Tumgik
#kyrsten sinema die challenge
drbtinglecannon · 1 year
Text
Maybe, just maybe, elected officials shouldn't be allowed to switch parties during their terms.
7 notes · View notes
thepoliticalpatient · 4 years
Text
RBG’s death all but guarantees the loss of the ACA
Last night was almost as hard and scary as election night, for me.
I will try to keep this brief as I can and so will be focusing on the impact of RBG’s death on healthcare policy in the US. Her death is a tragedy in many other ways, of course. She was a groundbreaking and iconic figure in the judiciary. She was forced to continue working through numerous illnesses and on her deathbed because she was in the position of serving as a 5′1″ human barrier between our already terrible reality and a much more terrible one. and And of course, her death will have numerous awful political consequences in subjects outside of healthcare. I will not be touching on any of that here. I’m sorry, I know it’s incredibly gross to move straight into the politics so fast, but there are millions of lives on the line and we have no time to lose!
The case against the ACA, now called California v. Texas, will start oral arguments on November 10, one week after the election. I have already written a number of posts on the background of this case - this one explains the basis for the case, and this one describes how the lower court has already ruled.
Obviously none of us can tell the future, but before RBG’s death, most folks were pretty optimistic about this case working out in favor of the ACA 5-4. All 5 justices who ruled in favor of the ACA in one of its previous challenges, NFIB v. Sebelius, were still on the court. Obviously this has now changed.
So the case will be heard starting on November 10. From there we should probably expect it to take months to come to a decision. Let’s talk about scenarios:
Trump and Senate Republicans manage to force through a nominee before the election
We all remember 2016 when McConnell refused to hold hearings for the nomination of Merrick Garland to SCOTUS because it was an election year. That seat was stolen by Neil Gorsuch after Trump’s election.
Surprising nobody, McConnell is a hypocrite. RBG’s body was still warm yesterday when he started politicking, releasing a statement indicating that he intends to fill the seat before the election.
If he succeeds, then of course the ACA’s chances are very slim of surviving a challenge in a 6-3 majority conservative SCOTUS.
We delay the confirmation until after inauguration
There is a nonzero possibility that this confirmation can be delayed until the new president is elected and inaugurated.
Republicans have a 53-47 majority in the Senate right now; they need 50 votes to approve a SCOTUS justice (Pence breaks ties).  Prior to RBG’s death, several sitting Senate Republicans stated that they would oppose voting on a nominee during the 2020 election year in order to be consistent with what they did in 2016. Take for instance this absolutely chef kiss video of Lindsey Graham:
https://twitter.com/vanitaguptaCR/status/1307153104941518848
I want you to use my words against me. If there’s a Republican president in 2016 and a vacancy occurs in the last year of the first term, you can say Lindsey Graham said let’s let the next president, whoever it might be, make that nomination.
Other Republican Senators who have made similar statements:
Lisa Murkowski: https://www.alaskapublic.org/2020/09/18/alaska-senator-murkowski-said-friday-she-would-not-vote-for-a-justice-ahead-of-election/
Chuck Grassley: https://thehill.com/business-a-lobbying/410686-grassley-says-judiciary-panel-wouldnt-consider-supreme-court-nominee-in
Susan Collins?: https://twitter.com/jmartNYT/status/1307112333253148672
Mitt Romney? Mixed signals. There’s this, https://twitter.com/JimDabakis/status/1307120855454044160, but his staff denies it: https://twitter.com/LJ0hnson/status/1307129082971385858
Sorry my sources aren’t better on some of these; this is all I’ve got right now. We will have to listen to what these 5 say over the next few days. We only need 4 of them to vote no. If any of them conveniently “change their minds” they will probably cite McConnell’s logic that this year is somehow different because Obama was a lame duck in 2016. Susan Collins and Lindsey Graham in particular might be pressurable because they’re both facing very tough challenges for their seats this year. We should keep the pressure on by pledging donations to their opponents, Sara Gideon and Jaime Harrison, in the event that they make the hypocritical decision to approve a nominee less than 2 months before an election.
I know we can’t trust these people as far as we can throw them but we have to try. What other choice do we have?
Another factor here is the special election in AZ. Martha McSally was appointed to John McCain’s seat after his death, after she previously lost her election against Kyrsten Sinema. She is being challenged this year by astronaut Mark Kelly, who is polling very well. If he wins, because of special election rules, he could be sworn in as early as November 30, reducing the Republican majority in the Senate well ahead of inauguration day.
McSally has already stated that she will vote for a nominee before the election: https://twitter.com/SenMcSallyAZ/status/1307123253845032960
Unfortunately, merely delaying the confirmation of a new justice won’t be enough to save the ACA
The situation is every bit as bad for the ACA against an 8 justice court as it would be against a court with a new conservative justice. In the case of a 4-4 tied decision, the lower court’s decision holds. And the Fifth Circuit’s ruling was that the fate of the ACA should be left to district judge Reed O’Connor, a far-right activist judge who already ruled that the entire ACA should be thrown into the garbage.
The only hope it has is if we both delay the confirmation of a new judge, elect Joe Biden, elect a Senate that will not be hostile to his nominee, and get that nominee through, all before the case is decided. The case will begin with oral arguments on November 10.
A legislative salvation for the ACA?
If we get control of both branches of Congress and the presidency, there is a very easy way to save the ACA. The entire case is null and void if we reinstate the individual mandate’s tax at any amount over $0. A $1 tax would save it. A Democratically-controlled Congress could pass such legislation with a simple majority.
But maybe we should just let it die?
Some members of the left seem to think it’s not such a big deal if the ACA goes under. Their argument is that without the ACA, the case for Medicare for All will become more urgent. They don’t care about the chronically ill and disabled people who will die without protections in the meantime. And besides that, what chance does M4A have of surviving a 6-3 conservative SCOTUS? The fucking ACA, as insufficient and centrist as it is, has been challenged mercilessly in the courts by conservatives. This is the third major SCOTUS case they’ve brought against it. M4A would fare no better. In fact, we can expect to say goodbye to any possibility of keeping any progressive policy within our lifetimes under a 6-3 conservative SCOTUS.
So what do we do?
For now, we put the pressure on Murkowski, Grassley, Graham, Collins, and Romney. If you live in AK, IA, SC, ME, or UT, call their offices every damn day until they commit to voting no on any judge nominated before Inauguration day.
Phone numbers:
Murkowski: (202) 224-6665
Grassley: (202) 224-3744
Graham: (202) 224-5972
Collins: (202) 224-2523
Romney: (202) 224-5251
For folks who do not live in those states, pressure your Republican Senators even if it it seems hopeless, and make a lot of noise about donating to the above 5′s opponents if they vote yes. Volunteer to phone or text bank to ask constituents in those 5 states to call those Senators. There’s still plenty you can do.
Then we must do everything we can to elect Joe Biden and a Democratic Senate. Vote on November 3. Phone or text bank for Biden. Adopt a Senate race in a swing state here: https://votesaveamerica.com/adopt-a-state/
If they push a nominee through, it’s time to pack the courts
If they’re going to change the rules on us and confirm a SCOTUS justice in an election year, then we will change the rules on them the minute we get power.
Adding more justices to SCOTUS does not require a Constitutional amendment. It can be done through legislation, and it has been done many times before:
1789-1807: six seats
1807-1837: seven seats
1837-1866: ten seats
1866-1867: nine seats
1867-1869: eight seats
1869-present: nine seats
Even the threat of opening the door to court packing might be enough to convince some Senators not to move forward with this scheme.
But again, in order to pack the court, we need to elect Joe Biden, flip the Senate, and keep the House.
Let’s get to work.
16 notes · View notes
Link
LETTERS FROM AN AMERICAN
March 22, 2021
Heather Cox Richardson
The Biden administration has been quite open about its belief that we are in a global war to reestablish the security of democracy in the face of rising authoritarianism. On February 4, President Biden said in a speech at the State Department that American diplomacy must be “rooted in America’s most cherished democratic values: defending freedom, championing opportunity, upholding universal rights, respecting the rule of law, and treating every person with dignity.”
Secretary of State Antony Blinken followed up a month later by emphasizing that America would rebuild alliances to “renew democracy, because it’s under threat.” Blinken noted that authoritarianism and nationalism are rising around the world, including in the United States, and that the U.S. would work with allies to counter it. “We will stand firm behind our commitments to human rights, democracy, the rule of law,” he said.
To that end, the Biden administration has joined our partners to take a strong stand for human rights and democracy.
In his confirmation hearings, Blinken promised to repudiate the previous administration’s attack on LGBTQ individuals and to champion LBGTQ rights around the world.
On March 8, Blinken and First Lady Dr. Jill Biden hosted the 15th annual International Women of Courage Awards in a virtual ceremony honoring women nominated by U.S. embassies around the world for making a difference in their communities, their countries, or the world. They emphasized that the U.S. will stand with women and girls everywhere.
Today, the Treasury Department joined the European Union, Canada, and Britain in announcing sanctions against six Chinese officials because of the continuing human rights abuses against the minority Uyghur population of that country. The administration has accused China of committing genocide and crimes against humanity against the 12 million Uyghurs in China’s Xinjiang province, who are mostly Muslim and who have been herded into “re-education camps,” used as forced labor, and forcibly sterilized.
These sanctions come after last week’s sanctions on 24 Chinese and Hong Kong officials because of their suppression of political freedoms in Hong Kong. Just days after administration officials imposed those sanctions, Blinken and national security adviser Jake Sullivan began a discussion with Chinese officials in Anchorage, Alaska, by taking a provocative stand and insisting that Beijing needs to return to the rules-based system that democratic allies built after World War II. Sullivan said: ”We do not see conflict but we welcome stiff competition, and we will always stand up for principles, for our people, and for our friends.”
China responded by suggesting that it considers the U.S. a waning power that it no longer has to appease with gestures toward human rights. In a 16-minute lecture, China’s top diplomat, Yang Jiechi, accused Blinken and Sullivan of hypocrisy and arrogance, calling attention to police brutality, the Black Lives Matter movement, and America’s own human rights challenges. He later suggested that the U.S. no longer can claim to represent the views of the world, and said that “China’s development and growing strength are unstoppable.”
The Treasury Department also announced sanctions against two members of the Myanmar military, which staged a coup against that country’s civilian government, a coup that is still roiling the nation. In those sanctions, the U.S. joined the E.U., Canada, and the United Kingdom, while two of Myanmar’s neighboring countries, Indonesia and Malaysia, issued strong statements condemning the violence.
It is also preparing sanctions against Russia for its attempt to swing the 2020 election and for its massive hack of U.S. businesses and governmental agencies last year. Unlike his predecessor, Biden has refused to cozy up to Russian President Vladimir Putin, agreeing with ABC News anchor George Stephanopoulos that Putin was a killer. In this stance against Russia, too, the U.S. has partners: British special forces have been ordered to counter the activities of Russian military intelligence.
Biden’s Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin hinted to India that its planned purchase of a Russian missile system could bring U.S. sanctions, saying “[w]e certainly urge all our allies and partners to move away from Russian equipment… and really avoid any kind of acquisitions that would trigger sanctions on our behalf….”
China has invited Russia’s top diplomat, Sergey Lavrov, to meet with Chinese officials in Beijing.
The Biden administration is not just trying to defend democracy overseas. It is also trying to reclaim democracy here at home. Since 1981, Republicans have focused on cutting taxes and turning over our public infrastructure to private individuals, and as their agenda became less and less popular, they have relied on voter suppression and gerrymandering to stay in power. With Republicans in charge of the Senate, they could kill even enormously popular bills that passed the House of Representatives, and now that Democrats are in charge, the filibuster enables them to do the same.
The Biden administration has used its success with the coronavirus vaccine rollout to illustrate that government can actually be a dramatic force for good. This weekend, the number of coronavirus vaccines delivered was over 3 million a day, and President Biden beat his own goal of reaching 100 million vaccines in arms within his first hundred days by a month.
The passage of the American Rescue Plan, which 77% of the American people wanted and which promptly put desperately needed money into people’s pockets, has encouraged the White House to turn to a $3 trillion infrastructure and jobs package. The details of the plan are still fluid, but it appears that this plan will have two parts: one focused on infrastructure, including hundreds of billions of dollars to fix the country’s crumbling roads and bridges, and one focused on the societal issues that Biden calls the “caregiving economy,” including universal prekindergarten and free tuition for community colleges, as well as funding for childcare. This plan will likely be funded, at least in part, by tax increases on those who make more than $400,000 a year.
They are reclaiming the government for the American people.
But Republicans, who generally cling to the idea that, as President Ronald Reagan said in his first inaugural address, “government is not the solution to our problem, government IS the problem,” are determined to stop Democrats from enacting their agenda. Legislators in 43 states have proposed more than 250 bills to suppress voting. Getting rid of Democratic votes would put Republicans back into power even if they could not command a real majority.
To combat this rigging of the system, Democrats in the House passed HR 1, a sweeping bill to protect voting, end gerrymandering, and limit the power of dark money in our elections. The “For the People Act” has now gone on to the Senate, where Republicans recognize that it would “be absolutely devastating for Republicans in this country.”
The bill will die so long as Republican senators can block it with the filibuster, and if it does, the Republican voter suppression laws that cut Democrats out of the vote will stand, making it likely that Democrats will not be able to win future elections. That reality has put reforming the filibuster back on the table. While President Biden, as well as Senators Joe Manchin (D-WV), Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ), and Dianne Feinstein (D-CA) have all expressed a wish to preserve at least some version of the filibuster, they are now all saying they might be willing to reform it. This might mean making election bills exempt from the filibuster the way financial bills are, or going back to the system in which stopping a measure actually required talking, rather than simply threatening to talk.
Both parties recognize that their future hangs on whether HR 1 passes, and that hangs on the filibuster.
—-
LETTERS FROM AN AMERICAN
HEATHER COX RICHARDSON
2 notes · View notes
blogparadiseisland · 6 years
Text
Business Arizona voters will choose GOP Senate candidate as the state mourns McCain
Business Arizona voters will choose GOP Senate candidate as the state mourns McCain Business Arizona voters will choose GOP Senate candidate as the state mourns McCain http://www.nature-business.com/business-arizona-voters-will-choose-gop-senate-candidate-as-the-state-mourns-mccain/
Business
Phoenix (CNN)The day before Arizona begins memorializing Sen. John McCain, the state’s Republicans will make a major statement about the future of the party of McCain and President Donald Trump.
The national GOP establishment’s preference, Rep. Martha McSally, faces two hard-line conservatives — former state Sen. Kelli Ward and former Maricopa County sheriff Joe Arpaio — in Tuesday’s Senate primary.
McSally distanced herself from McCain during the campaign while Ward and Arpaio openly attacked him. All three candidates are embracing Trump in a sign of the President’s power over Republican voters.
Trump infamously attacked McCain’s service during the 2016 presidential campaign, and McCain was vocal in his opposition to Trump on several issues.
The race is the headliner on a day in which Arizona, Florida and Oklahoma will select their nominees in governor’s races and Arizona and Florida will also pick their candidates for Senate contests.
In Arizona, Republican Gov. Doug Ducey is up for re-election. Democratic state Sen. Steve Farley, Arizona State University education professor David Garcia and Kelly Fryer, the CEO of the YWCA Southern Arizona, face off to challenge Ducey in a traditionally red state that has shifted to the left in recent years: Hillary Clinton lost there by just 4 percentage points.
The primary comes days before Ducey faces a major decision: Who to appoint to fill McCain’s seat. He’ll have to choose between a Trump-like Republican and someone in the McCain mold — or could try to bridge the gap, potentially with a placeholder pick.
In Florida, term-limited Republican Gov. Rick Scott is challenging Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson, and the governor’s office is up for grabs in this fall’s midterm elections. Trump-endorsed Rep. Ron DeSantis is seen as the favorite to defeat state agriculture commissioner Adam Putnam for the GOP nod for governor, while several Democrats — including Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand-backed former Rep. Gwen Graham, progressive favorite Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum, businessman Jeff Greene and former Miami Beach Mayor Philip Levine square off in a wide-open primary.
And in Oklahoma, Democratic state attorney general Drew Edmondson will face the winner of a GOP battle between Tulsa businessman Kevin Stitt and Oklahoma City Mayor Mick Cornett for the seat being vacated by term-limited Gov. Mary Fallin.
Arizona and Florida also each have several primaries for House seats that are expected to be competitive in November’s midterm elections.
Trump dominant in Arizona race
The Arizona Senate contest is for the seat of retiring Sen. Jeff Flake — not McCain, whose replacement will be appointed by Ducey. Democratic Rep. Kyrsten Sinema is the heavy favorite to take on the Republican primary winner.
Trump hasn’t endorsed a candidate. But the race has underscored how the Republican Party in Arizona has shifted from one where McCain, the 2008 GOP presidential nominee, reigned supreme, to one where Trump is the dominant force.
All three GOP candidates cozied up to the President. McSally, in particular, has dropped her 2016 campaign criticism of Trump and aligned herself closely with the President — particularly on immigration issues.
The race’s outcome could already be decided. More than 437,000 Republican early votes had been mailed in by Friday. And if 2018’s primary follows Arizona’s trend of high early voting numbers, about 75% of the state’s primary voters have already cast their ballots.
Polls have shown Arpaio in third place — but Republican strategists say he is competing for the same group of die-hard conservative voters as Ward, meaning that his presence in the race has cut directly into her support.
A McSally win in the last competitive primary on 2018’s Senate battleground map would be a major relief for Republicans who have watched her all-but-certain opponent Sinema spend millions of dollars on
TV ads branding herself as a centrist
who would “end the partisan nonsense and protect Arizonans” on issues like health care.
It’s why Colorado Sen. Cory Gardner, the chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, urged Trump to endorse McSally in a recent phone call, a source familiar with the call said.
Trump didn’t endorse, but he gave McSally a shout-out at a recent event at Fort Drum in New York. He noted that McSally is “not only an Air Force veteran, but the first woman ever to fly a fighter jet in combat in US history.”
“And I got to know her very well, and she is terrific: Congresswoman Martha McSally,” Trump said.
National Republicans see the Arizona Senate race as crucial to keeping their majority, and think McSally is the only candidate that gives them a chance to win the race. Until recent weeks, they’d been frustrated she had not put the primary away.
How McSally won over the right
McSally’s primary campaign has been a case study in how an establishment Republican — one who had sharply criticized Trump in the wake of the “Access Hollywood” video in 2016 — could win in the Trump era.
She aired an ad featuring Trump calling her the “real deal.” She withdrew her co-sponsorship of a bill that offered “Dreamers” a path to citizenship, mimicked Trump’s attacks on “chain migration.” She became a fixture on Fox News, where she aligned herself with Trump and heaped praise on the President.
And she cast Ward — who’d launched her campaign as a strident critic of Flake and McCain, a Trump opponent, with the backing of then-White House chief strategist Steve Bannon — as a Trump critic.
“McSally did a masterful job capitalizing on Ward’s ‘phonyisms,’” said Robert Graham, a former Arizona Republican Party chairman and a Trump ally. “The religious right freaked and abandoned her and the immigration people consider her soft.”
An anti-Ward super PAC spent more than $4 million on at-times misleading ads that cast Ward as weak on immigration enforcement and opposing Trump’s calls for increased military spending.
McSally’s campaign, meanwhile, aired an ad asserting that Ward “doesn’t support President Trump” on immigration. It highlighted Ward’s opposition to a Trump-backed bill that Ward labeled “amnesty.”
Another key moment came in a late-July editorial board meeting at The Arizona Republic — the only time McSally and Ward would debate, with Arpaio declining the invitation — on the topic of abortion. Both said they want Roe v. Wade repealed, but Ward called for a “more incremental” approach, including a ban on abortions after 24 weeks, while McSally said she favors banning abortion in all cases except rape, incest and when the life of the mother is in jeopardy.
Ward also said abortion is debated “in a fashion that was designed to raise money for people on both sides of the issue.”
The comments alienated anti-abortion activists who were a key part of the conservative constituency a McSally challenger would have needed.
Then, late in the campaign, Ward courted controversy when she invited Mike Cernovich — a far-right commentator who promoted the infamous “Pizzagate” conspiracy theory — on her bus tour, and then told NBC News that “attaching those things to me is ridiculous.”
Explaining her decision to invite Cernovich, Ward said: “We need to have a hook to get you guys interested in seeing the bus tour.”
Ward courted controversy late in the race, too. She apologized Monday for a Facebook comment suggesting an announcement by McCain’s family that he would end his cancer treatment was designed to hurt her campaign, saying her comment had been misinterpreted.
Arpaio, meanwhile, watched his campaign descend into chaos. The Federal Election Commission laid out a host of problems with his first-quarter campaign finance report in a letter to Arpaio’s campaign. And long-time consultant Chad Willems, who until recently was Arpaio’s campaign manager, was receiving the vast majority of the $1.3 million raised for the campaign. His campaign ended in a fizzle, as Ward attracted headlines as the anti-establishment candidate.
“McSally proved to voters for months that she has the ability to laser-focus in on Sinema’s weaknesses in a way that highlights her own strengths, even while facing competitors in a primary,” said Brian Anderson, an Arizona GOP strategist and former aide to Ducey.
“Kelli Ward continued to remind everyone,” Anderson said, “that she’s a ticking time bomb who can’t talk her way through a question about Pizzagate — let alone face an opponent like Sinema.”
Read More | Eric Bradner, CNN,
Business Arizona voters will choose GOP Senate candidate as the state mourns McCain, in 2018-08-28 11:40:20
0 notes
Text
Business Arizona voters will choose GOP Senate candidate as the state mourns McCain
Business Arizona voters will choose GOP Senate candidate as the state mourns McCain Business Arizona voters will choose GOP Senate candidate as the state mourns McCain http://www.nature-business.com/business-arizona-voters-will-choose-gop-senate-candidate-as-the-state-mourns-mccain/
Business
Phoenix (CNN)The day before Arizona begins memorializing Sen. John McCain, the state’s Republicans will make a major statement about the future of the party of McCain and President Donald Trump.
The national GOP establishment’s preference, Rep. Martha McSally, faces two hard-line conservatives — former state Sen. Kelli Ward and former Maricopa County sheriff Joe Arpaio — in Tuesday’s Senate primary.
McSally distanced herself from McCain during the campaign while Ward and Arpaio openly attacked him. All three candidates are embracing Trump in a sign of the President’s power over Republican voters.
Trump infamously attacked McCain’s service during the 2016 presidential campaign, and McCain was vocal in his opposition to Trump on several issues.
The race is the headliner on a day in which Arizona, Florida and Oklahoma will select their nominees in governor’s races and Arizona and Florida will also pick their candidates for Senate contests.
In Arizona, Republican Gov. Doug Ducey is up for re-election. Democratic state Sen. Steve Farley, Arizona State University education professor David Garcia and Kelly Fryer, the CEO of the YWCA Southern Arizona, face off to challenge Ducey in a traditionally red state that has shifted to the left in recent years: Hillary Clinton lost there by just 4 percentage points.
The primary comes days before Ducey faces a major decision: Who to appoint to fill McCain’s seat. He’ll have to choose between a Trump-like Republican and someone in the McCain mold — or could try to bridge the gap, potentially with a placeholder pick.
In Florida, term-limited Republican Gov. Rick Scott is challenging Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson, and the governor’s office is up for grabs in this fall’s midterm elections. Trump-endorsed Rep. Ron DeSantis is seen as the favorite to defeat state agriculture commissioner Adam Putnam for the GOP nod for governor, while several Democrats — including Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand-backed former Rep. Gwen Graham, progressive favorite Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum, businessman Jeff Greene and former Miami Beach Mayor Philip Levine square off in a wide-open primary.
And in Oklahoma, Democratic state attorney general Drew Edmondson will face the winner of a GOP battle between Tulsa businessman Kevin Stitt and Oklahoma City Mayor Mick Cornett for the seat being vacated by term-limited Gov. Mary Fallin.
Arizona and Florida also each have several primaries for House seats that are expected to be competitive in November’s midterm elections.
Trump dominant in Arizona race
The Arizona Senate contest is for the seat of retiring Sen. Jeff Flake — not McCain, whose replacement will be appointed by Ducey. Democratic Rep. Kyrsten Sinema is the heavy favorite to take on the Republican primary winner.
Trump hasn’t endorsed a candidate. But the race has underscored how the Republican Party in Arizona has shifted from one where McCain, the 2008 GOP presidential nominee, reigned supreme, to one where Trump is the dominant force.
All three GOP candidates cozied up to the President. McSally, in particular, has dropped her 2016 campaign criticism of Trump and aligned herself closely with the President — particularly on immigration issues.
The race’s outcome could already be decided. More than 437,000 Republican early votes had been mailed in by Friday. And if 2018’s primary follows Arizona’s trend of high early voting numbers, about 75% of the state’s primary voters have already cast their ballots.
Polls have shown Arpaio in third place — but Republican strategists say he is competing for the same group of die-hard conservative voters as Ward, meaning that his presence in the race has cut directly into her support.
A McSally win in the last competitive primary on 2018’s Senate battleground map would be a major relief for Republicans who have watched her all-but-certain opponent Sinema spend millions of dollars on
TV ads branding herself as a centrist
who would “end the partisan nonsense and protect Arizonans” on issues like health care.
It’s why Colorado Sen. Cory Gardner, the chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, urged Trump to endorse McSally in a recent phone call, a source familiar with the call said.
Trump didn’t endorse, but he gave McSally a shout-out at a recent event at Fort Drum in New York. He noted that McSally is “not only an Air Force veteran, but the first woman ever to fly a fighter jet in combat in US history.”
“And I got to know her very well, and she is terrific: Congresswoman Martha McSally,” Trump said.
National Republicans see the Arizona Senate race as crucial to keeping their majority, and think McSally is the only candidate that gives them a chance to win the race. Until recent weeks, they’d been frustrated she had not put the primary away.
How McSally won over the right
McSally’s primary campaign has been a case study in how an establishment Republican — one who had sharply criticized Trump in the wake of the “Access Hollywood” video in 2016 — could win in the Trump era.
She aired an ad featuring Trump calling her the “real deal.” She withdrew her co-sponsorship of a bill that offered “Dreamers” a path to citizenship, mimicked Trump’s attacks on “chain migration.” She became a fixture on Fox News, where she aligned herself with Trump and heaped praise on the President.
And she cast Ward — who’d launched her campaign as a strident critic of Flake and McCain, a Trump opponent, with the backing of then-White House chief strategist Steve Bannon — as a Trump critic.
“McSally did a masterful job capitalizing on Ward’s ‘phonyisms,’” said Robert Graham, a former Arizona Republican Party chairman and a Trump ally. “The religious right freaked and abandoned her and the immigration people consider her soft.”
An anti-Ward super PAC spent more than $4 million on at-times misleading ads that cast Ward as weak on immigration enforcement and opposing Trump’s calls for increased military spending.
McSally’s campaign, meanwhile, aired an ad asserting that Ward “doesn’t support President Trump” on immigration. It highlighted Ward’s opposition to a Trump-backed bill that Ward labeled “amnesty.”
Another key moment came in a late-July editorial board meeting at The Arizona Republic — the only time McSally and Ward would debate, with Arpaio declining the invitation — on the topic of abortion. Both said they want Roe v. Wade repealed, but Ward called for a “more incremental” approach, including a ban on abortions after 24 weeks, while McSally said she favors banning abortion in all cases except rape, incest and when the life of the mother is in jeopardy.
Ward also said abortion is debated “in a fashion that was designed to raise money for people on both sides of the issue.”
The comments alienated anti-abortion activists who were a key part of the conservative constituency a McSally challenger would have needed.
Then, late in the campaign, Ward courted controversy when she invited Mike Cernovich — a far-right commentator who promoted the infamous “Pizzagate” conspiracy theory — on her bus tour, and then told NBC News that “attaching those things to me is ridiculous.”
Explaining her decision to invite Cernovich, Ward said: “We need to have a hook to get you guys interested in seeing the bus tour.”
Ward courted controversy late in the race, too. She apologized Monday for a Facebook comment suggesting an announcement by McCain’s family that he would end his cancer treatment was designed to hurt her campaign, saying her comment had been misinterpreted.
Arpaio, meanwhile, watched his campaign descend into chaos. The Federal Election Commission laid out a host of problems with his first-quarter campaign finance report in a letter to Arpaio’s campaign. And long-time consultant Chad Willems, who until recently was Arpaio’s campaign manager, was receiving the vast majority of the $1.3 million raised for the campaign. His campaign ended in a fizzle, as Ward attracted headlines as the anti-establishment candidate.
“McSally proved to voters for months that she has the ability to laser-focus in on Sinema’s weaknesses in a way that highlights her own strengths, even while facing competitors in a primary,” said Brian Anderson, an Arizona GOP strategist and former aide to Ducey.
“Kelli Ward continued to remind everyone,” Anderson said, “that she’s a ticking time bomb who can’t talk her way through a question about Pizzagate — let alone face an opponent like Sinema.”
Read More | Eric Bradner, CNN,
Business Arizona voters will choose GOP Senate candidate as the state mourns McCain, in 2018-08-28 11:40:20
0 notes
computacionalblog · 6 years
Text
Business Arizona voters will choose GOP Senate candidate as the state mourns McCain
Business Arizona voters will choose GOP Senate candidate as the state mourns McCain Business Arizona voters will choose GOP Senate candidate as the state mourns McCain http://www.nature-business.com/business-arizona-voters-will-choose-gop-senate-candidate-as-the-state-mourns-mccain/
Business
Phoenix (CNN)The day before Arizona begins memorializing Sen. John McCain, the state’s Republicans will make a major statement about the future of the party of McCain and President Donald Trump.
The national GOP establishment’s preference, Rep. Martha McSally, faces two hard-line conservatives — former state Sen. Kelli Ward and former Maricopa County sheriff Joe Arpaio — in Tuesday’s Senate primary.
McSally distanced herself from McCain during the campaign while Ward and Arpaio openly attacked him. All three candidates are embracing Trump in a sign of the President’s power over Republican voters.
Trump infamously attacked McCain’s service during the 2016 presidential campaign, and McCain was vocal in his opposition to Trump on several issues.
The race is the headliner on a day in which Arizona, Florida and Oklahoma will select their nominees in governor’s races and Arizona and Florida will also pick their candidates for Senate contests.
In Arizona, Republican Gov. Doug Ducey is up for re-election. Democratic state Sen. Steve Farley, Arizona State University education professor David Garcia and Kelly Fryer, the CEO of the YWCA Southern Arizona, face off to challenge Ducey in a traditionally red state that has shifted to the left in recent years: Hillary Clinton lost there by just 4 percentage points.
The primary comes days before Ducey faces a major decision: Who to appoint to fill McCain’s seat. He’ll have to choose between a Trump-like Republican and someone in the McCain mold — or could try to bridge the gap, potentially with a placeholder pick.
In Florida, term-limited Republican Gov. Rick Scott is challenging Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson, and the governor’s office is up for grabs in this fall’s midterm elections. Trump-endorsed Rep. Ron DeSantis is seen as the favorite to defeat state agriculture commissioner Adam Putnam for the GOP nod for governor, while several Democrats — including Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand-backed former Rep. Gwen Graham, progressive favorite Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum, businessman Jeff Greene and former Miami Beach Mayor Philip Levine square off in a wide-open primary.
And in Oklahoma, Democratic state attorney general Drew Edmondson will face the winner of a GOP battle between Tulsa businessman Kevin Stitt and Oklahoma City Mayor Mick Cornett for the seat being vacated by term-limited Gov. Mary Fallin.
Arizona and Florida also each have several primaries for House seats that are expected to be competitive in November’s midterm elections.
Trump dominant in Arizona race
The Arizona Senate contest is for the seat of retiring Sen. Jeff Flake — not McCain, whose replacement will be appointed by Ducey. Democratic Rep. Kyrsten Sinema is the heavy favorite to take on the Republican primary winner.
Trump hasn’t endorsed a candidate. But the race has underscored how the Republican Party in Arizona has shifted from one where McCain, the 2008 GOP presidential nominee, reigned supreme, to one where Trump is the dominant force.
All three GOP candidates cozied up to the President. McSally, in particular, has dropped her 2016 campaign criticism of Trump and aligned herself closely with the President — particularly on immigration issues.
The race’s outcome could already be decided. More than 437,000 Republican early votes had been mailed in by Friday. And if 2018’s primary follows Arizona’s trend of high early voting numbers, about 75% of the state’s primary voters have already cast their ballots.
Polls have shown Arpaio in third place — but Republican strategists say he is competing for the same group of die-hard conservative voters as Ward, meaning that his presence in the race has cut directly into her support.
A McSally win in the last competitive primary on 2018’s Senate battleground map would be a major relief for Republicans who have watched her all-but-certain opponent Sinema spend millions of dollars on
TV ads branding herself as a centrist
who would “end the partisan nonsense and protect Arizonans” on issues like health care.
It’s why Colorado Sen. Cory Gardner, the chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, urged Trump to endorse McSally in a recent phone call, a source familiar with the call said.
Trump didn’t endorse, but he gave McSally a shout-out at a recent event at Fort Drum in New York. He noted that McSally is “not only an Air Force veteran, but the first woman ever to fly a fighter jet in combat in US history.”
“And I got to know her very well, and she is terrific: Congresswoman Martha McSally,” Trump said.
National Republicans see the Arizona Senate race as crucial to keeping their majority, and think McSally is the only candidate that gives them a chance to win the race. Until recent weeks, they’d been frustrated she had not put the primary away.
How McSally won over the right
McSally’s primary campaign has been a case study in how an establishment Republican — one who had sharply criticized Trump in the wake of the “Access Hollywood” video in 2016 — could win in the Trump era.
She aired an ad featuring Trump calling her the “real deal.” She withdrew her co-sponsorship of a bill that offered “Dreamers” a path to citizenship, mimicked Trump’s attacks on “chain migration.” She became a fixture on Fox News, where she aligned herself with Trump and heaped praise on the President.
And she cast Ward — who’d launched her campaign as a strident critic of Flake and McCain, a Trump opponent, with the backing of then-White House chief strategist Steve Bannon — as a Trump critic.
“McSally did a masterful job capitalizing on Ward’s ‘phonyisms,’” said Robert Graham, a former Arizona Republican Party chairman and a Trump ally. “The religious right freaked and abandoned her and the immigration people consider her soft.”
An anti-Ward super PAC spent more than $4 million on at-times misleading ads that cast Ward as weak on immigration enforcement and opposing Trump’s calls for increased military spending.
McSally’s campaign, meanwhile, aired an ad asserting that Ward “doesn’t support President Trump” on immigration. It highlighted Ward’s opposition to a Trump-backed bill that Ward labeled “amnesty.”
Another key moment came in a late-July editorial board meeting at The Arizona Republic — the only time McSally and Ward would debate, with Arpaio declining the invitation — on the topic of abortion. Both said they want Roe v. Wade repealed, but Ward called for a “more incremental” approach, including a ban on abortions after 24 weeks, while McSally said she favors banning abortion in all cases except rape, incest and when the life of the mother is in jeopardy.
Ward also said abortion is debated “in a fashion that was designed to raise money for people on both sides of the issue.”
The comments alienated anti-abortion activists who were a key part of the conservative constituency a McSally challenger would have needed.
Then, late in the campaign, Ward courted controversy when she invited Mike Cernovich — a far-right commentator who promoted the infamous “Pizzagate” conspiracy theory — on her bus tour, and then told NBC News that “attaching those things to me is ridiculous.”
Explaining her decision to invite Cernovich, Ward said: “We need to have a hook to get you guys interested in seeing the bus tour.”
Ward courted controversy late in the race, too. She apologized Monday for a Facebook comment suggesting an announcement by McCain’s family that he would end his cancer treatment was designed to hurt her campaign, saying her comment had been misinterpreted.
Arpaio, meanwhile, watched his campaign descend into chaos. The Federal Election Commission laid out a host of problems with his first-quarter campaign finance report in a letter to Arpaio’s campaign. And long-time consultant Chad Willems, who until recently was Arpaio’s campaign manager, was receiving the vast majority of the $1.3 million raised for the campaign. His campaign ended in a fizzle, as Ward attracted headlines as the anti-establishment candidate.
“McSally proved to voters for months that she has the ability to laser-focus in on Sinema’s weaknesses in a way that highlights her own strengths, even while facing competitors in a primary,” said Brian Anderson, an Arizona GOP strategist and former aide to Ducey.
“Kelli Ward continued to remind everyone,” Anderson said, “that she’s a ticking time bomb who can’t talk her way through a question about Pizzagate — let alone face an opponent like Sinema.”
Read More | Eric Bradner, CNN,
Business Arizona voters will choose GOP Senate candidate as the state mourns McCain, in 2018-08-28 11:40:20
0 notes
blogcompetnetall · 6 years
Text
Business Arizona voters will choose GOP Senate candidate as the state mourns McCain
Business Arizona voters will choose GOP Senate candidate as the state mourns McCain Business Arizona voters will choose GOP Senate candidate as the state mourns McCain http://www.nature-business.com/business-arizona-voters-will-choose-gop-senate-candidate-as-the-state-mourns-mccain/
Business
Phoenix (CNN)The day before Arizona begins memorializing Sen. John McCain, the state’s Republicans will make a major statement about the future of the party of McCain and President Donald Trump.
The national GOP establishment’s preference, Rep. Martha McSally, faces two hard-line conservatives — former state Sen. Kelli Ward and former Maricopa County sheriff Joe Arpaio — in Tuesday’s Senate primary.
McSally distanced herself from McCain during the campaign while Ward and Arpaio openly attacked him. All three candidates are embracing Trump in a sign of the President’s power over Republican voters.
Trump infamously attacked McCain’s service during the 2016 presidential campaign, and McCain was vocal in his opposition to Trump on several issues.
The race is the headliner on a day in which Arizona, Florida and Oklahoma will select their nominees in governor’s races and Arizona and Florida will also pick their candidates for Senate contests.
In Arizona, Republican Gov. Doug Ducey is up for re-election. Democratic state Sen. Steve Farley, Arizona State University education professor David Garcia and Kelly Fryer, the CEO of the YWCA Southern Arizona, face off to challenge Ducey in a traditionally red state that has shifted to the left in recent years: Hillary Clinton lost there by just 4 percentage points.
The primary comes days before Ducey faces a major decision: Who to appoint to fill McCain’s seat. He’ll have to choose between a Trump-like Republican and someone in the McCain mold — or could try to bridge the gap, potentially with a placeholder pick.
In Florida, term-limited Republican Gov. Rick Scott is challenging Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson, and the governor’s office is up for grabs in this fall’s midterm elections. Trump-endorsed Rep. Ron DeSantis is seen as the favorite to defeat state agriculture commissioner Adam Putnam for the GOP nod for governor, while several Democrats — including Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand-backed former Rep. Gwen Graham, progressive favorite Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum, businessman Jeff Greene and former Miami Beach Mayor Philip Levine square off in a wide-open primary.
And in Oklahoma, Democratic state attorney general Drew Edmondson will face the winner of a GOP battle between Tulsa businessman Kevin Stitt and Oklahoma City Mayor Mick Cornett for the seat being vacated by term-limited Gov. Mary Fallin.
Arizona and Florida also each have several primaries for House seats that are expected to be competitive in November’s midterm elections.
Trump dominant in Arizona race
The Arizona Senate contest is for the seat of retiring Sen. Jeff Flake — not McCain, whose replacement will be appointed by Ducey. Democratic Rep. Kyrsten Sinema is the heavy favorite to take on the Republican primary winner.
Trump hasn’t endorsed a candidate. But the race has underscored how the Republican Party in Arizona has shifted from one where McCain, the 2008 GOP presidential nominee, reigned supreme, to one where Trump is the dominant force.
All three GOP candidates cozied up to the President. McSally, in particular, has dropped her 2016 campaign criticism of Trump and aligned herself closely with the President — particularly on immigration issues.
The race’s outcome could already be decided. More than 437,000 Republican early votes had been mailed in by Friday. And if 2018’s primary follows Arizona’s trend of high early voting numbers, about 75% of the state’s primary voters have already cast their ballots.
Polls have shown Arpaio in third place — but Republican strategists say he is competing for the same group of die-hard conservative voters as Ward, meaning that his presence in the race has cut directly into her support.
A McSally win in the last competitive primary on 2018’s Senate battleground map would be a major relief for Republicans who have watched her all-but-certain opponent Sinema spend millions of dollars on
TV ads branding herself as a centrist
who would “end the partisan nonsense and protect Arizonans” on issues like health care.
It’s why Colorado Sen. Cory Gardner, the chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, urged Trump to endorse McSally in a recent phone call, a source familiar with the call said.
Trump didn’t endorse, but he gave McSally a shout-out at a recent event at Fort Drum in New York. He noted that McSally is “not only an Air Force veteran, but the first woman ever to fly a fighter jet in combat in US history.”
“And I got to know her very well, and she is terrific: Congresswoman Martha McSally,” Trump said.
National Republicans see the Arizona Senate race as crucial to keeping their majority, and think McSally is the only candidate that gives them a chance to win the race. Until recent weeks, they’d been frustrated she had not put the primary away.
How McSally won over the right
McSally’s primary campaign has been a case study in how an establishment Republican — one who had sharply criticized Trump in the wake of the “Access Hollywood” video in 2016 — could win in the Trump era.
She aired an ad featuring Trump calling her the “real deal.” She withdrew her co-sponsorship of a bill that offered “Dreamers” a path to citizenship, mimicked Trump’s attacks on “chain migration.” She became a fixture on Fox News, where she aligned herself with Trump and heaped praise on the President.
And she cast Ward — who’d launched her campaign as a strident critic of Flake and McCain, a Trump opponent, with the backing of then-White House chief strategist Steve Bannon — as a Trump critic.
“McSally did a masterful job capitalizing on Ward’s ‘phonyisms,’” said Robert Graham, a former Arizona Republican Party chairman and a Trump ally. “The religious right freaked and abandoned her and the immigration people consider her soft.”
An anti-Ward super PAC spent more than $4 million on at-times misleading ads that cast Ward as weak on immigration enforcement and opposing Trump’s calls for increased military spending.
McSally’s campaign, meanwhile, aired an ad asserting that Ward “doesn’t support President Trump” on immigration. It highlighted Ward’s opposition to a Trump-backed bill that Ward labeled “amnesty.”
Another key moment came in a late-July editorial board meeting at The Arizona Republic — the only time McSally and Ward would debate, with Arpaio declining the invitation — on the topic of abortion. Both said they want Roe v. Wade repealed, but Ward called for a “more incremental” approach, including a ban on abortions after 24 weeks, while McSally said she favors banning abortion in all cases except rape, incest and when the life of the mother is in jeopardy.
Ward also said abortion is debated “in a fashion that was designed to raise money for people on both sides of the issue.”
The comments alienated anti-abortion activists who were a key part of the conservative constituency a McSally challenger would have needed.
Then, late in the campaign, Ward courted controversy when she invited Mike Cernovich — a far-right commentator who promoted the infamous “Pizzagate” conspiracy theory — on her bus tour, and then told NBC News that “attaching those things to me is ridiculous.”
Explaining her decision to invite Cernovich, Ward said: “We need to have a hook to get you guys interested in seeing the bus tour.”
Ward courted controversy late in the race, too. She apologized Monday for a Facebook comment suggesting an announcement by McCain’s family that he would end his cancer treatment was designed to hurt her campaign, saying her comment had been misinterpreted.
Arpaio, meanwhile, watched his campaign descend into chaos. The Federal Election Commission laid out a host of problems with his first-quarter campaign finance report in a letter to Arpaio’s campaign. And long-time consultant Chad Willems, who until recently was Arpaio’s campaign manager, was receiving the vast majority of the $1.3 million raised for the campaign. His campaign ended in a fizzle, as Ward attracted headlines as the anti-establishment candidate.
“McSally proved to voters for months that she has the ability to laser-focus in on Sinema’s weaknesses in a way that highlights her own strengths, even while facing competitors in a primary,” said Brian Anderson, an Arizona GOP strategist and former aide to Ducey.
“Kelli Ward continued to remind everyone,” Anderson said, “that she’s a ticking time bomb who can’t talk her way through a question about Pizzagate — let alone face an opponent like Sinema.”
Read More | Eric Bradner, CNN,
Business Arizona voters will choose GOP Senate candidate as the state mourns McCain, in 2018-08-28 11:40:20
0 notes