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bad-beats · 4 years
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A Bowl of Bad Beets - Bad Beets Ch. 5 (12/16-1/5)
Ladies. Gentleman. Boy. Girls. Cats. Dogs. Degenerate Gamblers. Bookies. Welcome back to the Bad Beets Blog! I hope you had a fantastic holiday season and that your Sunday Scaries weren’t as bad as mine after my two-week absence from the office. This past month was full of NCAA bowl games, and bowl game szn and bad beet szn are basically synonymous. I already broke my New Year’s Resolution of having zero Bad Beets in 2020. Nonetheless, I am here to provide entertainment for all of you (albeit that it is in the form of my gambling misfortune). Let’s get after it.
12/17/19
League: NBA
Bet: Magic vs Jazz Under 209 (-110)
Units: 1.1 to win 1
Welcome back to another thrilling episode of “Life is too short to bet the under.” Thanks for being a recurring viewer. This is a classic NBA scenario: Magic down 1 with a minute left. Jazz score two buckets in a row. Magic play the fouling game to try to decrease the deficit. Jazz don’t miss free throws. 10 points scored in the final minute.
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Bad Beet #1 just dips its feet in the water compared to the beets that are to come in the rest of this article.
12/18/19
League: NBA
Bet: Cavaliers -3 (-110)
Units: 2.2 to win 2
I will definitely take part of the blame for this beet. Why the hell I thought it was feasible that the Cavs could cover a 3-point spread at home is beyond me. The Cavaliers should never be favorites. Unfortunately, I didn’t listen to logic and took them -3 anyway. For most of the game, I was pretty proud of myself for this bet - I thought I had outsmarted Vegas. The Cavs were up double digits almost wire to wire. They took a 12-point lead into the fourth quarter. They were up 10 with 3:08 left in the game.
Enter “Scary Terry” Rozier. The guy couldn’t miss a three during the final 60 seconds. He channeled his inner Jimmer Fredette, pulling threes from 28+ feet.
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Larry Nance Jr. missed a free throw with 31 seconds left with the Cavs up 5, and of course, Scary Terry drained a 28-footer just seconds later to cut the deficit to 2. Not to fear though, the Cavs got the ball back and were about to get fouled and head back to the line to try to cover again, right? WRONG! Colin Sexton dribbled the ball of his foot, turning the ball right back over to the Hornets. Scary Terry had a chance to win the game, but it rimmed in and out and the Cavs secured the rebound. With only a few seconds left, the Hornets didn’t foul, the Cavs didn’t get to shoot free throws, and they somehow didn’t cover the -3, and I couldn’t even escape with a push.
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I forgot to mention that the Cavs had a 96% chance to cover with just three minutes left in the game according to The Action Network (@ActionNetworkHQ on Twitter). Bad Beet #2 of the week can be attributed to Scary Terry and the Lebron-less Cleveland Cavaliers.
12/19/19
League: NHL
Bet: Blackhawks vs Jets 1P over 1.5 (-150)
Units: 2.75 to win 1.85
As I have mentioned in previous blogs, there is little that is more exhilarating than betting first-period hockey totals. These bets can be instant wins if you take the over and the score is 1-1 after 2:33 seconds, or you can lose an under on a last-second goal 19:54 into the period. I love betting on the Blackhawks first-period overs this season because their defense ranks in the bottom third in goals allowed and they give up the most shots in the entire league at a whopping 35.95 per game. On the flip side of the puck, Patrick Kane can find the net faster than a fat kid can find a sleeve of Oreos.
The Hawks scored on the first shot of the game, 0:59 into the period. Alex Nylander beautifully put it home, and my bet was already halfway there with 95% of the time in the period remaining.
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Someone please explain to me how the fuck one goal is scored on this first shot, and zero goals are scored on the following 28 shots. FUCK. Bad Beet #3 of the week. No words for this one.
12/21/19
League: NHL
Bet: Jets vs Wild 1P under 1.5 (Even)
Units: 0.8 to win 0.8
Remember how in the previous beet the Winnipeg Jets scored 0 goals off of 17 shots in the first period and screwed me out 1.85 units? These mother fuckers are the worst. In an uneventful first period against the Wild, they committed a penalty in a 0-0 game with just 6:30 remaining, proceeded to score a SHORTHANDED GOAL with 5 minutes left in the period, and for good measure scored with 6 seconds left to take a 2-0 lead into the break.
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Fuck me. The Jets are on my shitlist. Bad Beet #4 of the week would have been non-existent if the Wild keeper could have not sucked for just 6 seconds longer (P.S. The Jets would go on to win this game 6-0).
3/26/2003
This is the day that the “Catch me outside, how bout dat,” girl was born. Also known as Danielle Bregoli, or by her rap name “Bhad Bhabie,” she is the queen of producing some absolutely horrific music during her short rap career.
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I think it would be more appropriate to call her “Bhad Bheets.” Sheesh.
12/23/19
League: NCAAF - Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla Bowl
Bet: Live Bet - UCF vs Marshall over 73.5 (+155)
Units: 2.5 to win 3.85
I LOVE COLLEGE BOWL SEASON. I am a big proponent of these games: coaches are more inclined to go for it on 4th down, there are generally some crazy trick plays, and both teams have a similar chance to win the game. You all know how much I love betting the over, and for college bowl season, I bet the over 85% of the time (which doesn’t end up working out for me). However, on this game, I had such a good read on the over that I obviously took over 59.5 before the game started. UCF plays such with a rapid tempo, and I had a feeling this could turn into a shootout-esque game. Feeling greedy, I took the live bet over 73.5 (+155) sometime in the 2nd quarter. The score at halftime was 24-7. After a 39-point third quarter, I only needed 4 points in the last quarter of the game to hit my live bet. UCF kicked a field goal with 9:04 remaining in the game. I needed one singular point over the last 9 minutes of the game. Here are the final two drives...
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Marshall went on a 12 play, 48-yard drive that stalled with a turnover on downs and ate up 4 minutes of clock. With UCF up 23, they weren’t using their usual fast-paced tempo to run their offense, which was unfortunate. However, they broke a 38-yard run with just over a minute left but got tackled at the Marshall 2-yard line. I was hoping they could just punch it in with a quick HB dive, which they attempted, and utterly failed, getting stuffed at the half-yard line. And that is how the game ended. 3 total points in the 4th, 73 overall and just a half-yard away from cashing this bet. Bad Beet #5 of the week gave me kidney stones.
1/1/2020
League: NCAAF - Sugar Bowl
Bet: Georgia vs Baylor over 42 (-120)
Units: 12 to win 10
I am not even going to go into how much this one hurt. I was having a rough New Year’s Day of gambling, so I decided I wanted to chase my losses (never a good idea, 10/10 would not recommend). I needed a bailout special just one day into the new year. I won’t go into a description of what happened in this bet because it will trigger me. I’ll just leave this here...
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96% chance to cover the over 44 with 4:10 remaining in the 3rd quarter. 20 minutes of the game left, and I had the over 42, not even 44. I surmise that the cover % for the over 42 was closer to 98% at that point in the game. This beet motherfucked me. One of my worst of all time. #6 of the week and the first one of 2020. Definitely not a good omen for what is to come this gambling year.
1/3/2020
League: NCAAB
Bet: Illinois 1H +5.5 (-110)
Units: 2.2 to win 2
The Fighting Illini (my alma mater) basketball team has had a tail of two seasons. They have played like a top 25 team in the country at times, beating Michigan and annihilating Purdue at home, and also have choked away games at home to Miami and away at Maryland. This beet is unexplainable. Illinois hit a bucket with 0:34 left to decrease the deficit to just 5. MSU missed a layup with 27 seconds left and the Illini grabbed the board. There was no reason for MSU to even get another possession. With the shot clock turned off, Illinois could have held for the last shot of the half, and more importantly guaranteed a cover of the 5.5 point spread.
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Just by reading the play-by-play, it looks like Trent Frazier committed the dumbest foul in the game with just one second left in the half, fouling a 3-point shooter as time expired. However, it was actually just the single worst call in basketball history (maybe an exaggeration, but my god was it a horrendous call). Take a look for yourself...
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I hate how referees aren’t held accountable for their mistakes. The only job in the world where you can repeatedly mess up and have no repercussions. Going to be sending this ref a Venmo request for my 2.2 units back. Bad Beet #7 of the week was just plain assault.
1/2/2020
League: NBA
Bet: Heat 1H -3 (-110)
Units: 2.75 to win 2.5
The Miami Heat are 12-5-1 against the 1H spread at home this season. However, they could be 13-5 against the spread in the first half at home this season, if not for this horrible push. Miami was up 8 with the ball with 45 seconds left in the half. That’s all you need to know. They had no business not covering the 1H spread in this game.
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The Raptors very eloquently executed the 2-for-1 situation at the end of the half, made a layup to shrink the deficit to 5, got a defensive board, and then OG Anunoby hit a buzzer-beater 3 to send the game to halftime with a 39-42 score. The Heat went scoreless over the last 2:14 of the half. Miserable push.
1/3/2020
League: NCAAF - Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Bet: Live Bet - Ohio vs Nevada over 53.5 (-115)
Units: 3.5 to win 3
With a crazy name like the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl, obviously, something out of the ordinary was going to happen to my bet. Nevada was getting trounced by Ohio most of the game, but finally found some life in the 4th quarter, attempting to mount a furious comeback. They scored an early TD in the quarter, but botched the snap on the XP and could only come away with 6. They scored another TD soon after, which made the score 30-21.
*Insert inexplicably bad coaching decision #1*
The Nevada coach decided that he wanted to go for two points, down 9, to get that 2-point conversion out of the way. Literally every statistic screams to go for 1 in that scenario, make it an 8-point game to keep the deficit to only one score, and move on with the game. Obviously, Nevada didn’t successfully convert the 2-point try, so the score remained 30-21 with 8:49 remaining in the game. At this point in time, I only needed a FG to win my live bet of the over 53.5. Nevada stopped Ohio on their next drive, and got the ball down to 1st and goal with 4 minutes left, down by 2 scores.
*Insert inexplicably bad coaching decision #2*
Here is the play call on 1st and goal that the Nevada coach came up with...
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WHY THE FUCK ARE YOU RUNNING A DOUBLE REVERSE ON 1ST AND GOAL WITH YOUR TEAM DOWN TWO SCORES?!?! OF COURSE YOU ARE GOING TO TURN IT OVER. FUCK. YOU FUCKED MY BET.
Turns out this wasn’t the play that sent my bet to the grave, although I wish it was because how I actually ended up losing was far worse. After the fumble, Nevada used all 3 of their timeouts and stopped Ohio again. They got the ball back with 2:45. On the first play of their drive, a Nevada receiver broke free down the middle of the field for what would have surely been a touchdown. The only problem was that Carson Strong overthrew him by about 6 inches. Two plays later, Strong aired one out to their best receiver, Elijah Cooks, who hauled the ball in at the Ohio 8-yard line. Down 2 scores, Nevada needed both a TD and a field goal to win the game. After 3 straight incomplete passes, the field goal kicker trotted out to make it a one-score game with 1:54 remaining.
Wait...where was the field goal kicker?
*Insert inexplicably bad coaching decision #3*
YOU CAN’T BE SERIOUS - THE ONLY EXPLANATION FOR WHY THE COACH WENT FOR IT ON 4TH AND GOAL FROM THE 8 WITH NO TIMEOUTS AND DOWN TWO SCORES WITH 1:54 LEFT IN THE GAME IS THAT HE BET ON OHIO! NO OTHER EXPLANATION. I NEED AN INVESTIGATION YESTERDAY! FUCK! BAD BEET #8 WAS ONE OF THE WORST BEETS OF MY LIFE!
1/4/2020
League: NCAAF - Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl
Bet: Live Bet - Tulane vs Southern Miss over 49.5 (-115)
Units: 5.75 to win 5
Frankly, I am out of breath after describing that last beet. I placed this live bet early in the 3rd quarter. Tulane scored 24 unanswered in that quarter, leading 30-13 heading into the last 15 minutes of the game.
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After a scoreless first 13 minutes of the 4th quarter, Southern Miss threw a pick in the endzone on 1st and goal. Icing on the shit cake. Bad Beet #9 committed necrophilia with the corpse that was left after Bad Beet #8.
Well, folks, I hope reading this blog was far less miserable than my gambling experiences have already been in 2020. Let’s recap:
Bad Beet Count: 9
Unit Swing: 36 to win 31.5 (67.5 unit swing)
Well, that’s all for this week folks. Please Like and Share on https://www.facebook.com/badbeetsblog/ to offset some of my gambling misery. See you next week!
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bad-beats · 4 years
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Bad Beets Ch. 4 (12/2-12/15)
How many bad beets does it take to get to the center of Jonah’s sanity? The world may soon know. Welcome back to another episode of the Bad Beets Blog! For returning readers, you know the drill. If this is your first time stumbling along the Bad Beets Blog: Hello! My name is Jonah and this is a blog about my luck (or lack thereof) when making sports bets. Let’s jump right into it! 
12/2/19
League: NCAAB
Bet: Furman vs South Florida 1H Over 61.5 (-110)
Units: 1.25 to win 1.15
College basketball insider Jon Rothstein (@JonRothstein on Twitter) often uses the word ‘anarchy’ to describe college hoops, especially during this 2019-2020 season. When betting college basketball, you better have a defibrillator near you because it can be one of the most exhilarating, heart-stopping sports to gamble on. College teams can score 15 points in two-minutes by hitting 5 straight threes, or they can go on 8-minute scoring droughts. Furman and South Florida played a clean 18 minutes of basketball, scoring 61 points with 1:41 left in the first half. Needing just a half of a point with two minutes to go, this bet could, and should, have cashed in my sleep. Instead...
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You have got to be freakin’ kidding me! Four missed field goals and two missed free throws and the total sat silently at 61 to close the half. As Jon Rothstein says, Bad Beet #1 of the week was ‘the epitome of brutality.’
Bonus: Bad Beets Hall of Fame
I want to quickly bring up one of the worst beets of all time (that I happened to be on the Hero Win side of). Take a look...
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I had about 1 unit on the under in this game, but I can’t imagine how many things I would have punched if I was on the over. This might be a nominee for one of the worst over/under beets of all time, not just 2019. Scoring only 3 total points in five minutes of basketball is unfathomable. Oh, and to top things off, there was a missed free throw with one second left that would have sent the game to overtime and basically guaranteed the over. Thoughts and prayers to anyone who was on the wrong side of that bet.
12/7/19
League: NCAAB
Bet: Illinois ML (+433)
Units: 0.75 to win 3.25
For those of you who don’t know, I graduated from the University of Illinois in May 2019. I’ve been a fan of the Illini my entire life and come from a family of Orange and Blue. When I was a student, Illinois went to 0 bowl games and had 0 NCAA tournament appearances (though we did come in 2nd in the country in Women’s Volleyball when I was a senior). Illinois basketball is finally exciting again. With a backcourt of Ayo Dosunmu and Trent Frazier, and freshman phenom Kofi Cockburn in the middle, Illinois is a force to be reckoned with this season. We were 10-point underdogs heading into Maryland on a fine Saturday afternoon. This spread seemed wildly too big (so, of course, I hammered it) but I also had to sprinkle the Illinois ML +433. Illinois dominated the entire game - leading by double digits for most of it. The score was 57-48 in favor of the Illini with 4:33 left in the game. 
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Maryland closed the game on an 11-1 run to comeback and stun the Illini. As an Illinois fan, this loss hurt a lot. But as a gambler who took Illinois ML, this obliterated me. How the fuck do you only score 1 point over the last five minutes of a conference game? **Keep this Illinois scoring drought at the top of your mind while you continue reading because unfortunately, an incredibly similar situation happened just one week later.
12/8/19
League: Serie A
Bet: Sassuolo PK (-124) 
Units: 1.3 to win 1.1
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This brutal push had everything. I was already winning this bet after just 420 seconds (nice). Sassuolo jumped out to a quick 2-0 lead in the 36th minute of the contest. After conceding in the 51st minute, they had an opportunity to redeem themselves with a penalty kick just 15 minutes later. Berardi confidently stepped up to the spot. And confidently missed the penalty. 
No worries though, Mr. Berardi; the bet was still winning with a 2-1 Sassuolo lead. It stayed that way until Sassuolo conceded AGAIN in the 90th minute and the game finished in a draw. Fuck me. BRUTAL PUSH!
12/8/19
League: NFL
Bet: Redskins vs Packers 1H over 21 (-120)
Units: 2.5 to win 2.1
Note to self: never bet an over in a game with Dwayne Haskins as one of the quarterbacks. I was kind of banking on the Packers to score all three TDs in the first half to hit the over by themselves, so I was pleasantly surprised when the Skins found the endzone with just over 5 minutes to play in the first half. The score at that time was 14-0 Packers, so all I needed was a Dustin Hopkins extra point to guarantee a push at the very least.
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Notice how the Redskins score only increased by 6 on their touchdown drive? Fucking Dustin Hopkins pulled the XP wide left. 
There is very little that is more fun than betting an over on a whole number and sitting at that number, hoping for one more point to win the bet but not being upset with a push if there are no more scores. Unfortunately, I was now in boom or bust territory. Aaron Rodgers quickly drove into field goal range and was trying to get Mason Crosby into a better FG position, but he instead got sacked and lost the ball. Fucking fuck. My bet was riding on Dwayne Haskins to drive into field goal range with one minute left. As I said before, your bet is as dead as a turkey on Thanksgiving when it relies on Dwayne Haskins in crunch time. To my surprise, Dwayne actually drove the ball over midfield, and then unsurprisingly threw an interception. Baaaaaaaaad Beat #3.
12/9/19
League: NHL
Bet: Blue Jackets vs Capitals 1P over 1.5 (-150)
Units: 3.75 to win 2.5
May I introduce to you another type of bet in which you can have a bad beet. The first period over/under 1.5 goals in an NHL game is a thrilling thing to bet. If you read this blog regularly, you know I love betting overs, and 1P overs generally have better value than 2P or 3P (the latter periods’ over 1.5 goals are generally around -180). For some reason, Vegas thinks fewer goals are scored in the first period of a hockey game than the other two (and I am sure there are statistics to back that up), but it is always enticing to bet that 2 or more goals will be scored in the first 20 minutes of a game. 
The Blue Jackets scored the first goal of the game with 16:33 left in the 1st period. Amazing fucking start. Nothing like getting that first goal out of the way just minutes into the period.
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This was a sick fucking joke. The Blue Jackets put up 20 (!!) shots in the first period alone, the Caps tacked on 6, but only one of them found the net. Absolutely abysmal. Bad Beet #4 of the week made me want to slit my femoral artery with a hockey blade. 
Life is too short to bet the under! Say it louder for the people in the back!
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The curse of the “Under 2.5 stoppage-time third goal of the game to ruin your bet” strikes again, in classic Europa league fashion. 
12/14/19
League: NCAAB
Bet: Illinois team total over 71.5 (-115)
Units: 1.75 to win 1.5
Very surprised that I survived Friday the 13th without any bad beets. I guess Friday the 13th was hungover because the bad luck struck the next afternoon. Illinois was coming off a massive, program-defining win for Coach Brad Underwood at home against #5 Michigan just three days prior to hosting Old Dominion. I bet on Illinois in every way and their mother. I had Illinois 1H -8, the 1H over 65, Illinois 1H team total of 34.5, Illinois -13.5, and finally Illinois team total over 71.5. Illinois played a fantastic first half, jumping out to a 40-25 lead at the end of the twenty minutes (hitting all 3 of my first half bets in the process). They were well on pace to hit their team total of 71.5, along with covering the -13.5. Illinois scored 29 points in the first 15+ minutes of the 2nd half, needing only 3 points in the remaining 4:14 to hit their team total over.
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What if I told you that Alan Griffin would hit that jumper that made the lead 25 with four minutes left, and Illinois wouldn’t score another point the rest of the game? Remember that scoring drought that the Illini had just one week earlier against Maryland at the end of the game? Well, this one was nearly identical. ODU went on an 11-0 run to end the game and nearly came up with a backdoor cover for the ages.
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Illinois ended up holding on to win by 14, but my goodness was this a Bad Beet. #5 of the week to be exact. At least the Illini are 8-3 and look like they could cause a shakeup in the B1G this year. 
Bad Beet Count: 5 (with one Brutal Push)
Unit Swing: 9.5 to win 10.5 (20 unit swing)
That is all for this chapter of the Bad Beets Blog! Please feel free to comment, share with your degenerate gambling friends, or like my page on Facebook here: facebook.com/badbeetsblog 
Thanks for reading and see you next week. Happy Holidays and good luck with your College Football Bowl Game betting!
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bad-beats · 4 years
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Bad Beets Ch. 3 (11/25-12/1)
Hello fellow degenerates, and welcome back to the Bad Beets Blog! For returning readers who obtain pure, unadulterated entertainment from my gambling misery, thanks for stopping by. If you are new to the Bad Beets Blog, here is how it goes: this is a space for me to rant about my horrible gambling losses of the week. Hope you enjoy the ride!
11/25/19
League: NBA
Bet: 76′ers vs Raptors 1H over 103.5 (-110)
Units: 1.1 to win 1
This one has a quick explanation. 62. No, I am not talking about Chicago Bears offensive lineman, Ted Larsen. 62 is the number of points these two teams scored in the first quarter. I needed a 42 (!!) point second quarter to win the bet. Some of the lowest scoring games in the NBA have quarters of about 50 points. I didn’t even think that this bet would be a sweat. 
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Please explain to me how teams with Joel Embiid, Ben Simmons, Pascal Siakam, and Fred VanVleet only manage to score 38 points in a quarter. Not the way I wanted to start the gambling week. Bad Beet #1 was a real bitch.
Quick aside: There is very little I love more than mid-week, daytime European soccer. Anything and everything from the Champions League to the Belgium Juliper League gets me amped up on a Wednesday at 2:00pm. However, these games also come with great risk of Bad Beet that hurts far more than most. If you lose a heartbreaker on a stoppage-time goal at 3:45pm, you need to wait until at least 6:00pm to bet on any American sports in an effort to drown out that loss. That means that you are stuck at your desk for the last 75 minutes of work, staring at the clock until it hits 5, and the only thing you can think about is Cercle Brugge conceding a 90+7 minute goal to lose by 2 when you had them +1.5. Here are a few Bad Beets that ruined my Tuesday and Wednesday...
11/26/19
League: Champions League
Bet: PSG vs Real Madrid 1H over 1.5 (+106)
Units: 0.9 to win 1
No description needed for this one. FlashScore commentary is incredibly entertaining to read, and they could explain this Bad Beet far more eloquently than I could.
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24 combined shots on goal, 1 penalty kick overturned by V.A.R, and a 1-0 score at halftime. Absolutely brutal. Bad Beet #2 of the week harvested my kidney and sold it on the black market.
11/27/19 and 11/28/19
League: Champions League and Europa League
Bet: Under 3.5 (-133) and Under 3 (-112)
Units: 1.7 to win 1.3 and 1 to win 0.9
Just another episode of “Life is too short to bet the under.” But seriously, I don’t know a single person that loses soccer unders due to stoppage-time goals as often as I do (granted, I don’t know anyone who gambles on as much European soccer as I do, but still). 
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Pretty ridiculous that Leipzig scored two goals in the final 7 minutes of the game to equalize and send the game over 3.5. Dutch soccer team AZ Alkmaar decided to do the same just 24 hours later, and really made me contemplate never betting another under for the rest of my life. Life is too short to bet the under Bad Beets #3 and #4 of the week.
3/14/2011
Worst Beet of all time.
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Bonus: Hero Win Section
League: Champions League and NHL
Bet: Genk vs Salzburg 1H over 1.5 (-110) and Penguins -1.5 (+155)
Units: 1.1 to win 1 and 0.5 to win 0.8
Genk and Salzburg were scoreless through 42 minutes of the first half. This bet was completely dead. Until...
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Me looking at my Genk vs Salzburg 1H over 1.5 bet rise from the grave!
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This is probably my craziest Hero Win of all time. Unfortunately, this bet was only for 0.5 units, but never have I seen a bet so dead come back to life and end up winning in such fashion. The Penguins took an early 2-0 lead against the Canucks, and the bet was looking remarkable to start the game. The Canucks scored the next 4 goals, taking a 4-2 lead, and the Penguins puck line bet had a heart rate of 6 bpm. The Guins got one back 1 minute into the 3rd period, but the Canucks countered with two of their own and it was goodnight moon for my bet. What happened next was pure insanity.
The Penguins scored 4 goals in 10 minutes to take a 7-6 lead. The dangerous thing about betting the puck line is that not only does your team need to win, but they need to win by at least 2 goals. Every puck line bettor’s best friend in a one-goal game is the few minutes at the end of the 3rd period when the losing team pulls their goalie. By the grace of Moses, with the fate of the game already decided, Evgeni Malkin slotted the puck in the Canucks’ empty net, and the Penguins won the game 8-6. Madness. Thoughts and Prayers to anyone that had Canucks +1.5 goals.
11/29/19
League: NCAAB
Bet: Long Beach St. vs Wake Forest 1H under _____ (guess the total, -110)
Units: 1.5 to win 1.4
Call me crazy, but I hate watching a game when I have action on the under. Rooting for teams to not score and play poorly, where is the fun in that? On this Friday evening, I opened my ESPN app and noticed that there were 20 seconds left in the first half of the Long Beach St vs Wake Forest game. I quickly proceeded to click the blue “Watch ESPN” icon that popped up next to the game score and was introduced to the stream with 8 seconds left in the half. Here’s what it looked like on my phone...
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Normally, a player pulling up for a half-court shot with a few tenths of a second left in a half or game, you’re rooting for the ball to go in. However, when you bet an under, you are just infuriated with the player that they even took the shot. 
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AND WHEN YOU BET THE 1H UNDER 68 AND ADRIEN WHITE MAKES A “THREE POINT JUMPER” THAT’S ACTUALLY A HALF COURT HEAVE WITH 0.4 SECONDS LEFT IN THE HALF TO SEND THE 1H FROM 66 TO 69, YOU ARE PUNCH-A-WALL FURIOUS! FUCK! BAD BEET #5 COMMITTED A TRIPLE HOMICIDE!
11/30/19
League: Italy Serie A and Turkish Super Lig
Bet: Under 3 (+105) and Under 3 (-110)
Units: 0.75 to win 0.8 and 1.1 to win 1
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Just another few cases of the “Life is too short to bet the under” bug biting me in the ass on international soccer. Stoppage time goals are certified NOT FUN when you bet the under. 
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Three Alanyaspor goals in the final 11 minutes to not only put the game at 3 total goals but push it over (and they added 1 for good luck). 
11/30/2019
League: Bundesliga
Bet: Bayer Leverkusen vs Bayern Munich over 3.5 (-115)
Units: 1.0 to win 0.85
Bayern Munich is an absolute UNIT. They score goals like it is their job. Well, I guess it technically is their job to score goals. Bayern has scored 20 goals in their 7 home games this season. I thought Leverkusen could add at least one and that the over would hit easily. I also took the 1H over 1.5 because I was so confident in my bet. Sure enough, Bayern and Leverkusen combined for 3 goals in the first 30 minutes of the game. EASY. MONEY. I needed just one more goal in the last hour of the game, and here’s the stat sheet from the 2nd half.
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YOU’RE TELLING ME THESE TEAMS CAN COMBINE FOR 19 SHOTS WITH 10 ON TARGET IN JUST THE SECOND HALF ALONE AND ROBERT LEWANDOWKSI CAN’T SCORE ONE MORE MEASLY GOAL?!?!?! WHAT A FUCKING JOKE. Bad Beet #6 was Ted Bundy’s accomplice.
11/30/2019
League: NCAAF
Bet: Southern Miss vs Florida Atlantic 1H over 28 (-115)
Units: 5.75 to win 5
This isn’t the worst beet I’ve ever had in terms of the grandiose level of “sure-win” to “horrible-loss,” but it definitely hurt due to the sheer size of the bet. Lane Kiffin’s Florida Atlantic team has been known to put up some of the quickest scoring drives in the country, and this game was no different. Multiple times they drove down the field and scored a touchdown within minutes. With about 7 minutes left in the half, FAU was leading Southern Miss 17-10. Needing just one more point with half of the quarter remaining, I felt gooooood. I was about to make a profit of 5 units and buy myself a new pair of jeans, but then both offenses forgot they were collegiate football players and played more like Pop Warner football players. Missed FG’s and turnovers make for some quality Conference USA football. Bad Beet #7 was just really unfortunate.
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Missed FG’s and turnovers make for some quality Conference USA football. Bad Beet #7 was just really unfortunate.
11/30/2019
League: Premier League
Bet: Everton +1 (-120)
Units: 1.2 to win 1
This is just a bonus Brutal Push for good luck and to end the block on a fun note. Everton +1 was a winning bet until literally the final kick of the game. For immediate release:
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3 minutes of added time, 90+4 minute goal that survives a VAR check. Just brutal. But at least I didn’t lose the bet. A push is a win!
Bad Beet Count: 7 (with 1 brutal push and 2 hero wins) Bad Beet Unit Swing: 14.2 to win 12.5 (26.7 unit swing)
As always, thanks for reading this week’s rendition of Bad Beets! Please leave a comment, share with your friends, and stay tuned for more Bad Beets if you enjoyed! Let me know some of your Bad Beets of the week to get featured! See you next time.
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bad-beats · 4 years
Text
Bad Beets Ch. 2 (11/11-11/17)
Welcome back to the Bad Beets Blog! If you’re a returning reader, I am glad that you found some enjoyment in my gambling misery last week. If you are a new reader: Ahoy, my name is Jonah and I am the captain of this degenerate ship. This blog is for your entertainment and my mental health. It allows me to rant about how I am the most unlucky sports gambler in the world, instead of needing to pay for a therapist. Let’s jump right in!
Usually, I start my blogs with Bad Beets that happen chronologically throughout the week, but this next Beet might be one of the worst ones I have ever had in my entire life, and for that reason, it gets the top slot.
11/17/19
League: NFL
Bet: Bears 1Q TT over 0.5 (Even)
Units: 4.2 to win 4.2
The Bears traveled to Los Angeles to take on the Rams this past Sunday in a must-win game to keep their season alive. I am from Chicago and come from a family of Bears fans. My 88-year-old grandmother watches every game. 
The Bears have struggled mightily on offense this season, ranking in the bottom third of the league in seemingly every offensive metric due to the poor play of Mitch TruBUSTsky and the inept play-calling of Matt Nagy. Vegas was confident that these first-half offensive woes would continue for the Bears against the strong Rams defense, setting their 1Q TT over at just 0.5 points. As bad as the Bears have been, scoring just 1 single point in the first quarter seemed like something they might be able to accomplish. I just needed one measly field goal in the 1Q and I am cashing in on my bet.
The Bears started with the ball on offense, and they didn’t look half bad. They put together a decent drive and found themselves in field goal range just 3 minutes into the game. Eddie Piniero jogged onto the field on 4th down and stepped up to kick a 46-yard field goal. After Cody Parkey’s double-doink that knocked the Bears out of the playoffs last season, Bears fans have no trust in kickers. For no reason at all, I was feeling mighty confident that Piniero was going to drill this FG and it would be the easiest bet I was ever going to cash.
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WIDE LEFT. FUCK. Okay well, it’s a long quarter and that drive only took a few minutes so there was still plenty of time left to get the ball back and drive down the field. The ensuing Rams possession, Todd Gurley coughed up the football on the first play of the drive, giving the ball right back to the Bears in immediate field goal range. Okay. I’m feeling great about my bet again. The Bears offense stalls almost instantly, leaving the ball on the field at the 30-yard line on 4th and 10. I was looking forward to seeing Piniero jog back onto the field for a second time to try to redeem himself, but MATT FUCKING NAGY DECIDED HE WOULD RATHER HAVE MITCH TRY TO CONVERT A 4TH AND 10 THROUGH THE AIR INSTEAD OF TRY FOR 3 POINTS AS IF THAT WAS SOMEHOW MORE LIKELY THAN EDDY DRILLING THE FIELD GOAL.
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Mitch throws an incomplete pass that gets knocked out of Taylor Gabriel’s hands, and the Bears turn the ball over on downs on the Rams 30-yard line. At this point, there are still about 8 minutes remaining in the first quarter, so although my bet was not looking great, it was still alive. The Bears get the ball back with about 5 minutes left in the quarter, and the offense somehow managed to drive the ball back into field-goal range. Naturally, their offense couldn’t move the ball any further into Rams territory, getting stopped on 3rd down where? You guessed it. The Rams 30-yard line. This time Nagy decides to give Piniero another shot at it. Eddy jogs back onto the field from almost the exact same spot he kicked his first field goal. There’s no way he could miss two in a row from the exact same spot, right?
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FFFFFUUUUUUUCCCCCKKKKKKKKKK!!!!! You have got to be fucking kidding me. Fuck you Eddy Piniero. Fuck you Matt Nagy. Fuck you 2019 Chicago Bears Season. Eddy, expect a Venmo request from me for those 4.2 units that you ripped from my wallet. Even though a 1Q Team Total isn’t the most conventional of bets, this will go down in my Bad Beets Hall of Fame. 
11/11/19
League: NCAAB
Bet: Yale +5 (-120) (bought a half-point from +4.5)
Units: 3 to win 2.5
Okay, now that my rant about that Bears game is over with, let’s get down to business. Monday night college hoops. Betting on college basketball is not recommended if you have a history of high blood pressure, and this Yale game could have put someone with 140/90 mmHg in the hospital. 
This line opened at 4.5, but I hate half points so I will always pay a little extra to buy a half-point to make it an even number. Yale played a strong 1st half and trailed by 6 at the break. They were covering the 5-point spread from 18:44 left in the 2nd half, until 0:00 in the 2nd half. Usually, when a bet is winning with zeroes on the clock after the 2nd half of a game, the bet cashes. HOWEVER, this is not the case when the game goes to overtime. San Francisco was up 2 with just seconds left in the game when they stole the ball from Yale and got fouled. The made the front end but missed the second one to give Yale a chance to send the game to overtime. Matthue Cotton got the ball at the top of the key and drilled a 3-pointer to tie the game at the buzzer. FUCK HUE MATTHUE (only a dick spells their name like that). 
Winning by 5 or more in overtime is no small task. But as the unluckiest gambler in the world, I was in for quite the sweat. Here’s what happened:
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Thank the lord I bought that half point because this would have turned into a terrible beet but instead was just a brutal push. Brutal push #1 of the week comes at the hands of the Nerds from New Haven.
11/14/19
League: NCAAB
Bet: Towson vs. Florida 1H over 60.5 (-110)
Units: 1 to win 0.9
This was a relatively light week for Bad Beets, so I will use this opportunity to discuss one of my bigger pet peeves in sports gambling. I bet the Over about 4 times as much as I will bet an under. Simply put, it is just far more fun to watch a game when you’re rooting for both teams to constantly score. Betting an over is scientifically proven to be good for your brain and increase IQ. It’s a constant game of doing the math to see if you are on pace to hit the over based on the current amount of points and time in the game. For example, if you bet the over 200 in a basketball game, you need 50 points to be scored every quarter. If the score is 62 to 54 with 6 minutes left in the 3rd quarter, your brain alerts you that you need 86 points over the final 18 minutes of the game or 4.77777 points per minute.
This Florida game was pacing well, with the score 30-26 with 2:24 left in the quarter. As I only needed 5 points to hit the over 60.5, I was feeling pretty good about my bet. If two teams scored a combined 5 points every two and a half minutes, 40 total points would be scored in a half. All I needed was for Florida and Towson to score at a 40 point-per-half pace, far below the pace needed to win the first half over 60.5 bet. 
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This wasn’t the worst loss I’ve ever had, but it surely was a Bad Beet. A Tostitos mild salsa Bad Beet, but a Bad Beet nonetheless. 
11/17/19
League: Euro Cup Qualification
Bet: France vs. Albania over 2.5 (2nd leg of a parlay)
Units: 4.5 to win 8
Mbappé. Griezmann. Pogba. Giroud. Those are some high powered names on the French National Team that find the back of the net more often than a fat kid finds chocolate cake. I read this game brilliantly, or so I thought. I predicted France could score 5 goals themselves, and they were on pace to do so. With goals in the 9th and 30th minutes, I rendered this bet a win and put my phone away. 90 minutes later, I went back to check the balance on my book and noticed it had gone down from where it started. I open my score app to this…
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Neither France nor Albania could find the back of the net over the remaining 60 minutes of the game, thus turning this into Bad Beet #2. Va te faire foutre French National Team!
BONUS Euro Cup Qualifier unfortunate losses:
Bosnia 1H -1, Georgia vs. Switzerland 1H over 1.75 
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11/17/19
League: NFL
Bet: Live Bet - Patriots TT over 19.5 (-120)
Units: 8 to win 6.5
This one probably doesn’t have the qualifications needed for a “Bad Beet,” but this is a platform for me to air my grievances, and grievances I shall air! I placed this live bet when the Patriots had the ball in the Red Zone down 10-3 early in the second quarter. The Patriots drive stalled and Nick Folk kicked a 22-yard field goal to make it a 4-point game. After a field goal to end the half, the Pats drove down the field early in the 3rd and punched in a TD AND 2-point conversion with 10 minutes remaining in the quarter. The Pats lead 17-10, needing just a field goal over the final 25 minutes to hit their live over of 19.5. 
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Tom Brady let me down. Hard. Not the way you want to end you Sunday before you have to pay the bookie. 
Bad Beet Count: 2 (with 4 unfortunate losses)
Unit Swing: 20.5 to win 22.1 (42 Unit swing)
Thanks for reading this rendition of Bad Beets! Leave a comment or share with your other gambling degenerate friends. Stay tuned for more next week!
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bad-beats · 4 years
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Bad Beets Ch. 1 (11/04-11/10)
Do you find enjoyment in other people’s gambling misery? Do you live by the phrase “Life is too short to bet the under?” Would you rather place a sports bet that seemingly has no chance of winning right after tip-off, or would you rather lose a heartbreaker on a meaningless Furman breakaway dunk that covers the +13 in the closing seconds? 
Welcome to Chapter 1 of the Bad Beets Blog. I am your degenerate gambling host, Jonah, and I am happy you have decided to take this rollercoaster journey with me. I hope you find enjoyment in my gambling misery, as you will soon realize that I am the unluckiest gambler in the world (*Please note I had action on all of these games, and yes, my bank account was harmed in the making of this blog).
11/4/19
League: Turkish Super Lig
Bet: Ankaragucu PK (+105)
Units: 0.8 to win 0.85
I can tell you from firsthand experience that betting on an 11am Turkish soccer game generally doesn’t end well. Ankaragucu went down 0-1 early, but my guy I. Parlak found the back of the net to equalize in the 68th minute. That was the score up until stoppage time. My bet was looking fine, but I wasn’t expecting a win by any means. I was hoping to escape with a push (because as they say in the world of gambling degenerates, “A push is a win”). It was my bet against the clock, and then this happened…
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P. Djilobodji (is it legal to have that many j’s in a name?) scores a 90+3 minute heartbreaker. That is a beet that committed arson. Bad Beet #1 of the week came at the hands of Gaziantep.
11/4/19
League: NBA
Bet: 76’ers vs Suns Over 224 (-110) as part of a 3x2 round robin
Units: 3.7 to win 8.6
This was a classic bad beat. The Suns and 76’ers both have high powered offenses, and they were well on pace to hit the over after scoring a combined 116 points in the first half. My round robin was looking great - the other legs of Wizards ML and Blazers vs. Warriors 1H over 106.5 had both hit and I was in good shape for a great Monday payday. However, the Suns and 76’ers had other plans for me.
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This Beet committed a double-homicide (my hopes and dreams). I still made a profit on this bet. Just take the 8.6U winnings that I had basically in the bag, drop the 8, and that’s how much I took home. Bad Beet #2 (I am going to feel like The Count from Sesame Street once this blog is over).
11/5/19
League: NBA
Bet: Bulls ML (+260)
Units: 0.7 to win 1.7
I have lived in Chicago my entire life, so naturally, I blindly bet on my teams regardless of their actual skill. Gambling with your heart never ends well, especially on this specific Tuesday when Lebron and Lakers came to town. The Bulls were up a cool 17 points at halftime and really had me believing that they could pull off this miracle. Hopes were high after the Bulls took a 13-point lead into the 4th quarter. And then the Bulls did exactly what the Bulls do - blow 4th quarter leads.
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The Lakers went on a 16-0 run to start the 4th quarter and it was all but over from then on (The Bulls, however, did hit a miracle 3 with 15 seconds left to cover the +7). You know what they say, “Good teams win, but great teams cover.” Those 1.7 units would’ve been a nice addition to the bank account, but Bad Beet #3 got in the way. 
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This is a bad beet. Thanks to our friends over at https://userbeets.com/signs-that-your-beets-have-gone-bad/ for providing us with some wonderful tips on when it might be time to “toss that beet as far as you can.” 
11/6/19
League: UEFA Champions League
Bet: Man City vs Atalanta 1H over 1.5 (-123) (Bonus: live bet at halftime over 2.5 (-176))
Units: 2 to win 1.65 (and the live bet was 4.4 to win 2.5)
This was the kind of game that screamed ‘Goal Fest’ from the beginning. Raheem Sterling slotted the ball into the back of the net in the 7th minute of the game, and I thought the 1H over 1.5 was going to be the easiest bet of all time. Throughout the next 30 minutes, both teams had some chances to score that they couldn’t capitalize on. Then controversy struck! Man City got pulled down inside the box (or so I thought) and were awarded a penalty kick, which is ever over bettor’s wet dream. However, V.A.R decided to be a cock-block and determined that the Man City player was fouled just outside of the box. Great, just my luck. The following free kick looked like it was headed for the upper left corner of the goal, but an Atalanta defenseman stuck his arm out and handled the ball. Back to V.A.R and just like that, Man City was awarded a penalty kick (ball don’t lie). Gabriel Jesus stepped up to the spot with swagger, and I knew my bet was going to cash. 
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He struck the ball with the strength of an 83 year-old grandmother and put the ball wide of the left post. Fuck. That 1.65 unit win turned into a 2 unit loss real quick.
Naturally, as a gambling degenerate, I had to chase my losses (word to the wise - Do Not Chase Losses). I loved the pace of play and the scoring opportunities from the first half, so I live bet the game over 2.5 (and naturally threw 4.4 units on it to cover my losses from the first half). Four minutes into the second half, Mario Pasilic netted the equalizer for Atlanta, and once again I was sitting pretty. There was no doubt in my mind that at least 1, if not 3 more goals would be scored in the remaining 41 minutes plus stoppage time.
Many moments later the final whistle blew and that was that. The teams combined for 18 shots, and only 2 found the back of the net. What a horrible and cruel world we live in. Bad Beet #4 slaughtered 15 innocent ducks (and my checking account).
11/6/19
League: UEFA Champions League
Bet: Dinamo Zagreb ML (+117)
Units: 0.75 to win 0.9
As I was getting annihilated by Atalanta and Man City, Dinamo Zagreb simultaneously decided that they didn’t want my future children to be able to afford college. This game gives me PTSD, so I will just post the results of the game and you can laugh at my misery.
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How you let up not 1, but 2 (!!) stoppage-time goals to blow a 3-1 lead along with my +117 ML bet is beyond me, but Bad Beet #5 of the week kidnapped my sanity and will give me nightmares for months. 
11/7/19
League: UEFA Europa League
Bet: Under 2.5 (+117), Under 2.5 (-122), and Under 2.5 (-143)
Units: 0.75 to win 0.85, 1.05 to win 0.85, and 2.15 to win 1.5
Classic cases of “Life is too short to bet the under.” Stoppage time is where unders go to die. I present to you Bad Beets #6, #7, and #8.
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Thursday afternoon signals the middle of a gambling week, so naturally, this is the halfway point in the blog. I would recommend you get up to stretch, grab a snack, and take your dog for a walk, because we are just getting started. 8 Bad Beets before Thursday night is cynical. 
11/7/19
League: NFL
Bet: Keenan Allen over 68.5 Receiving Yards
Units: 2 to win 1.5
If you don’t bet player props often, I would recommend you start. It’s like fantasy football on crack. They are an absolute thrill. Speaking of thrills, that Chargers vs. Raiders Thursday night football game was full of them for every party involved; the outright winner, spread, and full game total were all still in the balance heading into the last drive of the game. Phil Rivers and his Bolts got the ball back with 1 minute left, down by 2, after Josh Jacobs rumbled into the endzone from 18-yards out to give the Raiders a 2-point lead. Phil Rivers has seemingly lead his team down the field for more game-winning drives than he has children. At this point in the game, Keenan Allen had 8 catches for 68 yards. Keenan is one of the most dynamic receivers in the league along with being one of Phil’s favorite targets. I needed ONE SINGULAR YARD from Keenan on the last drive of the game.
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FUCKKKKKKKKKK! Three targets on the final drive, 0 catches and 0 yards. I hate everything. Bad Beet #9. 
11/7/19
League: NCAAF
Bet: UCF vs. Tulsa Over 68 (-120)
Units: 1.5 to win 1.25
There’s a lot to unpack in this one. The two teams combined for 45 first-half points. Needing just 3 TD’s and 1 FG in the 2nd half seemed like a cakewalk to me. The offenses in the 2nd half just weren’t as crisp as they were during the first 30 minutes of the game. I knew this game was destined to be a nail-biter heading into the 4th quarter. With 5 minutes left, I needed a field goal for a push and a touchdown for the win. Here are the last few drives of the game…
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Trailing Tulsa by 3, UCF turned the ball over on downs and gave the ball back to Tulsa with just a few minutes to play. UCF stuffed the Golden Hurricanes on 4th down to get the ball back and keep the Over 68 hopes alive...or so I thought. ILLEGAL SUBSTITUTION PENALTY GIVES TULSA AN AUTOMATIC FIRST DOWN AND INTO VICTORY FORMATION THEY WENT! FUCK ME IN THE BEARD! Bad Beet #10. I am running out of ways to describe these horrible losses and it’s only Thursday.
11/10/19
League: Swedish Allsvenskan and English Premier League
Bet: Under 2.25 (-108) and Under 2.5 (+102)
Units: 1.2 to win 1.1 and 0.75 to win 0.75
“Life is too short to bet the under” Part 2! Bad Beets #11 and #12.
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11/9/19
League: NCAAF
Bet: TCU vs. Baylor Over 48 (-110) as part of a 3x2 round robin
Units: 5 to win 11.5
This is a bit of a different entry, as for the first time in seemingly my entire life, I was on the right side of a Hero Win. The Over 48 in the TCU vs. Baylor game was basically dead from the opening kick. The game was 9-6 Horned Frogs with just a few minutes left in the game. Overtime in college football is every over bettor’s best friend (and every under bettor’s worst nightmare). The Bears kicker drilled a 51-yard field goal with 30 seconds left to send the game to overtime.
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This is probably the best comeback hero win I have ever had. If I had been on the other side of this bet, I would have jumped off of a bridge. Luckily, Hero Win #1 saved me.
11/10/19
League: NFL
Bet: Panthers vs. Packers 1H Over 24 (-110)
Units: 1.4 to win 1.25
I would make a far bigger deal about this upcoming bad beet if it was a loss instead of the push that it was, but man this was an all-time push. Check out the final drive of the half for the Packers, leading 14-10. 
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This drive had it all. A touchdown that was reversed by replay. Matt LaFleur whipping out his big boy balls, only for Jamaal Williams to get stuffed on 4th and Goal. And of course, a legendary push for 1H Under 24 bettors. 
11/10/19
League: NFL
Bet: Devonta Freeman over 40.5 Rush Yards (+105) and Lamar Jackson over 65.5 Rush Yards (-130)
Units: 1.2 to win 1.25 and 2 to win 1.55
Remember what I said about player props two paragraphs ago? I would like to now state that I hate player props. Devonta Freeman had 30 rush yards in the 1st half and then got injured, and Lamar broke a sweet, video game-like TD run in the 3rd quarter against the Bengals, and didn’t run the ball a single time after that (along with getting pulled in the 4th quarter because the Ravens were up by a billion). Take a look…
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Bad Beets #13 and #14 come at the hands of two weak things: Devonta Freeman’s bones and the Bengals’ secondary. 
11/10/19
League: NBA and NCAAB
Bet: Hawks +8.5 (-110) and Fighting Illini 1H ML (184)
Units: 1 to win 0.9 and 0.5 to win 0.9
Every degenerate knows that Sunday night basketball games are known as “bailout specials.” After 12 Bad Beets throughout the week, I was in desperate need of a few bailout wins. However, as the self-proclaimed “unluckiest gambler in the world,” I should’ve guessed that more Bad Beets were on the way. My fingers are getting tired from typing due abundance of horrible beats I had this week, so I’ll just leave the screenshots here to show you my Sunday night demise…
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The Hawks not covering was a sick joke, and of course I would lose Illinois 1H moneyline on a buzzer-beater three-pointer. Ladies and gentlemen, I present to you Bad Beets #15 and #16. 
For those of you who stuck with me throughout this post, thank you. I hope you found the enjoyment that your gambling careers can’t be anywhere near as bad as mine. Here are some final tallies from the week:
Bad Beet Count: 16 (with 1 Horrible Push and 1 Hero Win)
Unit Swing: 28.85 to win 30.8 (Basically a 50+ Unit swing due to Bad Beets)
Hopefully, next week’s blog is far shorter than this as I would love to not go through the gut-wrenching destruction of a backdoor cover. Unfortunately, there will likely be many more where these came from. Thanks again for taking the time to read through this! Please leave comments, suggestions, and tell me some of your Bad Beets so that I don’t feel alone on Bad Beet Island. See you next week! 
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