#Correlation isn't causation
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Thats not how any of this works.
"Obesity is responsible" you literally cannot prove this. What the fresh hell.
The amount of stories we've seen through this blog of fat people not getting the bare minimum of cancer screenings, and told to loose weight only to have cancer, is disgusting. You cannot take these statements seriously when fatphobic doctors don't give fat people screenings they need.
Im going around in circles and just need to slap people.
-mod squirrel
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Myka is big spoon and H.G is little spoon, but H.G is a top and Myka is a bottom.
Yes, and?
Listen, Nonny, too and bottom are sex terms. They describe who acts in the sex act and who is acted upon, who gives (the top) and who receives (the bottom). They stem from the male gay community, where they're used to describe preference for which role, too, as in "I'm a top" = "I only give", with people who like both giving and receiving being switches.
These aren't personality terms, and especially these aren't a personality binary.
Tops aren't also dominant or confident or butch or the decision-makers. Bottoms aren't also subordinate or meek or femme or the ones who follow others' wishes. And I know there are large parts of the wlw community who conflate these terms at this point in time, but I will always push back against that, because a lot of that smacks of gender roles 2.0 and I am *not* here for that.
People are much more complex than that, and top and bottom are just sex roles.
However!
(steps off soap box)
A person can dislike asking for help, or being the protected one when they usually do the protecting. A person can see themselves as the one who usually is the big spoon, with all its protective overtones, and feel odd about being spooned when that situation arises. That is an interesting dynamic, which I love to explore - I'm not taking prompts ATM though, so sorry, but no ficlet after my rant.
Nonny, please don't take me amiss. I have no idea what made you put this in my ask box, but I'm pretty sure you didn't expect this outcome. For that, I apologize. Not for any of the words I said; I stand by them 100%, but for disappointing your expectations. I hope that maybe you're thinking different about this whole top and bottom thing now - I know a lot of people see it as a fun personality shorthand, but I think it's a bit... shortsighted? Generalizing? Not fitting for the wonderful variety and diversity that is people? And in some extremes this kind of thinking can actually be constrictive to real people (as in, not fic characters), who feel forced into certain behaviors *outside* of the bedroom just because they like certain things *in* the bedroom. And I'm sure you can see how dangerous that is.
#bering and wells#rant about tops and bottoms#seriously these are SEX ROLES ONLY#not personality descriptions#correlation isn't causation#and none of these traits correlate for everyone#so that even if someone is a top AND a domme AND confident AND a decision-maker#that doesn't mean all tops are#do you see how this is problematic?#anon ask
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A Story of Fynta.
#swtor#ffxiv#miqo brew#baldurs gate 3#i just realized that there are a lot of photos of fynta drinking and making bad choices#maybe she should lay off the booze#it usually leads to a fight#or jail#granted that stuff is likely to happen when she's sober too#maybe correlation really isn't causation in this instance#fynta wolfe#my favorite disaster girl
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As much as I love any life series content, ngl this whole real life thing has me just a little bit anxious for its discourse potential
I reeaallly want people to have fun with it and move on, and not turn people not taking it seriously into A Thing because it is objectively not at the same scale as any other seasons
#and to clarify this isn't me saying “don't make angst out of the joke smp!111!!!!!11!" or anything of the sort#making drama and angst and serious stories out of jokes is the core spirit of mcrp fandom imo so go wild with that#discourse#I'm just worried ;-;#people in this fandom can turn *anything* into an issue#and it's just not worth it becaue this IS a goofy silly thing and now one HAS to take it seriously#but I've seen at least one person implying that not taking cleo's win as seriously as other wins is sexist BUT ITS A JOKE SEASON#gender isn't the only factor here ! correlation does not equal causation !#please don't start discourse abt the joke smp I will cry ;-;#vent#just complaining about stuff#anyways. i don't think anything will actually happen. I've just been here long enough to have trust issues with y'all#a lot of you are. touchy. at best#me too btw that's just how humans work when they care about things#but it still leads to silly discourse and that stresses me out so. yknow. annoying#life series fandom crit#life series fandom critical#idk how to tag that is there an official tag?#ask to tag#<- that tag means “please ask me to add tags idk what needs to be tagged” btw#took me ages to figure that out
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finally feel a bit better but i've had 4 cups of coffee so i'm trying to not come to the conclusion that excessive caffeine intake can cure a depressive episode, unless........
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gideon/harrow are the schrodinger's cat of making each other better/worse. It's both all the time
#i am not in the camp that they make each other worse bc gideon clearly makes harrow at least want to be better#and harrow does make gideon worse but in her defense. gideon will take any affection and use it to become worse but#what are you supposed to do just never give her affection? that is how she got in this mess#besides she is perfect and deserves everyone's affection forever#gideon was going to go through an insanely self sacrificial phase no matter what#isn't it better that she does it with someone who is going to do whatever it takes to make sure she stays alive#it's like. they happen to be there for each other's worst#correlation does not imply causation#but also i am not camp they make each other better because i think while harrow now treats *gideon* like a person#she would definitely commit some more war crimes to keep her safe#it's not like mitski voice i love everybody because i love you#nah she still hates 90% of people#but i also do think harrow was right to do the lobotomy and in universe it wasn't the crazy last ditch effort it would be like. irl#is it mean to say i think the lobotomy made her a better person because it made her a worse lyctor#and it represented her caring about someone else more than her religious ideals#literally you cannot untangle whether they make each other better or worse it's just both
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Guess who had to watch a documentary about vaccines for their immunology course and is now foaming at the mouth with rage ✨🤪✌️
#the cognitive dissonance between saying you want to live how humans have lived for 200 000 years#(vaccine-free)#and actively taking part in actions that harm the wellbeing of the group#the cognitive dissonance between saying you understand [insert example of correlation vs causation here]#and believing that vaccines cause autism despite all the scientific evidence saying ut doesn't#(they ask for scientific evidence a lot for the amount that they actuvely deny and ignore science)#the individualistic mindset of ~I don't care if you literally die as long as I get to do what I want~#the lack of understanding of basic concepts such as *herd immunity* and *how disease spreads*#the (yet again) cognitive dissonance in the statement *we don't need rotavirus vaccines here because we don't get rotavirus here*#immediately followed by the statement *they might need the vaccine in [remote and inaccessible parts of] Africa because they get it there*#as though the reason we don't have rotavirus here isn't because WE HAVE VACCINES#and the reason why remote locations have rotavirus isn't that they DON'T HAVE VACCINES#AAAAAAAAAAAHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHGdghdhsgsgdgshsgsg#literally foaming at the mouth#anyway
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News Literacy 101
So after seeing this (great) post and the reactions to it, it's come to my attention that many people on this site weren't taught basic news literacy—and that is NOT your fault. I don't know about other countries, but I do know it's not something we teach widely in the States. Frankly, the people in charge of our education have a vested interest in us being gullible. But that's a whole other post, I guess.
The point is... While I don't want to derail OP's post, I do want to talk about news literacy, how to spot trustworthy information, and why sharing doom-filled posts isn't as helpful as you might think. So, I want to give you a quick question to ask yourself:
Does it pass the SMELL Test?
Source: Where is the information coming from? Is it from a credible and reliable source, like a reputable news provider*?
Motives: Why is this information being presented the way it is? Are they trying to inform or persuade you? Do they use emotionally-charged words designed to outrage, shame, guilt, or scare you?
Evidence: How has the information been verified? Has it been verified? Can it be verified? Do they provide links to credible sources?
Logic: Does the information make logical sense? Look for over-generalizations, flawed comparisons (especially correlation vs causation), and over-the-top accusations.
Left Out: What have they left out? Information left out could change the context. Do you have more questions than answers?
* This gets complicated when we're talking about Palestine due to the fact that mainstream media is spreading Israeli propaganda, but there are MANY journalists on the ground and civilians sharing their experiences—this is a time where social media can actually help spread truth. Prioritize posts from these sources (or that at least link to these sources), rather than unverified text posts... especially if those text posts have no calls to action or resources.
Beware of Manipulation
Some posts are designed to manipulate feelings for likes, shares, or to spread misinformation. They also might fall into performative activism, where someone uses a social platform to shame, scold, or scare others while taking no real action to make change.
While it might feel like sharing these posts raises awareness, it often ends up spreading feelings of despair, which can discourage meaningful action. It even makes people more susceptible to conspiracy theories and misinformation.
Young people are once again talking about not voting because "there's no point," "the system is rigged," etc. after doom posts about the 2024 Republican platform started going around on this site. People are catastrophizing about AI, derailing realistic conversations instead of encouraging people to take action by demanding regulation. People are scrolling and sharing emotionally-charged posts about Palestine, then not participating in boycotts or emailing their representatives, or taking other meaningful actions.
TLDR; if a post doesn't have a reliable, verifiable source, has a scolding or hopeless message, makes sweeping accusations or generalizations, and/or has no suggestions for action, think twice before reblogging it. It may do more harm than good.
For more resources on news literacy, check out:
Center for News Literacy
The News Literacy Project
and Penn State's news literacy education.
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I hear a lot about how fatness is a "risk factor" for certain illnesses and diseases. I don't hear much about how so are age, socioeconomic status, experiences of abuse, starvation, sex, race, queerness, and so many other aspects of a person's life. And that's because the world already for the most part accepts that a lot of these factors cannot be changed and that many of these factors are not what actually causes an illness or disease.
You don't develop a medical condition because your bank account suddenly shows a different, smaller number. You developed that medical condition because poverty means unbearable stress every day, less access to healthcare, worse housing, inability to clothe yourself for protection from the elements, having to overwork yourself to be able to afford your basic necessities, going without food, and so many other aspects of oppression. You don't weigh your wallet to measure your health because the amount of money you have is not what actually causes a medical condition.
But no one wants to look at the studies with legitimate methodology and admit that fatness is also in this category—that fatness is not something that we can just choose and will away, that fat people face immense systemic oppression just like any other oppressed group, that the correlation of fatness and illness is not some simple relationship of causation. And that's because doing so would mean no longer making hundreds of billions of dollars off of fat people's oppression and having to admit it's not actually okay to treat fat people as an acceptable punching bag.
When I look at medical information for whatever illnesses, see the risk factors laid out, and the only risk factor the website says to change is fatness? I think about all of the research I've read that shows actual permanent weight loss is as likely as finding Atlantis. The amount of hypocrisy at not telling someone to drink a youth potion as a form of treatment at the same time as they lose weight becomes so palpable that I can taste the dirty money being made off of this website telling people to "just lose weight, fatty." It's as cruel as selling an ill person a random crystal that you tell them will fix their health, which they then rely on instead of actual medical care, causing them to get worse and even die. And if you think that comparison is a stretch, you do not realize how many people die every day because they were told weight loss was the answer or were forced to lose weight before the doctor would actually respect them enough to run tests or so much as touch their fat body.
We live in a world where people with PCOS are told to "just lose weight" to solve their infertility, where that is the very first bullet point listed on a website about a medical condition that makes weight loss even more impossible than the already 95% failure rate for the general population. A world where fat people have to stick their own fat bodies with needles during a doctor's appointment because the doctor is too disgusted by fat rolls to even look at the person's body to give them a shot. A world where fat people with eating disorders are encouraged, applauded, and told to keep going while the thin person with an eating disorder has the "luxury" of receiving help, compassion, and a diagnosis that isn't separated in the DSM with the word "atypical." A world where a fat person accidentally given chemotherapy is told by the doctor "At least it helped you lose weight!" A world where weight loss corporations are making the exact same promises they did in advertisements from 1910, yet somehow over 100 years later we have an "ob*sity epidemic" because diets, weight loss products, and exercise regimens "Really work!!!"
If this single "solution" to ill health has not worked despite well over a century of desperate, constant attempts, maybe we should stop trying to jam a triangle into a square hole.
-Mod Worthy
#fatphobia#healthism#fat liberation#medical fatphobia#o word#tw eating disorders#diet culture#Mod Worthy
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GI issues are a common comorbid with ADHD and autism.
There isn't a proper consensus as to the why, and correlation isn't causation, but yea, a lot of people with ADHD and/ or autism have GI issues.
The gut is often referred to as our second brain, and there are studies on our gut microbiomes being different to NTs.
The studies are mostly on children, and it's not fully known the why. And I think there's more studies on correlation with autism, but again, we don't know the whole story.
.
Its untrue that stuff like food colouring or gluten 'causes' or worsens ADHD btw.
Some people have had their symptoms improve after taking these out of their diets, but as I said above, comorbid GI issues can be quite common so it's more that their comorbid symptoms got better.
Though, a healthy diet can help improve our health in general yea.
I've started to take multivitamins and minerals cause I don't have the healthiest diet cause cooking and eating is hard with ADHD!
#adhd#actually adhd#adhd tag#abcs of adhd#abcsofadhd#gastrointestinal#GI#living with adhd#question#just ranting at this point
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Hi Cyle! I'm curious - in your estimate, what percentage of Tumblr's activity takes place on posts created by users who use third-party add-ons like xkit?
we actually did a fairly in-depth analysis of xkit usage back in 2019/2020, so the info i have is out of date, but the percentage of "engagement taking place on posts by users who have xkit" was small but impressive, below 10%. they're obviously an important group of people, which is why we try to work with xkit instead of against it.
what was more impressive and interesting was that posts made by people using xkit tend to get more engagement than posts made by people who don't, on average in aggregate. but there's a lot of selection bias here: the people making "good posts" in the majority general population is already "small", and xkit users are also a small population, so the overlap makes sense and isn't necessarily "because they use xkit". basically: correlation is not causation there.
still interesting tho, which is why we took a look at xkit features at the time and chose a few to bring over to be real features, and we still do have that conversation. we've been talking a little bit here and there about making Quote Replies a real feature, for example.
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Amit: Okay, let's go over this one more time...If you bite it and you die, it’s poisonous. If it bites you and you die, it’s venomous. Got it?
Ominis: I think so...
Leander: Wait, I have a question! What if I bite it and it dies?
Natsai: That means you’re poisonous. Merlin’s beard, Leander, learn to listen.
Poppy: What if it bites itself and I die?
Sebastian: That’s voodoo.
MC: What if it bites me and someone else dies?
Sebastian: That’s correlation, not causation.
Garreth, *grinning*: What if we bite each other and neither of us die?
Amit: No-
Sebastian: That’s kinky.
Garreth: What?
Amit: For the love of-
Ominis: *snorts* Gryffindors...
Ominis: Why are you squeezing me with your body?
Sebastian: It's a hug, Ominis. I'm hugging you.
MC: My best friends had a fight once and it went like this.
Sebastian: "Anything that comes out of your mouth is stupid!"
Ominis: "Sebastian."
MC: To this day I still laugh out loud in inappropiate settings because I randomly think of it.
Sebastian: I have to kill them.
Ominis: Who?
Sebastian: *glaring at MC from a distance* I don't know how to hit on them so they have to die.
Poppy: What are we going to do?
MC: What are you worried about? You're so small they probably won't even see you.
Poppy: Is this really the time to be making short jokes?
MC: Poppy, there's never not a time because just like you, life is short.
MC: *frowning* What's wrong?
Sebastian: I just found out that 'spite' isn't the appropriate answer for 'what motivates you?'.
#hogwarts legacy#incorrect hogwarts legacy quotes#amit thakkar#ominis gaunt#leander prewett#natsai onai#poppy sweeting#sebastian sallow#garreth weasley#hogwarts legacy mc
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my heart fucking hurts. its breaking as we speak. it's breaking for the spanish players that stood their ground, that respected their values, that decided to fight for what's right, unselfishly, for the love of the sport, for the love of the future, for the love of growth. it hurts for the changes that will likely never happen, for what's going to be supported, with evidence that isn't causation but correlation.
it fucking hurts.
i love the england girls, i do. call me biased and shit idc. but regardless, you have to respect england. atleast they stood their ground together. fought together, as a team, as a family, in a sport that is supposed to provide a safe and nurturing space for all those involved. they saw issues and took steps to change them, together, as a group, staying true to their values.
i rather have any other team win the wc if i could chose, but we're stuck with this shit.
commending every other team in the world cup, the underdogs, the debutants, the teams that got knocked way before they expected themselves to. those that fought till the last minute, those that pushed and dug deep. i respect every team, but sorry, i can't find myself to respect the spain team, not one ounce.
these are my two cents, the opinion no one asked for but smt ill vent. come at me if you want. i could not give a fuck. but good game to england, to sweden, to australia, and every other team but spain.
-blu 🫶
#tho(ugh)ts#we've been through this before but i just need to vent before i can sleep. i really don't want to carry these emotions into tomorrow
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Hi I'm a former high school science teacher and now a doctor. While teaching, I was officially advised to explain that current understanding of gender is that it is complex and that sex is not necessarily the same as gender. I also got told not to mention intersex people outside of explaining that they exist, because tbh 14 year olds need to understand the normal stuff first.
I can also confirm that during medical school I was officially taught that "we refer to patients as male or female because man and woman are complex terms that do not adequately describe our patient population". We also did not use the term intersex at all, we generally referred to either "sex variants" or (in newborns/paediatric patients) we would refer to "disorders of" or "differences of sexual development" (DSDs).
There's not a hard and fast difference between "disorder" of sexual development or "difference", but generally it got called a disorder if it mandated surgical correction (e.g. vaginal agenesis, cloacal exstrophy, severe hypospadias, urethral atresia etc). If you didn't have to operate to prevent irreparable harm, it usually got called a "difference". We try not to recommend operations that aren't biologically necessary, but parents are currently permitted to request them and generally it'll be approved - though if I were the surgeon (which I'm not) I would probably request a different person perform it because I am not comfortable with unnecessary genital surgeries on unconsenting children.
Medicine currently recognises that sex and gender are not synonymous, that correlation is not causation, and that intersex conditions come in a wide variety of forms and functions. We also do not have a clear idea of whether something like hypospadias or imperforate hymen even COUNT as intersex disorders, even if they're definitely DSDs, and it's not very important because "intersex" isn't really a medical term.
Thank you so much for this perspective! I'm really happy, honored, and excited that I got the opinion of a doctor on this stuff.
I do have a couple of poorly articulated, rambly thoughts here, which I hope don't come off as criticizing you, because I'm just trying to build off of what you're saying and possibly get your perspective.
"male" and "female" are still interesting terms to me, and still have some of the same pitfalls as "man" and "woman". This is purely my own opinion, I don't want to falsely represent how scientists and doctors use them, but I personally use them more frequently as adjectives for individual parts of a body. Mostly, I do this to refer to myself. Because... Am I currently male, or female? I have a typical male height, male genitalia, but female physiology, female fat distribution, female hormonal systems, etc. It's hard for people to think of biological sex as dynamic and changing, but if you want to accurately describe me, that's what I am currently.
And yeah, you can totally use male and female to refer to individuals who dominantly have those male or female traits overall. But you have to be ready to get nuanced about it- which is exactly what you're doing here, which I appreciate.
It's also somewhat useful when referring casually to hermaphroditic organisms, although by that point you're probably just using more specific terms. I digress. I'm rambling.
I have a barely-relevant tangent here that I'm gonna put under the cut. There's an interesting parallel here between another linguistic quirk of terminology in genetics.
When a gene varies by a single base pair (eg, one of the As, Ts, Cs, or Gs is something else, or has been deleted or added), it can change the function of the gene. Sometimes, this is called a mutation- which, yes it is. Mutation implies a deviation from the general population, a distinct molecular event that happened which now exists in the gene pool in small numbers.
The trouble lies with assuming what the "default" form of the gene is. When gene A is say, 50% G at a certain location, and 50% T at that spot, it's called a SNP- single nucleotide polymorphism (often pronounced as "snip").
But what's the cutoff? 80-20? 95-5? 99-1? More extreme? What about SNPs
This is purely a linguistic thing, and in scientific contexts, people know what you're talking about based on the context around the words you use.
SNP as a term has p much been around for as long as genetics as a field. Within the field, I don't think anyone cares much, except as a discussion topic to get undergrads interested. However, I do think it's important for scientific communication- mutation has a much different connotation in people's minds than SNP, a term they may have never heard or feel neutrally about. The same can be applied to sex- the way we talk about male/female traits is extremely relevant to public perception. It's very similar to the terminology you're talking about here. And I'm really glad that medicine acknowledges that!!
In general, I think that these linguistic debates can seem trivial to professionals- but it dramatically affects public perception. There's whole other rambles here about how scientists and doctors generally don't know how to talk to non-scientists and non-doctors, but that's a whole other thing.
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