Super Bowl LI Prediction

1/25/2017

Author: Marcus Whitman                

As over 100 million bodies tune in to Super Bowl LI, you have the choice to either join them as spectator or join us to actually profit off of the 4+ hours you spend glued to your couch inhaling Tostitos dippers and Bud Light. To be precise, a 35% profit … the current money line you receive for placing your faith in the Atlanta Falcons to win the 51st NFL Championship (that anyone gives a rip about).

What is special about this years’ big game is that it presents a particular investment opportunity. As is with any opportunity in life, a deficiency has left a hole to be filled. This deficiency: the worlds unbreakable infatuation with Tom Brady. Whether this infatuation is justified or not is irrelevant. What is relevant is the peoples’ terror and inability to bet against him which has left an overly discounted opportunity pick Atlanta.

If you can’t come to the conclusion to bet against Tom Brady himself, I can’t say I blame you. Although I will say he is a correct play call involving Marshawn Lynch at the goal line away from not having won a Super Bowl since 2005 … for those of you who lost track that was 12 years ago. If you can’t get passed the betting against Tom Brady part, then take a look at another deficiency in the gambling market for this game. There is a stat surging through the echo chamber that has led to the Patriots being overpriced, “In Super Bowl history the #1 scoring defense (Patriots) vs the #1 scoring offense (Falcons) is 5-1 all time.” We always say here to not bet on stats, but, quite literally, bet your bottom dollar that the line is shifting Patriots when people see this stat. Face it, this defense is lightyears from the 85’ Bears, the 13’ Seahawks or the 02’ Bucs. If the film doesn’t convince you, then simply look at the list of quarterbacks the Patriots have faced in 2016 and tell yourself there isn’t at least a slight discrepancy in the Patriots #1 defensive rating.

On the other side of the ball, the Falcons #1 offensive rating is legit. One of the most explosive offenses in the history of the NFL, this squad is fast, strong, hot, healthy, and hungry. They are also starting to gel at the right time with a young, intimidating defense. Before looking at the line for this game, I assumed the Falcons would actually be favored in this game by one or two points. Atlanta simply has better players. This was transparent as they embarrassed a Packers team that has more similarities to New England than differences. Obviously Tom Brady and the Patriots have a fair chance at winning this game, but it should be closer to or below 50%, not well above it. Taking Atlanta is the no brainer pick in this game, so get your bets in before people catch on.

NCAAM Futures

Because of a recent cold streak, the Duke men’s basketball team has gone from preseason #1 and 5-1 favorites to win in March to 14-1 on Bovada.  

This presents huge value to any smart investor.  This team has the #1 Harry Giles, #3 Jason Tatum, #10 Frank Jackson, and #16 Marques Bolden ESPN top 100 2016 recruiting class.  Not to mention returning National Player of the Year Greyson Allen, Luke Kennard, Amille Jefferson, Matt Jones, and Chase Jeter among others.

Because of some injury trouble and the absence of coach K this team has not been able to sustain good play yet this season.  However, look for the Dukies to put themselves in good position by March and make a deep run into the tournament.