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edai-crplpnk · 1 year

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Temari was pregnant on her wedding day: A Naruto Timeline analysis

[usual disclaimer: I love studying canon timeline but no one's headcanons have to be bound to it just do what you like bye]

Note: for simplicity, I gave years numbers, the Kyuubi attack/Naruto's birth are in 2000 and the other dates are based on that

Fact 1: Gaara is at least 20

In Gaara Hidden, one of the councilmen tells Gaara "You've steadily grown, and reached the age of twenty" and Temari and Shikamaru are in the process of choosing their wedding date in this novel as well, so the Wedding has to happen later than that.

We know from the data book that Gaara is from the same school year as Naruto, and born in January, so he is born in January 2001. (In Japan, the school year is from April to March of the next year and the children in the same class are the ones born during the same school year, not civil year. If you want to know why I say that data books are based on school years, not civil years, flick me a request and I will happily do so! Just not here because it'd be too long.)

We can conclude that the wedding is in February 2021 or later.

Fact 2: Shikadai graduates 15 years after the 4th war

There is no indication that I've found in canon material about when the Boruto events happen, but we can read in this interview that Naruto Gaiden happens 15 years after the last chapter of Naruto. (We will have to assume that "last chapter" here means chapter 699, not 700, or else all the new gen has spent 15 years being teenagers at the academy.) Naruto Gaiden opens with Shino telling the class (Shikadai is there) that the graduation exam will be in a week.

The issue here is that chapter 699 happens in October (Minato says happy birthday to Naruto in chapter 691 the same day, and we know from the data books he was born in October) and the graduation is presumably in March (again, that's one the school year ends, and Itachi is also said to graduate "in the springtime" in Itachi Shinden). So it could mean either 15,5 years later, or 14,5 years later.

The 4th War happens in October 2017 (Naruto turns 17 during it, that's the age the data book gives us).

We can conclude that Shikadai graduates either in March 2032 or 2033.

Fact 3: Shikadai graduates at 11

It is the minimum age as per the law (it is said in Itachi Shinden, this law is made shortly before the Rookie 9 graduate: “now that it was a time of peace [...] it was no longer possible to graduate in a short time [...] no matter how talented Sasuke was, he couldn't become a ninja until he was eleven years old”).

It is the age at which all the Rookie 9 graduate (they are said to turn 12 during the first year of naruto and 13 during the second, again, I can give more details about data book ages in another post if needed).

The naruto wiki tells me that the Naruto data book says he is 12 for the Chuunin Exam, but the scan I have of the data book do not seem to indicate any age that I can find?

So this is not 100% a fact that I have found a canon material number about, but it's the most logical possibility (he's not allowed to graduate younger, there's no reason he would graduate older, this is what happened to the previous gen, and this is what the whole fandom seems to believe, so, yeah).

Similarly, everyone seems to agree that his birthday is September 23, I have not found where that comes from yet, but I have to assume it does come from somewhere. If you know please tell me!

[Edit: apparently it comes from a bonus calendar in the Shounen Jump issue 6-7 of 2019 but I haven't found a scan yet.]

We can conclude that Shikadai was born in either September 2020 or 2021, depending on the graduation date.

Conclusion

If Gaara Hiden and the wedding were in 2021, Shikadai cannot have been born in 2020, so he has to be born in September 2021. If we imagine that Gaara Hiden takes place right after Gaara's birthday (the earliest date) and then Temari and Shikamaru got married on the month that followed, Temari would have been 2 months pregnant, and this is the minimum she could have been.

Your honour, they have sinned.

#shikatema #shikamaru nara #temari #shikadai nara #naruto timeline #naruto worldbuilding

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arofili · 1 year

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Tolkien Fandom Event Calendar

Recently I’ve received some asks about events/weeks in the Tolkien fandom, so I thought I’d compile a list of those that I know about. This is not exhaustive, and dates are subject to change by the organizers of these events!

Other blogs you can check out are @tolkieneventsblog and @tolkienfandomevents, though I’m not sure how active those are. The @silmarillionwritersguild Discord also has a channel dedicated to signal boosts for all sorts of Tolkien-related & general fandom happenings, which is another excellent way to keep up with fandom goings-on.

Want to run your own event? Here’s some of my tips!

If your event is not on here and you’d like it to be, let me know and I can add it :) Note: I will only add events that have announced dates!

JANUARY Screw Yule My Slashy Valentine @myslashyvalentine — work time Lord of the Rings Secret Santa @lotr-sesa — reveals Thorin’s Spring Forge @thorinsspringforge — signups Second Age Week @secondageweek

FEBRUARY Hidden Paths My Slashy Valentine — reveals Thorin’s Spring Forge — claims Maedhros and Maglor Week @maedhrosmaglorweek

MARCH Back to Middle-earth Month @spring-into-arda Thorin’s Spring Forge — work time Fëanorian Week Fun with Fanon Fest Round 1 @funwithfanon

APRIL Tolkien Reverse Summer Bang @tolkienrsb — signups Silm Remix @tolkienremix — signups & assignments Thorin’s Spring Forge — reveals Aralas Week @aralas-week Barduil Month @bi-widower-dads All of Arda is Autistic @all-of-arda-is-autistic F3: Focus on Friendship & Family, Phase I @spring-into-arda

MAY Tolkien Reverse Summer Bang — claims Silm Remix — reveals Aspec Arda Week @aspecardaweek Angbang Week @angbangweek Gondolin Week @gondolinweek F3: Focus on Friendship & Family, Phase II

JUNE Tolkien Reverse Summer Bang — work time Scribbles and Drabbles @fall-for-tolkien — signups Tolkien Ekphrasis Week @tolkienekphrasisweek F3: Focus on Friendship & Family, Phase III

JULY Tolkien Reverse Summer Bang — work time Scribbles and Drabbles — claims Tolkien Gen Week @tolkiengenweek LotR Ladies Week @lotrladiessource Tolkien Appreciation Week @tolkienweek Tolkien Latin American & Caribbean Week @tolkienlatamandcaribbeanweek

AUGUST Tolkien Reverse Summer Bang — deadlines Scribbles and Drabbles — art reveals Innumerable Stars Exchange @innumerable-stars — nominations & signups Tolkien of Colour Week @tolkienofcolourweek Silvergifting Week @silvergiftingweek Tolkien OC Week @tolkienocweek

SEPTEMBER Tolkien Reverse Summer Bang — reveals Scribbles and Drabbles — work time Innumerable Stars Exchange — signups & assignments Sindar Week @sindarweek Dor Cúarthol Week @dorcuartholweek Finwëan Ladies Week @finweanladiesweek

OCTOBER Innumerable Stars Exchange — reveals Scribbles and Drabbles — work time Half-elven Week @halfelvenweek

NOVEMBER Tolkien Secret Santa @officialtolkiensecretsanta — signups & assignments Scribbles and Drabbles — fic reveals Nolofinwean Week @nolofinweanweek

DECEMBER Tolkien Secret Santa — advent calendar & reveals My Slashy Valentine @myslashyvalentine — signups & assignments Lord of the Rings Secret Santa — claims Khazad Week @khazadweek

MONTHLY EVENTS: These events have prompts/challenges occurring every month. Teitho Contest Tolkien Short Fanworks Silmarillion Writers’ Guild @silmarillionwritersguild

(this list was last updated 5/4/23)

LEGACY EVENTS: These events used to occur, but have not happened within the last year. Arda Needs More Pride @ardaneedsmorepride (bimonthly; last run 2020) Kiliel Week @kilielweek (timing variable; last run 2021) @oneringnet monthly events (last run 2021) Atani Week @ataniweek (January; last run 2021) Legendarium Ladies April @legendariumladiesapril (April; last run 2020) Gates of Summer Exchange @gatesofsummerexchange (May-June, last run 2022) Tolkien South Asian Week, run by @arwenindomiel (June; last run 2022) Arafinwëan Week @arafinweanweek (July; last run 2019) Fëanturi Week (August; last run 2019; no official blog and the creator has deactivated) Imladrim Week @imladrimweek (November; last run 2019) Doriath Week @doriathweek (November; last run 2020) Tolkien Family Week @tolkienfamilyweek (November; last run 2021)

#tolkien #tolkien fandom #the silm #the silmarillion #silm fandom #silmarillion #silm #lotr #lord of the rings #lotr fandom #the hobbit #hobbit fandom #tefain nin #tolkien fandom event calendar #tolkien fandom events #save

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rivalsforlife · 9 months

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The Yearly AA Series Future Speculation Post

I've given up on calling it aa7 speculation because that has never worked out for me. anyways [apollo justice voice] hiya!

It's been a while since I made one of these little posts where I try to predict things and end up horribly embarrassing myself. BUT this year has actually been very exciting for Ace Attorney. We have Ghost Trick! We have 456 ports! Could there be more? Who knows. Tokyo Game Show is coming up and that's always a bad time of year for my self-esteem.

In this post I will do the following:

-Go over the November 2020 leaks again, to compare that to where we're at now

-Talk a bit about the 456 port and what I think that means for the series and its future

-Talk a bit about how well TGAA is doing, I think

-Brief Tokyo Game Show speculations (there's not much to speculate about)

I'll reference my previous posts and sources where necessary. It'll get long and rambly again so I'll put the rest under a keep reading.

FIRST:

Revisiting the Calendar (Again)

For those who aren't aware, back in November 2020, Capcom got hacked (this was overall bad) and from that hack came a leak of a roadmap for the future of the AA series.

For this post, please keep in mind that this calendar is using the Japanese fiscal year, which starts in in April. Therefore Q1 is roughly April-June, Q2 July-September, Q3 October-December, Q4 January-March of the next year.

This calendar was likely made in 2019, before the COVID-19 pandemic, which inevitably ended up throwing everything off quite a bit.

Some of these things came true. This leak was where we first heard about the official TGAA ports, and while they were delayed by about a quarter, they still came out pretty close to on time with all things pandemic to consider. What's especially interesting is that now with confirmation of the 456 ports, we now have no idea what is up with AA7.

We know that AA7 was in development at one point. We know that, if things were on track prior to the pandemic, they might have started the main production. However, the plan seemed to be to release it for the 20th anniversary and use those sales and the sales from TGAA to judge whether 456 would be ported; now that we have 456 confirmed before AA7, we can assume that AA7's delay is so severe we have no way of predicting if or when it will come out.

The thing is, though, AA has been doing really well the last few years, despite the lack of a new game. The 2019 ports of the Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney trilogy have sold around 2.3 million copies, when previously no other Ace Attorney game broke a million. The trilogy hit a million copies around December 2020, for reference. Ace Attorney itself as a whole broke ten million copies sold recently. In this post I covered how TGAA seemingly has sold way more than Capcom expected, and sold pretty quickly, and is confirmed to be somewhere between 500k-1 million copies sold.

I don't see any reason to believe that AA is in dire financial straits. We've gotten more official merchandise in the last year or so than we got for a while, AA is featured heavily on Capcom's Captown website, the Tokyo Game Show merchandise store has been selling out of AA merch faster than any of their other IPs... I don't see why they wouldn't want to milk that. And 456 is probably a part of it.

What Do The 456 Ports Mean

Back in March 2022, in an event I almost completely forgot about, Capcom updated their trademark for Apollo Justice. I covered my thoughts on that here, and speculated it might indicate a 456 port. ... Which it apparently did. I'll quote exactly what I said in that post, since I still feel this way:

Presumably, previously, the decision to port or not to port 456 would be dependent both on how well TGAA does and how well AA7 would do. With no AA7, they might be making this decision solely based on TGAA. And they… might actually decide it’s worth the port?

This tells us a couple of things.

1.Capcom is aware that there is a decent market and profit to be made porting the Ace Attorney games to all consoles.

2.This heavily implies that TGAA sold fantastically.

I also said in my post about TGAA's success that the 456 ports would be the best indicator of whether Capcom would find it more profitable to continue along with mainline or stick to writing more things about TGAA. Because TGAA is actually doing... pretty great? It's always seemed to have a pretty good fan reception, but it came at the end of the 3DS life cycle and seemed to do poorly enough that Capcom didn't try to localize it for several years. But now it's big enough that Ryunosuke made it onto the 20th anniversary logo, and Ryunosuke and Kazuma are featured in some of the Ace Attorney merchandise for TGS's merch store.

456 doing well would probably reinvigorate Capcom's desire to continue making stories set in mainline. It also might inspire them to finally give an official translation to my favorite game, Ace Attorney Investigations 2, who is Capcom's poor unloved child these days. I'm not expecting Investigations Ports for a few more years, since they seem to be spacing out the ports by about two years, but... it's more likely now than I felt it was about three years ago.

The Great Ace Attorney Sweep

Also, the last few years have had a heavy focus on Great Ace Attorney, even now a couple of years after the ports came out. Takarazuka made their first AA musical in a decade based on TGAA, and, if you ask me, it sounds pretty heavily like they were teasing for a sequel someday. There also has been a reading theater based on TGAA, with an original episode written by Takumi.

Of particular relevance is this source of dubious credibility I linked to in one of my other posts talking about TGAA's expected success. I've assumed it came from the data in the November 2020 Capcom Leak but I can't be certain, so take this next part with a grain of salt.

Here are the original sales projections from 2019(?): FY21: 195K (originally supposed to launch in Q1) FY22: 55K FY23: 8K FY24: 41K (with 32K being in Q3)

This sudden increase in FY24 has always been interesting. Again, as a reminder, Japan's FY24 Q3 would be equivalent to October-December 2024.

It would make sense to say that the 456 ports coming out would likely lead to an increase in sales for all AA games, and it could be that Capcom initially intended for a 456 port to come out about half a year later than the current projection of early 2024. At the same time... I can't deny the possibility that this could be hinting at a new game in the TGAA setting. And something coming out in late 2024 could be a reasonable candidate for an announcement at some major gaming show that Ace Attorney fans already have an interest in tuning into. These are all completely neutral things I am saying that I have no expectations or hope for whatsoever.

What IS Happening At Tokyo Game Show?

TGS is always the part of the year where I say "This is the most likely place for a new AA game announcement leading up to or during it" and it never happens. This year, though, will be different! We have a CONFIRMED feature of the 456 ports. This is the first time we'll have AA content at TGS since 2018, when I first got into the series, so I think it's a pretty big deal. (2018 was when the trilogy ports were first announced; TGAA ports had an announcement-release window of April-July, so they didn't get a chance to feature at TGS.)

Since all we have for a release date is early 2024, I wouldn't be surprised if there will be an official confirmation of the release date, probably a showcase of port features, maybe in-person gameplay? That could be all, and it would be more than we've had since 2018.

I want to say "because there's going to be 456 advertising there, it would be ridiculous for them to announce some new AA content to detract from that". But I said the same things about the capcom showcase where Ghost Trick was featured and the 456 collection was announced, so. Capcom's decisions on when to announce things can be counterintuitive, it seems, so maybe the least likely time is actually the most likely...?

Anyways, we have no idea what the state of New Ace Attorney Content is like in Capcom. From the calendar from the Nov 2020 leaks, the staff that had been working on the DGS ports would join the main staff for AA7, suggesting to me that there would be part of the staff working on ports and part of the staff working on new things. We have no idea what happened to these people who were supposed to be working on AA7. We *can* assume that at least part of the staff transferred over to 456 ports now, but we don't know when that would have been, or if they'd really need all hands on deck for a remaster.

It's been a few years now since Yamazaki left Capcom. We know absolutely nothing about what Takumi has been doing, outside of whatever contributions he may or may not have made to the Ghost Trick remaster, and only recently contributing to various stage content. (We know he advised at least somewhat on the Takarazuka play, and wrote that original episode for the reading theater, so I'd assume he's not in the middle of a big project right when those were taking place.)

This is all to say, there's reason to believe Something's Been Happening Behind The Scenes. And Therefore -- [clown wig descends onto my head again] Maybe TGS 2023 Will Be The Year Of New Ace Attorney Content. Since 456 will be taking the spotlight, I wouldn't expect anymore than a teaser, if it's happening at all.

And now that I've said it, it won't happen.

OVERALL

-TGS confirmed 456 port feature, which should be interesting to see what kind of quality of life features they'll add. Slight possibility there could be something else AA related teased there, solely because Capcom.

-I think TGAA is doing better than Capcom expected and I wouldn't be shocked if they tried to make a new game of it, or at least more extracanonical content like stage plays taking place in that timeline

-AA7 has seemingly vanished but I am sure it will come back when I least expect it.

-AAI ports someday. please. please. please.

#ace attorney #aa7 speculation #[banging pots and pans together] YEAR 3 OF FAILED PREDICTIONS LET'S GIVE IT UP FOR YEAR 3 #there's not much to say here I just wanted to get something out as we're heading into september #do I even want aa7 anymore? no. am I speculating anyways? yes.

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foxes-that-run · 7 months

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Haylor dates

After this post I gathered certain dates which something happens in many years.

20 May - Anniversary

2012 - Post on this here, both MIA then everything has changed written. This followed the Australia kiss in April.

2013 - Taylor posted roses to instagram with "Just as things grow in fast movies, I had that familiar conviction that life was beginning over again with the summer." Gatsby quote. Harry was seen with Paige after.

2015 - trainwreck BBMAs were the 17th. On 22nd Harry posted a few colour IG posts, 👀had been B&W since OOTW released and went back to B&W. On me exception was February 2017 the same day he posted about shaking an apple from a tree. Taylors Clean Speech was included 'where we should be' Harry later put in Woman.

2017 - Harry performs Debut at Troubadour, album launch party. Wears Haylor ring on Carpool Karaoke

2019 - Taylor releases City of Lover (19th) HS wore white horse shirt and gold shorts on beach. Harry appeared in British Vogue 20 May with a swan in every picture.

2022 - 10th 20 May - Harry's House released. NY One night only concert on 21st. Taylor released This Love Taylors Version. Harry's photographer released photos of him in Henson Studios, where Boyfriends was recorded.

2023 - TS says her life is finally making sense and performs Question..? Saying it brings happy memories

See Also

28 September

Harry's release dates,

Taylor's release dates,

Hayor date calendar

#haylor #Haylor anniversaries

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callmewrinkles3 · 1 year

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Drabbles.

Fresh ink. - August 2018

Resignation. - April 2022

Met Gala. - May 2023

Sandwiches. - March 2019

Truth. - June 2023

Helmets. - June 2019

Godfather. - May 2023

Charlie. - December 2022

Separate. - June 2018

Phone call. - July 2023

Homemade food. - October 2022

Calendars. - August 2023

Snapshot. - February 2029

Bomb. - April 2023

Aftermath. - April 2023

Dream. - January 2018

Sentence. - August 2023

Contract. - September 2019

Surprise. - September 2025

Burn. - August 2022

Lemon. - February 2023

Wish. - December 2023

Disney. - August 2019

Home. - September 2021

Choices. - October 2023

Yellow. - September 2019

One day soon. - May 2018

Plans. - October 2018

Lulu. - December 2023

Netflix. - September 2018

Deal. - July 2018

#ciwyw drabble

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gumnut-logic · 1 year

Note

Hi! I’m getting into Thunderbirds fics and was thinking about writing some myself. I saw that you ran a challenge at one point and was wondering if there was any event calendar the fandom is using. Or are there any events at all? I wasn’t sure where to find any.

Hi and welcome to the Thunderfam! :D

There is no strict calendar, but a few events do recur at will.

At the moment we are in the middle of Fanart Appreciation Month, which has occurred in January the previous two years as well. The idea being to reblog lots of artworks to give our artists some recognition.

February has been Fab Five Feb in 2019 and 2020, but was missed last year. I haven't done the call out as to whether the Thunderfam want that one this year yet. It is usually a six week challenge with a focus on the five brothers plus another character which changes each year.

Some time in March/April there might be a Easter gift fic event.

Somewhere between April and August there is sometimes a random challenge event. There was nothing last year, but in previous years there has been Sensory Sunday , Earth & Sky Week and an Olympics challenge.

We also celebrate each of the Tracy boys' birthdays - Gordon 14 Feb, Alan 12 March, Scott 4 July (?), Virgil 15 August (always a big one for me :D ) and John in October. Other cast members also get birthday celebrations at various times of the year.

September and October are usually taken up by external challenges like Sicktember and Whumptober.

We did have a Thunderfam November event - Fluffember - but last year an external event was picked up so Fluffember didn't run, but it did run 2019, 2020 and 2021.

December is left to Tag Team Secret Santa.

There have also been random other events over the past few years and I have no doubt there were others before I joined the fandom in 2018. Due to the sudden rise of Covid in 2020 we started International Rescue & Relief, a fluff prompt challenge which is technically still going, but I haven't mentioned it for ages.

Plus there are always writing prompts or question lists flying around that get picked up by whoever wants to play.

Thunderfam, if I have forgotten anything, please chime in. It is late here and my brain is usually pretty unreliable.

Anyways, welcome, thank you for asking. I hope you have fun in thunderfam :D

Nutty

(so do you have a favourite Tracy brother? :D )

#thunderbirds are go #thunderbirds #thunderfam #prompts

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youkaigakkou-tl · 2 years

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Timeline of the main story

I actually made this blog to share stupid trivia i find while translating, so stupid trivia you’re getting.

Youkaigakkou is actually surprisingly clear with what happens when, although im not sure if thats the case with all school life manga, since i dont read school life manga that much lol

this is gonna get long real fast, so everything is under the cut

April

Generally the school year starts at the beginning of April, but it doesn’t actually get any more specific than “April”

In yoseito ch 22, its april 18 on hatanaka’s 2nd day of school, so school started on April 17 for him. It also says 200X, and this is 9 years before yoseito, so 10 years before main story, which means the year timeframe is 2010 to 2019.

Chapter 4 (MIki’s lesson) happens at least a week after the start of school

May

Chapter 6: we get a calendar at the end of the chapter!!

pretty shite calendar. why aren’t the columns labelled. honestly not quite sure how to parse this.

i believe ch 7 (spooking lesson + haruaki goes home directly after) happens on may 1st

ch 8 and 9 (the gang goes to haruakis house) happens on may 2nd

the end of ch 9 is the next day and the train ticket says may 3rd

ch 10 (run melos) is a week before midterms, so like, mid may? idk

ch 11 (senseis sunday), pretty sure it’s may 26. see the next point

idk what this is called but ch 13 sure gives us this.

this would be 2013 or 2019, this kinda lines up bc this manga started in 2014

but also theres no world where this lines up with the calendar from above so whatever

ch 13 is sports day prep, which is may 31, friday

ch 14 to 16 is sports day itself, june 2, sunday

June

No specific dates for anything that happens in june (ch 16 to 19)

ch 19 (zashiki and co sneak into school at night) happens a week before end of term exams (early july), so like late june.

July

ch 20 (momoyama perfume) happens right before sano’s birthday! (july 7)

we dont actually get a chapter about sanos birthday. wtf

we get another timetable in ch21, but its the same one as the one above so im disregarding it. this is called reusing assets, a very smart move

ch 21 and 22 (karasutengu troupe introduction) happen on the same day as ch20, just in the afternoon

ch 23 (amaaki impersonation) happens after july 7, thats all i know

everything that happens in july is before the 20th, since thats when summer vacation starts.

a lot actually happens in that small timeframe

ch 26 (teacher trio go to kyoto + reminisce) happens some weekend

ch 28 to 30 (spookology camp) happens at some point, idk

ch 36 to 38 (lost in tokyo) happens a week before summer vacation starts

summer vacation should be july 20, but i cant be sure since it isnt mentioned in any chapter, but the timeframe is around there.

August

ch44 and 45 (beniko haunted house) is august 10, and it says “middle of summer vacation” so the start would be around july 20, yeah...?

ch 46 (beach episode) and ch47 to 49 (miki house) happen on the same day, not sure what day exactly tho.

ch50 (august 31) happens on august 31. shocking!

we also get this calendar.

which would be 2016, which.... wasnt even the year this chapter came out on. this chapter came out in like 2019

September

anyway, second term starts september 1, which we do get confirmation on in ch50.

ch51 (haru and sano get handcuffed together) happens 2 weeks into september

my mans, can you be less casual about predicting the future like that

ebisu came to hyakki at the very least around 2.5/3rd week of september, since the above is already 2 weeks into september, and in ch52 he says “starting next week”

the timeline’s surprisingly tight around this time, since

ch55 (part time job)

ch56 and 57 (culture festival discussion)

ch58 and 59 (youkai train)

all happen within a week or less, and they happen on different days

the culture festival (ch61 to 66) is two days, and happens around 22 to 23 september. the second day of the festival is the autumn equinox/ohigan, which is 23 or 22 september depending on the year

the whole of the renren arc (ch 67 to 77) happens in one day

this one day is actually really tight. in ch67 u can see a clock, i do believe this is around 1:40pm and not 8am

and then another clock in ch70, which is 5:50pm. this is after haruaki was trying to come up w a plan for 2 hours and then actually executing his genius social media slander plan

and then this

and then the whole ordeal actually goes all night, and ends at sunrise

October

Unclear when exactly the school trip happens, but its sometime in october.

ch 83 until ch 90 (so far) has been the 2nd day of their 4D3N trip......

also, a fun bit of trivia:

ebisu’s festival is 20th october, so even when all the other gods are gone for kannazuki, ebisu is still available for worship in october.

the fact that the mangaka managed to line up the exact right characters and situation for this to happen and this detail to be relevant is kinda impressive.

thats all the chapters for now, heres how the months measure up

april: ch 1 to 7 (7 chapters)

may: ch 8 to 13 (6 chapters)

june: ch 14 to 19 (6 chapters)

july: ch 20 to 43 (24 chapters!)

august: ch 44 to 50 (7 chapters)

september: ch 51 to 78 (28 chapters!)

october: ch 79 to 90 (12 chapters so far)

#youkai gakkou no sensei hajimemashita #a terrified teacher at ghoul school #youkaigakkou trivia #rambles

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sciencespies · 1 year

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2023 Space and Astronomy News: What to Expect

https://sciencespies.com/space/2023-space-and-astronomy-news-what-to-expect/

2023 Space and Astronomy News: What to Expect

As years in space and astronomy go, 2022 is going to be a tough act to follow.

NASA wowed us with cosmic scenes captured by the James Webb Space Telescope. The DART mission slammed an asteroid into a new orbit. Artemis I set humanity on a course back to the moon. China finished building a new space station in orbit. SpaceX launched 61 rockets in 12 months. And the invasion of Ukraine imperiled Russia’s status as a space power.

It’s a lot to measure up to, but 2023 is bound to have some excitement on the launchpad, the lunar surface and in the sky. Once again, you can get updates on your personal digital calendar by signing up for The New York Times’s Space and Astronomy Calendar. Here are some of the major events you can expect. Not all of them have certain dates yet, but Times journalists will provide additional information as it emerges. Learn more at nytimes.com/spacecalendar

New Rockets

NASA got its giant Space Launch System off the ground for the first time in 2022, lighting up the night in Florida with an incredible stream of flame as it carried the Artemis I mission toward the moon. That shifted attention to SpaceX, which is building a next generation rocket, Starship, that is also central to NASA’s crewed Artemis III moon landing attempt.

SpaceX cleared a key environmental review that would allow it to launch an uncrewed orbital test flight from South Texas if it met certain conditions. But the rocket wasn’t ready for flight in 2022. The company has not announced a date for a test this year, but regular ground tests of Starship equipment indicate it is working toward one.

The pathfinder first stage of the Vulcan Centaur, a new rocket by United Launch Alliance that will eventually replace that company’s Atlas V.United Launch Alliance

Numerous other rockets may take flight for the first time in 2023. The most important, Vulcan Centaur by United Launch Alliance, will eventually replace that company’s Atlas V, a vehicle that has been central to American spaceflight for two decades. The Vulcan relies on the BE-4 engine built by Blue Origin, the rocket company founded by Jeff Bezos. The same engine will in turn be used in Blue Origin’s New Glenn rocket, which may have a test flight late this year.

A number of American private companies are expected to test new rockets in 2023, including Relativity and ABL. They could be joined by foreign rocket makers, including Mitsubishi Heavy Industries which could test Japan’s H3 rocket in February, and Arianespace, which is working toward a test flight of Europe’s Ariane 6 rocket.

New Lunar Landings

We’re guaranteed at least one lunar landing attempt in 2023. A Japanese company, Ispace, launched its M1 mission on a SpaceX rocket in December. It’s taking a slow, fuel-efficient route to the moon and is set to arrive in April, when it will try to deploy a rover built by the United Arab Emirates, a robot built by Japan’s space agency, JAXA, as well as other payloads.

There could be as many as five more lunar landing attempts this year.

NASA has hired a pair of private companies to carry payloads to the lunar surface. Both of them, Intuitive Machines of Houston and Astrobotic Technology of Pittsburgh, faced delays in 2022, but may make the trip in the coming months.

They could be joined by three government space programs’ lunar missions. India’s Chandrayaan-3 mission was delayed last year but could be ready in 2023. A Japanese mission, Smart Lander for Investigating Moon, or SLIM, aims to test the country’s lunar landing technologies. Finally, Russia’s Luna-25 mission was postponed from last September, but Roscosmos, the Russian space agency, may try this year.

New Space Telescopes

Scientists in 2019 at work with the European Space Agency’s Euclid spacecraft, which will study energy and dark matter. Its 2022 launch was postponed by the Russian invasion of Ukraine.S. Corvaja/European Space Agency

The Webb telescope wowed space enthusiasts and scientists with its views of the cosmos, but we may get new vantages from a variety of orbital observatories.

The most significant may be Xuntian, a Chinese mission setting off later in the year that will be like a more sophisticated version of the Hubble Space Telescope. The spacecraft will survey the universe at optical and ultraviolet wavelengths in an orbit around Earth close to the country’s Tiangong space station.

A Japanese-led mission, XRISM, pronounced chrism, could launch earlier in the year as well. The mission will use X-ray spectroscopy to study clouds of plasma, which could help to explain the universe’s composition. A European space telescope, Euclid, may also launch on a SpaceX rocket after the Russian invasion of Ukraine resulted in the spacecraft losing its seat on a Russian Soyuz rocket. It will study the universe’s dark energy and dark matter.

New Planetary Missions

A new spacecraft will head toward Jupiter this year, aiming to become the first to ever orbit another planet’s moon. The European Space Agency’s Jupiter Icy Moon Explorer, or JUICE, will launch from an Ariane 5 rocket as early as April 5 to set off to the Jovian system, arriving in 2031. Once it reaches the gas giant, it will move to conduct 35 flybys of three of the giant world’s moons: Callisto, Europa and Ganymede, all of which are believed to have subsurface oceans. In 2034, JUICE will begin orbiting Ganymede, the largest moon in the solar system.

Heading closer to the sun will be Rocket Lab, a small launch company that was founded in New Zealand. It aims to use its Electron rocket to send a mission to Venus. The company’s Photon satellite will try to deploy a small probe, built with Massachusetts Institute of Technology researchers, that will briefly study the planet’s toxic atmosphere. The mission was planned for May, but it is expected to face delays while the company prioritizes missions for its other customers.

A Total Eclipse and a Not-So-Total One

There will be two solar eclipses in 2023.

A total eclipse on April 20 will be more of a Southern Hemisphere event, and the moon will only blot out the sun in remote parts of Australia and Indonesia. (Perhaps not a bad time to be on a boat in parts of the Indian and Pacific Oceans, too.)

But Americans may get a good show on Oct. 14, when North America will be visited by an annular eclipse. Eclipses of this type are sometimes called “ring of fire” eclipses because the moon is too far from Earth to fully block the sun but creates a ring-like effect when it reaches totality. The eclipse’s path runs through parts of Oregon, California, Nevada, Utah, Arizona, New Mexico and Texas before dipping into Central and South America. Where the weather cooperates, it should be a great solar show and a nice lead up for the April 8, 2024 total eclipse that will cross the United States from southwest to northeast.

#Space

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0carkki0 · 1 year

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The In-game Mouvelian calendar has four seasons: the season of Zephyr (days 1-90) covering January, February, and March. The season of Phoenix (days 91-180) covers April, May, and June. The season of Scion (days 181-270) covers July, August, and September. And finally, the season of Colossus (days 271-365) covers October, November, and December. Every season has about 90 days, except Colossus which has 95 days.

Personal Story: August 28th, 2012. - 241st day of the year, 24th of Scion 1325 in the game (Mouvelian) calendar. (Vividatt 19 years old. Taimi 12)

Season 1: The Lost Shores: November 15th, 2012. - 320th day of the year, 50th of Colossus 1325. (Vivs 19. Taimi 12)

Flame and Frost: January 28th, 2013. - 28th day of the year, 28th of Zephyr 1326. (Vivs 20. Taimi 12.)

The Secret of Shouthsun: May 14th, 2013. - 134th day of the year, 44th of Phoenix 1326. (Vivs 20. Taimi 12/13)

Last Stand at Southsun: May 28th, 2013. - 148th day of the year, 58th of Phoenix 1326. (Vivs 20. Taimi 12/13)

Sky Pirates of Tyria: June 25th, 2013. - 176th day of the year, 86th of Phoenix 1326. (Vivs 20. Taimi 13)

Cutthroat Politics: July 23rd, 2013. - 204th of the year, 24th of Scion 1326. (Vivs 20. Taimi 13)

Clockwork Chaos: August 20th, 2013. - 232nd of the year, 52nd of Scion 1326. (Vivs 20. Taimi 13)

Twilight Assault: October 1st, 2013. - 274th of the year, 4th of Colossus 1326. (Vivs 20. Taimi 13)

Tower of Nightmares: October 29th, 2013. - 302nd of the year, 32nd of Colossus 1326. (Vivs 20. Taimi 13)

The Nightmares Within: November 12th, 2013. - 316th of the year, 46th of Colossus 1326. (Vivs 20. Taimi 13)

The Origins of Madness: January 21st, 2014. - 21st of the year, 21st of Zephyr 1327. (Vivs 21. Taimi 13)

The Edge of the Mists: February 4th, 2014. - 35th of the year, 35th of Zephyr 1327. (Vivs 21. Taimi 13)

Escape from Lion's Arch: February 18th, 2014. - 49th of the year, 49th of Zephyr 1327. (Vivs 21. Taimi 13)

Battle for Lion's Arch: March 4th, 2014. - 63rd of the year, 63rd of Zephyr 1327. (Vivs 21. Taimi 13)

Season 2: Gates of Maguuma: July 1st, 2014. - 182nd of the year, 2nd of Scion 1327. (VIvs 21. Taimi 13/14)

Entanglement: July 15th, 2014. - 196th of the year, 16th of Scion 1327. (Vivs 21. Taimi 13/14)

The Drago's Reach Part 1: July 29th, 2014. - 210th day of the year, 30th of Scion. (Vivs 21. Taimi 13/14)

The Draon's Reach Part 2: August 12th, 2014. - 224th day of the year, 44th day of the Scion. (I guess you get the point...) (Vivs 21. Taimi 14)

Echoes of the Past: November 4th, 2014. (Vivs 21. Taimi 14)

Tangled Paths: November 18th, 2014. (Vivs 21. Taimi 14)

Seeds of Truth: December 2nd, 2014. (Vivs 21. Taimi 14)

Point of No Return: January 13th, 2015. 1328. (Vivs 21. Taimi 14)

Heart of Thorns: October 23rd, 2015. (Vivs 22. Taimi 15)

Season 3: Out of the Shadows: July 26th, 2016. 1329. (Vivs 23. Taimi 15/16)

Rising Flames: September 20th, 2016. (Vivs 23. Taimi 16)

A Crack in the Eyes Ice: November 21st, 2016. (Vivs 23. Taimi 16)

The Head of the Snake: February 8th, 2017. 1330. (Vivs 24. Taimi 16)

Flashpoint: May 2nd, 2017. (Vivs 24. Taimi 16/17)

One Path Ends: July 25th, 2017. (Vivs 24. Taimi 16/17)

Path of Fire: September 22nd, 2017. (Vivs 24. Taimi 17)

Season 4: Daybreak: November 28th, 2017. (Vivs 24. Taimi 17)

A Bug in the System: March 6th, 2018. 1331. (Vivs 25. Taimi 17)

Long Live the Lich: June 26th, 2018. (Vivs 25. Taimi 17/18)

A Star to Guide Us: September 18th, 2018. (Vivs 25. Taimi 18)

All or Nothing: January 8th, 2019. 1332. (Vivs 25. Taimi 18)

War Eternal: May 14th, 2019. (Vivs 26. Taimi 18/19)

Icebrood Saga: Prologue: Bound by Blood: September 17th, 2019. (Vivs 26. Taimi 19)

Whisper in the Dark: November 19th, 2019. (Vivs 26. Taimi 19)

Shadow in the Ice: January 28th, 2020. 1333. (Vivs 27. Taimi 19)

Visions of the Past: Steel and Fire: March 17th, 2020. (Vivs 27. Timi 19)

No Quarter: May 26th, 2020. (Vivs 27. Taimi 19/20)

Jormag Rising: July 28th, 2020. (Vivs 27. Taimi 19/20)

Champions: Chapter 1: Truce: November 17th, 2020. (Vivs 27. Taimi 20)

Chapter 2: Power: January 19th, 2021. 1334. (Vivs 27. Taimi 20)

Chapter 3: Balance: March 9th, 2021. (Vivs 28. Taimi 20)

Chapter 4: Judgement: April 27th, 2021. (Vivs 28. Taimi 20)

End of Dragons: February 28th, 2022. 1335. (Vivs 29. Taimi 21)

Now February 1st, 2023. 1336. (Vivs 30. Taimi 22)

Have you decided on a birthday for your character? Vividatt's birthday is the 20th of the season Zephyr. He met Taimi the day after his birthday. He fought Ryland with Kas and Braham in Icebrood Saga Episode Champions: Power: Jormag's World, where the Owl's spirit sacrificed herself for the others, and this happened the day before his birthday. He was about to be 28.

Taimi is said to have been born in late spring or early summer. I just wish they'd give them actual birthdays.

#Guild Wars 2 #GW2 #Taimi #Age #Character Birthday #The Commander #The Pact Commander #The Commander of the Pact #OC #Own Character #NPC #None Player Character #Timeline

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f1 · 2 years

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F1 announces 24-race calendar for 2023 French GP out Monaco and Belgium set to stay

F1 announces 24-race calendar for 2023, French GP out, Monaco and Belgium set to stay By Balazs Szabo on 20 Sep 2022, 23:19 Formula 1 has announced the record-breaking 24-race calendar for the 2023 FIA Formula One World Championship, which has been approved by the World Motor Sport Council. The 2023 season will kick off on March 5 - an earlier start than usual - in Bahrain before heading to Saudi Arabia. Following the Australian Grand Prix, the Chinese Grand Prix will make its return for the first time since 2019 on April 16. The championship will then move to the United States of America for the second ever Miami Grand Prix before it heads back to Italy for the Emilia Romagna Grand Prix that will take place a week prior to Monaco. In the meanwhile, Formula 1 has also confirmed that it will continue to race in the Principality until 2025 after a new three-year agreement was finalised with the Automobile Club of Monaco (ACM). Michel Boeri, President of the Automobile Club of Monaco, added: “In the interest of the Formula One World Championship, and after several months of negotiations, we are proud to announce that we have signed a three-year agreement with Formula One, and likely to be renewed.” Following the Monaco Grand Prix, the field will move to Barcelona for the Spanish Grand Prix before making the long trip to Canada. Austria will move forward by a week, kicking off the intense month of July that will incororate four races within just five weeks. Great Britain will be next on the schedule before the championship will pop up in Hungary with the Hungarian Grand Prix losing the spot of the last race before the summer break which will now be occupied by Belgium. Atter the restart, the Dutch Grand Prix will kick off the third leg of the season with the Italian Grand Prix twinned with Zandvoort. Singapore and Japan are set to host races at the end of September before Qatar returns on the 8th of October. The USA will host its second race in Texas at the end of October before the field makes the relatively short trip to Mexico. Following the Brazilian Grand Prix at Sao Paulo, Las Vegas will make its debut on November 18 - round 23 of the calendar, just before the finale in Abu Dhabi. Scheduled to take place in Las Vegas the week before Thanksgiving on November 18, the Las Vegas Grand Prix will see unprecedented levels of F1 activity and events, with Practice on Thursday, November 16 and Qualifying on Friday, November 17, ahead of the Saturday night race. Taking place at night against the iconic Las Vegas backdrop, the track will see drivers reach jaw-droppingpeeds of over 340kph as they race around some of the world’s most iconic landmarks, hotels and casinos on the legendary Las Vegas Strip. Speaking of the announcement of the calendar, Formula 1 CEO and President Stefano Domenicali said: “We are excited to announce the 2023 calendar with 24 races around the world. Formula 1 has unprecedented demand to host races and it is important we get the balance right for the entire sport. “We are very pleased with the strong momentum Formula 1 continues to experience and it is great news that we will be able to bring our passionate fans a mix of exciting new locations such as Las Vegas to the Championship with much loved venues across Europe, Asia and the Americas.” Speaking about the new calendar, FIA President Mohammed Ben Sulayem, said: “The presence of 24 races on the 2023 FIA Formula One World Championship calendar is further evidence of the growth and appeal of the sport on a global scale. "The addition of new venues and the retention of traditional events underlines the FIA’s sound stewardship of the sport. I am delighted that we will be able to take Formula 1’s new era of exciting racing, created by the FIA’s 2022 Regulations, to a broader fan base in 2023. In framing the 2023 F1 calendar, WMSC Members have also been mindful of the timing of the prestigious 24 Hours of Le Mans.” via F1Technical.net . Motorsport news https://www.f1technical.net/news/

#F1 #F1 announces 24-race calendar for 2023 #French GP out #Monaco and Belgium set to stay #Formula 1

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wikiuntamed · 2 months

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On this day in Wikipedia: Sunday, 21st April

Welcome, mirë se vjen, добре дошли (dobre doshli), sveiki 🤗 What does @Wikipedia say about 21st April through the years 🏛️📜🗓️?

21st April 2021 🗓️ : Event - Indonesian Navy The Indonesian Navy submarine Nanggala sank, resulting in the deaths of all 53 people on board. "The Indonesian Navy (Indonesian: Tentara Nasional Indonesia Angkatan Laut, lit. 'Indonesian National Military-Naval Force', TNI-AL) is the naval branch of the Indonesian National Armed Forces. It was founded on 10 September 1945 and has a role to patrol Indonesia's lengthy coastline, to enforce and..."

Image by Tentara Nasional Indonesia

21st April 2019 🗓️ : Event - 2019 Sri Lanka Easter bombings Eight bombs explode at churches, hotels, and other locations in Sri Lanka on Easter Sunday, killing at least 269. "On 21 April 2019, Easter Sunday, three churches in Sri Lanka and three luxury hotels in the commercial capital, Colombo, were targeted in a series of coordinated ISIS-related terrorist suicide bombings. Later that day, two smaller explosions occurred at a housing complex in Dematagoda and a guest..."

Image licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0? by AKS.9955

21st April 2014 🗓️ : Event - Flint, Michigan The city of Flint, Michigan, U.S., changed its water source to the Flint River, which exposed residents to lead poisoning. "Flint is the largest city and seat of Genesee County, Michigan, United States. Located along the Flint River, 66 miles (106 km) northwest of Detroit, it is a principal city within the region known as Mid Michigan. At the 2020 census, Flint had a population of 81,252, making it the twelfth largest..."

Image licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0? by Paul R. Burley

21st April 1973 🗓️ : Death - Kemal Tahir Kemal Tahir, Turkish journalist and author (b. 1910) "Kemal Tahir (March 13, 1910 – April 21, 1973) was a prominent Turkish novelist and intellectual. Tahir spent 13 years of his life imprisoned for political reasons and wrote some of his best known novels during this time. His most important novels include Esir Şehrin İnsanları (1956), Devlet Ana..."

21st April 1924 🗓️ : Birth - Ira Louvin Ira Louvin, American singer-songwriter and mandolin player (d. 1965) "Ira Lonnie Loudermilk (April 21, 1924 – June 20, 1965), known professionally as Ira Louvin, was an American country music singer, mandolinist and songwriter. He was a cousin of songwriter John D. Loudermilk...."

21st April 1821 🗓️ : Event - Benderli Ali Pasha Benderli Ali Pasha arrives in Constantinople as the new Grand Vizier of the Ottoman Empire; he remains in power for only nine days before being sent into exile. "Benderli Ali Pasha was an Ottoman statesman. He was Grand Vizier of the Ottoman Empire. He ruled from 23 March 1821 to 30 April 1821 as grand vizier of Sultan Mahmud II He came to Constantinople on 21 April 1821 and was actually only nine days in power. He was the last grand vizier clearly executed..."

21st April 🗓️ : Holiday - Kang Pan-sok's Birthday (North Korea) "This is a list of public holidays in North Korea. See also the Korean calendar for a list of traditional holidays. As of 2017, the North Korean calendar has 71 official public holidays, including Sundays. In the past, North Koreans relied on rations provided by the state on public holidays for..."

#OnThisDayInWikiHistory #WikiUntamed #WhereAreWeGoing #WikiQuest

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auxiliarydetective · 4 months

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Evie's OC Birthday Calendar

Have you ever wondered when my OCs' birthdays are? No? Well, you're getting a birthday calendar anyways. Under the cut, you'll find calendar pages, the template for which was made by this lovely person - for free! Thank you so much ^^

If, for some reason, you can't read what's written on the images, either because they won't load or because you can't read my sorry attempt at writing in cursive for the first time since fifth grade, don't worry – I've put a list of all the birthdays underneath the images for you!

List, in case the images don't load:

Also bonus reasons for the birthdays if there are any :)

January:

05. - Philomel (rough estimate of what "just after The Beginning" means) 10. - Kan-chan (goroawase for ma-ma-i-do: 0-0-1-10) 21. - Bára (Squirrel Appreciation Day, assigned by Larry Daley) 29. - Diana ("The Raven" is published on January 29th 1845)

February:

02. - Dotty (I honestly can't remember) 08. - Jelena (Release date of the Musik des Teufels audio drama) 15. - Honey (National Gumdrop Day + I needed a February birthday) 26. - Denri (Wii VC release of LOZ: OOT in the US)

March:

09. - Sonoko (goroawase for san-o-ko: 3-0-9) 10. - Lindewen (goroawase for surin-da: 3-10) 26. - K'Rala (Live Long and Prosper Day) 29. - Helena (Mermaid Day) 30. - Lily (World Bipolar Day)

April:

06. - Holly (goroawase for ho-ri: 4-6) 10. - Jamie (I honestly can't remember. But the Titanic sets sail April 10th!) 26. - Anita (World Burlesque Day)

May:

02. - Penny | Agent 0 (goroawase, probably, but I can't remember for what) 04. - Lani (Star Wars Day, May the Fourth be with you) 31. - Claire (Pretty sure it's a reference to Sappho but I don't remember how)

June:

01. - Vicky (Marilyn Monroe's birthday) 05. - Cora (National Tailors Day) 08. - Reina (Name Your Poison Day) 25. - Inari (Pudding's birthday - they're twins, so...)

July:

01. - Lux (07/01; Amber Lead Syndrome is introduced in ep. 701 of the anime) 09. - Eva (Argentina Independence Day) 16. - Varsha (World Snake Day; assigned by Tom Sawyer)

August:

01. - Kit (movie & 80s version) (Spider-Man Day) 08. - Fernip (I can't remember) 15. - Noura (Flooding/Fidelity of The Nile) 30. - Raevyn (picked it in 2019; wanted her to be a summer girl and a virgo)

September:

02. - Circe (goroawase for kyu-ki-tsu-ki = vampire: 9-2) 04. - Kaede (goroawase for mu-sa-sa-bi: 6-3-3-1; 6+3, 3+1 -> 9-4) 12. - Sonata (Hans Zimmer's birthday) 14. - Chalice (release of the animated Disney's Alice in Wonderland in the US) 25. - Aurelia (Maybe I wanted her to be a libra? Maybe it's a festival of Hera?)

October:

01. - Kassandra ("On the twelfth hour of the first day of October 1989...") 13. - Evelynn (picked it in 2020, yes it's a reference to Friday 13th) 25. - Byeong-ho (Nevada Day; because of his gambling addiction) 31. Charlie (Halloween for demon boi; read the fic for the canonical reason 🙃 )

November:

04. - Soles (Colombian All Saints' Day) 17. - Sherry (first release day of Mario & Luigi: Superstar Saga) 22. - Eve (release date of her first appearance in the series if she were canon)

December:

05. - Celine (probably Who Killed Markiplier-related) 11. - Luna (I picked it about eight years ago as a reference to Zoro's birthday) 21. - Iris (World Poetry Day but make it sagittarius)

#oc birthday calendar

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ailtrahq · 9 months

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The bears are gaining strength for both crypto and stock markets, as the major US indexes now confirming downtrends. Furthermore, October is usually a red month for markets, so there may be more pains before gains. US stock markets have been in decline for the past two months, and the move is likely to continue into October. Will Crypto Markets Follow? The Nasdaq has fallen below its previous low in August, forming a new lower low this week. The downtrend, which has been confirmed according to crypto analyst “Cold Blooded Shiller,” began in mid-July. Since then, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite Index has dropped 9% to 13,063, where it settled at the close of trading on September 26. Nasdaq 2023 performance. Source: X/@ColdBloodShill Additionally, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has fallen by 5.6% since the beginning of August. Furthermore, the broader S&P 500 Index has mirrored the moves. It has fallen almost 7% since the downtrend began at the beginning of July to 4,273 after the bell on Tuesday. Moreover, the S&P 500 is now down 340 points since the Fed removed “recession” from their forecast, according to the Kobeissi Letter. It added that the Fed marked the exact high in the S&P 500, which just hit its lowest level since June: “Since then, rate cut expectations were pushed out by a year and corporate bankruptcies hit their highest levels since the pandemic.” S&P 500 3 months. Source: X/@KobeissiLetter A number of high-profile banks aped the Fed in dropping their recession predictions, yet the markets appear to be defiant. Crypto markets have been slightly correlated with tech stocks this year but have remained in consolidation for most of it. Following an initial spurt of growth in the first quarter, crypto markets have been flat since mid-March. Moreover, they have dropped 19% since their 2023 high in mid-April, also exhibiting a downtrend. A Red October? October is historically the most volatile month of the year for US and global markets. With a downtrend already confirmed, things will likely slide deeper into the red next month, including crypto. October’s record of market crashes makes it the most feared month on the financial calendar. The Bank Panic of 1907, the Stock Market Crash of 1929, and Black Monday 1987 all happened during the month of October. In the 2022 bear market, crypto markets were flat for most of October, gaining marginally towards the end of the month. The bull market of 2021 saw large gains for crypto in October, but 2020 was similar to 2022. 2019 saw a brief pump at the end of October, but all gains were lost the following month. The bear market of 2018 was another flat October. If history rhymes, crypto markets will remain flat next month, but be aware that November is usually much more volatile for this asset class. Source

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grandprix20 · 11 months

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F1 2024 calendar revealed: Saturday night Grand Prix races in Bahrain and Saudi Arabia to kick off record 24-race season

🗓️ F1 2024 season to run from March 2-December 8; Season opener in Bahrain and second race in Saudi Arabia to be held on Saturday night, along with November’s Las Vegas GP; Chinese GP to return for first time since 2019; Japanese GP moves from September to April with Azerbaijan GP pushed back. Read the full article on Sky Sports here.

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drcarloschacon · 1 year

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Keeping COVID-19's Effects to a Minimum During Surgery

A piece of advice from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention can help surgeons lessen the COVID-19 virus's negative effects during surgery. This advice offers details on preoperative testing, infection management, and other methods for stopping the spread of the illness. Additionally, it emphasizes the value of patient waiting times and the necessity of immunizations in advance.

To prevent infection in both patients and medical personnel, preoperative COVID-19 testing of patients is crucial. In the context of surgery, this is especially true.

Hospitals encountered a disproportionately large number of patients with COVID-19 infections in the early stages of the epidemic. Consequently, a uniform method for preoperative COVID-19 testing became urgently necessary.

A standard preoperative testing policy was implemented by hospitals. They created their program with effective screening for all patients while limiting the spread of COVID-19. The application of this method, however, has seriously disrupted surgical processes.

Because hospitals must pay for positive instances, universal testing has generated some controversy. There is no proof that a positive test lowers the risk of infection during surgery.

Patients undergoing surgery have been adversely impacted by the COVID-19 outbreak. The pandemic has significantly disrupted hospital surgeries. Implementing infection control procedures will help protect these patients by lowering the possibility of further transmission.

Individuals who have had surgery have a higher risk of problems than patients who have not had surgery. The patient's risk of infection and the advantages of surgery must both be taken into account.

Early isolation lowers the risk of an outbreak and lowers the likelihood of transmission to others. Infections acquired in hospitals are not prevented by this, though.

To ensure the security of both patients and employees, infection prevention and control (IPC) must be prioritized. Preoperative patient screening is the initial stage in the prioritization process. A collaborative strategy is also required.

Preoperative screening, terminal cleaning of operating rooms, and sensible PPE usage are examples of infection control strategies for reducing the impact of COVID-19 during surgery. These steps are intended to lessen the risk of further transmission, lower the bioburden, and stop infection in both personnel and other patients.

A recent study evaluated the impact of the COVID-19 epidemic on surgical volumes. Surgery wait times are a crucial indicator of healthcare fairness. It has to do with both a patient's socioeconomic situation and the risk of postoperative complications.

One of the objectives of a health system with public funding is to shorten wait times. Two time periods were chosen for comparison to the same calendar months of the prior year in order to gauge how the pandemic affected the number of surgeries. April through September and July through September 2019 were among them.

The total number of procedures was used to calculate the surgical volume. Hospitals must expand their ability to offer diagnostic procedures as more patients come in for screening exams. Uncertainty exists regarding the precise effect on surgical volume.

A patient's risk of postoperative problems and death can be decreased by vaccination to lessen the impact of COVID-19 during surgery. Numerous research has been carried out to assess this advantage.

The effectiveness of vaccination in treating cancer patients is a subject of some controversy. The extensive media coverage of the vaccination and its negative effects is another issue.

It has been discovered that preoperative immunization lowers the likelihood of COVID-19 problems during surgery. Preoperative immunization also lowers the chance of serious surgical complications, according to research.

Preoperative vaccination has also reportedly been shown to lower postoperative mortality. These conclusions, however, are only supported by evidence from a few studies. There is still a need for greater study on COVID-19 management and vaccination effectiveness.

A new Coronavirus Disease has recently caused a global health crisis. The COVID-19 disease is brought on by the SARS-CoV-2 virus. Surgeons faced a higher risk of infection during the pandemic.

In response, surgical teams have created consensus standards and research priorities. The main goal of these suggestions has been to reduce the risk of infection, especially during the perioperative phase.

The use of the right PPE is one of the most crucial methods for preventing nosocomial transmission. For every surgery that produces aerosols in the operating room, N-95 respirators are required. All healthcare professionals should use eye protection goggles while doing surgery.

In order to reduce the chance of coming into touch with a patient who has the COVID-19 virus, surgeons should wear the appropriate PPE, such as eye protection goggles. If they have underlying medical issues, surgical staff may want to wear additional levels of protection.

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shumailach-blog · 1 year

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Australian Visitor Visa Wait Times Have Blown Out With Some Nationalities in Limbo for Months

Tourists have been waiting three times longer to get their visas approved for travel to Australia this year compared to pre-COVID-19 times, with a new report showing specific impacts on visitors from one country.

Visa processing times for tourists and business travellers blew out this year. Source: SBS News

Travellers eager to visit Australia this year waited months to get their visas approved, with most Chinese citizens left in limbo for four months, a new report shows.The Department of Home Affairs' report on visitor visas paints a stark picture of the delays in the system after Australia's international borders were re-opened on 1 November 2021. It also shows significant changes in the numbers of tourists and business visitors applying to come to Australia - and where they are coming from - compared to before the COVID-19 pandemic.

The latest report details processing times between 1 April and 30 June 2022 and has only recently been released. It shows that 75 per cent of requests for tourist visas (subclass 600 and 676) were processed within 59 calendar days, 269 per cent longer than the 16 calendar days it took in 2019.

The processing of business visas (short stay, subclass 456) and (business visitor, subclass 600) also grew to 15 days, compared to a processing time of seven days before the emergence of COVID-19 and the shutdown of Australia's international borders on 20 March 2020.

The blowout in processing times has happened despite the number of visa applications being much lower.

Around 75 per cent of tourist visas were processed in 59 calendar days. Source: SBS News

In 2019, around 1.3 million visitor visa applications (including both tourist and business visas) were lodged between April-June, compared to just 695,343 in the same period this year.

Why Have the Wait Times Increased?

The report reveals data from April-June, mostly covering the period prior to the Albanese Government winning the federal election on 21 May.

A Department of Home Affairs spokesperson told SBS News in a statement that "processing times will take some time to improve as we work through older applications in the backlog".

The spokesperson said the department was implementing policy changes to allow more streamlined processing of visas.

"The department is managing risks carefully, targeting applicants who warrant it, while efficiently deciding applications for everyone else."

They said almost 2.8 million temporary and migration visas had been processed since 1 June, including more than 1.5 million visitor, 199,000 student and 43,000 temporary skilled applications.

The Albanese Government has announced it would provide an

extra $36.1 million to hire up to 500 people for nine months to help address wait times. About 20 per cent of those positions had been filled by the end of September.

The department also recruited an additional 260 staff into roles supporting temporary and migration visa processing from the start of May, and officers previously focused on travel exemptions have been redirected to visa processing. But it's unclear whether staffing levels have returned to pre-COVID levels.

Some travellers wanting to visit Australia have waited months to get their visas approved.

Former Department of Immigration secretary Abul Rizvi said he didn't think there would be a recovery in processing times until the next report covering July-September, at the earliest.

"They should be being processed faster now, but I suspect the improvement will be gradual, it won't be sudden," he said.

Information on the Home Affairs website, which was last updated in August, advises travellers that processing of the tourist subclass 600 visa is taking around 63 days for 75 per cent of applicants - even longer than the average wait times seen earlier this year.

Certain countries experiencing longer delays

Processing times have been even longer for citizens of certain countries, with around 75 per cent of tourist visas from China taking 120 days to finalise in April-June this year. During the same period in 2019 most were processed in nine days.

The department did not address questions about why these visas were taking so much longer to get through the system.

Mr Rizvi said China's strict COVID-19 restrictions, including widespread lockdowns, could be making the processing of visas more difficult. Officials could also be taking a more cautious attitude towards processing visas from China, he said, pointing to a recent Nine investigation that exposed alleged visa rorting linked to criminal syndicates.

Mr Rizvi said it was likely the Australian government was aware of scams operating out of China, as well as other countries, and was scrutinising visitor visas more carefully.

The Australian Government may be scrutinising Chinese travellers more carefully. Source: AAP

When it comes to business visas, about 75 per cent of US citizens have been waiting 52 days for them to be processed, much longer than the average of 15 days.

But processing times have improved compared to April-June last year when most tourism visas took 160 days to process, and business visas were taking 342 days.

Arrivals Are Still a Long Way From Pre-pandemic Levels

The number of visitors arriving in Australia, including both tourists and business travellers, are still well down on pre-COVID-19 levels. Around 699,725 people visited Australia in 2021/22, more than nine times lower than the 6.5 million people in 2018/19.

Around 17 per cent of those travellers were from India, 15 per cent from the UK and 12 per cent from Singapore.

Back in 2018/19, 17 per cent were from China, 11 per cent from the US and 10 per cent from the UK. China now only makes up 2.3 per cent of arrivals in Australia, with just 15,855 travelling to the country in 2021/22 compared to one million travellers three years ago.

The number of visitors to Australia has dropped dramatically. Source: SBS News

However, more recent numbers show tourism could be starting to improve. In June this year, there were 219,607 visitor visa holders in Australia, only around 100,000 less than the 316,469 travellers in the country on the same date in 2019.

The number of visitor holders in Australia has increased by 396 per cent in the period from 17 December 2021, the week the borders opened to some fully vaccinated travellers, until 14 October this year.

Change in the Origin of Tourists

When it comes to visa approvals for tourists, there has also been a significant change in the source countries.

In 2018/19, before the emergence of COVID-19, the top source country was China, with 856,110 tourist visa applications granted, making up 17 per cent of the 5.2 million approvals. It was followed by the US, UK, Japan and Malaysia. India came in sixth with 250,874 visas approved.

China's numbers have since seen a dramatic drop of 95 per cent, to just 36,150 visas granted in 2021/22. India's numbers have remained fairly steady on 190,605 visas, making it the top country of origin. It made up 19 per cent of the one million tourist visas granted, followed by the UK, Singapore, US, Malaysia and China.

China was once the top country for the lodgement of visitor visas to Australia, but demand has dropped dramatically from tourists and business travellers. Source: SBS News

Singapore has risen from eighth position to third, despite approved visas dropping by 59 per cent, from 208,480 in 2018/19, to 84,792 in 2021/22.

Mr Rivzi said Australia may have remained a popular destination for Singaporeans compared to China, Hong Kong and Japan due to their strict COVID-19 restrictions.

"Singaporeans have got to spend their money holidaying somewhere and I think we're benefiting because we're seen as a relatively safe destination from a COVID perspective," he said.

The number of subclass 600 tourist visa applications granted under the Approved Destination Status from China also dropped to zero in 2020/21 and 2021/22, after being at 200,038 in 2018/19. Mr Rivzi said those visas were generally used by trusted tour groups and so may have been impacted by the lack of travel from China during the pandemic.

Business Visa Approvals Drop By 320 per Cent

The report also shows a significant shift in approvals for business visas. Back in 2018/19, around 504,782 business visas were granted. The top country was China, which had 82,026 visas approved (making up 16 per cent of the total) followed by US, UK, Japan and India.

Three years later, China has dropped to sixth on the list, with just 8,198 business visas granted. Overall 120,103 visas were approved in 2021/22.

The top country is now the US, making up 11 per cent of business visas approved in 2021/22, despite the number being four times lower than in 2018/19. The number of visas granted to the US dropped from 65,325 in 2018/19, to 13,444. The US is followed by Singapore, UK, India and South Korea.

Countries Finding It Harder to Get Visas Approved

Between April-June this year, Australia approved 91.9 per cent of visitor visa applications (including tourism and business visas) compared to 94.6 per cent during the same period in 2019.

It's understood the finalisation of visa applications lodged before or during the pandemic may have impacted the grant rate, as some applicants may have experienced a change in circumstances, and may no longer have wanted to travel to Australia.

COVID-19-related travel restrictions have also continued to impact the ability of Chinese nationals to travel internationally for tourism purposes.

Approval rates can vary widely between countries. Just 66 per cent of tourist visa 600 and 676 applications from Thailand were approved in April-June, compared to 95 per cent of those from the US.

Back in 2019, Thailand's grant rate for tourist visas was 82 per cent in the same period. Fiji had the lowest approval rate of 76 per cent while the highest rate was for Chile at 96 per cent.

This does not include figures for the 651 eVisitor visa, an electronic visa that only certain countries including the UK and other European countries, can apply for.

Australia approved around 83 per cent of tourist visas between April-June this year but grant rates for Thailand were much lower, at just 66 per cent. Source: SBS News

Meanwhile, approval rates for business visa 600 also dropped. Previously, most countries had high approval rates (of more than 90 per cent) for these visas in April-June 2019, and there was an overall approval rate of 94 per cent. This has now dropped to 91 per cent. In particular, China's approval rate for business visas dropped from 93 per cent in April-June 2019, to only 83 per cent this year.

By contrast, approval rates for sponsored tourist visa 600 improved from 81 per cent in April-June 2019, to 88 per cent this year. Indonesia boasted the highest grant rate of 94 per cent, a vast improvement from its 2019 approval rate of just 78 per cent.

Lebanon had the lowest approval rate of 71 per cent, although this was an improvement on its 2019 number of 55 per cent. Previously, the highest grant rate in 2019 was for Bangladesh citizens on 92 per cent.

Source: https://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/australian-visitor-visa-wait-times-have-blown-out/g1m5rode7

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