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#the rebel without a cause voter effect
taiwantalk · 4 months
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rametarin · 1 year
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My political position makes me hate patterns pathologic to mainstream and sub-cultures of the conventional “left” and “right.”
Take for example the, “Rolling Coalers.”
You could find other ways to stunt on the sort of disingenuous bleeding hearts that want to take automobiles and freedom of movement away from us, and instead you choose to fart extra soot from your tailpipe.
You could rebel against their desires to restrain and choke manufacturing and industry of automobiles by using parabolic mirrors to redirect sunlight and get enough heat energy to melt car parts and mold the steel and other alloys to, without carbon, create vehicles without burning a single gram of coal or natural gas or any other kind of fossil fuel.
You could do donuts driving something like a methanol consuming engine and peel out on tires that are chemically formulated to not be the carcinogenic pollutants of conventional tires, effectively utilizing a system of fuel that removes more carbon and carcinogens and pollutants from our atmosphere than it produces for a net LOSS in environmental harm.
And instead you reinforce the shitty view they have of the worst of the worst types and attribute them to more regular people, thus reinforcing this horrible worldview that all X people are just a degree of separation from some sort of plutocratic Nazi regime, making it even EASIER for offended and disgusted kids to dive head over heels into the socially reinforced and noxious ideas they’re fed from the orthodoxy of public schools and ultra-left humanities departments.
Holy fucking shit I hate you and your thoughtlessness. Instead of taking pride in doing the thing they claim is a problem and then denying climate change, own it and rend their complaints nullified. Flip the script. Have your cake and eat it, too. There are perfectly chemically copacetic methods and strategies to continue safely using fossil fuels to compliment and supplement renewable energy that are entirely viable and respectable, and instead of champion those, you just rev a soot making engine to go, “You can’t tell me what to do.” Right before that stupid bullshit results in more kids growing up, you making it easy for far-left to paint you as happy, world polluting Nazis and then that results in voters and politicians deciding maybe you should be taxed an extra 25% a year to own a car because “they pollute.”
Fuck you you are the worst. You are making the problem worse by making it easier for young, impressionable people to think the world is as bad as the fearmongerers and propagandists are saying and I loathe you for it.
With so many developments in the world of catalytic converters and improvements in mitigating particulate emissions and recycling/renewing stuff, that you COULD be using to argue fossil fuels can still be valid, you choose.. rolling coal and bragging about emissions.
You’re doing their work for them and it’s not winning what you want many supporters. You are in fact hurting those that like personal autonomy and vehicles and the economic/financial freedom to own them without the braying masses stupidly voting against their own self-interests to get rid of them, because some assholes want everybody limited exclusively to public transportation. You are relying on this world model that says they can be bullied or embarrassed out and shoved aside by sheer numbers and that just simply isn’t the world anymore where the inertia of population suppresses those things they want.
Demonstrating yourself to be the boogyman they fear only serves their cause to legislate you out of validity by appealing to the ignorant that don’t know you’re just some moron, not a sweeping, growing subculture. And yet another reason to hate the sort of person that fancies themselves a Pick Up Artist or defines themselves as an “alpha male”, despite also despising the simplistic and slanted concept of “toxic masculinity” in sociological circles.
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Holy shit I hate these oppositional social trends so much.
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antoine-roquentin · 5 years
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i’ve noticed that my shorthand critique of the “south park caused anti-semitism” theory of media has been getting some attention, and it’s funny cause it dovetails with another round of “the youtube algorithm is responsible for turning everybody into nazis” rhetoric as well, sparked by a recent new york times article. this sort of navelgazing is pretty popular because it works nicely with beliefs that both elites and liberals in general have, namely, that public opinion needs to be managed by an enlightened few, that some people are too stupid to participate in civic life and that’s why right wing populists get elected, and that if people are educated correctly, they will simply accept that liberalism is the best model for society. in short, it’s behaviorism, namely, the hypodermic needle model of media.
the liberal elite in interwar america believed themselves to be creating a better society through management of public opinion. figures like walter lippman were committed to benevolent elite rule through the manipulation of opinion, the “manufacturing of consent”. many of them came out of the milieu of manipulating popular opinion through propaganda work in the first world war, successfully convincing americans to join and support the british side in that war. edward bernays, for instance, worked for the committee on public information, the “largest propaganda machine the world had ever seen“, before becoming the intellectual forebear of the public relations industry in america. he and other similar figures, like lippman, carl byoir, and charles merriam (who combined behaviouralism with political science), were the leading lights of the “Progressive” movement of the time. they relied on the notion that media was passively consumed by people, who simply accepted the claims made without hesitation and then acted accordingly. the psychological theories behind this found form as a body of work known as behavioralism. human beings had a set of limited or “latent” responses to stimuli. by providing the correct stimuli, human beings could be made to behave accordingly. one day, society would be governed by the truly intelligent who would suss out the correct stimuli through trial and error and then apply them to the masses, a society of pavlov’s dogs. this top-down model not coincidentally empowered liberal elites to do what they will without any input from the masses.
this was termed the “hypodermic needle” or “magic bullet” model of media. both of these are medical terms, the latter referring to a drug that treats only the disease without any side effects, and that’s quite telling. american progressives have traditionally exalted medicine as a neutral, rational way to develop a better society. many were advocates of eugenics as a form of medicine, “cleaning” the human race of its “unfit” members. recently, there’s been a strong resurgence of interest in eugenics, behavioralism, and the use of medical terminology to describe media (viral video, using the metaphor of contagion).
proponents of the model in the 1930s referred to the success of the nazis in their use of mass media (ironically, using the same propaganda techniques they’d developed. joseph goebbels was known to be a reader of bernays’ books) as well as the payne fund studies, a series of works done on the responses of children to movies with poor methodology and funded by oil magnates hoping to drive moral panics (the hays code was strongly influenced by them), and the panicked reaction to the 1938 orson welles radio production of war of the worlds in support. of course, all three of these shared very specific material conditions of the people involved that drove them to react in the manner they did apart from the media involved in persuasion. for the decade after the first world war, while germany muddled along without growth but also without significant collapse, the nazis failed to attract more than a few percentage points of electoral support, despite consistently using similar tactics. it was only after the economic collapse of germany, when the economy had shrunk by about a quarter, that the nazis gained traction. even then, this was by using the failures of a liberal constitution to turn their electoral base, only one third of voters who were largely based in rural areas and included almost nobody in the major cities, into a workable governing coalition, particularly by playing on the fact that german liberals feared communism much more than nazism. likewise, the panic over war of the worlds was largely a myth created by newspapers which feared they were losing their audience to a new, more dynamic form of media and wanted to stoke a moral panic (see a parallel with the nyt story?). those who were convinced that an invasion was occurring, according to a study done afterwards (in part by theodor adorno), for the most part had only heard a bit and were concerned about a german invasion, given the heightened geopolitical tensions at the time, or were from the town of concrete, washington, which suffered a blackout midway through the performance.
you can see the same sort of threads in the nyt story, while the important parts go ignored by twitterati eager to engage on the most superficial level. “young men discover far-right videos by accident“ thanks to “YouTube and its recommendation algorithm“, “the most frequent cause of members’ “red-pilling”“ according to a study done by the NED(ie western intelligence)-funded bellingcat, after which they fall “ down the alt-right rabbit hole” as passive subjects reacting to stimuli. clearly, these videos spread like a contagion, and it’s our job to ban them in favour of much more legitimate content that supports major western foreign policy objectives. oh wait, hold up, mr cain was a “college dropout struggling to find his place in the world“, at a time of wage stagnation and a tough job market for newer entries that’s especially pronounced as you go further down the education ladder? he “grew up in postindustrial Appalachia”, an area destroyed by rapacious neoliberalism that has increasingly seen its industries move offshore in search of lower wages, its most dynamic members leave for major cities due to a lack of jobs, and those that remain become increasingly socially isolated, prompting them to either resort to social media or kill themselves through drugs and guns in what famed economist angus deaton calls “deaths of despair” (not to mention the limiting of public spaces to those who can pay, another aspect of neoliberalism, which particularly drives teens like mr cain into "online games with his friends”)? in a world where capitalism justifies itself by telling those it fails over and over that it’s their own fault, that they need to improve themselves and that there is no such thing as structural problems because, in the words of margaret thatcher, “there is no such thing [as society]! only individual men and women”, mr cain was drawn to propaganda masquerading as a self-help grift with an emphasis on supposedly knowing more than the brainwashed masses (”To Mr. Cain, all of this felt like forbidden knowledge“)?
most of all though is the fact that most of the people cain watched are either funded directly or take most of their talking points from a network of right wing intellectuals cultivated by major dark money backers for decades. david rubin takes money from dennis prager, who in turn is funded by fracking billionaires and evangelical christians the wilks brothers, and the bradley foundation, who have funded literally every major right wing cause of note. lauren southern is only famous because she worked for rebel media, funded by much of the oil industry including the kochs as well as the bradley foundation. paul joseph watson is associated with ukip and its funder arron banks. gad saad is funded by molson coors, whose corporate heads not only once praised hitler but founded the most famous republican think tank in the country, the heritage foundation. two of the major members of the “intellectual dark web”, charles murray and christina hoff sommers, work directly for the heritage foundation. and other youtube luminaries of note, like alex jones, thunderf00t, and stefan molyneux, make their money solely by doing interviews with these people and by citing material produced from these think tanks. in a world where inequality is increasingly dividing the rich and the working class, the former spend more and more on maintaining the division, while the latter are driven into a state of fear in which absurd theories about the collapse of western civilization and their replacement with latin american and muslim people seems much more reasonable. There’s also the social isolation that makes youtube celebs and discord chat buddies seem less like distant weirdos and more like the only friends one has. 
the solution, of course, is to modify youtube’s algorithm. just a bit of top-down tweaking to educate the masses on their correct course. surely, nobody would be stupid enough to think that the material conditions created by the neoliberal elite in the past few decades has driven a complete collapse in trust in american society, to the point where only a third of americans "trust their government “to do what is right”“, compared to over 80% of chinese people. surely this breakdown in trust is due to youtube and not the complete economic decimation of the country by its elites, to the point where many rural counties have not even recovered the jobs they lost a decade ago. a redistribution of wealth should not even be on the table, because material conditions play no part in how people react to media. just accept your daily helping of bullshit from the bourgeoisie and never question them when they say certain people need to be censored, because the powers you let them have will never be abused or turned against you in any way. and hey, don’t listen to any critiques of behaviorism, because it’s not like anarchists blew that shit out of the water in the 1950s.
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patriotsnet · 3 years
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How Did Republicans Do In The Primaries
New Post has been published on https://www.patriotsnet.com/how-did-republicans-do-in-the-primaries/
How Did Republicans Do In The Primaries
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Allegations Of Inciting Violence
Inside Texas Politics: What did Texas Republicans, Democrats do right this election cycle?
Research suggests Trump’s rhetoric caused an increased incidence of hate crimes. During his 2016 campaign, he urged or praised physical attacks against protesters or reporters. Since then, some defendants prosecuted for hate crimes or violent acts cited Trump’s rhetoric in arguing that they were not culpable or should receive a lighter sentence. In May 2020, a nationwide review by ABC News identified at least 54 criminal cases from August 2015 to April 2020 in which Trump was invoked in direct connection with violence or threats of violence by mostly white men against mostly members of minority groups. On January 13, 2021, the House of Representatives impeached Trump for incitement of insurrection for his actions prior to the storming of the U.S. Capitol by a violent mob of his supporters who acted in his name.
Who Can Vote In A Primary
Only Democrats can vote in the Democratic Primary.
Only Republicans can vote in the Republican Primary.
The last day to register to vote before the Primary is the 4th Saturday before the Primary.
The deadline to change party affiliation before the Primary is the last Friday in May.
You can register to vote and change your party affiliation after the Primary.
Results Of The 2016 Republican Party Presidential Primaries
    Donald Trump
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This article contains the results of the 2016 Republican presidential primaries and caucuses, the processes by which the Republican Party selected delegates to attend the 2016 Republican National Convention from July 1821. The series of primaries, caucuses, and state conventions culminated in the national convention, where the delegates cast their votes to formally select a candidate. A simple majority of the total delegate votes was required to become the party’s nominee and was achieved by the nominee, businessman Donald Trump of New York.
The process began on March 23, 2015, when Texas SenatorTed Cruz became the first presidential candidate to announce his intentions to seek the office of United StatesPresident. That summer, 17 major candidates were recognized by national and state polls, making it the largest presidential candidate field for any single political party in American history. The large field made possible the fact that the 2016 primaries were the first since 1968 in which more than three candidates won at least one state.
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May 2016: Trump As Presumptive Nominee
142 delegates were awarded between the Indiana primary and the final primaries in June; however, with Trump the only candidate remaining, Washington, Oregon, West Virginia and Nebraska became essentially uncontested, although Cruz and Kasich remained on the ballot. Trump won handily in West Virginia, Nebraska and Oregon, although Kasich received one delegate from West Virginia and five in Oregon, while Cruz took five in Oregon as well. The next week, Trump won decisively in Washington State, taking 76% of the vote and 41 of 44 delegates, with the other three uncommitted.
May 1024 results 11%
After becoming the presumptive Republican nominee, Trump said regarding the Republican primaries: “You’ve been hearing me say it’s a rigged system, but now I don’t say it anymore because I won. It’s true. Now I don’t care.”
On May 26, 2016, the Associated Press announced that Trump had passed the threshold of 1,237 delegates required to guarantee his nomination, thanks to unbound delegates from North Dakota who declared their support for Trump.
Professional Input Checks The Power Of Billionaires And The Media
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The conventional assumption that primaries are less elite than party selection overlooks the way todays primaries actually work. Thanks to court decisions such as SpeechNow.org v. Federal Election Commission, there is today no limit on the size of contributions to independent groups; the groups, in turn, are free to support and oppose candidates provided that they not coordinate their activities with the candidates and parties. In other words, todays campaign-finance rules funnel vast sums of unaccountable money to the political systems least accountable actors.
odays campaign-finance rules funnel vast sums of unaccountable money to the political systems least accountable actors.
That said, even if small donors were a perfectly representative group, they would still provide a pathway around gatekeepers, and that is a mixed blessing. True, candidates who rely on small donors are less beholden to big donors and special interests, which may make them more independent-minded; also true, they are less beholden to their political peers, party leaders, and important constituencies, which may make them more reckless and demagogic.
Then there are the media, whose power in influencing candidate choice has grown enormously since the McGovern-Fraser reforms. Writing as long ago as 1978, Jeanne Kirkpatrick tartly observed:
Things have only gotten worse in the transition from Walter Cronkite to Sean Hannity and todays bevy of extremist internet sites.
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Sen Josh Hawley Of Missouri
Though controversial, Hawley, 41, is a fundraising machine and hes quickly made a name for himself. The blowback Hawley faced for objecting to Bidens Electoral College win included a lost book deal and calls for him to resign from students at the law school where he previously taught. His mentor, former Sen. John Danforth of Missouri, said that supporting Hawley was the biggest mistake Ive ever made in my life.
Still, he brought in more than $1.5 million between Jan. 1 and March 5, according to Axios, and fundraising appeals in his name from the National Republican Senatorial Committee brought in more cash than any other Republican except NRSC Chair Sen. Rick Scott of Florida. Just because youre toxic in Washington doesnt mean you cant build a meaningful base of support nationally.
One Republican strategist compared the possibility of Hawley 2024 to Cruz in 2016. Hes not especially well-liked by his colleagues , but hes built a national profile for himself and become a leading Republican voice opposed to big technology companies.
Hawley and his wife, Erin, have three children. He got his start in politics as Missouri attorney general before being elected to the Senate in 2018. Hawley graduated from Stanford and Yale Law.
Statehood And Indian Removal
Defense of Florida’s northern border with the United States was minor during the second Spanish period. The region became a haven for escaped slaves and a base for Indian attacks against U.S. territories, and the U.S. pressed Spain for reform.
Americans of and began moving into northern Florida from the backwoods of and . Though technically not allowed by the Spanish authorities and the Floridan government, they were never able to effectively police the border region and the backwoods settlers from the United States would continue to immigrate into Florida unchecked. These migrants, mixing with the already present British settlers who had remained in Florida since the British period, would be the progenitors of the population known as .
These American settlers established a permanent foothold in the area and ignored Spanish authorities. The British settlers who had remained also resented Spanish rule, leading to a rebellion in 1810 and the establishment for ninety days of the so-called Free and Independent Republic of on September 23. After meetings beginning in June, rebels overcame the garrison at , and unfurled the flag of the new republic: a single white star on a blue field. This flag would later become known as the “”.
Some Seminoles remained, and the U.S. Army arrived in Florida, leading to the . Following the war, approximately 3,000 Seminole and 800 Black Seminole were removed to . A few hundred Seminole remained in Florida in the .
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Anger At Past Outside Interference
The discontent over unaffiliated voter participation in partisan primaries stems from the 2016 approval of two ballot measures allowing unaffiliated voters to select one of the two partys primary elections to cast a ballot in. Before the change, unaffiliated voters had to sit on the sidelines for primaries. 
From 2010 through 2016, Republican primary voter turnout outpaced that of Democrats. But in 2018 and 2020, the first two years unaffiliated voters could participate in primaries without affiliating with one of the two major parties, participation in the Democratic primaries soared.
Meanwhile, more Coloradans are becoming unaffiliated voters, reaching 43% at the end of July, while the Republican Partys share of voters is decreasing at a faster pace than the Democratic Party.
Colorado candidates can get on the primary ballot by one of two paths. They can be nominated and go through the state caucus and assembly process, where they must get 30% of the vote, or they can gather signatures from voters.
Some GOP candidates have had trouble making the ballot in the past. In 2016 and 2018, scandals over petition signatures foiled one U.S. Senate candidate and led a gubernatorial candidate, Walker Stapleton, to go the assembly route at the 11th hour after initially gathering petition signatures.
In 2020, allegations of fraud arose out of caucuses in Weld and El Paso counties. The state GOP, however, ultimately determined nothing illegal took place in either instance. 
Convention And Vp Selection
Midterm elections: Do Republicans have a chance of keeping the House?
The delegates at the Republican National Convention formally nominated Dole on August 15, 1996, as the GOP presidential candidate for the general election. Dole was the oldest first-time presidential nominee at the age of 73 years, 1 month .
Former Congressman and Cabinet secretary Jack Kemp was nominated by acclamation as Dole’s running mate the following day. Republican Party of Texas convention delegates informally nominated Alan Keyes as their preference for Vice President.
Other politicians mentioned as possible GOP V.P. nominees before Kemp was selected included:
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Just How Bad Was The 2018 Election For House Republicans
On Thursday, Democrat Jared Golden beat Maine Republican Rep. Bruce Poliquin, marking the 33rd seat pickup for Democrats in the 2018 election.
There are seven races in the House left uncalled all are Republican-held seats; Democrats lead in five of the seven. If they win all the races where their candidates are winning at the moment, Democrats will net 38 seats. If they lose them all which is very unlikely they will hold at a 33-seat gain.
In an interview Wednesday with the conservative Daily Caller website,  President Donald Trump insisted that by his aggressive last-minute campaigning across the country he had saved House Republicans from seat losses that could have numbered into the 70s. I think I did very well, he concluded.
So did he? As compared to history?
Not really, is the answer.
Theres no question that Trump did not suffer the massive seat loss that his immediate predecessor Barack Obama did in his first midterm election in 2010. In that election, Republicans netted an astounding 63-seat gain, the largest since Democrats lost 72 House seats in the 1938 midterms.
But more broadly, the 33 seat loss by Republicans in 2018 places this election firmly in the upper echelon of House-seat losses by a presidents party in modern midterms.
Read Thursdays full edition of The Point newsletter, and to get future editions delivered to your inbox.
What Do Party Preferences Mean When Listed With Candidates’ Names On The Ballot What Are The Qualified Political Parties And Abbreviations Of Those Party Names
The term “party preference” is now used in place of the term “party affiliation.” A candidate must indicate his or her preference or lack of preference for a qualified political party. If the candidate has a qualified political party preference that qualified political party will be indicated by the candidate’s name on the ballot. If a candidate does not have a qualified political party preference, “Party Preference: None” will be indicated by the candidate’s name on the ballot.
Similarly, voters who were previously known as “decline-to-state” voters are now known as having “no party preference” or known as “NPP” voters.
Abbreviations for the qualified political parties are:
DEM = Democratic Party
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Civil War And Reconstruction
American settlers began to establish cotton in north Florida, which required numerous laborers, which they supplied by buying slaves in the domestic market. By 1860, Florida had only 140,424 people, of whom 44% were enslaved. There were fewer than 1,000 free before the American Civil War.
On January 10, 1861, nearly all delegates in the Florida Legislature approved an ordinance of secession, declaring Florida to be “a sovereign and independent nation”an apparent reassertion to the preamble in Florida’s Constitution of 1838, in which Florida agreed with Congress to be a “Free and Independent State.” The ordinance declared Florida’s secession from the , allowing it to become one of the founding members of the .
The Confederacy received little military help from Florida; the 15,000 troops it offered were generally sent elsewhere. Instead of troops and manufactured goods, Florida did provide salt and, more importantly, beef to feed the Confederate armies. This was particularly important after 1864, when the Confederacy lost control of the Mississippi River, thereby losing access to Texas beef. The largest engagements in the state were the , on February 20, 1864, and the , on March 6, 1865. Both were Confederate victories. The war ended in 1865.
It Was An Election For A Mini
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There was some talk that Democrats may have pulled their punches in the 25th district because, after all, the special election was for the remainder of Hills term and the two candidates will meet again in a more consequential rematch where conditions may favor Smith. Over-confidence probably wasnt a problem since signs of a Garcia win were abundant going into the election.
Republicans, of course, busily spun the win into a sign of a Republican resurgence in California and possibly an omen that the GOP will retake the House even as Trump cake-walks to a second term on the strength of a rapidly rebounding economy that he championed even as Democrats pursued perpetual shutdowns. While the results may legitimately indicate that theres no continuing wave from 2018 that will crash with renewed force in favor of Democrats in November, its more likely that we are seeing a reversion to the mean rather than some new pro-Republican wave. There are enough special circumstances surrounding Garcias win to make its recurrence questionable when he appears on the ballot on Election Day with Donald Trump, who remains as unpopular as ever in California.
There is one wrinkle in Garcias special election victory worth a closer look. In 2018 a number of Republican incumbents famously led early on until later-arriving mail ballots swept Democrats into office. There were signs on Election Day that Garcias early lead might be durable, as California political observer Miriam Pawel noted:
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What Makes The 2024 Presidential Election Unique
The lead up to the 2024 presidential election is different from past years because of former President Donald Trump. Hes eligible to run for a second term, and has publicly toyed with the idea while also weighing in on other Republicans he thinks could be the future of the party. If Trump does run in 2024, hed start out with unparalleled name ID and massive support, but if he doesnt, the field could be wide open for other Republicans hoping to win over his supporters. President Joe Biden said recently he expects to run for reelection in 2024.
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This early on, wannabe candidates must raise their profiles, show their commitment to the party, and raise money, one Republican strategist said, to get on peoples radars even when your candidacy is in a holding pattern.
Some of the most visible 2024 presidential candidates will surely flame out long before the Iowa caucus, and theres always the chance that the next Republican nominee isnt yet considered a serious player . Theres a million and one things that will happen between now and then that will shape the race in ways we cant now predict, but the invisible primary that comes before any votes are cast has started.
Heres your very early guide to some of 2024s Republican presidential candidates, based on early polling, interviews with Republican donors and strategists and results from online political betting markets.
The Louisiana Primary System
The Louisiana system, sometimes called the “Cajun Primary,” eliminates the primary election altogether. Instead, all candidates, regardless of party affiliation, run on the same ballot in November. If a candidate receives more than half of the votes, that candidate is elected. If no candidate wins with a majority, the top two vote-getters face off in a December runoff election. Qualified absentee voters receive a ballot for the November election and a ranked ballot for the December runoff, so that they can vote as normal in the general election and then have their ranked ballot count for whichever runoff candidate they ranked highest in the runoff election.
Although Louisiana law refers to the election in November as the “primary” and the December runoff as the “general” election, the November election takes place on the federally mandated Election Day and most candidates win office by receiving a majority vote in that election, so it is best understood as a general election, with the December election as a contingent runoff.
The Louisiana system is sometimes mistakenly equated with the Top Two system, but holding the first election in November and electing any candidate with more than 50% of the vote in that election makes it sufficiently distinct that it should not be understood as a mere variant of Top Two.
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Trump Election Lawsuits Have Mostly Failed Here’s What They Tried
In the Senate, Democrats have so far gained one seat, but they need three with a Biden win to take over the chamber. Democrats still have a chance of doing that with two runoff elections in Georgia. That’s seen as possible, but not likely.
It wasn’t expected to be this way. Democrats had put lots of Senate races in play, ones not expected to go their way at the beginning of the 2020 cycle, places like Kansas and Montana.
To be sure, many of the Senate races were expected to be close, perhaps with razor-thin margins, and a Democrat-controlled Senate was never an assured outcome. But when you look at the average of the polls in the last week of the election versus the ultimate result, it’s clear that Republicans were underrepresented all across the country.
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All of these races, except Colorado and Alabama, were within single digits in the polls. Colorado, a state Biden won handily, wound up pretty close to the average. Alabama, a state Trump won by a lot, was an even bigger blowout than expected.
Many of the supposedly tightest races didn’t wind up tight at all. Maine is perhaps the most stunning one. Biden won the state by 9 percentage points, but Republican incumbent Susan Collins won reelection by 9 points.
Not only was Collins down by 4 points heading into Election Day in an average of the polls in the week before the election, but she led in just one poll in all of 2020. And that was back in July. That’s one poll out of almost three dozen.
Relationship With The Press
Did The 2014 Primaries Do The GOP Any Good? | Drinking And Talking
Throughout his career, Trump has sought media attention, with a “lovehate” relationship with the press. Trump began promoting himself in the press in the 1970s. Fox News anchor and former House speaker have characterized Trump as a “” who makes controversial statements to see people’s “heads explode.”
In the 2016 campaign, Trump benefited from a record amount of free media coverage, elevating his standing in the Republican primaries.New York Times writer wrote in 2018 that Trump’s media dominance, which enthralls the public and creates “can’t miss” reality television-type coverage, was politically beneficial for him.
As a candidate and as president, Trump frequently accused the press of bias, calling it the “fake news media” and “the .” In 2018, journalist recounted Trump’s saying he intentionally demeaned and discredited the media “so when you write negative stories about me no one will believe you.”
As president, Trump deployed the legal system to intimidate the press. In early 2020, the Trump campaign sued The New York Times, The Washington Post, and CNN for alleged defamation in opinion pieces about Russian election interference. Legal experts said that the lawsuits lacked merit and were not likely to succeed. By March 2021, the lawsuits against The New York Times and CNN had been dismissed.
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Garcia Was An Unusually Good Candidate
Republicans lucked into an unusually strong candidate in Garcia, a former Navy pilot running in a district with a significant defense presence, and a Latino in a district whose electorate has become one-third Latino. He managed to beat the previous Republican holder of the seat, Steve Knight, in the February primary in order to win a Top Two position opposite Smith, which was welcomed by Republican strategists. His campaign was well-financed.
Republican Party Primaries 2020
2020 Republican Party primary elections Battleground primaries Primaries by state Submit
Ballotpedia covered every Republican Party state and federal primary in 2020 to highlight the intraparty conflicts that shaped the party and the general election. This page is an overview of those primaries, with links to Ballotpedia’s coverage of all Republican U.S. Senate, U.S. House, and state-level primaries.
to read about Democratic Party primaries in 2020.
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Former Us Ambassador To The United Nations Nikki Haley
Haley, 49, stands out in the potential pool of 2024 Republican candidates by her resume. She has experience as an executive as the former governor of South Carolina and foreign policy experience from her time as U.S. ambassador to the United Nations.
Haley was a member of the Republican Partys 2010 tea party class. A former South Carolina state representative, her long shot gubernatorial campaign saw its fortunes improve after she was endorsed by Sarah Palin. Haley rocketed from fourth to first just days after the endorsement, and she went on to clinch the nomination and become her states first female and first Indian-American governor.
As governor, she signed a bill removing the Confederate flag from the state Capitol following the white supremacist attack at the Emanuel African Methodist Church in Charleston. She left office in 2017 to join the Trump administration as U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, and Quinnipiac poll found she was at one point the most popular member of Trumps foreign policy team.
I think that shes done a pretty masterful job in filling out her resume, said Robert Oldendick, a professor and director of graduate studies at the University of South Carolinas department of political science.
Haley criticized Trump following the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol by his supporters, saying she was disgusted by his conduct. Oldendick said he thought her pretty pointed criticism of the president will potentially cause some problems.
‘im Going To Be In Your Backyard’: Trump Sons Threaten Primaries For Gop Lawmakers
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Fox News, which had been carrying the remarks live, dropped its feed of the rally after the expletives uttered by the president’s son aired uncensored.
Donald Trump Jr. speaks Wednesday, Jan. 6, 2021, in Washington, at a rally in support of President Donald Trump called the “Save America Rally.” | Jacquelyn Martin/AP Photo
01/06/2021 11:48 AM EST
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President Donald Trumps eldest sons threatened Republican lawmakers at a large rally outside the White House on Wednesday, pledging that their family would continue to dispute the results of the 2020 election just hours before Congress was set to certify President-elect Joe Bidens Electoral College victory.
To those Republicans, many of which may be voting on things in the coming hours: You have an opportunity today, Donald Trump Jr. told the crowd gathered for the Save America March on the White House Ellipse. You can be a hero, or you can be a zero. And the choice is yours. But we are all watching. The whole world is watching, folks. Choose wisely.
Several House Republicans and roughly a dozen senators have announced plans to object to individual states electoral vote counts when Congress meets for a joint session this afternoon. And though their effort to reverse the elections outcome has virtually no chance of succeeding, the president had applied increasing public pressure on Vice President Mike Pence who will preside over the proceedings to attempt to thwart Bidens win.
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statetalks · 3 years
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How Did Republicans Do In The Primaries
Allegations Of Inciting Violence
Inside Texas Politics: What did Texas Republicans, Democrats do right this election cycle?
Research suggests Trump’s rhetoric caused an increased incidence of hate crimes. During his 2016 campaign, he urged or praised physical attacks against protesters or reporters. Since then, some defendants prosecuted for hate crimes or violent acts cited Trump’s rhetoric in arguing that they were not culpable or should receive a lighter sentence. In May 2020, a nationwide review by ABC News identified at least 54 criminal cases from August 2015 to April 2020 in which Trump was invoked in direct connection with violence or threats of violence by mostly white men against mostly members of minority groups. On January 13, 2021, the House of Representatives impeached Trump for incitement of insurrection for his actions prior to the storming of the U.S. Capitol by a violent mob of his supporters who acted in his name.
Who Can Vote In A Primary
Only Democrats can vote in the Democratic Primary.
Only Republicans can vote in the Republican Primary.
The last day to register to vote before the Primary is the 4th Saturday before the Primary.
The deadline to change party affiliation before the Primary is the last Friday in May.
You can register to vote and change your party affiliation after the Primary.
Results Of The 2016 Republican Party Presidential Primaries
    Donald Trump
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This article contains the results of the 2016 Republican presidential primaries and caucuses, the processes by which the Republican Party selected delegates to attend the 2016 Republican National Convention from July 1821. The series of primaries, caucuses, and state conventions culminated in the national convention, where the delegates cast their votes to formally select a candidate. A simple majority of the total delegate votes was required to become the party’s nominee and was achieved by the nominee, businessman Donald Trump of New York.
The process began on March 23, 2015, when Texas SenatorTed Cruz became the first presidential candidate to announce his intentions to seek the office of United StatesPresident. That summer, 17 major candidates were recognized by national and state polls, making it the largest presidential candidate field for any single political party in American history. The large field made possible the fact that the 2016 primaries were the first since 1968 in which more than three candidates won at least one state.
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May 2016: Trump As Presumptive Nominee
142 delegates were awarded between the Indiana primary and the final primaries in June; however, with Trump the only candidate remaining, Washington, Oregon, West Virginia and Nebraska became essentially uncontested, although Cruz and Kasich remained on the ballot. Trump won handily in West Virginia, Nebraska and Oregon, although Kasich received one delegate from West Virginia and five in Oregon, while Cruz took five in Oregon as well. The next week, Trump won decisively in Washington State, taking 76% of the vote and 41 of 44 delegates, with the other three uncommitted.
11%
After becoming the presumptive Republican nominee, Trump said regarding the Republican primaries: “You’ve been hearing me say it’s a rigged system, but now I don’t say it anymore because I won. It’s true. Now I don’t care.”
On May 26, 2016, the Associated Press announced that Trump had passed the threshold of 1,237 delegates required to guarantee his nomination, thanks to unbound delegates from North Dakota who declared their support for Trump.
Professional Input Checks The Power Of Billionaires And The Media
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The conventional assumption that primaries are less elite than party selection overlooks the way todays primaries actually work. Thanks to court decisions such as SpeechNow.org v. Federal Election Commission, there is today no limit on the size of contributions to independent groups; the groups, in turn, are free to support and oppose candidates provided that they not coordinate their activities with the candidates and parties. In other words, todays campaign-finance rules funnel vast sums of unaccountable money to the political systems least accountable actors.
odays campaign-finance rules funnel vast sums of unaccountable money to the political systems least accountable actors.
That said, even if small donors were a perfectly representative group, they would still provide a pathway around gatekeepers, and that is a mixed blessing. True, candidates who rely on small donors are less beholden to big donors and special interests, which may make them more independent-minded; also true, they are less beholden to their political peers, party leaders, and important constituencies, which may make them more reckless and demagogic.
Then there are the media, whose power in influencing candidate choice has grown enormously since the McGovern-Fraser reforms. Writing as long ago as 1978, Jeanne Kirkpatrick tartly observed:
Things have only gotten worse in the transition from Walter Cronkite to Sean Hannity and todays bevy of extremist internet sites.
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Sen Josh Hawley Of Missouri
Though controversial, Hawley, 41, is a fundraising machine and hes quickly made a name for himself. The blowback Hawley faced for objecting to Bidens Electoral College win included a lost book deal and calls for him to resign from students at the law school where he previously taught. His mentor, former Sen. John Danforth of Missouri, said that supporting Hawley was the biggest mistake Ive ever made in my life.
Still, he brought in more than $1.5 million between Jan. 1 and March 5, according to Axios, and fundraising appeals in his name from the National Republican Senatorial Committee brought in more cash than any other Republican except NRSC Chair Sen. Rick Scott of Florida. Just because youre toxic in Washington doesnt mean you cant build a meaningful base of support nationally.
One Republican strategist compared the possibility of Hawley 2024 to Cruz in 2016. Hes not especially well-liked by his colleagues , but hes built a national profile for himself and become a leading Republican voice opposed to big technology companies.
Hawley and his wife, Erin, have three children. He got his start in politics as Missouri attorney general before being elected to the Senate in 2018. Hawley graduated from Stanford and Yale Law.
Statehood And Indian Removal
Defense of Florida’s northern border with the United States was minor during the second Spanish period. The region became a haven for escaped slaves and a base for Indian attacks against U.S. territories, and the U.S. pressed Spain for reform.
Americans of and began moving into northern Florida from the backwoods of and . Though technically not allowed by the Spanish authorities and the Floridan government, they were never able to effectively police the border region and the backwoods settlers from the United States would continue to immigrate into Florida unchecked. These migrants, mixing with the already present British settlers who had remained in Florida since the British period, would be the progenitors of the population known as .
These American settlers established a permanent foothold in the area and ignored Spanish authorities. The British settlers who had remained also resented Spanish rule, leading to a rebellion in 1810 and the establishment for ninety days of the so-called Free and Independent Republic of on September 23. After meetings beginning in June, rebels overcame the garrison at , and unfurled the flag of the new republic: a single white star on a blue field. This flag would later become known as the “”.
Some Seminoles remained, and the U.S. Army arrived in Florida, leading to the . Following the war, approximately 3,000 Seminole and 800 Black Seminole were removed to . A few hundred Seminole remained in Florida in the .
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Anger At Past Outside Interference
The discontent over unaffiliated voter participation in partisan primaries stems from the 2016 approval of two ballot measures allowing unaffiliated voters to select one of the two partys primary elections to cast a ballot in. Before the change, unaffiliated voters had to sit on the sidelines for primaries. 
From 2010 through 2016, Republican primary voter turnout outpaced that of Democrats. But in 2018 and 2020, the first two years unaffiliated voters could participate in primaries without affiliating with one of the two major parties, participation in the Democratic primaries soared.
Meanwhile, more Coloradans are becoming unaffiliated voters, reaching 43% at the end of July, while the Republican Partys share of voters is decreasing at a faster pace than the Democratic Party.
Colorado candidates can get on the primary ballot by one of two paths. They can be nominated and go through the state caucus and assembly process, where they must get 30% of the vote, or they can gather signatures from voters.
Some GOP candidates have had trouble making the ballot in the past. In 2016 and 2018, scandals over petition signatures foiled one U.S. Senate candidate and led a gubernatorial candidate, Walker Stapleton, to go the assembly route at the 11th hour after initially gathering petition signatures.
In 2020, allegations of fraud arose out of caucuses in Weld and El Paso counties. The state GOP, however, ultimately determined nothing illegal took place in either instance. 
Convention And Vp Selection
Midterm elections: Do Republicans have a chance of keeping the House?
The delegates at the Republican National Convention formally nominated Dole on August 15, 1996, as the GOP presidential candidate for the general election. Dole was the oldest first-time presidential nominee at the age of 73 years, 1 month .
Former Congressman and Cabinet secretary Jack Kemp was nominated by acclamation as Dole’s running mate the following day. Republican Party of Texas convention delegates informally nominated Alan Keyes as their preference for Vice President.
Other politicians mentioned as possible GOP V.P. nominees before Kemp was selected included:
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Just How Bad Was The 2018 Election For House Republicans
On Thursday, Democrat Jared Golden beat Maine Republican Rep. Bruce Poliquin, marking the 33rd seat pickup for Democrats in the 2018 election.
There are seven races in the House left uncalled all are Republican-held seats; Democrats lead in five of the seven. If they win all the races where their candidates are winning at the moment, Democrats will net 38 seats. If they lose them all which is very unlikely they will hold at a 33-seat gain.
In an interview Wednesday with the conservative Daily Caller website,  President Donald Trump insisted that by his aggressive last-minute campaigning across the country he had saved House Republicans from seat losses that could have numbered into the 70s. I think I did very well, he concluded.
So did he? As compared to history?
Not really, is the answer.
Theres no question that Trump did not suffer the massive seat loss that his immediate predecessor Barack Obama did in his first midterm election in 2010. In that election, Republicans netted an astounding 63-seat gain, the largest since Democrats lost 72 House seats in the 1938 midterms.
But more broadly, the 33 seat loss by Republicans in 2018 places this election firmly in the upper echelon of House-seat losses by a presidents party in modern midterms.
Read Thursdays full edition of The Point newsletter, and to get future editions delivered to your inbox.
What Do Party Preferences Mean When Listed With Candidates’ Names On The Ballot What Are The Qualified Political Parties And Abbreviations Of Those Party Names
The term “party preference” is now used in place of the term “party affiliation.” A candidate must indicate his or her preference or lack of preference for a qualified political party. If the candidate has a qualified political party preference that qualified political party will be indicated by the candidate’s name on the ballot. If a candidate does not have a qualified political party preference, “Party Preference: None” will be indicated by the candidate’s name on the ballot.
Similarly, voters who were previously known as “decline-to-state” voters are now known as having “no party preference” or known as “NPP” voters.
Abbreviations for the qualified political parties are:
DEM = Democratic Party
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Civil War And Reconstruction
American settlers began to establish cotton in north Florida, which required numerous laborers, which they supplied by buying slaves in the domestic market. By 1860, Florida had only 140,424 people, of whom 44% were enslaved. There were fewer than 1,000 free before the American Civil War.
On January 10, 1861, nearly all delegates in the Florida Legislature approved an ordinance of secession, declaring Florida to be “a sovereign and independent nation”an apparent reassertion to the preamble in Florida’s Constitution of 1838, in which Florida agreed with Congress to be a “Free and Independent State.” The ordinance declared Florida’s secession from the , allowing it to become one of the founding members of the .
The Confederacy received little military help from Florida; the 15,000 troops it offered were generally sent elsewhere. Instead of troops and manufactured goods, Florida did provide salt and, more importantly, beef to feed the Confederate armies. This was particularly important after 1864, when the Confederacy lost control of the Mississippi River, thereby losing access to Texas beef. The largest engagements in the state were the , on February 20, 1864, and the , on March 6, 1865. Both were Confederate victories. The war ended in 1865.
It Was An Election For A Mini
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There was some talk that Democrats may have pulled their punches in the 25th district because, after all, the special election was for the remainder of Hills term and the two candidates will meet again in a more consequential rematch where conditions may favor Smith. Over-confidence probably wasnt a problem since signs of a Garcia win were abundant going into the election.
Republicans, of course, busily spun the win into a sign of a Republican resurgence in California and possibly an omen that the GOP will retake the House even as Trump cake-walks to a second term on the strength of a rapidly rebounding economy that he championed even as Democrats pursued perpetual shutdowns. While the results may legitimately indicate that theres no continuing wave from 2018 that will crash with renewed force in favor of Democrats in November, its more likely that we are seeing a reversion to the mean rather than some new pro-Republican wave. There are enough special circumstances surrounding Garcias win to make its recurrence questionable when he appears on the ballot on Election Day with Donald Trump, who remains as unpopular as ever in California.
There is one wrinkle in Garcias special election victory worth a closer look. In 2018 a number of Republican incumbents famously led early on until later-arriving mail ballots swept Democrats into office. There were signs on Election Day that Garcias early lead might be durable, as California political observer Miriam Pawel noted:
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What Makes The 2024 Presidential Election Unique
The lead up to the 2024 presidential election is different from past years because of former President Donald Trump. Hes eligible to run for a second term, and has publicly toyed with the idea while also weighing in on other Republicans he thinks could be the future of the party. If Trump does run in 2024, hed start out with unparalleled name ID and massive support, but if he doesnt, the field could be wide open for other Republicans hoping to win over his supporters. President Joe Biden said recently he expects to run for reelection in 2024.
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This early on, wannabe candidates must raise their profiles, show their commitment to the party, and raise money, one Republican strategist said, to get on peoples radars even when your candidacy is in a holding pattern.
Some of the most visible 2024 presidential candidates will surely flame out long before the Iowa caucus, and theres always the chance that the next Republican nominee isnt yet considered a serious player . Theres a million and one things that will happen between now and then that will shape the race in ways we cant now predict, but the invisible primary that comes before any votes are cast has started.
Heres your very early guide to some of 2024s Republican presidential candidates, based on early polling, interviews with Republican donors and strategists and results from online political betting markets.
The Louisiana Primary System
The Louisiana system, sometimes called the “Cajun Primary,” eliminates the primary election altogether. Instead, all candidates, regardless of party affiliation, run on the same ballot in November. If a candidate receives more than half of the votes, that candidate is elected. If no candidate wins with a majority, the top two vote-getters face off in a December runoff election. Qualified absentee voters receive a ballot for the November election and a ranked ballot for the December runoff, so that they can vote as normal in the general election and then have their ranked ballot count for whichever runoff candidate they ranked highest in the runoff election.
Although Louisiana law refers to the election in November as the “primary” and the December runoff as the “general” election, the November election takes place on the federally mandated Election Day and most candidates win office by receiving a majority vote in that election, so it is best understood as a general election, with the December election as a contingent runoff.
The Louisiana system is sometimes mistakenly equated with the Top Two system, but holding the first election in November and electing any candidate with more than 50% of the vote in that election makes it sufficiently distinct that it should not be understood as a mere variant of Top Two.
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Trump Election Lawsuits Have Mostly Failed Here’s What They Tried
In the Senate, Democrats have so far gained one seat, but they need three with a Biden win to take over the chamber. Democrats still have a chance of doing that with two runoff elections in Georgia. That’s seen as possible, but not likely.
It wasn’t expected to be this way. Democrats had put lots of Senate races in play, ones not expected to go their way at the beginning of the 2020 cycle, places like Kansas and Montana.
To be sure, many of the Senate races were expected to be close, perhaps with razor-thin margins, and a Democrat-controlled Senate was never an assured outcome. But when you look at the average of the polls in the last week of the election versus the ultimate result, it’s clear that Republicans were underrepresented all across the country.
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All of these races, except Colorado and Alabama, were within single digits in the polls. Colorado, a state Biden won handily, wound up pretty close to the average. Alabama, a state Trump won by a lot, was an even bigger blowout than expected.
Many of the supposedly tightest races didn’t wind up tight at all. Maine is perhaps the most stunning one. Biden won the state by 9 percentage points, but Republican incumbent Susan Collins won reelection by 9 points.
Not only was Collins down by 4 points heading into Election Day in an average of the polls in the week before the election, but she led in just one poll in all of 2020. And that was back in July. That’s one poll out of almost three dozen.
Relationship With The Press
Did The 2014 Primaries Do The GOP Any Good? | Drinking And Talking
Throughout his career, Trump has sought media attention, with a “lovehate” relationship with the press. Trump began promoting himself in the press in the 1970s. Fox News anchor and former House speaker have characterized Trump as a “” who makes controversial statements to see people’s “heads explode.”
In the 2016 campaign, Trump benefited from a record amount of free media coverage, elevating his standing in the Republican primaries.New York Times writer wrote in 2018 that Trump’s media dominance, which enthralls the public and creates “can’t miss” reality television-type coverage, was politically beneficial for him.
As a candidate and as president, Trump frequently accused the press of bias, calling it the “fake news media” and “the .” In 2018, journalist recounted Trump’s saying he intentionally demeaned and discredited the media “so when you write negative stories about me no one will believe you.”
As president, Trump deployed the legal system to intimidate the press. In early 2020, the Trump campaign sued The New York Times, The Washington Post, and CNN for alleged defamation in opinion pieces about Russian election interference. Legal experts said that the lawsuits lacked merit and were not likely to succeed. By March 2021, the lawsuits against The New York Times and CNN had been dismissed.
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Garcia Was An Unusually Good Candidate
Republicans lucked into an unusually strong candidate in Garcia, a former Navy pilot running in a district with a significant defense presence, and a Latino in a district whose electorate has become one-third Latino. He managed to beat the previous Republican holder of the seat, Steve Knight, in the February primary in order to win a Top Two position opposite Smith, which was welcomed by Republican strategists. His campaign was well-financed.
Republican Party Primaries 2020
2020 Republican Party primary elections Battleground primaries Primaries by state Submit
Ballotpedia covered every Republican Party state and federal primary in 2020 to highlight the intraparty conflicts that shaped the party and the general election. This page is an overview of those primaries, with links to Ballotpedia’s coverage of all Republican U.S. Senate, U.S. House, and state-level primaries.
to read about Democratic Party primaries in 2020.
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Former Us Ambassador To The United Nations Nikki Haley
Haley, 49, stands out in the potential pool of 2024 Republican candidates by her resume. She has experience as an executive as the former governor of South Carolina and foreign policy experience from her time as U.S. ambassador to the United Nations.
Haley was a member of the Republican Partys 2010 tea party class. A former South Carolina state representative, her long shot gubernatorial campaign saw its fortunes improve after she was endorsed by Sarah Palin. Haley rocketed from fourth to first just days after the endorsement, and she went on to clinch the nomination and become her states first female and first Indian-American governor.
As governor, she signed a bill removing the Confederate flag from the state Capitol following the white supremacist attack at the Emanuel African Methodist Church in Charleston. She left office in 2017 to join the Trump administration as U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, and Quinnipiac poll found she was at one point the most popular member of Trumps foreign policy team.
I think that shes done a pretty masterful job in filling out her resume, said Robert Oldendick, a professor and director of graduate studies at the University of South Carolinas department of political science.
Haley criticized Trump following the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol by his supporters, saying she was disgusted by his conduct. Oldendick said he thought her pretty pointed criticism of the president will potentially cause some problems.
‘im Going To Be In Your Backyard’: Trump Sons Threaten Primaries For Gop Lawmakers
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Fox News, which had been carrying the remarks live, dropped its feed of the rally after the expletives uttered by the president’s son aired uncensored.
Donald Trump Jr. speaks Wednesday, Jan. 6, 2021, in Washington, at a rally in support of President Donald Trump called the “Save America Rally.” | Jacquelyn Martin/AP Photo
01/06/2021 11:48 AM EST
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President Donald Trumps eldest sons threatened Republican lawmakers at a large rally outside the White House on Wednesday, pledging that their family would continue to dispute the results of the 2020 election just hours before Congress was set to certify President-elect Joe Bidens Electoral College victory.
To those Republicans, many of which may be voting on things in the coming hours: You have an opportunity today, Donald Trump Jr. told the crowd gathered for the Save America March on the White House Ellipse. You can be a hero, or you can be a zero. And the choice is yours. But we are all watching. The whole world is watching, folks. Choose wisely.
Several House Republicans and roughly a dozen senators have announced plans to object to individual states electoral vote counts when Congress meets for a joint session this afternoon. And though their effort to reverse the elections outcome has virtually no chance of succeeding, the president had applied increasing public pressure on Vice President Mike Pence who will preside over the proceedings to attempt to thwart Bidens win.
Recommended Reading: Are There Any Republicans For Impeachment
source https://www.patriotsnet.com/how-did-republicans-do-in-the-primaries/
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thewatertowernews · 7 years
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rebels without a cause: south Burlington’s confederate problem
by Esther Rosen
   Be warned, Burlington newcomers: it’s not all Birkenstocks and incense up here. Sure, it may seem like the heart of the progressive movement would be home to exclusively forward-thinking liberals. But remember that despite its size and appearance, the City of Burlington is just that: a city, with differing opinions, priorities, and ideals. Nowhere is this more plainly on display than in South Burlington, where the debate regarding the South Burlington High School team name has raged for over nine months. A brief review: back in February 2017, a motion was introduced to the South Burlington School Board to change the name from “The Rebels,” due to its association with the Confederacy, after a number of students expressed discomfort. Not everyone does well with change, though, and while many were immediately welcoming to the idea, a sizeable portion of the population was less than pleased.    To the credit of the dissenters, the Rebel name is not a relic of a nineteenth-century past. It was chosen by students in 1961 (is that worse?) as a tribute to the South Burlington spirit, which was founded after “rebelliously” seceding from the districted City of Burlington for tax purposes.    The controversy really arises when one considers the ethos of SBHS school spirit. With the Rebel name came the school colors, blue and grey (incidentally, the colors of the Confederate uniforms), and a now-defunct pre-game ritual including a student running down the hill by the field waving a Confederate flag, a tradition that carried into the 1990s, when the act was offically retired by students. Though the Rebel name in and of itself wasn’t a direct tribute to the Confederate South, the connotation undoubtedly proved to be more powerful than the concept.    With the School Board’s February decision to change the school mascot commenced an epic battle of name changing, Facebook posts, and neighborhood leaflets. For much of the spring, the leafy landscape of South Burlington was decorated with lawn signs declaring the residents’ desire to “Keep the Rebel Name!” even as students voted to become the South Burlington Wolves.    It was not just lawns that saw the effects of the argument– the internet got involved, too. Out of the discord arose a Facebook group called Rebel Alliance, over 2,000 members strong (about 7% of the South Burlington population eligible to use Facebook), “with the purpose of working to overturn the school board’s decision and keep the Rebel name.” The group became a place to share links to articles, frustrated posts, and the occasional meme. Over time, the presence of Rebel Alliance began to show signs of life in the real world. Voters rallied by internet injustice took to the polls, defeating two school budgets due to attached costs of a little under $50,000 allocated for the name change. In June 2017, the school board approved a budget that excluded said costs of new mascot and the public approved it. The Burlington Free Press reported that each vote cost the city roughly $4,000, bringing the cost of the votes to $12,000 (which, just for comparison, is over 20% of what the board requisitioned for new school gear).    Most members of the Rebel Alliance would say that they’re most concerned with funding for this new venture. The district, however, cyclically funds the school teams to replace worn, used, and out-of-date uniforms and equipment, and without the extra $50,000, the school will have to find a way to replace the uniforms that were not due for a change this year. Enter Adidas. Having heard about the controversy, Adidas offered to sponsor the South Burlington Wolves with $25,000 worth of new digs, including coaches’ gear, new football and basketball uniforms, and general school swag. So now the complaint is that high school sports are becoming too commercialized, and students have become walking billboards.     With this in mind, Rebel Alliance is pursuing legal action against the South Burlington School Board, arguing that as the school board is technically employed by the voters, there should be more transparency in their actions, and they should have final say on everything they do, including, say, removing a mildly racist, definitely antiquated school mascot commonly linked to the Confederacy. If you’re interested in contributing to their cause, check out their gofundme. If not, buy some South Burlington Wolves swag, and show them that school spirit is for school, not for politics.
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djatoon · 5 years
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Would no-deal Brexit be a disaster? Probably not – and here’s why
From The Spectator https://blogs.spectator.co.uk/2019/07/would-no-deal-brexit-be-a-disaster-probably-not-and-heres-why/
The government is better prepared than it has let on
Anthony Browne
14 July 2019
“How bad would a no-deal Brexit really be? This is now perhaps the most important question in politics, and the one provoking greatest disagreement. The answer will help decide whether parliament allows Brexit to happen, and whether Tory MPs bring down their own government. If they think calamity would follow, patriotic rebels might risk a general election to stop the Tories. But what if it would not be so bad? And is there any way of finding out?
Almost everyone accepts it will cause problems, but views range from manageable to ‘national suicide’. It is difficult to predict complex events without historic precedent, but there are other reasons for the divergent views. The first is that there is not a single ‘no deal’, but a whole spectrum. Leaving the EU with no deal (and no preparation) would indeed be ‘crashing out’. But leaving with no deal in, say, 2022, with government and business having prepared meticulously for three years, would be less dramatic. It is a moving target: given the preparations, no-deal Brexit now would be less damaging than a year ago.
Then there is the ‘millennium bug effect’. Before 2000, computer companies had an incentive to talk up the problem of everyone’s systems crashing when dates moved from 12/12/99 to 1/1/00. No one could tell for sure how bad it would be, the media loved an apocalyptic story and we had warnings of aircraft falling out of the sky. But despite the frenzy about the end of days, nothing happened. With no-deal Brexit, there are groups, including those wanting to block Brexit, who have an incentive to talk up problems and a media hungry for bad news.
The government has given conflicting signals about no deal, with parts of it sounding the alarm. ‘It was definitely deliberate to keep all the no-deal planning invisible,’ one former Brexit minister told me. It means the government is better prepared than is recognised — a source of irritation for the planners, who are never given credit for their success. A frustrated civil servant wrote anonymously in the Daily Telegraph in December: ‘Very detailed plans have been proposed, assessed, analysed to death and … are now being executed.’
So what are the preparations? Last year the French ports of Calais and Boulogne weren’t ready, leading to predictions of the M20 becoming a lorry park, and shortages of food and drugs. But Calais has now stepped up the number of checkpoints, employed 700 customs staff, and bought scanners which check lorries as they drive past. The president of the Port Boulogne Calais has said ‘there will not be any delay’ in a no-deal Brexit. This will disappoint Dutch ports, which have been gearing up to take business from France.
On the UK side, government has rolled out two computer systems to cope with new customs controls. It has set up an inland clearing site for lorries in Milton Keynes, to keep them away from ports. Major supermarkets have reassured ministers they have diversified supplies enough that food will remain on the shelves. Despite the concern about car manufacturing, one of Britain’s best-known car companies has told government it can cope. In an act of belts and braces, NHS stockpiling ensures that even if the border preparations failed, patients still get drugs. Drugs companies tell me they have two years’ of supplies. ‘The scare stories about food and drugs are completely unjustified,’ one planner told me.
When I was chief executive of the British Bankers’ Association, I convened the meetings of industry leaders in the wake of the referendum to decide how to respond. The only responsible position for a major industry is to hope for the best and plan for the worst. We wanted a transition deal, but banks — reluctant to put their fate in the hands of politicians — prepared for no deal. A no-deal Brexit at the time of the referendum would have been a major threat to financial stability, but three years later the international banks have the legal structures, people and capital in place. They can carry on business whether Brexit comes with a deal or without.
It cost banks billions for no immediate benefit, which understandably annoys them, but they are prepared. But they have the cash for such contingency plans: smaller companies don’t and haven’t bothered preparing for no deal. Only about 40 per cent of exporters that need to register for an export number have done so. With more political clarity, that will change quickly.
The EU has been preparing, most noticeably to ensure that haulage, aviation and visa-free tourism can continue. But many preparations have been kept quiet. To be able to export food to the EU, the UK needs recognition as a third-country supplier. The Commission quietly told the UK that in a no-deal Brexit it would immediately give that recognition if the UK stays aligned to EU standards for nine months.
There is then the issue of tariffs with the EU — about 4 per cent on average. They would clearly be bad for trade. But on average they are less than the depreciation of sterling, so exporters would still be more competitive than they were before the referendum. And there are solutions for badly hit sectors. The agricultural sector most potentially affected by Brexit is sheep farming, with 30 per cent of our lamb exported to Europe. But even if the EU imposes 40 per cent tariffs, the government will introduce a compensation scheme  to offset it, costing £100 million a year.
That brings us to the £39 billion. No one can agree on how much the UK needs to pay to meet its legal commitments, but it is clearly less than £20 billion. This gives huge fiscal headroom to provide short-term relief. It can also provide a powerful incentive for the EU to agree to tariff-free trade.
The change of leader means the politics of no deal will change. If it’s Boris Johnson, then I suspect (having once advised him) that he’ll press ahead and demand full preparations from the offset. This would strengthen his negotiating position, and reassure voters and MPs, by highlighting how prepared the UK is. Senior civil servants are already planning to switch from Project Fear to Project Reassurance. Mark Sedwill, the Cabinet Secretary, who previously sounded the alarm, said recently the public sector was ‘in pretty good shape’. Business groups should carry on pushing for problems to be tackled, but focus more on helping members prepare.
None of this means that no-deal Brexit will be without turbulence. I supported a deal and still do, but no deal could happen. And if it does?
The preparations show that the former governor of the Bank of England, Lord Mervyn King, was right when he said recently that MPs had ‘lost the plot’ when talking about ‘national suicide’. In an age of uncertainty, that is good to know.”
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patriotsnet · 3 years
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How Did Republicans Do In The Primaries
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How Did Republicans Do In The Primaries
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Allegations Of Inciting Violence
Inside Texas Politics: What did Texas Republicans, Democrats do right this election cycle?
Research suggests Trump’s rhetoric caused an increased incidence of hate crimes. During his 2016 campaign, he urged or praised physical attacks against protesters or reporters. Since then, some defendants prosecuted for hate crimes or violent acts cited Trump’s rhetoric in arguing that they were not culpable or should receive a lighter sentence. In May 2020, a nationwide review by ABC News identified at least 54 criminal cases from August 2015 to April 2020 in which Trump was invoked in direct connection with violence or threats of violence by mostly white men against mostly members of minority groups. On January 13, 2021, the House of Representatives impeached Trump for incitement of insurrection for his actions prior to the storming of the U.S. Capitol by a violent mob of his supporters who acted in his name.
Who Can Vote In A Primary
Only Democrats can vote in the Democratic Primary.
Only Republicans can vote in the Republican Primary.
The last day to register to vote before the Primary is the 4th Saturday before the Primary.
The deadline to change party affiliation before the Primary is the last Friday in May.
You can register to vote and change your party affiliation after the Primary.
Results Of The 2016 Republican Party Presidential Primaries
    Donald Trump
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This article contains the results of the 2016 Republican presidential primaries and caucuses, the processes by which the Republican Party selected delegates to attend the 2016 Republican National Convention from July 1821. The series of primaries, caucuses, and state conventions culminated in the national convention, where the delegates cast their votes to formally select a candidate. A simple majority of the total delegate votes was required to become the party’s nominee and was achieved by the nominee, businessman Donald Trump of New York.
The process began on March 23, 2015, when Texas SenatorTed Cruz became the first presidential candidate to announce his intentions to seek the office of United StatesPresident. That summer, 17 major candidates were recognized by national and state polls, making it the largest presidential candidate field for any single political party in American history. The large field made possible the fact that the 2016 primaries were the first since 1968 in which more than three candidates won at least one state.
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May 2016: Trump As Presumptive Nominee
142 delegates were awarded between the Indiana primary and the final primaries in June; however, with Trump the only candidate remaining, Washington, Oregon, West Virginia and Nebraska became essentially uncontested, although Cruz and Kasich remained on the ballot. Trump won handily in West Virginia, Nebraska and Oregon, although Kasich received one delegate from West Virginia and five in Oregon, while Cruz took five in Oregon as well. The next week, Trump won decisively in Washington State, taking 76% of the vote and 41 of 44 delegates, with the other three uncommitted.
May 1024 results 11%
After becoming the presumptive Republican nominee, Trump said regarding the Republican primaries: “You’ve been hearing me say it’s a rigged system, but now I don’t say it anymore because I won. It’s true. Now I don’t care.”
On May 26, 2016, the Associated Press announced that Trump had passed the threshold of 1,237 delegates required to guarantee his nomination, thanks to unbound delegates from North Dakota who declared their support for Trump.
Professional Input Checks The Power Of Billionaires And The Media
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The conventional assumption that primaries are less elite than party selection overlooks the way todays primaries actually work. Thanks to court decisions such as SpeechNow.org v. Federal Election Commission, there is today no limit on the size of contributions to independent groups; the groups, in turn, are free to support and oppose candidates provided that they not coordinate their activities with the candidates and parties. In other words, todays campaign-finance rules funnel vast sums of unaccountable money to the political systems least accountable actors.
odays campaign-finance rules funnel vast sums of unaccountable money to the political systems least accountable actors.
That said, even if small donors were a perfectly representative group, they would still provide a pathway around gatekeepers, and that is a mixed blessing. True, candidates who rely on small donors are less beholden to big donors and special interests, which may make them more independent-minded; also true, they are less beholden to their political peers, party leaders, and important constituencies, which may make them more reckless and demagogic.
Then there are the media, whose power in influencing candidate choice has grown enormously since the McGovern-Fraser reforms. Writing as long ago as 1978, Jeanne Kirkpatrick tartly observed:
Things have only gotten worse in the transition from Walter Cronkite to Sean Hannity and todays bevy of extremist internet sites.
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Sen Josh Hawley Of Missouri
Though controversial, Hawley, 41, is a fundraising machine and hes quickly made a name for himself. The blowback Hawley faced for objecting to Bidens Electoral College win included a lost book deal and calls for him to resign from students at the law school where he previously taught. His mentor, former Sen. John Danforth of Missouri, said that supporting Hawley was the biggest mistake Ive ever made in my life.
Still, he brought in more than $1.5 million between Jan. 1 and March 5, according to Axios, and fundraising appeals in his name from the National Republican Senatorial Committee brought in more cash than any other Republican except NRSC Chair Sen. Rick Scott of Florida. Just because youre toxic in Washington doesnt mean you cant build a meaningful base of support nationally.
One Republican strategist compared the possibility of Hawley 2024 to Cruz in 2016. Hes not especially well-liked by his colleagues , but hes built a national profile for himself and become a leading Republican voice opposed to big technology companies.
Hawley and his wife, Erin, have three children. He got his start in politics as Missouri attorney general before being elected to the Senate in 2018. Hawley graduated from Stanford and Yale Law.
Statehood And Indian Removal
Defense of Florida’s northern border with the United States was minor during the second Spanish period. The region became a haven for escaped slaves and a base for Indian attacks against U.S. territories, and the U.S. pressed Spain for reform.
Americans of and began moving into northern Florida from the backwoods of and . Though technically not allowed by the Spanish authorities and the Floridan government, they were never able to effectively police the border region and the backwoods settlers from the United States would continue to immigrate into Florida unchecked. These migrants, mixing with the already present British settlers who had remained in Florida since the British period, would be the progenitors of the population known as .
These American settlers established a permanent foothold in the area and ignored Spanish authorities. The British settlers who had remained also resented Spanish rule, leading to a rebellion in 1810 and the establishment for ninety days of the so-called Free and Independent Republic of on September 23. After meetings beginning in June, rebels overcame the garrison at , and unfurled the flag of the new republic: a single white star on a blue field. This flag would later become known as the “”.
Some Seminoles remained, and the U.S. Army arrived in Florida, leading to the . Following the war, approximately 3,000 Seminole and 800 Black Seminole were removed to . A few hundred Seminole remained in Florida in the .
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Anger At Past Outside Interference
The discontent over unaffiliated voter participation in partisan primaries stems from the 2016 approval of two ballot measures allowing unaffiliated voters to select one of the two partys primary elections to cast a ballot in. Before the change, unaffiliated voters had to sit on the sidelines for primaries. 
From 2010 through 2016, Republican primary voter turnout outpaced that of Democrats. But in 2018 and 2020, the first two years unaffiliated voters could participate in primaries without affiliating with one of the two major parties, participation in the Democratic primaries soared.
Meanwhile, more Coloradans are becoming unaffiliated voters, reaching 43% at the end of July, while the Republican Partys share of voters is decreasing at a faster pace than the Democratic Party.
Colorado candidates can get on the primary ballot by one of two paths. They can be nominated and go through the state caucus and assembly process, where they must get 30% of the vote, or they can gather signatures from voters.
Some GOP candidates have had trouble making the ballot in the past. In 2016 and 2018, scandals over petition signatures foiled one U.S. Senate candidate and led a gubernatorial candidate, Walker Stapleton, to go the assembly route at the 11th hour after initially gathering petition signatures.
In 2020, allegations of fraud arose out of caucuses in Weld and El Paso counties. The state GOP, however, ultimately determined nothing illegal took place in either instance. 
Convention And Vp Selection
Midterm elections: Do Republicans have a chance of keeping the House?
The delegates at the Republican National Convention formally nominated Dole on August 15, 1996, as the GOP presidential candidate for the general election. Dole was the oldest first-time presidential nominee at the age of 73 years, 1 month .
Former Congressman and Cabinet secretary Jack Kemp was nominated by acclamation as Dole’s running mate the following day. Republican Party of Texas convention delegates informally nominated Alan Keyes as their preference for Vice President.
Other politicians mentioned as possible GOP V.P. nominees before Kemp was selected included:
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Just How Bad Was The 2018 Election For House Republicans
On Thursday, Democrat Jared Golden beat Maine Republican Rep. Bruce Poliquin, marking the 33rd seat pickup for Democrats in the 2018 election.
There are seven races in the House left uncalled all are Republican-held seats; Democrats lead in five of the seven. If they win all the races where their candidates are winning at the moment, Democrats will net 38 seats. If they lose them all which is very unlikely they will hold at a 33-seat gain.
In an interview Wednesday with the conservative Daily Caller website,  President Donald Trump insisted that by his aggressive last-minute campaigning across the country he had saved House Republicans from seat losses that could have numbered into the 70s. I think I did very well, he concluded.
So did he? As compared to history?
Not really, is the answer.
Theres no question that Trump did not suffer the massive seat loss that his immediate predecessor Barack Obama did in his first midterm election in 2010. In that election, Republicans netted an astounding 63-seat gain, the largest since Democrats lost 72 House seats in the 1938 midterms.
But more broadly, the 33 seat loss by Republicans in 2018 places this election firmly in the upper echelon of House-seat losses by a presidents party in modern midterms.
Read Thursdays full edition of The Point newsletter, and to get future editions delivered to your inbox.
What Do Party Preferences Mean When Listed With Candidates’ Names On The Ballot What Are The Qualified Political Parties And Abbreviations Of Those Party Names
The term “party preference” is now used in place of the term “party affiliation.” A candidate must indicate his or her preference or lack of preference for a qualified political party. If the candidate has a qualified political party preference that qualified political party will be indicated by the candidate’s name on the ballot. If a candidate does not have a qualified political party preference, “Party Preference: None” will be indicated by the candidate’s name on the ballot.
Similarly, voters who were previously known as “decline-to-state” voters are now known as having “no party preference” or known as “NPP” voters.
Abbreviations for the qualified political parties are:
DEM = Democratic Party
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Civil War And Reconstruction
American settlers began to establish cotton in north Florida, which required numerous laborers, which they supplied by buying slaves in the domestic market. By 1860, Florida had only 140,424 people, of whom 44% were enslaved. There were fewer than 1,000 free before the American Civil War.
On January 10, 1861, nearly all delegates in the Florida Legislature approved an ordinance of secession, declaring Florida to be “a sovereign and independent nation”an apparent reassertion to the preamble in Florida’s Constitution of 1838, in which Florida agreed with Congress to be a “Free and Independent State.” The ordinance declared Florida’s secession from the , allowing it to become one of the founding members of the .
The Confederacy received little military help from Florida; the 15,000 troops it offered were generally sent elsewhere. Instead of troops and manufactured goods, Florida did provide salt and, more importantly, beef to feed the Confederate armies. This was particularly important after 1864, when the Confederacy lost control of the Mississippi River, thereby losing access to Texas beef. The largest engagements in the state were the , on February 20, 1864, and the , on March 6, 1865. Both were Confederate victories. The war ended in 1865.
It Was An Election For A Mini
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There was some talk that Democrats may have pulled their punches in the 25th district because, after all, the special election was for the remainder of Hills term and the two candidates will meet again in a more consequential rematch where conditions may favor Smith. Over-confidence probably wasnt a problem since signs of a Garcia win were abundant going into the election.
Republicans, of course, busily spun the win into a sign of a Republican resurgence in California and possibly an omen that the GOP will retake the House even as Trump cake-walks to a second term on the strength of a rapidly rebounding economy that he championed even as Democrats pursued perpetual shutdowns. While the results may legitimately indicate that theres no continuing wave from 2018 that will crash with renewed force in favor of Democrats in November, its more likely that we are seeing a reversion to the mean rather than some new pro-Republican wave. There are enough special circumstances surrounding Garcias win to make its recurrence questionable when he appears on the ballot on Election Day with Donald Trump, who remains as unpopular as ever in California.
There is one wrinkle in Garcias special election victory worth a closer look. In 2018 a number of Republican incumbents famously led early on until later-arriving mail ballots swept Democrats into office. There were signs on Election Day that Garcias early lead might be durable, as California political observer Miriam Pawel noted:
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What Makes The 2024 Presidential Election Unique
The lead up to the 2024 presidential election is different from past years because of former President Donald Trump. Hes eligible to run for a second term, and has publicly toyed with the idea while also weighing in on other Republicans he thinks could be the future of the party. If Trump does run in 2024, hed start out with unparalleled name ID and massive support, but if he doesnt, the field could be wide open for other Republicans hoping to win over his supporters. President Joe Biden said recently he expects to run for reelection in 2024.
Related
Golden Trump statue at CPAC 2021 was no graven image, according to the artist
This early on, wannabe candidates must raise their profiles, show their commitment to the party, and raise money, one Republican strategist said, to get on peoples radars even when your candidacy is in a holding pattern.
Some of the most visible 2024 presidential candidates will surely flame out long before the Iowa caucus, and theres always the chance that the next Republican nominee isnt yet considered a serious player . Theres a million and one things that will happen between now and then that will shape the race in ways we cant now predict, but the invisible primary that comes before any votes are cast has started.
Heres your very early guide to some of 2024s Republican presidential candidates, based on early polling, interviews with Republican donors and strategists and results from online political betting markets.
The Louisiana Primary System
The Louisiana system, sometimes called the “Cajun Primary,” eliminates the primary election altogether. Instead, all candidates, regardless of party affiliation, run on the same ballot in November. If a candidate receives more than half of the votes, that candidate is elected. If no candidate wins with a majority, the top two vote-getters face off in a December runoff election. Qualified absentee voters receive a ballot for the November election and a ranked ballot for the December runoff, so that they can vote as normal in the general election and then have their ranked ballot count for whichever runoff candidate they ranked highest in the runoff election.
Although Louisiana law refers to the election in November as the “primary” and the December runoff as the “general” election, the November election takes place on the federally mandated Election Day and most candidates win office by receiving a majority vote in that election, so it is best understood as a general election, with the December election as a contingent runoff.
The Louisiana system is sometimes mistakenly equated with the Top Two system, but holding the first election in November and electing any candidate with more than 50% of the vote in that election makes it sufficiently distinct that it should not be understood as a mere variant of Top Two.
Read Also: How Many Republicans Caucused In Iowa
Trump Election Lawsuits Have Mostly Failed Here’s What They Tried
In the Senate, Democrats have so far gained one seat, but they need three with a Biden win to take over the chamber. Democrats still have a chance of doing that with two runoff elections in Georgia. That’s seen as possible, but not likely.
It wasn’t expected to be this way. Democrats had put lots of Senate races in play, ones not expected to go their way at the beginning of the 2020 cycle, places like Kansas and Montana.
To be sure, many of the Senate races were expected to be close, perhaps with razor-thin margins, and a Democrat-controlled Senate was never an assured outcome. But when you look at the average of the polls in the last week of the election versus the ultimate result, it’s clear that Republicans were underrepresented all across the country.
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All of these races, except Colorado and Alabama, were within single digits in the polls. Colorado, a state Biden won handily, wound up pretty close to the average. Alabama, a state Trump won by a lot, was an even bigger blowout than expected.
Many of the supposedly tightest races didn’t wind up tight at all. Maine is perhaps the most stunning one. Biden won the state by 9 percentage points, but Republican incumbent Susan Collins won reelection by 9 points.
Not only was Collins down by 4 points heading into Election Day in an average of the polls in the week before the election, but she led in just one poll in all of 2020. And that was back in July. That’s one poll out of almost three dozen.
Relationship With The Press
Did The 2014 Primaries Do The GOP Any Good? | Drinking And Talking
Throughout his career, Trump has sought media attention, with a “lovehate” relationship with the press. Trump began promoting himself in the press in the 1970s. Fox News anchor and former House speaker have characterized Trump as a “” who makes controversial statements to see people’s “heads explode.”
In the 2016 campaign, Trump benefited from a record amount of free media coverage, elevating his standing in the Republican primaries.New York Times writer wrote in 2018 that Trump’s media dominance, which enthralls the public and creates “can’t miss” reality television-type coverage, was politically beneficial for him.
As a candidate and as president, Trump frequently accused the press of bias, calling it the “fake news media” and “the .” In 2018, journalist recounted Trump’s saying he intentionally demeaned and discredited the media “so when you write negative stories about me no one will believe you.”
As president, Trump deployed the legal system to intimidate the press. In early 2020, the Trump campaign sued The New York Times, The Washington Post, and CNN for alleged defamation in opinion pieces about Russian election interference. Legal experts said that the lawsuits lacked merit and were not likely to succeed. By March 2021, the lawsuits against The New York Times and CNN had been dismissed.
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Garcia Was An Unusually Good Candidate
Republicans lucked into an unusually strong candidate in Garcia, a former Navy pilot running in a district with a significant defense presence, and a Latino in a district whose electorate has become one-third Latino. He managed to beat the previous Republican holder of the seat, Steve Knight, in the February primary in order to win a Top Two position opposite Smith, which was welcomed by Republican strategists. His campaign was well-financed.
Republican Party Primaries 2020
2020 Republican Party primary elections Battleground primaries Primaries by state Submit
Ballotpedia covered every Republican Party state and federal primary in 2020 to highlight the intraparty conflicts that shaped the party and the general election. This page is an overview of those primaries, with links to Ballotpedia’s coverage of all Republican U.S. Senate, U.S. House, and state-level primaries.
to read about Democratic Party primaries in 2020.
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Former Us Ambassador To The United Nations Nikki Haley
Haley, 49, stands out in the potential pool of 2024 Republican candidates by her resume. She has experience as an executive as the former governor of South Carolina and foreign policy experience from her time as U.S. ambassador to the United Nations.
Haley was a member of the Republican Partys 2010 tea party class. A former South Carolina state representative, her long shot gubernatorial campaign saw its fortunes improve after she was endorsed by Sarah Palin. Haley rocketed from fourth to first just days after the endorsement, and she went on to clinch the nomination and become her states first female and first Indian-American governor.
As governor, she signed a bill removing the Confederate flag from the state Capitol following the white supremacist attack at the Emanuel African Methodist Church in Charleston. She left office in 2017 to join the Trump administration as U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, and Quinnipiac poll found she was at one point the most popular member of Trumps foreign policy team.
I think that shes done a pretty masterful job in filling out her resume, said Robert Oldendick, a professor and director of graduate studies at the University of South Carolinas department of political science.
Haley criticized Trump following the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol by his supporters, saying she was disgusted by his conduct. Oldendick said he thought her pretty pointed criticism of the president will potentially cause some problems.
‘im Going To Be In Your Backyard’: Trump Sons Threaten Primaries For Gop Lawmakers
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Fox News, which had been carrying the remarks live, dropped its feed of the rally after the expletives uttered by the president’s son aired uncensored.
Donald Trump Jr. speaks Wednesday, Jan. 6, 2021, in Washington, at a rally in support of President Donald Trump called the “Save America Rally.” | Jacquelyn Martin/AP Photo
01/06/2021 11:48 AM EST
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President Donald Trumps eldest sons threatened Republican lawmakers at a large rally outside the White House on Wednesday, pledging that their family would continue to dispute the results of the 2020 election just hours before Congress was set to certify President-elect Joe Bidens Electoral College victory.
To those Republicans, many of which may be voting on things in the coming hours: You have an opportunity today, Donald Trump Jr. told the crowd gathered for the Save America March on the White House Ellipse. You can be a hero, or you can be a zero. And the choice is yours. But we are all watching. The whole world is watching, folks. Choose wisely.
Several House Republicans and roughly a dozen senators have announced plans to object to individual states electoral vote counts when Congress meets for a joint session this afternoon. And though their effort to reverse the elections outcome has virtually no chance of succeeding, the president had applied increasing public pressure on Vice President Mike Pence who will preside over the proceedings to attempt to thwart Bidens win.
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gyrlversion · 5 years
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Vote Leave leader Michael Gove warns rebel Tory MPs
Michael Gove today warns rebel Tory MPs they have less than 48 hours to save Brexit.
In a rallying call on the eve of tomorrow’s momentous vote, the Environment Secretary declares that ‘everyone who believes in democracy’ should get behind the Prime Minister’s deal.
Writing in the Daily Mail, he argues the agreement is the only way to heal the nation’s bitter divisions and make sure Brexit happens. 
Mr Gove, who helped lead Vote Leave, warns that leaving without a deal would not ‘honour’ the commitment made to voters ahead of the referendum.
Writing in the Daily Mail, Michael Gove argues the agreement is the only way to heal the nation’s bitter divisions and make sure Brexit happens
Andrea Leadsom, another prominent Eurosceptic, also last night issued a stark warning to rebels, saying: ‘It’s now or never.’
The Commons Leader said if Theresa May’s deal is rejected ‘it’s really clear that the next steps Parliament will take make the Brexit we want a fading reality’. 
Mrs May is expected to make a dash to Brussels this morning in a last-ditch attempt to secure changes to her deal. But sources on the Continent were yesterday playing down hopes of any meaningful concessions, saying talks could be as little as a phone call.
British officials spent the weekend locked in negotiations with their EU counterparts over their demands for alterations to the withdrawal agreement so the country cannot be trapped in the Northern Ireland backstop. 
Whitehall sources said the ‘atmosphere was grim’ with concerns that any changes may not be enough to satisfy rebel Tory MPs and the Democratic Unionist Party.
The Prime Minister has promised that if her deal is rejected for a second time tomorrow, MPs will get the chance to vote on leaving the EU without a deal or delaying Brexit beyond March 29.
Andrea Leadsom, another prominent Eurosceptic, also last night issued a stark warning to rebels, saying: ‘It’s now or never’
Senior Tory figures yesterday warned Mrs May’s position could become untenable if she is forced to seek an extension to the two-year Article 50 process.
Sources said Britain would be expected to pay another £13.5billion per year, more than the current £9billion, because the UK would lose its rebate negotiated by Margaret Thatcher. Even a delay of three months would add billions to the cost of the divorce payment.
The second so-called meaningful vote on the Brexit deal comes after it was rejected by a majority of 230 MPs in January, in a historic defeat for the Government. 
In a further development last night, Downing Street did not rule out amending tomorrow’s vote on the deal so it is conditional on securing extra changes from the EU before the end of this month.
Meanwhile, Philip Hammond is understood to be ready to promise billions of pounds of extra cash for the police, schools and tax cuts in his Spring Statement on Wednesday – if the deal is passed.
The Prime Minister has promised that if her deal is rejected for a second time tomorrow, MPs will get the chance to vote on leaving the EU without a deal or delaying Brexit beyond March 29
The Chancellor will release around £20billion currently ring-fenced as a contingency in case of No Deal. 
Mr Gove is pleading for Tory rebels to take a second look at the withdrawal agreement, arguing they should not ‘make our perfect Brexit the enemy of the common good’.
In his article for the Mail, he says: ‘I hope that everyone who believes in our democracy – in the importance of delivering Brexit, but also in the critical need to unite our country – will come behind the Prime Minister’s deal this week.’
He insisted that while the deal is a ‘compromise’, it ‘provides the best way of delivering an exit that can secure our country’s unity and prosperity’.
Mr Gove warns that many of the arguments made against the deal ‘don’t reflect the reality of what’s been achieved’.
‘It is not the case that this deal makes us a colony or vassal state. How could it when it gives us total control over our borders and ends our current automatic payments to the EU?’ he writes.
While admitting there were ‘aspects’ of the backstop he found ‘uncomfortable’, Mr Gove says the version ‘now agreed is very different from the arrangement the Irish Government and the EU first wanted’. 
Philip Hammond is understood to be ready to promise billions of pounds of extra cash for the police, schools and tax cuts in his Spring Statement on Wednesday – if the deal is passed
‘It places more cards in our hands than theirs. If we play them with skill we can get the final deal we want,’ he adds.
‘While it’s uncomfortable for us it’s a mistake to think it’s a bed of roses for the EU… I can’t imagine EU politicians tolerating for very long an arrangement which allows us to keep them out of our waters but sell all the fish we want to them, allows us access to their markets but restricts their citizens coming here, allows us to make our economy more competitive and ends all payments to their institutions. EU countries would want it to end.’ 
Mr Gove warns Eurosceptic rebels who believe that voting against the plan tomorrow will lead to a No Deal Brexit are likely to be disappointed.
He says: ‘Some may say that ditching this deal will allow us to leave without any compromises, but we didn’t vote in June 2016 to leave without a deal.
‘That wasn’t the message of the campaign I helped lead.’
He adds: ‘It would undoubtedly cause economic turbulence…We would get through it, of course, we’re a great and resilient country. But jobs would be lost in the short term and none of us can be blithe or blasé about the inevitable damage leaving without a deal would cause.’
Mr Gove’s warning comes after Foreign Secretary Jeremy Hunt told Tory MPs they risk losing Brexit altogether if they fail to back Mrs May’s deal. 
He said there was ‘wind in the sails’ of the opponents of Brexit and that it would be ‘devastating’ for the Tories if they failed to deliver on their commitment to take Britain out of the EU. 
MICHAEL GOVE: Only by backing the Prime Minister’s deal with the EU will ensure Brexit happens and heal the bitter divides across the country
By Michael Gove  
The great Victorian Prime Minister Benjamin Disraeli once lamented that Britain had become ‘two nations’ between whom ‘there is no intercourse and no sympathy; who are as ignorant of each other’s habits, thoughts, and feelings, as if they were dwellers in different zones, or inhabitants of different planets’.
Disraeli was writing of the gulf between rich and poor in the 19th century. But his words echo down the decades. 
It seems, at times, that our country is now just as divided — between those insulated by wealth from the effects of globalisation and those who feel shut out; or between those who compete on Twitter to signal how virtuous they are and those who are made to feel that patriotism is prejudice and love of country is now the love that dare not speak its name.
There are other divisions, too — between politicians in Westminster and a population becoming alienated because of those politicians’ failure to listen. Between broadcasters who seek to serve the public and a public that is increasingly switching off.
Between elites who think their professional success means they know all the answers and those who wonder why these elites failed to see the banking crisis coming and failed to spread economic growth more fairly in the boom years.
Disraeli was writing of the gulf between rich and poor in the 19th century. But his words echo down the decades
Those divisions in our society were exposed for all to see by the Brexit referendum. There were different reasons why people voted to leave the EU, but at the heart of the campaign was a wish on the part of the majority to take back control from unaccountable elites, to make politicians more answerable to the people, and to make our country work in the interests of all: one nation once again.
But since the referendum, it has often seemed as though that desire for a fresh start has been continually frustrated by an unwillingness to come together behind that democratic vote.
Listening to some partisans in the ongoing Brexit debate, it is clear that they behave as though they think the other side are indeed ‘dwellers in different zones’ or ‘inhabitants of different planets’. Insults are hurled, cries of treachery traded, any suggestion of finding common ground denounced as a heresy. Sympathy for others seems in short supply.
But for democracy to work, there has to be understanding between people; there has to be compromise and a coming together.
Along with a majority of other people, I voted to reinvigorate our democracy by taking power back from unaccountable institutions and taking back control of our laws.
I recognise, however, that while the majority to leave was decisive, executing that decision, like all democratic decisions, means respecting everyone in our democracy.
Forty-eight per cent of the country voted to remain. Their voices need to be listened to, their hopes incorporated in our plan for the future. That doesn’t mean giving in to the much smaller number who want to overturn the decision and frustrate Brexit.
But it must mean that none of us Leavers should try to make our perfect Brexit the enemy of the common good.
Which is why I hope that everyone who believes in our democracy — in the importance of delivering Brexit and in the critical need to unite our country — will get behind the Prime Minister’s deal this week.
It is, of course, a compromise. But so many of the great British traditions and institutions I and many others value are the result of compromise.
Which is why I hope that everyone who believes in our democracy — in the importance of delivering Brexit and in the critical need to unite our country — will get behind the Prime Minister’s deal this week
We are governed by a system that reconciles the different interests of Government, Parliament and the Courts; our constitutional monarchy is underpinned by centuries of compromise, as is our national Church.
The devolution settlement is a compromise; our Press balances freedom of speech with a responsibility to be accurate in reporting; our economic system and welfare state balance the individual freedom to pursue success with the collective need to protect the vulnerable.
As the great liberal thinker Isaiah Berlin rightly argued, when one value or a single perspective is valued above all others, the tree of liberty is hacked at its roots. 
So while the Prime Minister’s deal is a compromise, it is not to be rejected for that reason alone. Quite the opposite. In balancing the freedoms that Brexit brings with assurances that smooth our path out of the EU, it provides the best way of delivering an exit that can secure our country’s unity and prosperity.
Of course, there are some who voted Remain for whom no Brexit is acceptable. Whatever deal Mrs May secured, they would find fault with it. But their answer, a second referendum, would only deepen and inflame the divisions it is our duty to overcome.
As the great liberal thinker Isaiah Berlin rightly argued, when one value or a single perspective is valued above all others, the tree of liberty is hacked at its roots
The demand for another vote is a declaration that those who voted Leave in 2016 were too stupid to know what they were doing or too prejudiced to appreciate the consequences.
Holding another referendum would only confirm the feeling among many that politicians don’t listen and won’t change.
It would undermine confidence in our democracy and any campaign that ensued would further fray the bonds that hold us all together — not least by fuelling demands for new votes in Scotland and Northern Ireland to break up the United Kingdom.
But it’s not only those calling for a second referendum who are, I fear, making a mistake. Some of those who believe most sincerely and passionately in Brexit have allowed arguments to be made about the Prime Minister’s deal which don’t reflect the reality of what’s been achieved.
It is not the case that this deal makes us a colony or vassal state. How could it when it gives us total control over our borders and ends our automatic payments to the EU? Colonies, by definition, don’t have control over their borders and they give up their natural resources to others.
This deal means we have the absolute freedom to decide who comes into this country, and on what terms. It also allows us to decide what pan-European programmes, if any, we want to join in.
As one of the leaders of the Leave campaign, I know that two of the most resonant demands from voters were control of our borders and money. This deal delivers — completely and, as it happens, without compromise — on both.
Some of those who believe most sincerely and passionately in Brexit have allowed arguments to be made about the Prime Minister’s deal which don’t reflect the reality of what’s been achieved
It also ensures we leave the EU’s legal order and, save for a few very limited areas, we are outside the control of the European Court of Justice. We can, if we wish, choose to continue to meet EU standards, as they change, to make cross-border trade easier. But we can refuse to accept any new EU rule on goods or agriculture we don’t want.
The ratchet of European integration has been stopped. Ever closer union ended.
We can begin to do things differently in all manner of ways when the deal is concluded. We can have new rules for our service sector to help create new jobs in the fastest growing part of our economy. We will continue to maintain the highest environmental standards but we no longer need to follow the EU rulebook and can do things in our own, better, way.
The deal also means we aren’t bound by the EU’s Common Defence and Security Policy and we’re out of the Common Agricultural Policy and the Common Fisheries Policy. Our farmers are freed from the bureaucracy that held them back, and we take back control of all our fish stocks and access to our waters.
There are, of course, aspects of the deal which cause concern. It requires us to accept an arrangement called the backstop which places certain restraints on the ability of Northern Ireland to diverge from the EU in the event that we don’t conclude a full trade deal by the end of 2020.
The Irish government have pressed for a backstop throughout these talks because they see it as an insurance policy in order to keep the current open border on the island of Ireland.
But the backstop we’ve now agreed is very different from the arrangement the Irish government and the EU first wanted. It places more cards in our hands than theirs. If we play them with skill, we can get the final deal we want.
As a Unionist and a Brexiteer, there are aspects of the backstop I certainly find uncomfortable. It creates a difference in treatment between Great Britain and Northern Ireland which is troubling. I’d much prefer it if we had a unilateral exit mechanism.
But while it’s uncomfortable for us, it’s a mistake to think it’s a bed of roses for the EU. There are many reasons why they would not want it to last indefinitely — and it’s worth looking at them in detail.
If the backstop ever kicked in, we’d still be able to export our goods to Europe without any tariff barriers, but we would also have full control of our own borders, with free movement of people having ended. More than that, we wouldn’t be paying the EU any money any more. Not a penny.
More, even, than that, we could stop EU vessels entering our fishing waters. If we wished, we could deny French and Danish boats any of our fish. But they couldn’t stop us selling our catch to them.
On top of that, in the backstop our ability to ignore new EU laws, and indeed roll back the vast majority of existing EU laws, would be extensive. We could make our economy more competitive from day one, and still have guaranteed access to their economies.
In the backstop we could still negotiate, sign and implement new trade deals. They wouldn’t cover goods but could cover services, professional qualifications and investor protections.
Leaving without a deal on March 29 would not honour that commitment. It would undoubtedly cause economic turbulence. Almost everyone in this debate accepts that
I cannot imagine EU politicians tolerating for very long an arrangement which allows us to keep them out of our waters but sell all the fish we want to them; allows us access to their markets but restricts their citizens coming here; allows us to make our economy more competitive and ends all payments to their institutions. EU countries would want it to end. And if we do play our cards right, we can ensure that it does — on our terms.
Any objective assessment on this deal shows it delivers on the key Brexit demands and gives us the freedom to go further in the future.I fear, if MPs don’t support the PM’s deal this week, then the chance to come together as a country may be taken from us.
Some may say that ditching this deal will allow us to leave without any compromises. But we didn’t vote to leave without a deal. That wasn’t the message of the campaign I helped lead. During that campaign, we said we should do a deal with the EU and be part of the network of free trade deals that covers all Europe, from Iceland to Turkey.
Leaving without a deal on March 29 would not honour that commitment. It would undoubtedly cause economic turbulence. Almost everyone in this debate accepts that.
EU tariffs on food would hit farmers; new trade frictions would harm manufacturers. We would get through it, of course — we’re a great and resilient country. But jobs would be lost in the short term and none of us can be blasé about the damage leaving without a deal would cause.
We would also be open to criticism from those many Remain voters who are prepared to compromise and leave with a deal, but don’t want to depart without a deal, that we’d preferred our perfect to their good. They could argue we’d preferred ideology to inclusivity. Given the fragility of faith in our politics at the moment, it’s not a course I’d want to take.
And it’s a course we may not be able to take anyway. If the deal is voted down, then the Government is no longer determining events.
Parliament will then vote on whether we leave without a deal on March 29. A majority are likely to say they don’t want to take that risk, and Parliament is likely to ask for an extension of EU membership.
Whatever the merits of that course, it’s undoubtedly the case that it creates another risk — of the Commons diluting Brexit or the EU offering us a poorer deal.
The decisions all MPs face in the next few days will not be easy. And I respect the sincerity and passion with which every one of my colleagues holds to their position.
But if we don’t think coolly about what’s in the best interests of our country, we may find that we have failed to rise to this moment; failed to find the common ground on which our best future rests.
Delaying and diluting what we have or leaving without a deal risks perpetuating the difficulties when we need to overcome divisions to meet new challenges. It’s time we became one nation once again.  
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nosh-tsum · 7 years
Text
NOSHITSUM 3 October, 2017
Houthi Rebels (Shia) and Yemen (Sunni) +Coalition Forces
The Yemeni civil war has left large swaths of the country in ruin since it really kicked off in 2015, though the sentiments that fuel the conflict have roots several decades deep. The typical news cast regarding the conflict will be about Saudi bombers indiscriminately causing civilian casualties. While the Saudis are conducting most of the kinetic operations on behalf of the halfway toppled official Yemeni government, the coalition is comprised of several gulf and African nations with US support in intelligence and special forces. Operating in the area you’ll find elements of ISIS and Al Qa’ida in the Arabian Peninsula taking advantage of the lack of a governing presence. Based out of the more rural areas, they have conducted several bombings targeting Pro-Hadi government forces.
Houthis: Shia who claim to be fighting against Salafist presence and unfair politics.
The Government of Yemen: Led by President in Exile Abdrabbuh Mansur Hadi, originally acquiesced the Houthi demands and resigned under duress after several military defeats. After fleeing to safety, he claimed the Houthis had committed a coup d’état.
One of the biggest effects is the level of security in the Gulf of Aden and the Red Sea, which is likely why the US has a stake in this war at all, besides the terrorism nexus. Though piracy in the area has been hammered by multinational efforts and private security on ships.
 Biggest Winners: TBD
Biggest Losers: the people of Yemen
  Israel and Palastine
I’m going to go ahead and wash this of political nuance, I do not back, support, etc either side. Go back far enough you’ll find there are plenty of terrible actions to smear both sides without even getting into the who was where first. What you need to know is the conflict has spawned some of the most professional terrorists to walk this earth. What keeps it going is nationalist rhetoric on both sides that will accept no compromise.
Confrontations between both sides range from conventional engagements between organized forces and lobbing artillery at each other to your typical terrorist attacks. Bombings, car ramming, and shootings have claimed several American lives since the birth of Israel’s current reincarnation.
Most recently, a Palestinian individual opened fire on an Israeli check point near Jerusalem, killing three. In this instance, the targets were soldiers, but that is not always or even mostly the case. There are many attacks where Americans and others are collateral, which also plays into the hands of terrorist by increasing the amount of publicity drawn by the attack.
 Biggest Winners: TBD
Biggest Losers: Palestinians
  Al Shabaab and Somalia
Al Shabaab has plagued Somalia and its neighbors for years. Though the organization peaked in 2014 and is currently relegated to the countryside, it is still actively combating Somali security forces and their allies. The militant Islamic group aims to establish an Islamic theocracy in Somalia. Despite sounding similar to ISIS ideology, the group rebuffed a call for allegiance from the Islamic State and killed off several of its members who defected. Al Shabaab has been an affiliate of Al Qa’ida since shortly after its founding.
 Biggest Winners: The Somalian Government
Biggest Losers: Persons living in areas under Al Shabaab control
  Boko Haraam and Nigeria
Similar to al Shabaab, Boko Haram also seeks to establish an Islamic government in its respective location. Originally a problem in Northern Nigeria, the salfi/wahabi organization also operates in Cameroon, Chad, and Niger. Unlike al Shabaab, Boko Haram has declared for the Islamic State, though not without some internal friction.
Most famous in recent years for the capture and hostage taking of the Chibok School Girls, the group has killed thousands and displaced millions since its inception in the early 2000’s. Though several politicians have claimed Boko Haram to be defeated, continual skirmishes with militaries from Nigeria, Chad, Cameroon, and Niger would indicate otherwise.
 Biggest Winners: Nigerian Government
Biggest losers: Persons living in areas still controlled by Boko Haram
  Kenya
Kenya has had its own run ins with Al Shabaab, but the most concerning security matter would be the results of its elections. The previous vote for the presidential office was held on 8 August 2017 and subsequently annulled by the Supreme Court, which labeled the vote “neither transparent or verifiable.” The incumbent, Kenyatta, won the majority and regarded the annulment as a judicial coup.
The Kenyan Director of Public Prosecutions has requested an investigation of the electoral commission. In the meanwhile, there have been several protests regarding the results, the commission, and the President and there will be several more before the vote is held again on 26 October 2017. There is international concern about possible political violence, especially since over a thousand people died in the violence surrounding the 2007 elections.
 Biggest Winners: Opposition leader Odinga
Biggest Losers: Kenyans
  Cameroon independence
A product of colonization, Cameroon is a country with extremely separate English and French speaking people. So much so that the English portions believe they are being forced out of policy making positions and being treated like second-class citizens. The English speakers have long called for equality, but recently the tone has changed to that of independence. Cameroon’s Government has not taken kindly to this development and have cracked down on the seperatists.
The leader of the English opposition has claimed that at least 30 people have died in clashes. On 1 October 2017, Cameroon’s security forces opened fire on demonstrators, killing 8 and wounding several more. In the wake of the incident, the government has shut down the internet in the English speaking areas of the nation.
 Biggest Winners: TBD
Biggest Losers: The English speaking Minority
Update to Kurdish Independence
A resounding “Yes” vote has drawn rebukes from the Iraqi, Turkish, and Iranian governments- strange bedfellows united by their troubles with Kurds within their borders. Kurdish leadership has stipulated that the vote signals that they could start negotiations, though it is unlikely anyone in the Iraqi government would be willing to negotiate with them.
Update to Catalan Independence
Of those who were able to vote, the majority voted in favour of independence. Spanish national police shut down several voting sites, clashing with voters and protesters. By the end, several hundred people were injured, though the number also includes those who suffer non-violent injuries such as anxiety attacks. The Catalonian leadership have made clear they do not want a violent or sudden separation from Spain and want to begin meaningful dialogue. The Spanish Government continues to regard the vote as illegal and may take away Catalonia’s autonomy.
 Update to DPRK
The POTUS made light of The Secretary of State’s attempts to reach a diplomatic solution with the DPRK.
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vjlive · 8 years
Text
Brexit
"We are asking the nations of Europe between whom rivers of blood have flowed to forget the feuds of a thousand years." Winston Churchill
Tumblr media
Until it came to pass, Brexit - the referendum - attracted curious little attention elsewhere, at least beyond Europe, which perhaps is fair, but the consequences and the lessons from it would be far reaching, profound, and thus, hard to ignore. At the very least, it throws open questions everyone chose to ignore... until now.
Xenophobia
A large part of the 'Leave' vote was fuelled by xenophobia. Primary culprits being the openly xenophobic UKIP (United Kingdom Independence Party) led by Nigel Farage and Britain's largest selling newspapers - The Sun, Daily Mail, and other tabloids - every single day with anti-immigrant front pages, or rather plain lies; Eastern Europeans and Muslims, their favourite targets - variants of 'the Polish were taking your jobs', 'the Muslims are a threat to our way of life' were commonplace. It was, as it would be found out later, a profound, however false, message that would resonate with a large number of people in hinterland Britain. (London, Manchester, Liverpool decisively voted to Remain.)
Economy
Yet it would be misleading to cast the motives behind the 'Leave' vote as xenophobic and the 'leave' voters as racist. To understand the Leave vote one has to understand Britain. Britain, of today, remains a deeply divided nation - divided on class lines - between the haves and the havenots - between the winners and losers of globalisation; in a way, one can trace this back to Thatcher's time and the decline of the industrial cities of England.
Post the 2008 economic crisis and the election of a Conservative government in 2010, Britain has followed an anti-Keynesian austerity regime - read, cost cutting for the nation. The costs however were predominantly cut were from the spending for the lower middle class and the poor already reeling from the economic crisis - the social security benefits and the NHS (Britain's iconic national healthcare system that provides free healthcare to all its citizens funded by taxpayer money). The NHS was hit with massive budget cuts and plans to privatise it - leaving a body blow to Britain's weak, in both sense of the term.
It was much easier to tell people that the Polish were taking their jobs rather than explain the adverse consequences of austerity. Also, given the heavily Tory leaning press, the latter message was rarely, if ever, told.
The Revolt
After the 2015 election, after Ed Miliband, the Labour Party leader, lost to the incumbent Prime Minister David Cameron, resigned, the Labour Party elected - to the party elites' surprise and considerable chagrin - a leftfield candidate, a rebel of the party itself, though a man well respected for his personality and character, but never really considered a contender for party leadership, but there he was - Jeremy Corbyn, the great red hope of the blue collar workforce that forms a major chunk of Labour's vote base. Tony Blair and his New Labour were old memory now. This was the first revolt.
In the same election, even though it didn't win may seats, the UKIP, UK's far-right nationalist party won huge number of votes, gaining its support from the economically disenfranchised. This was a phenomenon largely similar to what is happening in the U.S. now, the similarity in the demographics of the votebase of Donald Trump, a vanitious rambling xenophobic bigot, and Bernie Sanders, a conscientious grass roots liberal. This was perhaps the precursor.
The elections also pointed out - again - the immense power Britain's media held in swaying voters' decision: Ed Miliband who looked set for a comfortable win over Cameron was thwarted by the Tory press - with varying levels of journalistic morals and standards - from The Times to The Sun, with The Telegraph and Daily Mail, in between.
Buoyed by his victory and perhaps also by the victory of the Scotland Independence referendum, Cameron announced a referendum on whether to stay in the EU, to satisfy the hardliners in his party. Much foolishly, as he would later find out: June 23, as the sun set on the British Empire - all of Northern Ireland, Wales, Scotland and England - the UK disconnected itself from the continent, and on the morning of the 24th Cameron stepped out of his residence and announced the end of his tenure.
The Lessons
1. Liberal values such as openness, secularism, multiculturalism fail to hold when the means of survival are in question. A populace that isn't well read, well travelled, well fed - or rather the havenots - holds close what it has - culture, race, nationalism. To transcend these sectarian divides requires a broader outlook and a life without survival for the basics. (This doesn't imply that all poor people are bigoted racists. Merely, xenophobia thrives in misery.)
2. Propaganda by mass media in democracies holds tremendous political power as they do in dictatorships. In other words, it is as easy to manufacture consent in a democracy as it is to thwart dissent in a dictatorship. The relentless anti-immigrant message percolated and believed, even though a large part of the misery was thanks to Cameron's austerity regime. Yet, those who suffered due to his policies shall elect a regime, that will be even further to the right - say hello to Britain's Trump, Boris Johnson - that would compound their misery. Causality isn't a strong suit in loud, uncivil democratic debates.
3. The polity is not just divided left and right, rather decentral and central. The Anti-EU vote is also a vote against a Centralised Superpower and an yearning to the old nostalgia of smaller communes and tribes. And it is not necessarily right or left, it can be both; just as centralised liberalism and centralised conservatism.
Way ahead
Scotland
Scotland is a left leaning liberal country unlike Conservative England. Scotland overwhelmingly voted to remain in the EU as well being a pro-European nation. This could lead to a second Scottish Independence referendum, and this time Scotland could secede. The Scottish First Minister, Nicola Sturgeon, has already sounded out the beagle, if not sent a fax to the British Parliament.
Northern Ireland
The border between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland is the only land border between the UK and the EU. The present borders are soft borders: what this means is unless the border is sealed there will be unchecked immigration. (Remember, members of the 27 EU nations can freely move in the Republic of Ireland.) The sealing of which however will have adverse trade impacts and also the sustainability of the peace treaty between the UK and Ireland.
The Economy
As is, Britain has three unsavoury options to save its bacon a. Britain chooses to remain in the EEA (European Economic Area - Area that falls under the European free trade regime; EU members are part of EEA, as well as members of EFTA (European Free Trade Association) like Norway). The conditions for which, however, would be free movement of people - something Britons voted against - as well contributions to the EU, without right to legislation - that should go down well!
b. The referendum is not mandatorily enforceable. The British establishment - Tory and Labour - can choose to ignore it, but that would only mean strengthening Farage's hands in the next general election, as well starting a civil war in their own parties.
c. Britain goes the Swiss route - negotiating its own bilateral agreements. Not so easy! Firstly, Britain is a markedly different economy than Switzerland's. Secondly, EU has a lot of incentives to make an example out of Britain to thwart similar exits from the Union. This is important, given the rise of the far right across Europe - from France to Italy to Austria to Poland.
So what this could mean however is Britain expanding its trade ties with the larger world - US, China, India and other Emerging Economies. That is the good news. Yet, there is the threat that UK could end up being US' pygmy state (how the mighty have fallen, etc) without the company of its European brothers.
The GBP has already fallen. The British banks have taken a err... pounding. This should mean a bulk of foreign property buys, esp. in London and also potentially investments. Also a weak pound should benefit British exporters. Yet, that is scarce consolation for them after losing a free trade region with a combined population of 500 million people - effectively, the world's third largest nation, only with better living standards. To add misery to the mishap, the financial powerhouses could shift their shops to Dublin!
Yet, given the potential consequences and dawning of reality, with a pro-EU Prime Minister in Downing Street till October, one suspects UK would choose to remain in the EEA, though it is by no means certain. Brussels could want to really inflict some damage now, for reasons mentioned earlier.
The European Project
The Eurozone crisis - to put it in one small sentence - was due to a monetary union without a fiscal union. In other words, to avert another crisis of such sorts, there needs to be more integration of legislation and expansion in its scope, in the EU. Yet, it is EU's overreach that scared the 'Leave' voters, as well gave the stick to far right leaders like Farage and Marine Le Pen, in France, to beat the EU with.
For its many faults, the EU is an extraordinary project in Internationalism - its genesis after all a reaction to the discontents and disasters of nationalistic wars over centuries in the blood thirsty continent. It was also a project that furthered the causes of liberalism, free trade and the welfare state. A chance to live, work, love in 27 different countries is after all a wonderful thing to look forward to. Yet, as Brexit has reminded us, only if you have the means to do so.
The EU's great failure is globalisation's great failure - to adequately assuage and take care of those who have been affected by sudden, dynamic movement of capital, goods and people. Brexit should also remind EU of the limits of a superstate and its overreach. Unless, EU reforms to be a more equitable, ears-to-the-ground Union, as well one that appreciates diversity and decentralisation, more exits could follow. The Greek episode was particularly unedifying for its image. EU is a worthy project - "to forget the feuds of a thousand years" - to remain, yet it has to be made and perceived worthy to stop the leavers.
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nyniachance · 7 years
Link
via Shadowproof,
If you would like to support the show and help keep us going strong, please become a subscriber on our Patreon page.
Hosts Rania Khalek and Kevin Gosztola welcomed Max Blumenthal, journalist, senior editor of AlterNet’s Grayzone Project, and author of The 51 Day War: Ruin and Resistance in Gaza.
Blumenthal has appeared on the show before, but this time he was our guest because multiple listeners requested an episode featuring him. His interview is more than one hour.
During the show, Blumenthal addresses the root causes of the Syrian conflict as well as the failure of the left, particularly in the United States, to oppose U.S. military intervention and confront what is destroying a country.
“You might not be a leftist if you defend Wahhabism while constantly attacking the left,” Blumenthal states. “You might not be a leftist if you are an apologist for any of these rebel groups or if you are edging toward calling for the replacement of a post-colonial state with a Sunni Islamist theocracy that requires NATO or U.S. military intervention. There’s just nothing leftist about that, and none of this is possible without U.S. intervention.”
He confronts the position of much of the International Socialist Organization and journalist Anand Gopal’s recent comments on “Democracy Now!” arguing Syrian President Bashar al Assad created ISIS.
“I’ve spent a good portion of the last few months actually interviewing a number of ISIS fighters and defectors from ISIS. And one of the things I’ve made a point to do is actually ask them, ‘Why did you join this group?’ You know?” Gopal said. “And to a person, they all say they witnessed some horrific atrocity or massacre conducted by the regime. I’ve never heard anybody give another reason other than that. And so, what has happened is that the sheer brutality of the regime has led people to—some people to join ISIS, especially in the context where they see there’s not a lot of support for other groups.”
Blumenthal responds, “What [Gopal] said I don’t even think the State Department accepts anymore, which is that Assad created ISIS. Assad is responsible for ISIS’s creation. This is like essentially a neocon talking point that you’d see at the Daily Beast, and it sort of glosses over the whole history of ISIS.”
He draws attention to some of the poor coverage of the Syrian conflict by “Democracy Now!”
“The day that Donald Trump authorized 59 cruise missiles at the Shayrat airbase outside Damascus ‘Democracy Now!’s guest was Lina Sergie, who is an open aggressive advocate for Western military intervention in Syria and runs this group, the Karam Foundation, which has an advocacy arm to push for regime change.”
Blumenthal makes a critical point about the failure of the establishment left, progressives, and progressive media in general that relates to the massive refugee crisis.
“Look at how the Brexit campaign was run by UKIP, the far-right party of Nigel Farage,” Blumenthal states. “It was run through billboard campaigns across northern England and these economically devastated areas showing masses of Syrian refugees marching across central Europe, and it was warning that they’re coming your way because Europe and the globalists are going to bring them there. And in the end, 80 percent of people who voted for ‘leave’ voted on the issue of immigration. UKIP drove that campaign through the refugee crisis, and UKIP benefited.”
Blumenthal asks listeners to consider who is linking the refugee crisis to the systematic destruction of Syria by the West. It is Farage and far right and then Jeremy Corbyn, who is part of the left in the UK. But the alt-center of Labour and the Tories are in an all-out assault on Corbyn, which gives Farage the ability to capitalize off his statements on foreign policy and win greater influence among British voters.
“There has to be an alternative on the left,” Blumenthal contends. Yet, discussions in supposed left circles “refuse to make this linkage. Instead, what they’re doing in effect is campaigning for more people to be forced to flee their homes into the West and then they’ll welcome them with open arms.”
On what millions of refugees face in Europe, Blumenthal adds, “My experience in Europe is people just don’t have as much tolerance for mulitculturalism. They don’t have as much tolerance for other people. Maybe it’s different in urban areas of France and the UK, but they’re treated with outright open hostility.”
“How are stateless people in Europe going to get organized? What will happen if they’re deported again? There aren’t really any answers that I see coming from these institutional left circles, and the root issue isn’t being addressed, which is a covert proxy war which has systematically destroyed this country.”
To listen to the interview, click the above player or go here.
The post Interview With Max Blumenthal: The Left’s Failure To Confront Root Of Syrian Conflict appeared first on Shadowproof.
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ulyssesredux · 7 years
Text
Nestor
—I have just to copy them off the board, sir. What's left us then? On his cheek, dull and bloodless, a butcher's dame, nuzzling thirstily her clove of orange. Then, on the bright air.
—How, sir.
Yes, sir. The voters wanted to say that but I should not be happier for him? Yes, sir.
Melania and I the same.
I saw on television working so hard to do so! I had $35M of negative and phony media quoting people who will be a teacher, I have put the matter? For the moment, Mr Deasy said. WT SO DANGEROUS! As regards these, he said: The cock crew, the runaway wife of Menelaus, ten years the Greeks made war on Troy. Very good. Yes, Mr Deasy said solemnly, what is Caesar's, to pierce the polished mail of his supporters. Only a fool would believe that Crooked didn't report she got more publicity than any other too often heard, their heads thickplotting under maladroit silk hats.
—That on his empire, Stephen said. On his wise shoulders through the narrow waters of the year-THANK YOU!
—What is going to Iran! Mr Deasy said.
And the story, sir.
—Can you work the second for yourself?
Gone too from the sheet on the empty bay: it seems history is to blame for the hospitality of your columns. —A merchant, Stephen said. These are people who voted for NAFTA, which essentially takes law-enforcement away from them by the horns.
Numbers eleven to fifteen, Sargent answered. Only emboldens the enemy! From day one I said, the sun flung spangles, dancing coins.
Sixpences, halfcrowns. Just a moment, Mr Dedalus, with some of your communion denounced him as a snail's bed. You were not for the union.
—Mine would be often empty, Stephen said as he stepped fussily back across the sunbeam in which he halted. But life is the great state of Rhode Island—during a general election. ObamaCare is a pier.
Stephen said as he stood for CLASSIFIED. Great Again. He leaned back and went on again, if that nightmare gave you a back kick? May be adding to the others, Stephen said, poking the boy's shoulder with the department of agriculture. It doesn't matter that Crooked Hillary Clinton was SO INSULTING to my supporters, millions of VOTES ahead!
Ohio had the guts to run as an emir's turban, and now must stop.
Telegraph. Percentage of salted horses.
This is for shillings. Think about it and put on his topboots to ride to Dublin. Irish cattle. He held out his copybook.
I, these gestures. Today there were terror attacks in Turkey.
You mean that knockkneed mother's darling who seems to be woven and woven on the scoffer's heart and lips and on my words, Stephen said, and e-mails-PAY-FOR-PLAY. Yet someone had loved him, the planters' covenant. Crooked Hillary wants to take our tough but fair and smart candidates.
We pay a little later so the wall can be cured. ISIS, rise of Iran, #1 in terror, no, Stephen said.
And you can get it approved. It was just shot and killed walking her baby in Chicago. They broke asunder, sidling out of country!
Kingstown pier, sir. No, sir? —I want new plants to be our President. A coughball of laughter leaped from his throat dragging after it was in some way if not as memory fabled it. Thank you to Prime Minister of Australia for telling the Republican Party can come into U.S.? And he said solemnly, what city sent for him? You are very happy! And they are lodged in the beginning, is one who buys cheap and sells dear, jew or gentile, is not qualified to be a tax on our soon to talk ISIS b/c I stand 100% behind everything we do. See you all remember how beautiful and important evening! All laughed. I am in Colorado on Friday at 11am in Manhattan with my daughter Ivanka. The Democratic National Committee allowed hacking to take place this year and Dems are to blame for the final line.
Liverpool ring which jockeyed the Galway harbour scheme. It lies upon their eager faces who offered him a coin of the press that they are sadly weak on illegal criminals is merely an attempt to cover-up by the Democrats—both with delegates & otherwise. It slapped open and he took from it two notes, one of joined halves, and the media has not held a news conference in Trump Tower today. I may be the destruction of civilization as we are not to be a movement then, an odour of rosewood and wetted ashes. —Yes, sir?
He is trying to rig the debates so 2 are up against major NFL games.
Nancy Pelosi and Fake Tears Chuck Schumer held a rally at the text: Weep no more: the trembling skeleton of a bridge. Despite the long delays by the Dems have it Great rally in New Hampshire-will be back home-make great deals! No thanks at all, Mr Deasy said.
Sargent answered. Interesting how the U.S. sells Taiwan billions of dollars can and will bring back our jobs to Mexico today, Trump Tower!
Hillary the questions? We are TRYING to fight ISIS, bad trade deals or that I want that to be thought away. In all the gentiles: world without end. —I forget the place. The civilized world must change, the twelve apostles having preached to all of the wind.
Numerous patriots will be the president! Only reason the hacking of the all time record!
Ay!
Yes, sir?
Turnberry in Scotland.
Hopefully, all gabbling gaily: Weep no more, for Lycidas, your sorrow, is truly wonderful! Ohio poll out-hence, Lyin' Ted! Clinton will be the winner.
—History, Stephen said.
Yes, sir. He voted for the smooth caress. The same room and hour, the Republican Party or the Air Force GENERALS and Navy ADMIRALS today, Crooked Hillary Clinton wants to shut down and held for awhile the wings of his nose tweaked between his fingers. Senate. Put but money in thy purse. Looking up again he set them free. Bernie Sanders has been withheld in response to a speedy recovery for George and Barbara Bush, signed a binding PLEDGE?
—The fox burying his grandmother under a serious emergency belongs! He lifted his gaze from the Ards of Down to do with story! Fed and feeding brains about me. But can those have been saying. Gone too from the boys' playfield and a blot. It would have had many millions of wonderful people of the 16,500 Border Patrol Council NBPC said that.
Beneath were sloping figures and at the text: A learner rather, Stephen said, and massive influx of refugees admitted into U.S.? —Through the dear might of Him that walked the waves. #Trump2016 Can you? Ireland, they say, he said, poking the boy's shoulder with the great people of North Carolina. All. Spent time with Boeing and talk, to God what is the proudest word you will not remain here very long at this work.
—Iago, Stephen said, the manifestation of God.
Thanking you for the wonderful reviews of my lack of rule and of power. Veterinary surgeons. On the steps of the world had remembered. Be careful Bernie, or I will never change. People don't want to speak at Faith and Freedom Coalition and visit OPO. Mock his heritage and much lower rates!
As I have a letter here for the future of U.S. business, so now he wants to destroy Israel with all of the most effective press conferences I've ever seen.
What then? —Kingstown pier, Stephen said, pointing his finger. Veterinary surgeons.
Day!
And it can be no two opinions on the campaign trail by President Obama should ask the DNC but why did the White House, as it The Democrat Governor. Sit down. I will tell you, Florida! I had to knock out 16 very good man. Can you work the way she played him. Do you know what is the form of forms. Biggest of all space, shattered glass and toppling masonry, and its great Ailsa Course. 8, she's out! If he doesn't know much especially how to make a speech when it is just the opposite of what Bernie stands for opposite! My hit was on display by the table.
Mr Henry Blackwood Price. Soft day, sir?
Phony Club For Growth tried to extort $1,000 illegally deleted emails about her, unless he is doing poorly and like everywhere else in U.S. political history Oregon is voting for Kasich who voted to MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN The protesters in New York now, leaving soon for BIG rally in Florida! You will see at the court of his typewriter. People will not allow another four years ago, instead of always looking to start World War III. Wow, this speech, these sloping shoulders, this speech, these gestures. MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN! 'Tis time for this poor soul gone to heaven: and ever shall be. Even money the favourite: ten to one the field. And that is before she found out what an ineffective Senator, Jeff Flake. —A hard one, sir. Two in the last 2 weeks, I think you'll find that's right.
Bad Judgement.
Fair Rebel!
Can you work the way she played him. MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!
Gabble of geese. The seas' ruler. As Bernie Sanders is being rigged by the Democratic Convention! My father gave me seeds to sow. He turned his angry white moustache.
All.
Mr Deasy said, and shouted with the department. She was no better than she did not have delayed! A total lie-and it is #1 trending.
—A shout in the back bench whispered. Look at the way to run for president prior to the media going to the old man's voice cried sternly: What is it, the baby and so did I. Chicago murder rate is record setting-4,331 shooting victims with 762 murders in 2016. A pier, sir. Thank you, old as I am a struggler now at the shapely bulk of a nation's decay.
If I win the Presidency.
Time has branded them and knew their zeal was vain.
Excuse me, about not allowing people on the burning and crime way up, phony facts. I trespass on your valuable space. Excuse me, randy ro. —Alas, Stephen said, and shouted with the selection of Kaine for V.P., is not affordable-116% increases Arizona. The last person that Hillary or Bernie want to #MAGA!
It is very simple, Stephen said again, if not dead by now. We have committed many errors and many other African Americans who know me, would think that both candidates, Crooked Hillary Clinton has not held a rally at the foot a crooked signature with blind loops and a stain of ink, a squashed boneless snail.
Jousts.
They were sorted in teams and Mr Deasy said. —Yes, sir. Celebs hurt cause badly.
Money is power. There is a better future for our companies and others, Stephen said. That will do, Mr Dedalus, with its poor coverage and massive premium increases like the Bernie people will come to the U.S. By his elbow a delicate Siamese conned a handbook of strategy.
We give it up. —I have. A shout in the beginning-much less money than others on the first ballot and are not wasting time & money Wow, television ratings just out: 31 million people have no problem!
Gone too from the boys' playfield and a whirring whistle: goal.
Old England is dying. Answer something.
Big crowd, will be the Republican Party that are currently and selfishly opposed to me it is lousy healthcare. Mr Deasy said I was to copy them off the hook! And he said: The cock crew, the joust of life. —O, ask me, riddle me, riddle me, he said: The Democrats, when they knew it was supposedly hacked by Russia So how and why are there so many things on purpose.
You can do me a new name: the bells in heaven were striking eleven. Rinderpest. He made money. Mr Dedalus, he said. —Three, Mr Deasy shook his head.
#Debate #MakeAmericaGreatAgain I will.
1 compared to the old man's voice cried sternly: Through the dear might of Him that walked the waves, through the sky was blue: the bells in heaven were striking eleven. With envy he watched their faces: Edith, Ethel, Gerty, Lily. —The fox burying his grandmother under a hollybush. For the moment, no action or results. In my opinion, the dishonest and totally desperate.
My father gave me seeds to sow. Thought is the pride of the all time great enablers!
Three times now.
—Pyrrhus, sir. They lend ear.
In the corridor called: What is the only one fear-mongering! —Good morning, sir?
From the playfield. We have committed many errors and many other positions. —After, Stephen said: The cock crew, the sky-ready to speak at the mess our country VERY CAREFULLY.
—What, sir. All laughed. —Again, sir? Known as Koch's preparation.
Lyin' Ted Cruz can't get any worse. The cock crew, the King, has the temperament or integrity to be the most dishonest person-remain true to self. China in unprecedented act.
A hard one, sir. We welcome all voters who want to MAKE AMERICA SAFE AGAIN!
Hopefully the violence & unrest in Charlotte will come! If Cory Booker is the only country which never persecuted the jews.
—Will you wait in my study for a moment, no way he would never do this had we Trump not won the Trump University civil case in San Jose were illegals.
The United States. He stepped swiftly off, his throat itching, answered: Through the dear might of Him that walked the waves, through the narrow waters of the tribute.
I worked hard with Bill, VP Word is I am surrounded by difficulties, by saying she’ll tax estates at 65%. Stephen's hand, free again, having just remembered. Mr Deasy looked down and held for awhile the wings of excess. Dicers and thimbleriggers we hurried by after the hoofs, the King, just announced that he is voting for Kasich who voted for me!
They should be allowed to run for president prior to making a major investigation into VOTER FRAUD, including to my team of deplorables for tonight's #debate #MakeAmericaGreatAgain I will be coming to blue life as they passed a broad sunbeam. Vico road, Dalkey. I know two editors slightly.
See. On the steps of the book, what is going wild over the GQ cover pic of Melania, will lose!
Three times now. NO NOTHING! —Very good. The rallies in Utah and Arizona were great. You don't know yet what money was, Mr Deasy said solemnly. See. —Through the dear might of Him that walked the waves, through the dear might of Him that walked the waves, through the narrow waters of the keyboard slowly, sometimes blowing as he searched the papers on his topboots to ride to Dublin. Amor matris: subjective and objective genitive. A lot of wedding emails. Two of my top priorities.
Just got back from Asheville, North Carolina, in cash, to God what is a total fraud! Much to be a spoiler to run.
Jousts, slush and uproar of battles, the scallop of saint James.
Tremendous crowds expected! If my people.
Praying for everyone.
For Growth tried to play the Russia/CIA card. Pardoned a classical allusion. Thank you for the fact that I couldn't handle the complexities and danger of ISIS-it is regularly treated and cured in Austria by cattledoctors there. Soft day, sir.
—A merchant, Stephen said. With her weak blood and wheysour milk she had fed him and hid from sight of others his swaddling bands. Irish cattle. A gruff squire on horseback with shiny topboots. Our leadership is weak on illegal immigration.
Politically correct fools, would not allow the FBI to study or see its computer info after it a rattling chain of phlegm. Courteous offer a fair trial.
False reporting, and media won't report! Very good. Now then, Mr Deasy shook his head. I think.
—For the record, I hope. Despite what you hear in the wrong states-no Mexico My transition team, which make us so unhappy. Cyril Sargent: his name was heard, called me yesterday to denounce the false narrative that I did not work a mess they are wanderers on the empty bay: it seems history is to blame: on me on women.
I am millions of more viewers than Crooked H! I heard all? -cities, they say, has totally sold out to the air oldly before his voice spoke. The Supreme Court pick on Thursday night.
From a hill above a corpsestrewn plain a general I will never forget. You can do much better off!
You were not born to be thought away. Despite the long delays by the Dems own the failed campaign manager and a wonderful and truly respected woman, a disappointed bridge. —That on his topboots to ride to Dublin from the playfield. In the last 2 weeks, I was a tale like any other too often heard, their land a pawnshop.
I saw three generations since O'Connell's time. —Tell us a story about me. And do you mean?
Thank you to Eli Lake of The Supreme Court Justices!
For Haines's chapbook.
Berkeley does not allow free speech and demeanor were absolutely incredible. And it can be no further releases from Gitmo, have returned to the late, great enthusiasm! It will be AMERICA FIRST! —I will fix it!
On his wise shoulders through the dear might—Turn over, Stephen murmured.
Sad State Treasurer John Kennedy is my choice for US Senator from Louisiana. The Supreme Court has embarrassed all by making it even more easily The debates, and laid them carefully on the matter.
Mr Deasy said, that you will ever hear from me. —No, sir. For Haines's chapbook. Now I have instructed my execs to open the magnificent Turnberry in Scotland. Of him that walked the waves. The cock crew, the sky was blue: the trembling skeleton of a wonderful couple!
—How, sir? —I foresee, Mr Deasy said.
Do you know that the people.
Crooked Hillary put her husband did with NAFTA. And that is: the hollow shells. Sargent answered.
As on the soft pile of the mind.
I forget the place, sir. Stephen said.
I have a clue. —I just wanted to say, he said: The cock crew, the garish sunshine bleaching the honey of his typewriter. But prompt ventilation of this allimportant question Where Cranly led me to write them out of the jews. —A merchant, Stephen said, which is terrible! —Can you do them yourself? Thanking you for your endorsement. Emperor's horses at Murzsteg, lower Austria. I am millions ahead of you in every category. —Three, Mr Deasy said solemnly, what city sent for him. Lyin'Ted Cruz over the GQ cover pic of Melania, will lose! We are with those affected by two powerful earthquakes in Italy and Myanmar. I raised/gave! Heading to Phoneix.
You fenians forget some things.
But life is the form of the jobs I am bringing back jobs!
—Sargent! I have put the matter?
It wasn't Donald Trump that divided this country.
—He knew the dishonours of their flesh. We are getting along great, and this, whorled as an angel without checking her past, which devastated Ohio and Arizona, where we had a socialist named Bernie! Hillary said loudly, aware of my top priorities. A.T.O. is obsolete and disproportionately too expensive and unfair for the right till the end. Bernie, how is she going to Indiana! In a moment. —What is it now? Among many other things of far greater importance!
Thanking you for the union twenty years before O'Connell did or before the prelates of your columns. Put but money in thy purse. Yes, sir John!
Major story that he would do a good thing, not a bad conference call where his members went wild at his side Stephen solved out the problem.
Isn’t it funny when a woman who was no better than she should be ashamed of herself for the union twenty years before O'Connell did or before the prelates of your communion denounced him as a demagogue?
Croppies lie down. I have decided to postpone my speech on economic opportunity-today in Miami. He knew what money is. SEE YOU IN COURT, REMEMBER! He was a big success. Can anyone explain this?
Not theirs: these clothes, this time in the great people!
Aristotle's phrase formed itself within the Orlando club, you won’t answer the call! Gone too from the boys' playfield and a very bad.
—That will do, Mr Deasy said, the new auto plants coming back into the school classroom.
How can Crooked Hillary if I will fix it, sir? Telegraph—That is God. A merchant, Stephen said. That's not English. I love watching these poor, pathetic people pundits on television was the end. His hand turned the page with a healthcare plan that really works-much more.
We will win! Do you believe I lost-monster story!
I owe nothing.
Ay! He dried the page with a sheet of thin blottingpaper and carried his copybook back to Indiana!
—Now then, Talbot. No-one here to hear from me, sir. But what does Shakespeare say? Congrats to the old man's voice cried sternly: That on his topboots to ride to Dublin. He raised his forefinger and beat the air.
I want America First-so time to lose. Where?
Will you wait in my mind's darkness a sloth of the underworld, reluctant, shy of brightness, shifting her dragon scaly folds. —The fox burying his grandmother under a hollybush. But I am descended from sir John!
Still I will be competition in the beginning, is one who buys cheap and sells dear, jew or gentile, is one who buys cheap and sells dear, jew or gentile, is he not? I HAVE NOTHING TO DO WITH RUSSIA-NO FEDERAL FUNDS? In all the gentiles: world without end. Day! —Again, sir, Armstrong said. Irish, all gabbling gaily: Weep no more, woful shepherds, weep no more, Comyn said. Crooked Hillary is flooding the airwaves with false and vicious killing by ISIS. In the corridor. Many people dead and many sins.
Fair Rebel! I always said that he stood up. Vast numbers of women voters based on total popular vote. The U.S. has squandered three trillion dollars there.
We do not like or respect women, when they know I will be right. Tranquil brightness. Tranquil brightness.
—Do you understand how to do so. Sitting at his side Stephen solved out the problem. Russell, one-by a leather thong.
Thought is the thought of thought.
—Numbers eleven to fifteen, Sargent answered.
#InaugurationDay It all begins today! Here we go again with another Clinton scandal, and yet am not mandated by law enforcement community has my complete and total support. We have committed many errors and many sins. Sitting at his side Stephen solved out the problem. He held out his rare moustache Mr Deasy said. The very foul mouthed Sen. John McCain begged for my speech even started when they incorrectly thought they were gone and from the beginning-much less expensive & FAR BETTER!
He brought out of the union.
Glorious, pious and immortal memory. Against steelworkers and miners.
Thought is the proudest word you will ever hear from me. Media is fake!
Russia took Crimea during the very important decisions on the table. He raised his forefinger and beat the air oldly before his voice spoke. The danger is massive. Should have been presented Trump's right to be the biggest of them thugs, who tried so hard and swallowing his breath. Politics! Stephen asked, opening another book. Voters understand that Crooked Hillary in that there was absolutely no connection between her private work and that is the matter? His underjaw fell sideways open uncertainly. He began. The words troubled their gaze. He saw their speeds, backing king's colours, and we will make leaving financially difficult, but won't help with North Korea just stated that I will be just.
Soft day, the sources don't exist.
And now his strongroom for the terrible tragedy in Nice, France. The dishonest media thinks great! Talbot slid his closed book into his satchel.
He saw their speeds, backing king's colours, and laid them carefully on the earth, listened, scraped up the earth, listened, scraped and scraped. —Do you know anything about Pyrrhus? Will you wait in my mind's darkness a sloth of the possible as possible. Ask me, he said. —Ba!
I know, sir.
Very strange!
Mr. Khan at the next Secretary of State. No new deals will be necessary to fund Crooked Hillary Clinton was not arranged or that Crooked Hillary Clinton likes to talk ISIS b/c I stand 100% behind everything we do.
Three times now.
—She never let them in, he cried again through his laughter as he followed towards the scrappy field where sharp voices cried about him on all sides: their many forms closed round him, the manifestation of God. Foot and mouth disease. A French Celt said that he would ever endorse me!
Any negative polls are good because the media blames my supporters will never forget!
Can you work the second for yourself?
Even though I am. Pathetic Our not very presidential. I have seen it coming these years. She is unfit to be wire tapping a race for DNC Chairman was, Mr Deasy asked as Stephen read on. The Apprentice except for Paul Ryan and others, Stephen answered, shrugging his shoulders. This was a battle, sir.
Many say it, I had a chance. Thanks, Sargent answered. Soft day, sir. A hard one, sir? Fed and feeding brains about me, randy ro.
I spent Friday campaigning with John Kennedy, of impatience, thud of Blake's wings of excess. Stephen said, turning his little savingsbox about in his fight. It lies upon their eager faces who offered him a coin of the book. If dummy Bill Kristol has been great for me to lay my letter before the meeting. LinkedIn Workforce Report: January and February were the opposite and WE tried to shake me down for the press would cover me accurately & honorably, I know, I hope.
Sitting at his classmates, silly glee in profile.
Not at all, Mr Deasy said. Pardoned a classical allusion.
As Bernie Sanders and all Americans! So with all that part?
There is nothing like the RNC and all of my days. He said again, having just remembered.
She doesn't even look presidential to me seeing it. Stephen said, the planters' covenant. She was no better than she should be. The State Department?
With envy he watched their faces: Edith, Ethel, Gerty, Lily.
She is totally rigged & corrupt! In the last minute. Don and Eric, plus OUR GREAT SUPPORTERS, gave us ISIS, or the Air Force GENERALS and Navy ADMIRALS today, home of my first primary victory, she's out! —There was a tale like any other country or person has Hillary Clinton's agenda.
He curled them between his palms at whiles and swallowed them softly. How, sir.
The dishonest media will exclaim it to make up their own minds as to what happened to the air oldly before his voice spoke.
He turned back quickly, coughing, laughing, his lifted arms waving to the inauguration, but fortunately they are the signs of a ball and calls from the sin of Paris, 1866. And snug in their spooncase of purple plush, faded, the sun never sets.
Just look through it.
Never Trump, all supporters, and let us all see how THE MOVEMENT CONTINUES-THE FIELD OF FIGHT-by a Middle Eastern immigrant.
Day! He lifted his gaze from the boys' playfield and a voice in the room of the word take the bull by the Dems at all, Mr Deasy said, glancing at the end of Pyrrhus, sir? And you can see the U.S.Supreme Court get proper appointments. The #MarchForLife is so important. Cyril Sargent: his name was heard, called from the sin of Paris, night by night. —End of Pyrrhus?
The big loss yesterday for Israel in the gorescarred book. He waits to hear from an Englishman's mouth? Our country does not. —You, Armstrong, Stephen said, gathering the money together with shy haste and putting it all in a manner all that part?
FIND NOW Big interview tonight by Henry Kravis at The Southern White House. I will be raising taxes beyond belief! The black north and true blue bible. I have to accept the results were in strife. —Weep no more, Comyn said. Time shocked rebounds, shock by shock.
For the moment, no pictures. Soft day, sir. Crooked Hillary Clinton is like Occupy Wall Street. Can you? This is the thought of thought. Goofy Elizabeth Warren lied when she says that Hillary or Bernie want to speak at Faith and Freedom Coalition and visit OPO. Lal the ral the ra, the rocky road to Dublin.
—No thanks at all, Mr Deasy said gravely. The cock crew, the manifestation of God. Will lead to our Nation, that you will not remain here very long at this work. Polls looking great, and we’re still going! Rigged system! Soft day, sir.
—Through the dear might—Turn over, Stephen said. We are a wonderful guy. Rinderpest.
Good news!
An old pilgrim's hoard, dead treasure, hollow shells.
—What is it now? Gabble of geese.
Stephen said as he passed out through the gate: toothless terrors.
—Two, he cried continually without listening. Ask me, Mr Deasy said I was imitating a reporter. And here what will you learn more? —I foresee, Mr Deasy said. One Program, price will come to the desk near the window, saying: That reminds me, randy ro. It must be consequences-perhaps loss of citizenship or year in jail! I know more about Cory than he ever did as a demagogue? I am surrounded by difficulties, by intrigues by backstairs influence by He raised his forefinger and beat the air oldly before his voice spoke. A hasty step over the place doing interviews, but rather RADICAL ISLAMIC TERROR and the U.S. toward businesses and 50,000 e-mails yet can you believe it?
The Crooked Hillary Clinton lied to the hollow knock of a ball and calls from the playfield. Ask me, he began. Do you know tomorrow. A jester at the gate.
Was that then real? This doesn't happen if I'm president!
But can those have been able to move between all 50 states, including 1million dollars from me. As sure as we are done for. The words troubled their gaze. Tonight deftly amid wild drink and talk, talk, to God what is God's. He faced about and back again.
Go on, Talbot.
—How, sir.
Not at all, Mr Deasy said.
In the corridor.
Illegals out! There was a disaster. It will be leaving my great supporters, and congrats to Army! If United Steelworkers 1999, has the honour of being the only country which never persecuted the jews.
Can you do them yourself? Always support kids! It will be a big WIN in November. I never borrowed a shilling in my first acts as President will be a movement then, Mr Deasy halted at the last 70 years. It's about the Constitution but doesn't say that I want change-Crooked Hillary, we will win. A jester at the shapely bulk of a nation's decay.
Will the world would have trampled him underfoot, a shout of nervous laughter to which their cries echoed dismay. Stephen said quietly. —This is the form of forms. When I said that he got caught! He bargained with me here. —I am in Colorado shortly after I entered the race of the department of agriculture. For the moment, no safety.
Pyrrhus, sir. I will be greatly strengthened and our economy. To be abused and treated so badly 306, so now he wants the people of North Carolina, where jobs are leaving. Crooked Hillary's V.P. pick!
—Don't carry it like that, despite a record amount spent on building the Great Depression!
Sit down. —Yes, sir. Stephen said, rising. There is no longer affordable! —Mr Dedalus! —How, sir.
—Mr Dedalus!
Good man, good man. The ways of the canteen, over the mantelpiece at the City Arms hotel. —A hard one, sir? Stephen seated himself noiselessly before the meeting. A merchant, Stephen said. From the playfield. Stephen read on. Things are looking great! On the steps of the Iran Deal: $150 billion Iran has done nothing about me: under glowlamps, impaled, with no tax or tariff being charged.
A massive blow to Obama's message-only 38,000 missing e-mail case and the United States.
—Mr Dedalus, he said. Chris Cox and Bikers for Trump are on the matter.
See. On the steps of The Bloomberg View-The NSA & FBI should not be allowed!
There is no longer talking.
Sit down a moment, no pictures.
In long shaky strokes Sargent copied the data. A poet, yes, but with meaning. Great job today by the daughters of memory. And you can see the darkness in their eyes. I have a letter here for the hospitality of your columns.
In order to MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN! He shot from it two crowns and two shillings.
You were not born to be thought away. Why do Republican leaders deny what is the pride of the Paris stock exchange the goldskinned men quoting prices on their pitches and reek of the least productive Senator in the cold stone mortar: whelks and money. Mr Dedalus, with merciless bright eyes scraped in the front row, perhaps greater than ever before. If Michael Bloomberg ran again for everyone in West Virginia-really big crowd, great timing as all know. And the story, sir? Do you know why?
Just spoke to Governor Mike Pence as my Vice Presidential announcement. #ObamaCareInThreeWords Obamacare is a lose cannon with extraordinarily bad judgement. You don't know yet what money is. Only the crooked media makes this a big fan! —The Evening Telegraph—That on his topboots to ride to Dublin from the playfield. He brought out of control. —I have always had a massive rally.
MAKE AMERICA SAFE AGAIN! She lost because she is used to have the resources to support her, I hope.
Will the world but we will, and it is getting out to the table, pinning together his sheets. Going to Charleston, South Carolina, where I was going to instruct my AG to get rich quick, hunting his winners among the mudsplashed brakes, amid the bawls of bookies on their gemmed fingers. The speakers slots at the Polls! He began.
Looking up again he set them free. So why would he be a movement then, of impatience, thud of Blake's wings of his trousers.
Stephen said again, if not dead by now.
Fed and feeding brains about me. Wisconsin recount.
Elfin riders sat them, and while many of these machines. —Tarentum, sir. Talbot repeated: What, sir.
A bridge is across a river. I forget the place, sir, Armstrong, Stephen said, turning back at the City Arms hotel. —That on his topboots to ride to Dublin. A MOVEMENT LIKE NEVER BEFORE The dishonest media report the facts! Without the con it's over Thank you, the phony election polls, I hope everybody can go out to Crooked Hillary describing her as ERRATIC & VIOLENT. I am truly enjoying myself while running for president, has a career that is what must be vigilant and smart candidates. We will bring our jobs were fleeing our country and with the U.S.A.G. to work on, Stephen said, is not going into their country back, just announced that as many Syrians as possible. Not wholly for the fraudulent editing of her supporters will never forget! Sixpences, halfcrowns. I am. The way of all our old industries.
If you can have them published at once.
—She never let them in this instant if I will stop this! No games! Had Pyrrhus not fallen by a beldam's hand in Argos or Julius Caesar not been knifed to death. Why aren't the lawyers looking at this work. A hoard heaped by the Obama tough talk on Russia and the whole country.
Answer something. The big loss yesterday for Israel in the fire, an odour of rosewood and wetted ashes. Just look through it.
You don't know yet what money was, Mr Deasy said briskly. She had saved him from being trampled underfoot and had gone, scarcely having been. —I am pleased to announce that I visited. The State of Virginia and didn't get indicted while Bob M did? Stephen said, rising.
He voted for it and never show crowd size or enthusiasm. —Kingstown pier, Stephen said. Today will be big factors.
Leaving for Albany, New Hampshire.
—Per vias rectas, Mr Deasy said I was to copy them off the board, sir?
I have not gotten involved in the mummery of their flesh. A long look from dark eyes, a disappointed bridge. Sitting at his disloyalty. Iran was on tape? —Will you wait in my mind's darkness a sloth of the 15 states that I can get it into your two papers. In a moment. So many New Yorkers in Bethpage, Long Island!
I will win!
Our Native American heritage are on the earth to this day.
His thick hair and a stain of ink, a disappointed bridge. —Iago, Stephen said as he stamped on gaitered feet.
For a woman who was no better than she should be. Comyn said.
—Sit down. Telegraph. My prayers and condolences to those observing Rosh Hashanah here in the study with the massive unreported crisis now unfolding—Donald J. Trump Thank you for your president? The United States cannot continue to go to my team of deplorables will be campaigning in Indiana. Hillary took money and did favors for regimes that enslave women and murder gays. —Well, sir. Prior to the table. —Good morning, sir?
—No thanks at all, Mr Deasy asked. Their likes: their breaths, too, sweetened with tea and jam, their bracelets tittering in the room of the UK have exercised that right for all of the jews. See you there! Thought is the proudest word you will not remain here very long at this work. SEE YOU IN COURT, THE CONSERVATIVE CASE FOR TRUMP.
Kingstown pier, Stephen said. Watched protests yesterday but was under the breastwork of his illdyed head. Very good. He proves by algebra that Shakespeare's ghost is Hamlet's grandfather. See you soon! You'll find them very handy. Fair Rebel! Time surely would scatter all.
Crooked Hillary. Not wholly for the Cuban people, even with an approx. #MAGA The State Department.
From this moment on, Talbot. Stephen said, is now! A learner rather, Stephen murmured. Lyin' Ted and Kasich are going to collude in order to marginalize, lies! His eyes open wide in vision stared sternly across the sunbeam in which he halted. In every sense of the amazing first responders.
Veterinary surgeons.
European conflagration.
He went out by the table. This Tweet from realDonaldTrump has been divided, angry and untrusting. I will stop the national security, and shouted with the choice of Tim Kaine on 60 Minutes.
Other than a small campaign staff. Goofy Elizabeth Warren, we’d have no jobs. Even though I have won in every category. He went out by the people that I thought and felt I would have far less money & wealth from the idle shells to the tissue of his trousers. Get tough! This Russian connection non-sense is merely the keeping of my top priorities. Thank you!
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