my part of collab of the running man pokemon au! with @korispades :D this time, the crocodile cage/wing walking squad hehe
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do you have any 18-33 suggestions for a rosalie hale recast? i'd really prefer if she stayed blonde
𝙝𝙚𝙡𝙡𝙤 𝙯𝙚𝙥. 𝙞 '𝙙 𝙡𝙞𝙠𝙚 𝙩𝙤 𝙥𝙡𝙖𝙮 𝙖 𝙜𝙖𝙢𝙚. you bet your butt i do omg @revenanthq looks like someone's excited!!! literally love the hales sm
Alexa Tiziani ( 2001, influencer, blonde, white )
Daisy Jelley ( 2000, influencer with acting resources, blonde, white )
Dianna Agron ( 1986 (20s in Glee resources), actress, blonde/brunette, white/Jewish )
Dilan Cicek Deniz ( 1995, actress, blonde/brunette, Turkish )
Emily Alyn Lind ( 2002, actress, blonde, white )
Frida Gustavsson ( 1993, model with acting resources, blonde/brunette, white )
Hanna Edwinson ( 1996, model, blonde, white )
Im Jinah ( 1991, musician with acting resources, blonde/brunette, Korean )
Jeon Somin ( 1986, actress, blonde/brunette, Korean )
Jung Jinsoul ( 1997, musician, blonde/brunette, Korean )
Kwon Nara ( 1991, musician with acting resources, blonde/brunette, Korean )
Melisa Dongel ( 1995, actress, blonde/brunette, Turkish )
Michelle Randolph ( 1997, model with acting resources, blonde, white )
Rosie Huntington-Whiteley ( 1987, model with acting resources, blonde, white/Jewish )
Scarlett Leithold ( 1997, model, blonde, white )
Stephanie Bertram Rose ( 1994, model, blonde, half Black )
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CRYSTALLIS MISSION 006
SCHEDULE TYPE: TRIMESTER ( PART 1 OUT OF 1 )
SCHEDULE RESTRICTIONS: cannot be paired with another trimester schedule, unless stated otherwise. for reference as to whether your muse is eligible for this event, please click over HERE.
despite crystallis’ busy schedules, JUNG NAHEE, HWANG EUNJO, and SEO YEWON gather all of the crystallis members together before they would resume practicing for their comeback. “it’s that time again, so let’s start with our upcoming schedules.” YEWON begins speaking first as she shows the girls their schedules for the next few months.
CRYSTALLIS JAPANESE DEBUT
“a while back i told you a little bit about the japanese debut and the coaches are happy to say that you’ve listened to the feedback and worked on your language skills during that time.” YEWON smiles at the girls before looking back down at her files. she then tells NAHEE and EUNJO to help her hand the lyrics sheet for their japanese debut.
for this, CRYSTALLIS will be having their japanese debut on MAY 29. the list below is their album tracklist for this debut:
TARGET ( TITLE TRACK )
MELTY ( JAEHWA SOLO )
lyrics distributions for this can be found over HERE. because the debut is happening soon, during APRIL the girls will be spending any free time they have in between their promotions and gigs preparing and recording the songs. then starting MAY 1, they will start filming their title track music video. information about this will be listed in the Q2 2023 schedules posts, which will be revealed after all of the career missions have been posted.
CF GIGS
“there are two brands that are interested in doing a commercial with you. however, since ICHIKA will be busy with her other gigs we’ve decided to accept both of the brands and split the remaining six of you into smaller groups.” YEWON explains to the girls as she shows them the brands and the group arrangement.
TEAM MLB
MEMBERS: AHN JAEHWA, MOON SOMIN, SEO YURA
CF INSPO: HERE ( it won’t be exactly like this, but the video is to give you a feel of how it would turn out )
INFO: after filming the cf and photoshoot for the brand, the staff will ask JAEHWA, SOMIN, and YURA to create their own outfit using the MLB products. they will take photos of their complete outfit to post on MLB’s instagram account and list which ones the girls wore.
TEAM 8X4
MEMBERS: GEUM DANBI, GONG HYEJOO, MIN SOYOUN
CF INSPO: HERE ( it won’t be exactly like this, but the video is to give you a feel of how it would turn out )
INFO: after filming the cf and photoshoot for the brand, the staff will ask DANBI, HYEJOO, and SOYOUN to pick their favorite 8x4 deo perfume scent and be asked to pose with it ( similar to this ) for their instagram account.
the CRYSTALLIS members will be working on the photoshoot and cf sometime around MAY.
( IMPORTANT NOTE: this will also count as one slot in the modeling contracts for the CRYSTALLIS members. )
POSSIBLE KOREAN COMEBACK & SUBUNITS
“i think the next bit i’m going to tell you might be a bit of a surprise…” YEWON turned her head slightly towards NAHEE and EUNJO who were already aware of what she’s about to tell them. “legacy is planning on giving you another comeback after your japanese debut but there were some things that we had to negotiate on. legacy is planning on announcing a big project in the next few months, but unfortunately CRYSTALLIS will not be a part of it.” she believes that in due time the girls would understand what she is implying, but for now YEWON does her best to focus on the positive aspects of it.
YEWON continued on, “i did a bit of negotiating with the higher ups about this and suggested that we could let you have a little bit more control over the next album as a trade off for that. while they won’t allow you full control of that yet, you will probably be the first group of this generation that gets to do this. so depending on the outcome, this might influence the company to do it for the other groups as well.”
later on in the conversation, YEWON will reveal to the girls that their next korean comeback is planned for AUGUST. to give the admin team some time to finalize the album list, we’ve decided to let the CRYSTALLIS muns decide the subunit and b-sides. while they won’t have all of the control deciding the b-sides, they will be allowed to suggest to the admin team the subunit concept and arrangement!
here are some stipulations regarding this idea that would need to be taken into consideration:
there can only be 2-3 people in the unit — it’s up to the group to decide how they would like to arrange this, but as seen from above, since JAEHWA has a solo song for the japanese debut, she will be excluded in this activity.
when suggesting your unit ideas, you must include the following: name of the unit, members in the unit, concept ( you can make this simple when describing it / ex. retro and quirky ), and 3 songs references that best match the unit’s concept.
SUBUNITS: you can submit multiple suggestions ( ex. subunit 1 - danbi + soyoun + yura / subunit 2 - hyejoo + somin + ichika / subunit 3 - danbi + hyejoo + yura, etc. ) but do note that you can only submit one entry per unit.
SUBUNIT NAMES: make sure they are appropriate. they do not necessarily have to have crystallis in the unit name, but if you want to take the extra step, you can also provide a reason behind the subunit’s name!
CONCEPT: you do not have to make it similar to what crystallis is known for. however, the best advice for this is to take into account the sounds of the other groups ( this includes lgc girls ) that legacy has at the moment and think of one that wouldn’t overlap too much with their sound.
SONG REFERENCE: they must be korean b-sides released from JULY 1, 2021 to MAY 13, 2023. drama osts will not be counted for this. it is advised that the irl group reference ( for the song ) is close to or matches the number of people in the subunit ( ex. if the crystallis unit has 3 people, you could use a song that has 2-4 people ). this is mostly to make it easier when doing the lyrics distribution for the song, but if you cannot find a suitable song that follows that, it’s fine too.
please send all of your suggestions to admin *! only the suggestions received by her will be the ones that we receive and review through.
to give the admin team ample time to finalize the album list, you have until MAY 13, 2023 11:59PM EDT to complete this.
NOTORIETY TIERS
due to crystallis’ schedule for the next few months, they will be allowed to participate in the MAY cycle of the NOTORIETY TIERS but will not be able to do the JULY cycle.
YOUTUBE LIVESTREAMS
since SOYOUN and SOMIN’s birthdays will be happening this month, they will be given a chance to do a solo livestream on their birthday to interact with the fans. given that they have busy schedules, this will be done in their dorms at night. the livestream will last around 30-45 minutes depending if there are any schedules that they have to attend to the following day.
LANGUAGE POINTS REWARDS
for completing the point requirements, all of the CRYSTALLIS members will be rewarded +10 SKILL POINTS that can be distributed anywhere! this bit will be added in the crystallis mission form.
ONE LAST THING…
before ending their meeting, YEWON tells the members in a stern tone, “and as a reminder from our meeting last time, please be careful of who you are spending time with, especially when you’re outside of legacy. the fact that we’ve been receiving so many offers and gigs as of late means that all of you are popular to the general public in some way or another. but as idols become more popular, there are more people watching over you and your actions.” the head manager let out a sigh as she added, “and as HARU’s JAMES said recently on a variety show, ‘don’t go outside, or else you’ll get caught no matter what.’ and to be frank, he’s right. after all, look what happened to him after that one scandal…”
NAHEE turned her head to look at YEWON with a smirk on her face, wanting to tease YEWON for her warning. YEWON stopped her as she dismissed the CRYSTALLIS members hastily. “okay, the meeting is done so go get ready for your comeback!”
WRITING REQUIREMENTS
CF GIGS: write a 300+ word solo of your muse selecting their favorite scent in the collection (team 8x4) OR creating their own outfit using the brand’s items (team mlb) for +5 MODELING and +7 NOTORIETY ! ** for everyone except ICHIKA **
JAPANESE DEBUT PROMOTIONS: write a 300+ word solo or a 4 replies (minimum 8 lines) thread with another CRYSTALLIS member about anything related to the japanese debut promotions ( ex. practicing/recording the song, filming the music video, attending the promotional events, etc ). completing this will earn you +6 POINTS TO DISTRIBUTE ANYWHERE and +4 NOTORIETY ! ** can be completed up to three times for everyone else except SOMIN and SOYOUN. for SOMIN and SOYOUN, this can be completed up to two times **
BIRTHDAY LIVESTREAM: write a 250+ word solo about the livestream for +5 POINTS TO DISTRIBUTE ANYWHERE and +3 NOTORIETY ! ** only applicable to SOMIN and SOYOUN **
LANGUAGE REWARDS: as mentioned earlier, for completing the point requirements, each member is given +10 POINTS TO DISTRIBUTE ANYWHERE !
make sure to use the hashtag lgc:crystallismission for the task. you have until JUNE 17, 2023 at 11:59PM EDT to complete the requirements and validate your points. please submit the following form ONCE on the points blog.
MUSE NAME ∙ CRYSTALLIS MISSION 006
- CF GIGS: +5 modeling, +7 notoriety [ LINK ] ** everyone except ICHIKA **
- JAPANESE DEBUT PROMOTIONS: +6 ( skill points distribution ), +4 notoriety [ LINK ] ** can be done up to 2-3 times **
- BIRTHDAY LIVESTREAM: +5 ( skill points distribution ), +3 notoriety [ LINK ] ** only for SOMIN and SOYOUN **
- LANGUAGE REWARDS: +10 ( skill points distribution )
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new and/or returning muses 😎
yoon jeonghan as mino paek — 26, he/him, soloist, gay. good guy who started with collabs in the us and then gained traction internationally; has a rep for being a bad boy when all he wants to do is stay home and play wonderwall on his guitar ... c'mon man ...
kim chaewon as chanel moon — 21, she/they, professional snowboarder, bisexual. 5-time x games gold medalist working her way to the olympics. she also studies mechanical engineering at university, though many suspect that she got in due to her influence and popularity ( is it true ? who knows ? ).
nadine lustre as cam del rosario — 27, she/they, model, bisexual. out of touch beach babe who solves all her problems by getting new tattoos. a little manipulative, sure — but when you're pretty they let you get away with anything, don't they ?
ha sooyoung as somin seo — 25, she/her, pr agent, pansexual. always pragmatic and level-headed, she's done her best to make it where she is now despite starting off with very little in life, and she knows better than to be reckless and lose it. inspired by kook yeon-su from our beloved summer.
saoirse ronan as thena prince — 28, they/she, model turned pr agent, pansexual. fun and energetic, thena's the complete opposite of somin when it comes to running the firm; they're very close with the local football team, as she used to date some of the players before realizing they wanted to be a little more independent. inspired by keeley jones from ted lasso.
sabrina carpenter as fallon bailey — 23, she/her, tarot reader scammer, bisexual. generally, airbenders are seen as being able to bestow good luck and blessings and fortune upon others. thankfully, fallon isn't like other girls !
zayn malik as henry noor — 27, he/him, lecturer, pansexual. teaches french at the same university he graduated from. buys excessive amounts of tea. thinks "pretentious" is a compliment.
manny jacinto as colin arciga — 31, he/him, butcher serial killer, bisexual. the pride and joy of his small town despite not having finished med school for quote unquote "disciplinary reasons." very charming, if you can stand the sight and smell of blood.
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[Ilya Somin] Can we trust government to correct our cognitive biases?
Can these guys be trusted to correct our cognitive errors? President Barack Obama and Donald Trump meet in the Oval Office, Nov. 10, 2016. (Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post)
Economist Richard Thaler recently won the 2017 Nobel Prize in economics for his important work documenting widespread cognitive errors in human decision-making. All too often, people fail to act as rationally as conventional economic models assume, and at least some of those errors are systematic in nature. Such errors can lead to mistakes that greatly diminish our health, happiness, and welfare.
Thaler and many other behavioral economics scholars argue that government should intervene to protect people against their cognitive biases, by various forms of paternalistic policies. In the best-case scenario, government regulators can “nudge” us into correcting our cognitive errors, thereby enhancing our welfare without significantly curtailing freedom.
But can we trust government to be less prone to cognitive error than the private-sector consumers whose mistakes we want to correct? If not, paternalistic policies might just replace one form of cognitive bias with another, perhaps even worse one. Unfortunately, a recent study suggests that politicians are prone to severe cognitive biases too – especially when they consider ideologically charged issues. Danish scholars Caspar Dahlmann and Niels Bjorn Petersen summarize their findings from a study of Danish politicians:
We conducted a survey of 954 Danish local politicians. In Denmark, local politicians make decisions over crucial services such as schools, day care, elder care and various social and health services. Depending on their ideological beliefs, some politicians think that public provision of these services is better than private provision. Others think just the opposite. We wanted to see how these beliefs affected the ways in which politicians interpreted evidence….
In our first test, we asked the politicians to evaluate parents’ satisfaction ratings for a public and a private school. We had deliberately set up the comparison so one school performed better than the other. We then divided the politicians into two groups. One group got the data — but without any information as to whether the school was public or private. The schools were just labeled “School A” and “School B.” The other group got the exact same data, but instead of “School A” and “School B,” the schools’ titles were “Public School” and “Private School.”
If politicians are influenced by their ideologies, we would expect that they would be able to interpret the information about “School B” and “School A” correctly. However, the other group would be influenced by their ideological beliefs about private versus public provision of welfare services in ways that might lead them to make mistakes….
This is exactly what we found. Most politicians interpreting data from “School A” and “School B” were perfectly capable of interpreting the information correctly. However, when they were asked to interpret data about a “Public School” and a “Private School” they often misinterpreted it, to make the evidence fit their desired conclusion.
Even when presented additional evidence to help them correct their mistakes, Dahlmann and Petersen found that the politicians tended to double down on their errors rather than admit they might have been wrong. And it’s worth noting that Denmark is often held up as a model of good government that other countries should imitate. If Danish politicians are prone to severe ideological bias in their interpretation of evidence, the same – or worse – is likely to be true of their counterparts in the United States and elsewhere.
Politicians aren’t just biased in their evaluation of political issues. Many of them are ignorant, as well. For example, famed political journalist Robert Kaiser found that most members of Congress know little about policy and “both know and care more about politics than about substance.” When Republican senators tried to push the Graham-Cassidy health care reform bill through Congress last month, few had much understanding of what was in the bill. One GOP lobbyist noted that “no one cares what the bill actually does.”
Given such widespread ignorance and bias, it is unlikely that we can count on politicians to correct our cognitive errors. To the contrary, giving them the power to try to do so will instead give free rein to the politicians’ own ignorance and bias.
But perhaps voters can incentivize politicians to evaluate evidence more carefully. They can screen out candidates who are biased and ill-informed, and elect knowledgeable and objective decision-makers. Sadly, that is unlikely to happen, because the voters themselves also suffer from massive political ignorance, often being unaware of even very basic facts about public policy. And like the Danish politicians in Dahlmann and Petersen’s study, voters also tend to be highly biased in their evaluation of evidence.
Significantly, both voters and politicians tend to be much more biased in evaluating evidence on political issues than similar evidence about other matters. The politicians surveyed by Dahlmann and Petersen had little difficulty in evaluating data on the performance of “School A” versus “School B,” but were highly biased in considering the performance of private schools as compared to public ones. The latter is a controversial political issue, while the former is not.
This is not a surprising result. Making rational decisions and keeping our biases under control often requires considerable effort. Voters have very little incentive to make such an effort on political issues because the chance that any one vote will make a difference to the outcome of an election is extraordinarily small. As a result, it is actually rational for them to be ignorant about most political issues and to make little or no attempt to evaluate political information in an unbiased way. By contrast, private sector decisions are more likely to make a difference. This creates stronger incentives to both acquire information and evaluate it objectively, though obviously few of us avoid bias completely. It is no accident that most people spend more time and effort seeking out and evaluating information when they decide what TV or smartphone to buy than when they decide who to vote for in a presidential election – or any other election.
Politicians arguably have stronger incentives to learn about politics than voters do. Their decisions on policy issues often do make a difference. But because the voters themselves are often ignorant and biased, they tend to tolerate – and even reward – policy ignorance among those they elect. Politicians have strong incentives to work on campaign skills, but relatively little incentive to become knowledgeable about policy. It is not surprising that most do far better on the former than the latter.
Far from working to correct voters’ ignorance and bias, politicians often try manipulate it to their advantage. Donald Trump is just an extreme case of a common phenomenon: a political leader who effectively capitalizes on voter ignorance, while being poorly informed about policy himself. More conventional politicians – including Trump’s predecessor Barack Obama – often use similar tactics, even if not quite to the same extent.
Some behavioral economics scholars – including Thaler’s frequent coauthor Cass Sunstein – argue that instead of relying on the normal democratic process to address cognitive bias, we should delegate more power to expert bureaucracies. Bureaucratic experts may be more knowledgeable than voters and elected officials.
But expert regulators have significant knowledge limitations of their own, and the ignorance and bias of voters and politicians often create perverse incentives for bureaucrats and exacerbate their shortcomings. Moreover, bureaucrats are far from free of cognitive biases of their own.
Critics have found evidence that some of the cognitive biases identified by behavioral economists are not as severe as is often claimed, or may even be artifacts of flawed experimental methods. Nonetheless, as Thaler and others have effectively shown, cognitive bias is often a genuine problem. Few if any people are as systematically rational as homo economicus or the Vulcans of Star Trek. But if we rely on government to try to fix our biases, we can easily end up exacerbating the very problem we set out to correct.
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