussions and involvement of other characters to discuss things. I really don't think it's taking too long, it's not as if there hasn't been progress, it's just been the more realistic two steps forward, one step back kind. Together or not, their scenes are still about how love they still are. We're gonna miss the pining and yearning stage when it's over, I'm telling ya!
In the olden days, main pairings took YEARS to get through this kind of thing, and I do think they were written to be the central season-long arc, with the reconciliation finally in the season finale. Which means they were writing backward, to reach the narrative climax this late, it was always going to take this long. I don't think people would been happier if Kate had done something even worse to justify the length. :o
I will say, I hadn't expected Lucy to be this angry or hurt for this long. I had kind of wished we'd had a little more insight into Lucy's background and why in particular this--well, it's been framed as a mistake on Kate's part, right, but even as an incredibly stupid hurtful mistake, just ending things and keeping them ended when she was still so in love? With the depth of her feelings for Kate, I wished we'd seen something like a past betrayal of trust, maybe a parent cheated, just something that'd explain it being such a dealbreaker. I didn't need it but I just wanted more insight into Lucy and her background. But even without it, we could make reasonable guesses like this could be the first time she's been this hurt and is unwilling to risk it again, or maybe she's dealt with dishonesty when it comes to her family and refuses to deal with it her partner, that kind of thing
But then the one thing they DID add was past context specifically for their relationship, which shifted things majorly. This wasn't a brief fling, it was a years-long physical and then emotional romance, FINALLY culminating in what seemed to be this gorgeous perfect love, and then it's ruined, in a way that rendered everything that happened before false. I never did gif the cute early parts of ep 11, on purpose. It wasn't that I didn't get around to it, I didn't want to because at the time, it felt like it was just to set them up as all happy and in love so the breakup later would hurt more. I just didn't realize till we got the backstory that it wasn't to make us hurt more, but LUCY. At that point, the relationship was meant to be so comfortable, she said herself, she can sit there quietly watching Kate read. How mortified, how HUMILIATED she must have felt to almost let slip an ILY in the morning and come back to a gf in the afternoon. I can get how she's just like, nope, you threw THAT away? Either this didn't mean as much to you or it did and you still treated us like that.
Anyway, I realize that I've taken so long to type this up the season finale's about to finish airing in east Canada in about 19 minutes, so let's see how it ends. :P
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chanty · 2 years
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SUMIN ♡ SO WHAT 직캠 (20220518) (Fancam) @한국기술교육대축제.
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