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#the fact that just one item costs 20 is OUTRAGEOUS
rohirric-hunter · 3 months
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So I've been running Fangorn's Edge repeatedly trying to pick up Arth-crus because I don't want to spend 20 Mithril on it even though I have 20 Mithril to spare because full outfits in Lalia's Market only cost 50 Mithril for hat, shoulders, shirt, gloves, boots, and sometimes pants so I'm not super eager to spend 20 on just a shirt
Anyway Arth-crus is the light armor chest. I was a little antsy about trying for it on Leonys Prime because she uses medium armor, but Isengard instances don't really check for that so I thought it would be fine. Well, I was right about one thing. Isengard instances absolutely don't check for that
I use medium armor, I'm looking for light armor, and out of the nine times I've run it so far, I have gotten exclusively heavy armor
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fuck-customers · 2 years
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I’ve had the same annoying ass person come through my section buying cakes every night for the past week, this wouldn’t be a problem if every single goddamn time she didn’t continually bring up the fact she works for the people who distribute these cakes and knows the selling price for each. The exchanges usually go as follows: “How much is this one?” ‘Oh that’s-‘ “I know how much it is, I work for distribution company it’s like $3 - and you’re selling it for $6? That’s ridiculous, can’t believe these prices.” And then goes on and on in the most seemingly well natured but condescending tone, but continues to buy the fucking cakes anyway. Like, lady, I don’t fucking care how much they’re sold to my company for!! Have you not heard of marking up prices on items!? How fucking much do you think retail stores initially pay for the clothes they then sell at outrageously marked up prices!? Do you think a company buys something for $20 and then sells it for $20? Are you stupid!? Not only that, we have a gambling section and when a person spends enough on the poker machines they get a voucher worth 1 free treat of their choice to redeem at my section ((chocolates, lollies, coffee or tea) side note: this is hilarious ik, like ah yes, good for you spending $100, you want a free candy bar champ? Here ya go lil guy)). So one night she comes through, goes on her tangent about the cakes and then hands me the vouchers and I try to lighten to mood in my usual people pleaser customer service persona and say “Well at least you’re getting these chocolates for free, technically” and the bitch has the audacity to respond in the most smug know it all way “Actually no, if you knew how much these cost me they’re anything but free” Like I’m sorry? Is it my problem you decided to go and blow your cash on the fucking pokies? Did I make you go and put money into a machine so you could get a couple consolation prizes worth a few bucks back? No you dumb bitch, don’t make it sound like it’s out of your control. No one is making you buy these cakes, no one is making you play the pokies, you have your own free will so take some fucking accountability! Stop taking you petty passive aggressive bullshit out on me because you couldn’t just go shop somewhere with more affordable prices, your stupid decisions are your own lady, fuck you, fuck you, fuck you!! I have no problems with people wanting to gamble, do whatever the hell you want, but don’t treat it like it’s my problem you clearly regret your decision, fuck off! (If you couldn’t tell I’ve been dealing with a lot of these idiots lately, worked almost 50hrs this week and I’m just so tired of customers shit atm)
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hellyeahheroes · 4 years
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“If you are poor how do you have an iPhone”
This is something that was gnawing at me for several weeks by now. Very recently comicbook twitter has gone on an anti-piracy outrage when one of the indie creators found out their comic book, that same one that had to change from selling in floppies to only selling in trades due to low sales, had hundreds of thousands of views on a pirate website. Due to the respect I have for that creator, I want to preface that what I am about to discuss is not a defense of piracy per se. it is not an argument that even applies in a large scale to indie scene that by far avoids some of the issues I will be talking about.
While I would never openly condone piracy, I have found myself playing devil’s advocate on that day out of sheer anger at one very specific argument that I have seen being thrown around by people condemning piracy. The exchange usually went like this - someone would go and try to say that comics are too expensive and that person would then be mocked for posting from their iPhone or another company equivalent. Every time I saw such behavior I have called it out. In some cases, people would apologize upon me explaining why this line of argument is out of the line. But in one a person had gotten furious I dared to question them, quickly devolving to childish insults and outright toxic behavior (the fact this person is an editor at Geeks World Wide made me completely give up on that website). But that is beside the point.
I want to just make it very clear that this “argument” is rooted in classism and, quite frankly, doesn’t even work. Let us explain the latter first
1. Why You Cannot Just Buy A Single Book
First I want to give the benefit of the doubt to the people using this argument. So we will do something dreadful and talk about math. For the purpose of this argument, I’m even going to go as far as not address the fact that even if you buy an iPhone through installment payments, at one point you are supposed to just have finished paying for the hardware. Meanwhile comic books expect you to keep buying if not one title, then hopefully another effectively forever. This fact in itself breaks the whole line of argument; A person could have wrapped up paying for the iPhone long before they ended in a financial situation where they cannot afford even comics. I will be ignoring this to address what I believe to be a steel man version of the argument - the strongest possible interpretation I can imagine. But even if we assume we live in a capitalist nightmare of endless payments, the rhetorics do not hold water.
Currently, on Apple official store, the newest iPhone11 costs you 30 dollars a month, while iPhone11 Pro is for 25$. In theory, the comparison that is presented should therefore work. After all, if you can afford 25$ dollars you can easily spare $5 for a comic book, right? For that price, you could buy as much as 4 comic books each month. Except that this assumption comes from a perspective that in order to read a single comic book all you need to do is buy that one comic book. Which is not the case. Or rather, it might be a case if we’re talking about independent publishers or markets like European or manga. But is certainly not one for Marvel and DC. While the problem is better than it once was we still regularly end in a situation where, in order to understand what is going on in a single Big 2 book, you need to read several others. This is a common case with big events. Let’s take a look at recently finished Absolute Carnage
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This event had the gall to ask you to buy seven books and then upped it to nine. Nine comic books roughly 5 dollars per issue is 45$. To buy all of it would be to spend the equivalent of your iPhone11 Pro fee for five months.
Someone might now say that you obviously do not need to read the entire event. But the truth is, you do not really know that when it comes to making preorders. The event comics are deliberately constructed in such a way to trick people into thinking they have to buy all of it to understand what is going on. It was true when they were humongous, reaching even a hundred issues like the first Civil War, and it is true now. And while veteran fans have learned that usually you only need to follow main series and tie-ins written by its writer, even that can be a strain on someone’s budget. It might be that this person could only afford this one, single comic book. So when they suddenly find what might be their only source of entertainment incomprehensible without paying more money, they may face a dilemma. Deny yourself your one source of joy for any duration of time from a month to half of a year. Or quickly pirate that one book you never wanted to and was never interested in buying in the first place until you had the title you were paying for effectively held hostage.
I want to underline this is not just events. The most outrageous case of this issue right now is the X-Men line since Jonathan Hickman’s takeover. Which has become so self-referential you need to read all the titles in order to understand any single one. Without doing it the books become incomprehensible. This is me speaking from experience here. I was only interested in a single title from the initial launch. But the moment I saw characters talking about events from another book in a way that assumes I’m up to speed, I dropped it. 
In order to get into this so-called great new jumping-in point as it launched fans needed to first spend around $20 a month to buy two miniseries for 3 months. And as Dawn of X rolled in, the number of books rose and keeps rising. X-Men, X-Force, bi-weekly New Mutants, Excalibur and Fallen Angels already request you to invest an equivalent of the monthly price of an iPhone11. And they soon shall be joined by Wolverine, Hellions, Cable, X-Men/Fantastic Four and possibly monthly Giant-Size X-Men. Those keeping attention to the math part might have noticed we are a single series (and we are lead to believe there is more than one coming) from X-Men becoming an investment equal to paying for two separate iPhone11s each month. It is proof that the Big 2 has adopted a “more eggs, fewer baskets” mentality. This customer-unfriendly approach to storytelling seems by design prone to weeding out and turning away all but big spenders who can afford to regularly buy multiple books. it is not different from the exploitative systems we find in video games, designed to prioritize so-called “whales”, as the industry came to call people who can blow ungodly amounts of money on a game, over regular customers.
2. The Rhetoric Itself Is Flawed
However, even if the hypothetical scenario presented by people using the “why do you have an iPhone” argument was true, we need to recognize how toxic this argument is. First of all, this whole line of reasoning is out of touch and assumes that a working iPhone is a luxury, while more and more times in modern society it becomes a necessity. I live in Poland and have not encountered this issue yet, I keep hearing of people who simply cannot get a job without having an iPhone. It’s because more and more fields require you to have working company apps or use them to find new workers in the first place. The miniature computer in your hand has become such a utility tool it now is actively getting harder to operate in modern society without affording it. This line of argument only betrays that you are out of touch almost as much as a similar argument being used to claim people who have flatscreen TVs are not “really poor”. Currently, flatscreens are only TVs being produced and sold anymore, cheap for purchase and cheaper to maintain than a full-sized TV long time out of use and with spare parts likely no longer produced.
Moreover, you don’t really know how exactly that specific person’s financial situation is. It may be that yes, they can afford an iPhone out of necessity but it does require them to be on a tight budget. Maybe the phone itself is actually passed on from a family member - speaking here as someone whose every phone ever was such a gift. It may even be that the person had to work extremely hard and save up a lot to afford this phone and simply is not able to expand on their profits anymore. Or, as mentioned above, that they once could and finished paying for the last installment but have fallen on hard times ever since. The list goes on. The crux of it is that you do not know other people’s stories and have no right to hold them to some arbitrary standards without that knowledge.
Which brings me to my final point - the whole argument relies on perpetuating a myth of “properly poor” people. The made-up image of nobly suffering poor who deny themselves any and all form of luxury in life (and remember, we established that the whole argument relies on seeing modern phones as a luxury, not a necessity they have become) to save money to get themselves out of poverty. Not to mention a similar myth of “kindhearted poor” who gladly give up what little they have to help others - the kind media love to perpetuate to distract from how bad the state of society is to lead to this situation in the first place. This not only does mispresent how the whole capitalist system is rigged to make it easier to save money the higher up the financial ladder you climb, but it also does not understand human nature. Human beings aren’t machines and it is impossible to really go through every single day without some sort of relief. Sometimes it may be a video game or a dinner at a fancy restaurant. Sometimes it may be a smartphone. Or a luxury item you never plan to use but just want to have to remind you what your goal is.
Yet our society made a game out of shaming and being judgmental to every poor person who spends even the tiniest amount of money on escapism, on any sort of relief from how stressful poverty is. And, speaking as someone who had panic attacks caused by sudden financial expenses wrecking my monthly budget, it is stressful. We expect people to act as all forms of entertainment and escapism aren’t also contributing to one of our human needs, the need to simply be able to wind down for even a moment, and thus not worth spending money on. Then we judge them if they resort to illegal means to fulfill that need. 
I would go as far as making the argument this is a self-perpetuating problem. This very line of thinking, that poor must be at all times miserable and them spending even the slightest amount of money on anything nice is worth scorn? it is what actively encourages them to resort to piracy even if they could afford to buy comics. They are being constantly told by society they shouldn’t buy themselves anything not essential. And then the society acts surprised when they then fulfill their needs through illegal means to save money. Damned if you do, damned if you don’t.
I am not making this post to defend piracy. But I think we need to seriously consider what kind of rhetorics is being used to condemn it and what it actually says about people who use it and those who silently nod in agreement.
- Admin
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freethoughtforall · 4 years
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Geopolitical Move of the CCP
Prelude and Disclaimers:
               I am not a Scientist or Political Analyst, nor do I claim to be an expert in any field related to any of the following areas noted. I do not support nor intend to promote Xenophobia, racism, or acts of violence or hatred toward any group of people. This is merely a postulation, a pondering of thoughts. There are facts, theory, conjecture, and opinion intertwined here. Some of the sites and documents used to create some of the theory are mysteriously no longer available, my links go to unavailable sites, pages, and documents. What was available several weeks ago when I started taking notes is no longer available. So do your own research and make your own opinions.
               I merely suggest that this is perhaps, not entirely random. While worldwide pandemics are known, this particular one came at a convenient time in the geopolitical environment. Know also that no government is absolute, all great governments and empires in the past have fallen or shrunk to a less formidable position. Examples: The Great Roman Empire ruled for 2026 years, The British Empire in its hey day lasted 394 years and reduced to its current size, and many others either empires or large nation states. They fall for many reasons, internal revolt and dissension, external attack from a rising power, or geopolitical changes. One thing is certain, world power changes. There is no guarantee.
               Presently the United States has been the major world power for a good many years. Our currency, military, and world reach have been the major influencers in the global theater for a long time. Starting in 1898 with the Spanish American War the United States entered the world stage and began the start of our world presence as a superpower.
               One thing is certain, if someone has power, someone else wants that power.
               So, call me a conspiracy theorist, nut job, member of the tin foil club, or just an all-around loon, I really do not mind. This is just a thought expressed out loud. Perhaps it is a purposeful attempt at world economy disruption by a government bent on domination (not the first time it has been tried), maybe it was accidentally released due to careless procedures at a lab, or just a naturally occurring pandemic. Ultimately it is your call to make. What do you believe? Many things are not as innocent as they appear. But this is the situation China was waiting for, so intentional or convenient accident? You make the Call. But I do believe this is a possibility which has been floated in our government and perhaps (most likely) we are not being told the whole truth, and our government is attempting to prevent world conflict.
 1960 – 1980:
China reforms its overall government and starts to support and lift its people at great cost financially and humanitarian missteps. KEYPOINT: 1976 - Mao dies. "Gang of Four", including Mao's widow, jockey for power but are arrested and convicted of crimes against the state. From 1977 Deng Xiaoping emerges as the dominant figure among pragmatists in the leadership. Under him, China undertakes far-reaching economic reforms. KEYPOINT: 1979 - Diplomatic relations established with the US. Government imposes one-child policy in effort to curb population growth.
 1980 – 1990:
               Continued growth and elevation of the people, beginning to be a world market player. KEYPOINTS: 1986-90 - China's "Open-door policy" opens the country to foreign investment and encourages development of a market economy and private sector. 1989 - Troops open fire on demonstrators who have camped for weeks in Tiananmen Square initially to demand the posthumous rehabilitation of former CCP General Secretary Hu Yaobang, who was forced to resign in 1987. The official death toll is 200. International outrage leads to sanctions. 1989 - Jiang Zemin takes over as Chinese Communist Party general secretary from Zhao Ziyang, who refused to support martial law during the Tiananmen demonstrations. Stock markets open in Shanghai and Shenzhen.
1990 – 2000:
               Securely entrenched in the world market, business relocate to China, China becomes major player in technology production and advancement.
KEYPOINTS: 1992 - Russia and China sign declaration restoring friendly ties. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) ranks China's economy as third largest in the world after the US and Japan. 1994 - China abolishes the official renminbi (RMB) currency exchange rate and fixes its first floating rate since 1949. 1995 - China tests missiles and holds military exercises in the Taiwan Strait, apparently to intimidate Taiwan during its presidential elections. 1996 - China, Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan - dubbed the Shanghai Five - meet in Shanghai and agree to cooperate to combat ethnic and religious tensions in each other’s countries. 1997 - Deng Xiaoping dies, aged 92. Rioting erupts in Yining, Xinjiang and on day of Deng's funeral Xinjiang separatists’ plant three bombs on buses in Urumqi, Xinjiang, killing nine and injuring 74. Hong Kong reverts to Chinese control. 1998 - Zhu Rongji succeeds Li Peng as premier, announces reforms in the wake of the Asian financial crisis and continued deceleration of the economy. Thousands of state-owned enterprises are to be restructured through amalgamations, share flotations and bankruptcies. About four million civil service jobs to be axed. Large-scale flooding of the Yangtse, Songhua and Nenjiang rivers. 1999 - Nato bombs the Chinese embassy in Belgrade, Yugoslavia, souring Sino-US relations.  Falun Gong, a quasi-religious sect, outlawed as a threat to stability.  Fiftieth anniversary of People's Republic of China on 1st October.  Macao reverts to Chinese rule.
2000 – 2010:
               Chinese technology and production now supply a large world market. China builds ghost cities to support its infrastructure industry. Intellectual theft, trademark violations, and increased production of “copy” knockoff items. Major technological companies move production to China.
               KEYPOINTS: 2000 - Crackdown on official corruption intensifies, with the execution for bribe taking of a former deputy chairman of the National People's Congress. Bomb explosion kills up to 60 in Urumqi, Xinjiang.  2001 April - Diplomatic stand-off over the detention of an American spy plane and crew after a mid-air collision with a Chinese fighter jet. 2001 June - Leaders of China, Russia and four Central Asian states launch the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) and sign an agreement to fight ethnic and religious militancy while promoting trade and investment. The group emerges when the Shanghai Five - China, Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan - are joined by Uzbekistan. 2001 June - China carries out military exercises simulating an invasion of Taiwan, at the same time as the island's armed forces test their capability to defend Taiwan against a missile attack from China. 2001 November - China joins the World Trade Organization. 2002 July - The US says China is modernizing its military to make possible a forcible reunification with Taiwan. Beijing says its policy remains defensive. 2002 November - Vice-President Hu Jintao is named head of the ruling Communist Party, replacing Jiang Zemin, the outgoing president. Jiang is re-elected head of the influential Central Military Commission, which oversees the armed forces. 2003 March - National People's Congress elects Hu Jintao as president. He replaces Jiang Zemin, who steps down after 10 years in the post.  2003 March-April - China and Hong Kong are hit by the pneumonia-like Sars virus, thought to have originated in Guangdong province in November 2002. Strict quarantine measures are enforced to stop the disease spreading.
2003 June - Hong Kong is declared free of Sars. Days later the World Health Organization lifts its Sars-related travel warning for Beijing.
2003 June - China, India reach de facto agreement over status of Tibet and Sikkim in landmark cross-border trade agreement.
2003 July-August - Some 500,000 people march in Hong Kong against Article 23, a controversial anti-subversion bill. Two key Hong Kong government officials resign. The government shelves the bill.
2004 September - Former president Jiang Zemin stands down as army chief, three years ahead of schedule.
2005 January - Former reformist leader Zhao Ziyang dies. He opposed violent measures to end 1989's student protests and spent his last years under virtual house arrest.
Aircraft chartered for the Lunar New Year holiday make the first direct flights between China and Taiwan since 1949.
2005 March - Hong Kong Chief Executive Tung Chee-hwa resigns. He is succeeded in June by Donald Tsang. New law on Taiwan calls for use of force should Taipei declare independence from mainland China.
2005 April - Relations with Japan deteriorate amid sometimes-violent anti-Japanese protests in Chinese cities, sparked by a Japanese textbook which China says glosses over Japan's World War II record.
Taiwan's National Party leader Lien Chan visits China for the first meeting between Nationalist and Communist Party leaders since 1949.
2005 August - China and Russia hold their first joint military exercises.
2006 November - African heads of state gather for a China-Africa summit in Beijing. Business deals worth nearly $2 billion are signed and China promises billions of dollars in loans and credits.
Government says pollution has degraded China's environment to a critical level, threatening health and social stability.
2007 January - Reports say China has carried out a missile test in space, shooting down an old weather satellite. The US, Japan and others express concern at China's military build-up.
2007 July - China's food and drug agency chief is executed for taking bribes. Food and drug scandals have sparked international fears about the safety of Chinese exports.
2008 March - Anti-China protests escalate into the worst violence Tibet has seen in 20 years, five months before Beijing hosts the Olympic Games.
Pro-Tibet activists in several countries focus world attention on the region by disrupting progress of the Olympic torch relay.
2008 July - China and Russia sign a treaty ending 40-year-old border dispute which led to armed clashes during the Cold War.
2008 September - Astronaut Zhai Zhigang completes China's first spacewalk during the country's third manned space mission, Shenzhou VII.
Nearly 53,000 Chinese children fall ill after drinking tainted milk, leading Premier Wen Jiabao to apologize for the scandal.
2008 November - The government announces a $586bn (£370bn) stimulus package to avoid the economy slowing. Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao says the effect of the global financial crisis on China is worse than expected.
2009 February - Russia and China sign $25bn deal to supply China with oil for next 20 years in exchange for loans. Hillary Clinton calls for deeper US-China partnership on first overseas tour as secretary of state.
2009 July - Scores of people are killed and hundreds injured in the worst ethnic violence in decades as a protest in the restive Xinjiang region turns violent.
First sign of relaxation of strictly enforced one-child policy, as officials in Shanghai urge parents to have a second child in effort to counter effects of ageing population.
2010 – 2015:
               China is a world power, on level with the United States, Russia, and Japan. In the world market the Chinese Renminbi however is not on the same playing field with the Dollar and the Yen in the world market.
               The U.S. Dollar is the world standard. Many monies are used in trade but the Dollar is entrenched.
               China needs and wants world recognition as a world power and wants to be the world financial leader, but the United States stands in the way.
KEYPOINTS:  2010 January - China posts a 17.7% rise in exports in December, suggesting it has overtaken Germany as the world's biggest exporter.  The US calls on Beijing to investigate the cyber-attacks, saying China has tightened censorship. China condemns US criticism of its internet controls.
2010 March - The web giant Google ends its compliance with Chinese internet censorship and starts re-directing web searches to Hong Kong, in response to cyber-attacks on e-mail accounts of human rights activists.
2010 October - Jailed Chinese dissident Liu Xiaobo is awarded Nobel Peace Prize, prompting official protests from Beijing.
Vice-President Xi Jinping named vice-chairman of powerful Central Military Commission, in a move widely seen as a step towards succeeding President Hu Jintao.
2011 February - China formally overtakes Japan to become the world's second-largest economy after Tokyo published figures showing a Japanese GDP rise of only four per cent in 2010.
2011 December - Southern fishing village of Wukan comes to international attention after violent protests by locals against land seizures by officials. Authorities respond by sacking two local officials and agreeing to villagers' key demands.
China issues new rules requiring users of microblogs to register personal details.
2012 January - Official figures suggest city dwellers outnumber China's rural population for the first time. Both imports and exports dip, raising concern that the global economic slowdown could be acting as a drag on growth.
2012 April - China ups the limit within which the yuan currency can fluctuate to 1% in trading against the US dollar, from 0.5%. The US welcomes the move, as it has been pressing China to let the yuan appreciate.
2012 May - Philippines and Chinese naval vessels confront one another off the Scarborough Shoal reef in the South China Sea. Both countries claim the reef, which may have significant reserves of oil and gas.
2012 September - China cancels ceremonies to mark the 40th anniversary of restored diplomatic ties with Japan because of a public flare-up over disputed islands in the East China Sea. Talks between China and Japan on security matters nonetheless go ahead.
China launches its first aircraft carrier, the Liaoning - a converted former Soviet vessel.
2012 November - Communist Party holds congress expected to start a once-in-a-decade transfer of power to a new generation of leaders. Vice-President and heir apparent Xi Jinping takes over as party chief and assumes the presidency in March 2013.
2013 January - A Tibetan monk receives a suspended death sentence for inciting eight people to burn themselves to death. Nearly 100 Tibetans have set themselves on fire since 2009, many fatally, in apparent protest to Chinese rule.
2013 February - China denies allegations by Japan that its navy ships twice put radar locks on Japanese military vessels, amid mounting tension over the disputed Senkaku/Diaoyu islands in the East China Sea.
2013 November - Communist Party leadership announces plans to relax one-child policy, in force since 1979. Other reforms include the abolition of "re-education through labor" camps.
China says it has established a new Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) over an area of the East China Sea, covering disputed islands controlled by Japan and a disputed South Korean-controlled rock. Japan and South Korea both protest the move, and the US voices concern.
2014 January - China allows foreign companies majority ownership of some telecom and internet services in the Shanghai free trade zone.
2014 February - China's trade surplus jumps to $31.9bn (£19.4bn) - up 14 per cent from a year earlier - easing concerns the world's second-largest economy may be stuck in a slowdown.
2014 May - The US charges five Chinese army officers with industrial cyber-espionage, in the first case of its kind.
A disagreement with Vietnam over disputed islands escalates, as ships from the two countries collide in the waters of the South China Sea. Chinese workers flee Vietnam after the incident sparks anti-China riots.
China signs a 30-year deal worth an estimated $400bn for gas supplies from Russia's Gazprom.
2014 September-October - Protests against Beijing's plans to vet candidates for elections in 2017 grip Hong Kong.
2015 – 2020:
               KEYPOINTS:  2015 January - China's economic growth falls to its lowest level for more than 20 years - 7.4% percent in 2014. Government revises growth targets down.
2015 September - President Xi pays official visit to the United States to seek investment in China; agrees to renounce economic cyber-espionage.
2015 October - China expresses anger at US naval ship sailing by artificial reefs Beijing is building among disputed Spratly Islands in South China Sea.
The Communist Party announces it has decided to end the decades-old one-child policy.
2016 January - Economic growth in 2015 falls to lowest rate in 25 years (6.9%, down from 7.3% in 2014), and International Monetary Fund predicts further deceleration over next two years.
2017 January - The country's slow economic growth continues, with the 2016 marking its slowest growth (6.7%) since 1990.
2017 April - President Xi urges trade cooperation with the US at his first official meeting with US President Donald Trump in Florida.
2017 June - The government passes a new cyber security law, giving it more control over the data of foreign and domestic firms.
2017 July-August – Increased tensions with India over disputed area of Himalayas, where China says Indian troops were trespassing.
2017 October - Communist Party votes at its congress to enshrine Xi Jinping's name and ideology in its constitution, elevating him to the level as founder Mao Zedong.
2018 March - National People's Congress annual legislative meeting votes to remove a two-term limit on the presidency from the constitution, allowing Xi Jinping to remain in office for longer than the conventional decade for recent Chinese leaders.
2018 April - China announces it will impose 25% trade tariffs on a list of 106 US goods, including soybeans, cars, and orange juice, in retaliation for similar US tariffs on about 1,300 Chinese products.
2019 June - Hong Kong sees start of months of anti-government and pro-democracy protests, involving violent clashes with police, against a proposal to allow extradition to mainland China.
AND NOW:
China is becoming increasingly agitated with its inability to break into the world financial market and feels undervalued. They continue to build their military and test the waters to see response and ability of the U.S.
               China realizes it is beyond its capability and would involve a major long and drawn out military conflict with U.S. to approach taking the U.S. dollar out militarily. They also do not have a legitimate reason to attack the U.S. militarily and world response to an unprovoked attack would be catastrophic to their cause.
               China knows in order to elevate itself in the financial market the U.S. dollar must be crippled to the point it can no longer be trusted as the world standard used in trade.
               Trade with the U.S. becomes strained as the Trump administration implements trade restrictions to bring in line the almost 300-billion-dollar trade difference between the countries.
               China can no longer stand back and wait. Inside information shows that the United States and other countries are ill prepared to react to a pandemic. China investigates biological warfare to cripple the U.S. and the world market, allowing them a way in, on devalued world currencies.
               China knows that it can not directly employ a biological weapon leading to human rights and Geneva Convention violations. Any attempt to do so could be easily traced back to China. China researches knew an unknown biological would work if the source was found to be organic. They also know that they cannot directly engineer a lethal biological as the genetic modifications to the biological will be found out when the biological is studied.
               China in the past has been the host of many viral outbreaks and reports have shown that their “wet” markets are a ticking timebomb for another major outbreak. They find a Virus and study the effects on the host animals. They Identify it and cultivate it. They know that a direct genetic modification will be traceable and may not lead to them directly but will show that the virus has been artificially modified with DNA studies.
               Genetic modifications can and do happen due to mutations as the virus spreads and adapts. This can take years. China knows it does not have years. Recent impacts from trade restrictions implemented by the United States and a growing watchful eye on Chinese economic development have the Chinese government on a fast track. At the time, the Level 4 containment lab in Wuhan was known to be working on a Corona Virus derived from a strain found in bats. Many papers written and published on it document this work. The lead scientist in this endeavor had been working with this virus and studying its transference preference, life cycle, and biologic attack method in the host. The virus is promising, it shows easy transference to humans and similar infection and mortality to the already existing SARS virus. However, though the virus transmits easily to humans, it lacks the receptors to invade human cells, thus not infecting humans. The known SARS virus and this new virus are genetically almost identical, a forced lab mutation can combine the easy transmission of the new virus with ability of the existing virus to infect humans. This provides a virus without gene modification markers and appears to be wild and a NOVEL strain of a similar virus already known to exist. There are only two potential reasons to perform this type of research. One, to weaponize it or Two to create the virus and the cure and be the sole purveyor of the cure for financial gain. Or a third, BOTH.
               Once they have the mutated virus, they cultivate it. They then release it to the wild. Depositing it in wet markets where it is thought the next major outbreak may start. They have not thoroughly studied it enough to know how it will react in the wild nor do they have a cure. They do know it is not 100% lethal, but it is devastating. Releasing it in their own country gives it a point of origin, it also proves that the wet market theories were correct. China is willing to accept a large hit of civilian deaths in order to show that they were victims of this as well and it is no more than a tragic outbreak.
October 2019:
               They release the virus in Wuhan. They watch hospital intake and study the spread and lethality.
November 2019:  
Mid November they report a new illness, they can no longer keep it quiet, but they show it as contained to limited environment.
December 2019:
               Mid December doctors are reporting increased cases and that they do not know how to treat this illness. They see it as a new outbreak of an unknown virus. China informs the World Health Organization (WHO) they have a new illness, but it is not transmitted human to human, it is not airborne, and it is isolated to a specific region.
               Meanwhile they have determined it is human to human transmittable and they have already limited travel in and out of the affected region. China now is restricting citizen travel and keeping the infected source area completely isolated. Important to note, that they have actually known this for about 2 months and allowed international travel in out of Wuhan.
               Late December they announce to the WHO they cannot contain the virus and it may be in the wild outside the country.
               This has been their intent all along. Get the virus in the wild and allow it to proliferate long enough to bring worldwide impact.
                 They know that U.S. response will be slow, and the virus has been in the country for at least two months and spreading.
               They under report their fatalities, hide cases, and show a massive response to prove to the world they are just as much under attack by this virus as all other nations. Meanwhile knowing the true affects, and that it primarily affects the old and those with underlying conditions. They know the young are less susceptible and exploit this, reporting that the young are immune, knowing that they can be asymptomatic carriers. They have studied the transmission and effects in their own country, they have unlimited resources to do so, as they can skip political and corporate interference and eliminate all evidence that they knew what the virus is capable of.
January 2020:
               Early January the U.S. is told by the WHO and China that this is contained, and outside exposure is possible, be on the alert, but it is easily treated.
               U.S. response is cautious but not effective.
               Mid to late January world cases start to emerge and are noted. Italy and Spain note increased cases and deaths.
February 2020:
               Due to increased cases and deaths in Italy and Spain and an apparent pandemic the WHO lists it as a pandemic. Mind you they know from reports that this was already taking place in early January or late December.
               The U.S. responds by placing travel restrictions from China. Unknowingly assuming it is not already worldwide and spreading.
               President Trump is attacked as being racist and xenophobic for blockading China and China responds in kind, supporting the racist claims. Chinas part of social discord and creating division.
               Social distancing and lockdowns are postulated but not implemented. China already knows that our “social society” is spreading this disease. Major cities run by Trump opposing politicians support the racist claims and xenophobia telling people to go out have fun enjoy. China was hoping for this division.
 March 2020:
               Social distancing and stay at home orders start at the advice of the CDC through the president.
               China knows the American people will not accept this, and states are slow to comply.
               Know that China has already studied our possible reaction and that we are a consumer nation with unrestricted travel throughout our country. It will be near impossible to stop commercial air travel and vehicle travel around the country, thus the virus will continue to spread. Will it kill millions? No, but that was not their intent. The intent was to cripple the economy and devalue the U.S. Dollar.
               The Shut Down of small business and any community interaction, have caused supply runs by panicked citizens. Major metropolitan areas like New York City and New Orleans who have seen recent events drawing people from around the country and the world are now reporting major cases and hospital overload.
Running Theory:
               While China has a formidable military, this is not an arguable statement, while technology may differ and military implements are different, they have a massive number of bodies to throw into a battle.  They do however know that in a face to face military battle they are at a heavy disadvantage due to tactics, overall equipment, and the ability to deploy worldwide.
               China also knows that in order to take on the United States militarily they would need to prove the U.S. implemented, planned to implement, or physically attacked China. Without this world opinion would not be in their favor and would likely only have the support of limited communist block countries, and even they may not fully support China if world opinion and the U.N. is not on board with the reason.
               Was the intent to create a war, kill millions of Americans, or provide a direct attack on U.S. soil? No, absolutely not. The intent was to create worldwide panic, worldwide financial distress, gage reaction to a pandemic, and collapse the U.S. Economy.
               Why would that be important? If the initial virus does not cause the U.S. economy to collapse gaging the United States political response, civilian compliance, and medical ability to react will be vital in a second “mutation” and more virulent outbreak.
               Why would the collapse of our economy be important? If the dollar becomes devalued and loses status as the primary world trade currency a new currency can be proposed and put in place. China wants this, financial superiority over the United States. They can then buy and back our currency which will make it dependent on China, making the United States dependent on China.
               The United States is already heavily dependent on foreign production with China at or near the top of that list for many things. If the United States were dependent on China financially and for production, we would lose any of our current perceived independence.
               So we move our production back here? Right? Well China now has us between the proverbial “rock and a hard place”. We can and they may even encourage it, but how? Our money is weak and China will gladly back our change, but in doing so, they will own a great deal of the production placed back here in the U.S.
               In short, the Chinese intent was to take the United States place on the world financial stage.
               The virus is now known not be naturally occurring. It was manipulated in a lab. It is also known that the level 4 lab in Wuhan was working on this exact virus. Papers written on the virus by scientists working at the lab were published and are available. Concerns were raised by the scientific community when scientists wanted to explore human transmission and creating a virus which could infect and be transmitted by humans. The question is raised, why? Weaponization? Creation of a virus and a vaccine which they would solely benefit from? Either or both would suit the need for crippling the world.
               Chinese response and reported cases are under much scrutiny and their story keeps changing, which leads us to wonder where did it come from and how much is the Chinese government trying to cover up?  
               Origin in Wuhan is a given. Was it an accident? It could be, but the amount of cover up and reports of massive civilian losses and the deaths or disappearance of scientists and other officials is questionable and makes an accident highly suspect. Was it intentionally released in the market? This is potentially very plausible. It gives a definite source, it gives the Chinese Government plausible deniability, it allows the virus to spread unchecked, and is a prime distribution point.
               Why kill their own people? Plausible deniability. This gives them the ability to push the narrative that they were victims as well and this was natural, then it was an accident which will ultimately end up being the final narrative, because they will not admit to an intentional release. Why hide the real numbers? Tracking and releasing the real numbers would identify a lot about the nature of the virus and expose the unlikelihood of a naturally occurring or accidental release.
               Still you ask, why kill their own people and don’t they care? The short answer is, no, they do not. The Chinese government over the centuries have shown they have the will, ability, and general history of violating their people’s rights and committing massive atrocities. The Chinese government continues to deny all human rights violation accusations. The Chinese communist mantra promotes the sacrifice of the people for the good of the state. The population of China is almost 1.5 billion, so a few million lost for the good of the state? Well that is a loss they can absorb, only a 0.2% loss of their population and shows an equally affected country.
               China currently only reports 82,719 cases and 4,632 deaths. Is this due to massive and quick response? No, as the site of a rapidly emerging contagion this would not be the case. Their response would have been far behind by the time they realized it was a problem, their losses would have been far worse than ours, they would have been asking for world help. Are they under reporting on purpose and hiding their dead, which is highly likely, as leaked information leads to the conclusion that many people have disappeared and are not included in their death tolls.
               Why would they do this? To appear on top of the virus. To gain world support for all information they push in relation to this virus. There are reports circulating out of China which show they may have a vaccine in trials. So soon? They may have had it already. They are just going through the motions to promote and provide the cure to the world, at a cost. And why wouldn’t countries pay for something that would help their people. The world will be held hostage by the Chinese Government, and the United States crippled financially into submission.
               The Dollar has been the world reference currency and in the reserve currency for over 60 years. Presently one Chinese yuan renminbi is only worth 0.14 cents in U.S. dollars. Add to that trade restrictions placed by President Trump and it becomes clear why China wants this to happen.
               Do not believe there are not U.S. politicians salivating over all this. With a heavily weakened U.S. economy and skyrocketing unemployment and business failures, the left will be pushing heavy social programs to “help” the people. This will only be a conversion to government reliance. Once the population is reliant, laws will change and rights lost in the name of saving people, national security, and stabilizing the country. China is hoping for this, an America under socialist control will comply more easily.
               Is this possible? Sure, China needs Trump out of office to gain any of this. If the economy fails, people are hungry, unemployed, and only provided minimal financial aid they will turn in mass on the government they believe created this situation. Led by Chinese propaganda, American Mass Media, and the Democratic parties demonizing of Trump, they could gain enough of a majority to vote Trump out.
In his place we will get a puppet politician controlled completely by his party and with no ability to control any part of his office.
               This new government will pair with China as sign of faith and the need to stabilize the dollar and the Economy. China will then attain their goal by manipulating the U.S. Government and financing national reconstruction through deals made with the U.S. Government to back programs. Our restructuring will take on massive Social programs, we will become increasingly socialist, democratic socialists, ring a bell?
               All in all, this was not an accident, a natural bug, an act of nature, or Gods vengeance. It is a massive Geopolitical move by China.
 FTFA,
P. Bleu Chapman
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bhvayasteel-blog · 4 years
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304 vs 409 Stainless Steel - bet you didn't know these differences
Stainless Steel Battle: Two Alloys Enter, Only One Remains
Numerous organizations publicize their tempered steel exhaust items as simply that - basically treated steel. Most try not to determine the contrasts somewhere in the range of 409ss and 304ss material in their things, and you might be getting hoodwinked without knowing the distinction. There are a couple of significant contrasts between the metals that improve one for execution exhaust applications than the other.
                        For instance, investigate the two mandrel bowed fumes pipes above. One next to the other the two look fundamentally the same as, however don't let that fool you. The erosion opposition of the funnel relies upon the substance of chromium and nickel found in the amalgam. 409 spotless is a metal planned principally for the car fumes industry, despite the fact that it has been utilized effectively in other mechanical applications. It joins great raised temperature consumption opposition and medium quality, great formability and cheap in general expense. Then again, 304 spotless is perhaps the most established variation of tempered steel and is normally utilized in family unit applications and is one of the most well-known metal combinations accessible today.
The Difference is in the Numbers
The most as often as possible utilized treated steel in execution exhaust frameworks is T409. Generally found in Flowmaster, Invidia, and numerous other reseller's exchange pure suppressors and catbacks, this blend doesn't contain enough chromium to oppose consumption in chilly climate states, or zones where salted streets help in erosion improvement. T409 has a chromium substance of 10.50% to 11.75% while its nickel content is just 0.50%.
304 Stainless is the greatest treated steel utilized in the car world, and it is regularly found in fumes tips, cinches, jolts and other little fumes segments where quality is significant. 304 evaluation pure is intense and almost impenetrable to rusting, since it has around 20% chromium and 10% nickel content in the combination. Be that as it may, in light of its low ferrous substance, it can build up a brilliant shading when presented to high warmth after some time. Actually, the ferrous metal substance is low to such an extent that magnets won't adhere to it, making the recognizable proof of T409 and T304 extremely simple.
What is the best option?
While considering a reseller's exchange fumes framework for your exhibition vehicle, be it an Evo 8/9/X, Subaru WRX/STI, Scion FRS/Subaru BRZ, your worldwide area is a significant factor. 409 Stainless Steel fumes frameworks will get the job done for regions where street salt isn't an issue. Its temperature-safe compound takes into account prevalent quality, and rust for the most part isn't a prompt concern when contrasted with your northern siblings and sisters. 304 Stainless is extraordinary for rust counteraction in northern/stormy area's, however powerless to warm staining under outrageous temperatures seen in most southern states.
Above you can see the differences in corrosion after just one winter. The main 304ss piping is slightly discolored but resisting rust quite well, where the 409ss composition section is showing signs of surface rust. It's still strong and likely to last a long time, but the rust is sometimes off-putting to serious performance enthusiasts.
Why even use 409ss if it's not as durable?
Car makers have discovered that by sparing a couple of additional bucks underway by utilizing the less expensive 409 evaluation pure, they can keep costs low. Producers likewise consider their objective market, and whether the advantages of utilizing a progressively costly material will have any kind of effect on buy choices.
 Do you realize what evaluation steel your fumes is made of? At MA Performance, we utilize just 304 impeccable on the entirety of our custom fumes parts, downpipes, clasps, ribs, and other fumes adornments. When purchasing MA Performance items, you can have confidence that your exhibition parts will keep going for quite a long time to come with no rusting or destructive dangers!
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krygenuk07-blog · 4 years
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An Overview Of Krygen XL Update 2019:-
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Lexus NX Cheap Insurance
Lexus NX Cheap Insurance
Lexus NX Cheap Insurance
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Lexus NX Cheap Insurance
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Lexus NX Cheap Insurance
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reggywangler-blog · 5 years
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10 BEST CORDLESS DRILLS IN 2018
We have inquired about over 100s of cordless penetrates and concocted probably the best cordless drills dependent on various parameters we consider to check the nature of the items.
Stay tuned as we have 10 best cordless machine audits in subtleties with their Pros and Cons.
When you run a family unit you are should go over rates or installations that require a handy solution. If not fixing, you may require a device close by to bore in new furnishings or racks. Yet, not generally you can require a jack of all trades and it isn't required too since these unspecialized temp jobs should be possible by you yourself with essential apparatuses.
One of the vital ones is a drill machine that causes you drill a nail on the divider or fix your furnishings rapidly. Be that as it may, as the world is moving quicker, advancements are developing with it.
One of the solace advancements that one can contribute onto is a standout amongst the best' cordless drills.
On the off chance that you simply need to put a casing on the divider or you need to handy solution your table's casing cordless drill can be of an extraordinary use at such circumstances.
This dark decker model of the cordless drill is one of the highest selling drills from this organization. It is moderate at the sort of value it gives and has some extraordinary appraisals in the market.
It has a decent chargeable battery back up and has a general decent boring capacity
It is a spending model with highlights in accordance with the rock solid cordless drills
It works similarly well on hard surfaces than the little surface
It is lightweight and along these lines can be effectively overseen and controlled
It has a decent hold and a truly strong battery control just as a quicker charging office
It has worked in highlights that are equivalent to an expert kind of cordless drill models.
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It has a 11 position grasp include that gives an ideal drill no wear-offs of screws
The elements of the drill are 10.6 (L) x 3.7 (W) x 8.5(H) inches and the weight comes to around 3.4 pounds making it a lightweight machine
The smaller structure of this machine enables you to work effectively even in little spaces
1. The battery life is stretched and furthermore requires less charging time
2. The voltage limit of this drill is 20Volts
The drill is an incredible arrangement since it falls in a reasonable bar extend. It is a convenient family unit hardware to handy solution some furnishings or to bore up a screw rapidly. Inside the value run it is in, it offers quality and offices equivalent to proficient drills.
The best piece of the drill is the plume lightweight it is and the littler size that enables you to bring it easily all over the stepping stool and even to minimal spots like joints of a rack.
2. Dewalt DCD771C2 20V
The DEWALT DCD771C2 is a standout amongst the best cordless drills that is on somewhat costly side however is a general model that can be dealt with effectively by anybody and everybody.
A substance of the surveys of the model is referenced underneath:
The engine of this machine is driven by a superior turnout with a conveyance intensity of 300 unit watts
It has two-speed modes to coordinate your applications and client needs
It has a durable body comprised of a solid material
Simple in taking care of due to the lightweight and little structure
A portion of the key highlights that make this power drill go into this rundown of best ones are:
It accompanies 2 battery reinforcements that guarantee the consistent working of the drill without sitting around idly in reviving the battery
Conveys two various types of velocities going from 0-450 RPMs to 0-1500 RPMs
It likewise accompanies an invert highlight to evacuate the penetrated in screws
An agreeable drill that is lightweight and in this manner can be effectively utilized by anybody
It accompanies a sack that is useful to pack the drill safe when not being used
One of the significant trigger purposes of this cordless drill is the double battery pack that accompanies it which makes you spare an adequate measure of time and enables you to work for longer hours without breaking to charge the battery.
It might be on a more expensive rate side yet it would not frustrate you with the sort of highlights it has. Generally speaking, it is a power stuffed machine that will satisfy your boring prerequisites.
3. Dark Decker LD120VA
This item has an extraordinary incentive for cash. It is modestly evaluated and has a great deal of embellishments that accompany it which comes to help with different sort of capacities you would need to utilize it in.
It has a torque rating of 300 lbs enabling you to utilize it in outrageous hard surfaces easily.
This accompanies a sum of 24 grip positions that gives the outrageous accuracy of boring.
You will feel that you are getting a great deal against the cash you put resources into this.
The item has some extremely aggressive highlights in correlation with different cordless power drills. Some of them include:
It has a 20V battery that keeps running for more than 500 days whenever kept stale post charging completely without utilizing it for those days.
It has RPM rate up to 750 which gives differentspeed settings as per one's utilization.
With this buy, you will feel like you have a ton of stuff all together at an extremely better than average price.The working of this item is exceptionally simple and it is without bother and particularly for individuals who are not extremely helpful with drills but rather would attempt their convenient on fixing things all alone would alter entirely well with this power drill machine.
The Black Decker cordless drill machines have an incredible name in the market and this likewise satisfies the brand desires that one would in a perfect world keep.
4. Dark Decker BDC120VA100
This dark Decker's variation of intensity drill machine is a 20-volt lithium fueled drill. This current item's feature is the umpteen measure of embellishments that accompanies it giving a decent begin to particularly the amateurs. It is genuinely useful for both family unit and expert utilization.
It is exceedingly good with every one of the surfaces including the hard ones making it an all inclusive boring machine.
The weight and the plan of the item is very refreshing among the crowd and is gotten out as an exceptionally helpful product.One of the best highlights of the item is the attractive piece holder that is amazingly valuable in dealing with those additional bits.
In spite of the fact that it doesn't forces an additional common torque yet it is sufficiently adequate to work routes through for family fittings and apparatus.
Give us a chance to reveal some insight into a portion of the highlights of this item that are difficult to resist upon:
Key less style: It has a key less grasp plans which does not expect you to search for the key each opportunity to change the grip settings.
Battery make: It has a 20 V controlled lithium particle battery reinforcement that permits a quicker charge turnout.
24 grip settings: This exceedingly numbered grasp settings makes it simple to set up the drill machine as indicated by your utilization.
Extra Accessories: It accompanies around 100 adornments which spares you from purchasing every one of the prerequisites now and again and gives you a more extensive scope of choices inside that cost.
The general viewpoint of this item falls in help with the clients who are looking a decently evaluated and highlighted cordless drill machine that is an ideal fit for utilizing it for family fittings.
it will keep you from ringing in the fix fellow over and over for little occupations and spending sufficient measure of cash into it. It meets for the most part everybody's requirements and is made for someone who might investigate variations that com as of now with a lot of various extras.
5. Dark Decker GCO18SFB
The Black Decker cordless drill of model GCO18SFB is a skilled worker drill machine reasonable for expert just as a family outstanding task at hand. It is very conservative and not unreasonably substantial making it an easy to use item to contribute upon.
How about we experience a little short survey about this power drill:
The stud discoverer is extremely useful to find dividers that are productive to bore upon.
It is an increasingly controlled drill in view of the various grip settings it accompanies that forestalls depriving of the screws in the meantime.
It accompanies a capacity pack that empowers you to helpfully store the drill post your utilization.
It can play out an assortment of capacities from pounding to penetrating to darting in and out.
It's anything but a clear decision fro proficient utilization however can be made do with the family unit errands.
Allows a portion of the unmistakable highlights of this item that you might need to view to coordinate with your necessities:
Keyless throw: It kills the keying capacity to change the toss hence making it progressively less difficult and snappier to change the grasp setting as indicated by use.
Variable speed: It has a speed setting of up to 750RPM to look over according to the use of the client.
Turn around mode: It has an invert highlight that empowers to kind of fix the penetrating procedure by bit in the event that you see it going haywire. It commits the penetrating procedure more error free and exact.
Grasp positions: It gives various grip position up to 24 that empowers controlled penetrating and avoids depriving of screws.
Stud discoverer: This element is a standout amongst the most helpful and distinctive highlights that accompanies this model makes it emerge from whatever remains of it.
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daveywankenobie · 6 years
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Despite the absolutely awful weather today I’ve still been out and about putting in the miles.
The inclement skies have tested my recent statements about there being ‘no bad weather just bad clothes’ to the absolute limit, because it seems that not all of my clothes are… good.
I’m very damp.
In no particular order…
My trusty Berghaus walking boots seem to be leaking thanks to some epically deep puddles today and my feet are soaking wet
My ‘waterproof’ Peter Storm gloves (that I bought full price from Millets last year) needed around an eggcup of water (I’m not kidding) wrung out of each one of them when I sat down.
My Mountain Warehouse supercoat has (to be completely fair to it) kept water out of everywhere… Except its pockets
My waterproof Regatta overtrousers in contrast have been doing a grand job but the perspiration they cause when I wear them on longer walks undermines any upsides they might have regarding keeping rain at bay
When I started writing this post drinking whilst coffee in a pub (hiding from the rain with my overtrousers taken off and turned inside out) my outer clothing was all drip drying nearby.
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By the time I reached home later in the afternoon the situation hadn’t really improved much and my feet were totally sodden and ‘pruney’ when my boots and socks came off.
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For the first time since maybe January I unclenched my wallet’s sphincter muscle and turned on the (cue drum roll) central heating…
Still – I may be wet and cold – but one thing I’n NOT is outrageously hungry after my 9 miles in the pouring rain. I’m not in the mood for food probably because I did a little bit of experimental cookery last night and the outcome was extremely satisfying.
To be honest it wasn’t really fine dining – but it did taste flipping delicious.
It consisted of a couple of packs of Aldi’s fajita chicken stir fry mix (which are admittedly 8 syns a pack according to the SW app – but they were half price – yay!) a punnet of mushrooms and a pack of Aldi sundried tomato and garlic flavour cous cous (0.5 syns a pack).
The whole meal came to around £3.50!
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I cooked the mushrooms, pre-marinaded chicken and stir fry veg (peppers and onions) for about 20 minutes, chucked in the sachets of sauce, stirred those in for 5 minutes – then sprinkled in the couscous and reduced the whole lot down for another five minutes until the couscous was swollen with flavour – then served it up.
Honestly this ended up being rather spicy but also felt like really comforting food for a cold and dark evening. Although it was definitely a bit higher in syns than meals that I’d usually cook frankly it made up for it by being so tasty that my tastebuds were practically ready to crown me emperor of the known universe for cooking it in the first place.
If there was ever a way to intelligently use syns with Slimming World then this is it in my view – because at least this way they’re filling you up rather than just hiding in empty calories like crisps or chocolate.
The truth is though that although I really enjoyed eating this I’m not really a fan of pre-prepared pack in sauces.
If you look closely at the ingredients for both the marinade that’s already on the chicken and it’s additional (admittedly optional) sachet of stir in sauce both have sugar in them.
The reason why this is included in any savoury food continually baffles me.
Why on earth does a fajita kit need sugar in it?
If I cooked this from scratch there’s not a recipe in the world that would say ‘and now grab a bag of silver spoon and start pouring‘.
Sometimes (like last night) I turn a blind eye to this kind of thing purely for cost and convenience’s sake as they’re usually one off’s – but honestly the presence of sugar in cook in sauces irritates the s&&t out of me. It’s no wonder the whole western world is lurching toward a diabetic and obesity armageddon when sugar is added to everything.
You may have seen my previous rants about this (and other similar food crimes) on Instagram…
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In many respects I don’t blame Aldi or it’s competitors for doing this though. Human beings are their own worst enemies.
Supermarkets taste test their products with consumers and then base their decisions on the feedback about what people prefer to eat. Sadly human beings seem to want more and more sugar. It’s just a fact of life I guess and I suppose that every now and then it doesn’t hurt to treat yourself.
Anyway – I’m very focused at the moment on eating the right kinds of things and accounting for all of it not just because of hidden sugar – but also because the Slimming World ball is coming up soon.
In early November I’m going to be up on stage to be presented with my Man of the Year award, and when I have everyone and their dog looking at me I want to feel (and look) my best.
I’m still not sure yet what ‘look my best’ will mean though…
Whilst I’ve been out today I’ve taken the opportunity to drip on the floor of some clothes shops and search for inspiration regarding colour and pattern combinations. I’m still no further forward with my decision – although I DO know that I’m almost certainly not going to pay the prices that high street shops are willing to charge me to do this.
I want to be frugally creative if at all possible and see what kind of an outfit I can pull together from ‘pre-loved’ sources.
This is considerably more stressful than just throwing money at a cashier when I find something nice – but on the plus side if I manage to pull it off I reckon I’ll be able to get a whole outfit for a similar or lower price than the (admittedly very nice) tie from Moss Bros (paired with the grey jacket in the last shot)…
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Either way – I find this kind of thing a fun challenge. Seeing individual items randomly in different places and then trying to mentally combine it with something else is a strangely addictive pastime…
Only time will tell whether I will be able to pull it off!
Watch this space internet!!!
Davey
Very damp Despite the absolutely awful weather today I've still been out and about putting in the miles.
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patriotsnet · 3 years
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What Happens If Republicans Win Midterms
New Post has been published on https://www.patriotsnet.com/what-happens-if-republicans-win-midterms/
What Happens If Republicans Win Midterms
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Gop Lawmakers Threaten To Punish Democrats If They Win Back Control Of Congress
‘When we take the majority back in 2022, I’ll make sure consequences are doled out,’ said Rep. Madison Cawthorn.
Republicans are outraged that Democrats are governing by majority rule in the House. In retaliation, they are vowing to do the same things they now decry as unprecedented and wrong.
“Never in the history of our country has a Speaker acted like such an authoritarian,” House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy on Thursday.
He was upset that House Speaker Nancy Pelosi had his request to appoint Republican Reps. Jim Banks and Jim Jordan to the Select Committee to Investigate the January 6th Attack on the U.S. Capitol. Both men voted to overturn the 2020 election results and pushed the lie that President Joe Biden only won because the election was stolen.
“Never in the history of Congress and the select committee I checked with the historian has this ever taken place, where the one party decides who’s all on the committee,” McCarthy told Fox News in a video he with his tweet. McCarthy in fact to give Republican then-Speaker John Boehner the exact same unilateral appointment power in 2014 for the Select Committee on the Events Surrounding the 2012 Terrorist Attack in Benghazi.
But while House Republicans claim they are being mistreated because the majority won’t let them have their way, they are also promising to retaliate by turning the same actions they criticize now against Democrats in 2023.
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‘the Beast Is Growing’: Republicans Follow A Winning At All Costs Strategy Into The Midterms
Much remains uncertain about the midterm elections more than a year away including the congressional districts themselves, thanks to the delayed redistricting process. The Senate, meanwhile, looks like more of a toss-up.
House Democrats think voters will reward them for advancing President Joe Biden’s generally popular , which involves showering infrastructure money on virtually every district in the country and sending checks directly to millions of parents. And they think voters will punish Republicans for their rhetoric about the Covid-19 pandemic and the 2020 election.
“Democrats are delivering results, bringing back the economy, getting people back to work, passing the largest middle-class tax cut in history, while Republicans are engaged in frankly violent conspiracy theory rhetoric around lies in service of Donald Trump,” said Tim Persico, executive director of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.
But the challenges Democrats face are real and numerous.
They knew they would face a tough 2022 immediately after 2020, when massive, unexpected GOP gains whittled the Democratic majority to just a handful of seats.
“House Republicans are in a great position to retake the majority,” said Rep. Tom Emmer, R-Minn., who chairs the National Republican Congressional Committee, “but we are taking nothing for granted.”
His rural district had been trending Republican for years. Kind won re-election last year by just about 10,000 votes.
What If The Republicans Win Everything Again
Total victory for the G.O.P. would mean Trump unleashed.
Opinion Columnist
The end of Robert Muellers investigation. The loss of health insurance for several million people. New laws that make it harder to vote. More tax cuts for the rich. More damage to the environment. A Republican Party molded even more in the image of President Trump.
These are among the plausible consequences if the Republicans sweep the midterm elections and keep control of both the House and Senate. And dont fool yourself. That outcome, although not the most likely one, remains possible. The last couple of weeks of polling have shown how it could happen.
Voters who lean Republican including whites across the South could set aside their disappointment with Trump and vote for Republican congressional candidates. Voters who lean left including Latinos and younger adults could turn out in low numbers, as they usually do in midterm elections. The Republicans continuing efforts to suppress turnout could also swing a few close elections.
No matter what, Democrats will probably win the popular vote in the House elections, for the first time since 2012. Trump, after all, remains unpopular. But the combination of gerrymandering and the concentration of Democratic voters in major cities means that a popular-vote win wont automatically translate into a House majority.
I Do Not Buy That A Social Media Ban Hurts Trumps 2024 Aspirations: Nate Silver
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sarah: Yeah, Democrats might not have their worst Senate map in 2022, but it will by no means be easy, and how they fare will have a lot to do with the national environment. And as we touched on earlier, Bidens overall approval rating will also make a big difference in Democrats midterm chances.
nrakich: Yeah, if the national environment is even a bit Republican-leaning, that could be enough to allow solid Republican recruits to flip even Nevada and New Hampshire. And then it wouldnt even matter if Democrats win Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
One thing is for sure, though whichever party wins the Senate will have only a narrow majority, so I think were stuck in this era of moderates like Sens. Joe Manchin and Lisa Murkowski controlling every bills fate for at least a while longer. 
sarah: Lets talk about big picture strategy, then, and where that leaves us moving forward. Its still early and far too easy to prescribe election narratives that arent grounded in anything, but one gambit the Republican Party seems to be making at this point is that attacking the Democratic Party for being too progressive or woke will help them win.
What do we make of that playbook headed into 2022? Likewise, as the party in charge, what are Democrats planning for?
With that being said, the GOPs strategies could still gin up turnout among its base, in particular, but its hard to separate that from general dissatisfaction with Biden.
The 2024 Presidential Election Will Be Close Even If Trump Is The Gop Nominee
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One very important thing we should have all taken away from both the 2016 and 2020 presidential contests is that the two major parties are in virtual equipose . The ideological sorting-out of the two parties since the 1960s has in turn led to extreme partisan polarization, a decline in ticket-splitting and and in number of genuine swing voters. Among other things, this has led to an atmosphere where Republicans have paid little or no price for the extremism theyve disproportionately exhibited, or for the bad conduct of their leaders, most notably the 45th president.
Indeed, the polarized climate encourages outlandish and immoral base mobilization efforts of the sort Trump deployed so regularly. Some Republicans partisans shook their heads sadly and voted the straight GOP ticket anyway, And to the extent there were swing voters they tended strongly to believe that both parties were equally guilty of excessive partisanship, and/or that all politicians are worthless scum, so why not vote for the worthless scum under whom the economy hummed?
The bottom line is that anyone who assumes Republicans are in irreversible decline in presidential elections really hasnt been paying attention.
Republicans Set To Rebound Big In 2022 Midterms Unless
We are just 600 short days away from the 2022 midterm elections, which means it is the perfect time to handicap the Republicans chances to win back the House, Senate and prepare a serious challenge to President Biden
Patrick Joseph ToomeyBlack women look to build upon gains in coming electionsWatch live: GOP senators present new infrastructure proposalSasse rebuked by Nebraska Republican Party over impeachment vote already have Democrats scrambling to flip those seats in much easier electoral terrain.
As I noted in The Hill last month, Republicans are on the hook to defend 20 of their seats in 2022, while Team Blue has just 14 seats to hold, all in states won by Joe Biden in 2020. Since March is a perfect month for sports analogies, a good defense provides for a strong offense when the status quo is Democrats retaining control of the upper chamber. While there is clearly a power in incumbency, FiveThirtyEight suggests that senate vacancies are actually more of a mixed bag. In election cycles since 1974, the party with the most Senate retirements has actually gained seats just as often as it has lost them. For every year like 2008, when more Republicans than Democrats retired and Republicans lost seats accordingly, theres a year like 2012, when a whopping seven Democrats retired yet the party picked up two Senate seats.
How these various Rs play out in the next few months will determine if the Rs are successful in 2022.
Rising Violent Crime Is Likely To Present A Political Challenge For Democrats In 2022
But there are roadblocks to fully enacting Democrats’ agenda. Their thin majorities in both chambers of Congress mean nearly all Democrats have to get on board with every agenda item in order to push through major legislative priorities. And without adjusting or eliminating the legislative filibuster in the Senate, Democrats need 10 Republicans to join them for various legislation a near-impossible task.
Renewable Energy And Health Care Among The Sectors That Could Get Shakeup Due To Midterms
The 2022 midterm elections are already affecting Washington, and the results could shake up sectors such as renewable energy, health care and finance.
As Democrats in Washington work to deliver on infrastructure spending and other priorities, theyre trying to make progress in large part because of a key event thats still more than a year away.
That event is the midterm elections on Nov. 8, 2022, when Republicans will aim to take back control of the House and Senate and become a more powerful check on the priorities of President Joe Biden and his fellow Democrats.
What leaders are thinking about, particularly since we have unified party control, is that these midterm elections are inevitably a referendum on the governing party, said Sarah Binder, a senior fellow in governance studies at the Brookings Institution and a professor of political science at George Washington University in Washington, D.C.
In that sense, shrinking time coupled with What is it that Democrats want to run on? it adds pressure on Democrats to get their priorities through the door.
Time is growing short, Binder said, because party leaders often avoid making their members vote on tough issues in the same calendar year as an election, since that can hurt incumbents in tight races. Party leaders often think primarily about what they can get done in the first year of a Congress, as opposed to counting on the second year, she said.
Sectors that could win or lose
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Races worth watching
Can Democrats Avoid A Wipeout In 2022
Bidens plan: Go big or go home.
The good news for Democrats who watched Joe Biden unveil a historically ambitious agenda last night is that newly elected presidents have almost always passed some version of their core economic planparticularly when their party controls both congressional chambers, as Bidens does now.
The bad news: Voters have almost always punished the presidents party in the next midterm election anyway. The last two times Democrats had unified controlwith Bill Clinton in 199394 and Barack Obama in 200910they endured especially resounding repudiations in the midterms, which cost Clinton his majority in both chambers and Obama the loss of the House.
Theres a very different strategy this time, David Price, a Democratic representative from North Carolina and a former political scientist, told me. Theres an openness now to the sense that a bolder plan, ironically, might have greater appeal for independents and others we need to attract than trying to trim and split the difference with Republicans.
Read: The GOP cheat code to winning back the House
There is this recognition of this moment and how fleeting it is, and an evaluation that, absent the trifecta of control, it is very hard to move big policy, said a senior official at one of the partys leading outside advocacy groups, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss internal strategizing. So you have to take your shot. I think thats part of what undergirds Go big.
What If Republicans Win The Midterms
March 3, 2018
WASHINGTON A sizable portion of the American population has been convulsing with outrage at President Trump for more than a year. Millions of people who previously took only mild interest in politics have participated in protests, fumed as they stayed riveted to news out of Washington and filled social media accounts once devoted to family updates and funny videos with furious political commentary.
Yet public life on the whole has remained surprisingly calm. A significant factor in keeping the peace has surely been anticipatory catharsis: The widespread expectations of a big Democratic wave in the coming midterm elections are containing and channeling that indignation, helping to maintain order.
What will happen if no such wave materializes and that pressure-relief valve jams shut?
The country was already badly polarized before the plot twist of election night in 2016, of course, but since then liberals and much of what remains of Americas moderate center have been seething in a way that dwarfs the usual disgruntlement of whichever faction is out of power. While nobody can know for sure whether Mr. Trump would have lost but for Russias meddling, many of his critics clearly choose to believe he is in the White House because Vladimir Putin tricked the United States into making him its leader.
This November, if the wave turns out to be a mere trickle, we could see the accomplishment of that goal take hold.
Poll: Republicans Set To Win House Back In Massive Landslide
Republicans are set to win back the House in a historic landslide in 2022, according to a poll conducted by NBC News.
Based on all factors, youd have to consider Republicans the early favorites for the House majority in 2022, poll tracker David Wasserman NBC.
Democrats best hope is that Bidens approval rating stays above 50 percent and that Republicans have a tougher time turning out their voters without Trump on the ballot.
reports: The NBC report cites the all-too-predictable trend of the presidents party losing House seats in midterm elections, Democrats choosing not to run for reelection in some cases, and Republicans reaping the benefits of increased online donations, which are now on par with those of Democrats.
It is early, too early, to guarantee the Democrats loss of their slim 220-212 House majority. Voters wont hit the polls for almost 15 months, and things often have a way of changing on a dime in the world of politics. But the early signs certainly arent encouraging for the Democrats, especially as President Joe Bidens approval rating has taken a hit in recent weeks. American voters are being bombarded with images of a completely bungled withdrawal of Afghanistan and headlines about increased COVID hospitalizations and deaths. Inflation is also becoming a growing concern each month, contrary to the hopes of the Federal Reserve, and the crisis at the southern border shows no signs of abating.
Colwell: Republicans Are Likely To Win Control Of The House Next Year But
Three reasons why Republicans are very likely to take control of the House next year involve things over which Democrats have little or no control.
There is, however, one reason why Democrats might be able somehow to hang on to their slim majority. And they do have better prospects of at least holding on to the 50-50 Senate tie.
Reasons for Republicans winning control of the House:
FIRST: History is on their side. The party out of the White House almost always makes big gains in the first midterm election in a new presidency. In those midterm elections since the end of World War II, the average loss for the presidents party has been 29 seats. Democrats lost 63 seats in the 2010 midterm after election of President Barack Obama. Republicans lost 40 seats in the 2018 midterm after election of Donald Trump.
Because Democrats already lost seats in 2020, even as Joe Biden won the presidency, Republicans need only a net of five seats to win the majority. Democrats cant go back to 2020 to win more seats.
Factors in midterm losses for the presidents party include voters wanting a check on the president and disillusionment over any presidents inability to bring about everything voters hoped for.
SECOND: Redistricting after the census will result in many more safe Republican seats. Thats because Republicans control state legislatures in far more states than do Democrats. Both parties gerrymander. But it is the GOP controlling district drawing in many more states.
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Republicans In Decent Shape To Win House Majority In 2022
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Washington Examiner
It is never preferable to be in the minority party in a legislative body. But as far as minorities go, House Republicans are in a pretty good spot.
Between the trend of midterm elections usually the party that is not in the White House, a closely divided House, and a party apparatus ready to continue their expectations-exceeding 2020 strategy while Democrats rework theirs, Republicans are on track to winning back the House in 2022.
“It has the makings of what could be a good year for the Republicans when it comes to the House,” said J. Miles Coleman, associate editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics.
President Bidens approval rating is around 53%, and while he is not underwater, history indicates he would need to bump that rating up by at least 10 points in order to have a shot at gaining seats. Gallup analysis found that even presidents with approval ratings of 50% during the midterm elections averaged a loss of about 14 House seats from their own party.
That would be enough to bump Republicans back into the majority. Democrats have the slimmest House majority since 1930, currently 221 seats to 210 GOP seats .
Republicans in the 2020 cycle shattered the expectations of analysts who forecasted Democrats to gain House seats in 2020. Not a single Republican incumbent lost the election, and they picked off 13 incumbent Democrats.
But it is not all smooth sailing for Republicans.
Why We Arent Going To Panic
We should all have our eyes wide open as we inch closer to the 2022 Midterms, but by no means should we give up hope. There are plenty of reasons why we can win the midterms.
For starters, Democrats appear to be quite awake to how dangerous the Republican party has become in just the past few years. And since the Republicans dont appear to be any less radicalized with Trump out of the party, I dont think Democrats are going to go back to sleep.
At this point in the election cycle, we dont have a full picture of who is retiring from Congress or who the candidates will be for these seats. Getting great candidates for crucial, must-win seats can energize voters and donors.
Presidential approval seems to have an important effect on midterms and at this point, Bidens approval rating is 15 points higher than his disapproval. If he continues to do good things for Americans and keep his approval rating high, that will help the Democrats a lot.
So, lets approach this midterm as clearly as possible: Our democracy is still on the line, and as awful as the Republicans are, they are in striking position to win back some power in Congress. Each of us needs to do everything we can to ensure that does not happen. If you arent already, consider subscribing to Political Charge as Ill be delving into specific actions we can take every month!
If you want to win the midterms, please share this post with others who want to win, too!
Republicans Will Likely Take Control Of The Senate By 2024
The usual midterm House losses by the White House party dont always extend to the Senate because only a third of that chamber is up for election every two years and the landscape sometimes strongly favors the presidential party . But there a still generally an out-party wave that can matter, which is why Republicans may have a better than average chance of winning in at least some of the many battleground states that will hold Senate elections next year . If they win four of the six youll probably be looking at a Republican Senate.
But its the 2024 Senate landscape that looks really promising for the GOP. Democrats will be defending 23 seats and Republicans just 10. Three Democratic seats, and all the Republican seats, are in states Trump carried twice. Four other Democratic seats are in states Trump won once. It should be a banner year for Senate Republicans.
Balance Of Power: 2022 Senate Races
If Democrats want to win the again, they need to win the four competitive seats they currently hold Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and New Hampshire. That or augment any loss with a gain in any of their three competitive targets Pennsylvania, , or North Carolina.
This Senate preview still holds up, but the shorter version is Democrats are easily favored in Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada. They should also win New Hampshire if Chris Sununu doesnt run .
The thing is, theyre also favored to win in Pennsylvania, where they have a strong field of primary candidates and where Joe Biden won.
They have to be no worse than, and admittedly probably better than, a tossup in Wisconsin, where Republicans have candidate issues and Democrats have a strong likely nominee.
So even if New Hampshire goes Republican because of some local candidate factors, Democrats are in a good spot to win the Senate again.
That means if youre trying to make a bet, you can essentially box out two of four combinations where the GOP wins the Senate, and focus your attention on the two remaining options, if youre looking for the values.
The 1858 Midterm Election
November 2, 1858
There is always a lull after a tempest, and so the political world has subsided into an unwonted calm since the election, commented a reporter for The New York Times. The Republicans are naturally . . . exultant over their sweeping victories. Such a commentary might apply to any number of elections, but this reporter described the outcome of a particularly historic electionthe midterm election of 1858. The Republican success that year was especially remarkable because the Republican Party was only four years old.
Almost by spontaneous combustion, the Republican Party burst forth in 1854 in response to the controversial Kansas-Nebraska Act. For decades, Americas political battles had been fought between the Democrats and the Whigs. By the early 1850s, however, the issue of slavery had splintered the Whigs into warring factions and divided Democrats between north and south. When Democratic senator Stephen Douglas pushed his Kansas-Nebraska bill to passage, including its proposal to settle the issue of slavery by popular sovereignty, the uproar among northern abolitionists and anti-slavery activists was too fierce to be contained by the ailing Whig Party. As one person commented, The Whigs were simply not angry enough.
The Future Could Actually Be Bright For Republicans
Ed Kilgore
The most common political narrative outside MAGA-land is that the Republican Party is screwed, and richly deserves the ignominious future it faces.
Until recently the GOP was a reasonably normal and intermittently successful center-right political party, not wildly different from its counterparts in other countries with a two-party system, despite some racist and militarist habits that burst into view in times of stress. But then America elected a Black president, and Republicans went a little crazy, according to those outside their circles. First they abetted a destructively antediluvian Tea Party Movement and then lurched into the arms of an evil charlatan who somehow got elected president and spent four years trashing hallowed conservative principles and losing both Congress and the White House before his disgraceful and violence-inflected departure.
Worse yet, in the face of huge demographic challenges that beg for a new approach, the Republican Party has now lashed itself to a Trumpian mast going forward, following the most consistently unpopular president in American history in his bizarre crusade to deny he has ever lost anything. Meanwhile a shockingly united Democratic Party is whipping a few decades worth of liberal legislation through Congress as Republicans whine about cancel culture and try to sell the idea that Joe Biden is actually Che Guevara.
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massielandnetwork · 3 years
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Thriving in an Economic Bubble during Anarchy
4. The Christian Succession – What a fun week
A few items from the secular world this week:
1. The NFL (yes, the National Football League) announced this week it it is Gay, Lesbian, Bisexual, and Transgender. Does that make you “Ready for some Football”?
2. The new Miss Nevada is a transgender person. So, allow me to rephrase those judges’ decision. The most beautiful, most talented, most ideal young women in Nevada is a biological male who thinks he is a female.
Give our Lord and Savior the credit for the great awakening that is happening before our eyes. Satan is being exposed and confronted. Hallelujah. Amen. Here are just a few examples:
1. Trump held his first rally in months, had an overflow crowd in Ohio, and was watched by over 3 Million viewers on line. That viewership easily eclipsed the total number of all Bidenharris events beginning with the basement campaign last year to present. But we are supposed to be stupid enough to believe Bidenharis won the election. If you believe Bidenharris won, I have a bridge in New York City for you to buy. It used to have a lot of traffic before the Demented Marxist (DM) Mayor turned his city into a third world country equivalent.
2. I have lost count of the Americans who are black that have spoken out against the Critical Race Theory (CRT) equating it to the teachings of the Ku Klux Klan. Numerous states have outlawed it from their schools. Virginia does not have any adult legislators.
3. Did you read that the Republican candidate for Governor in Arizona has pledged to finish building their section of border wall? The rebellion is bubbling.
4. The Arizona hand count of the ballots has been completed. There are two other steps in the audit that have not been completed so it may be August before there is a report given.
5. As many as 20 other states are discussing election audits. All of the states should be audited. Every nonprofit organization has an annual audit, publicly traded companies get audited, how come it is not standard procedure to audit our elections? Where are Virginia’s Republicans? Hiding under their blankies?
6. There were even more reports of Moms becoming vocal and organized in their opposition to the Critical Race Theory and the LGBT agenda. Watch this trend. An entire generation of children are at risk because school systems are more concerned with chasing the phantom of “social justice” than with teaching math, science, and western history. I expect the Momma Bears to win this debate. A positive from the Pandemic.
Meanwhile, our “elected” officials and the media are primarily focused on a contest of words as they vie to outdo each other with cute turns of phrase, etc. Is there a new Olympic sport called Word Jousting with some umpire tracking the points earned by being more outrageous as talking heads compete with meaningless words. Most of our elected officials are champions at talking and strutting. I long for real American leadership.
There are some quite serious issues that need to be addressed. No, Climate Change is not one of them despite the media demonstrating they are universally poor with both math and science. Climate Change can be summed up with fact that the Ice Age did not end because millions of years ago some Neanderthal ancestor of mine started driving an SUV.
I am reading a great book which is a thorough analysis of Climate Change written by Steven E. Koonin called “Unsettled”. Mr. Koonin is a true expert, candid in his disdain for the media’s distortion of the facts that have been and are issued on the topic of Climate Change. It is easy to see that the media types are either clueless about science or severely slanted in their view because they never let the facts stand in the way of a good story.
While our “faux leaders” talk and strut about foolishness such as Critical Race Theory (all whites are racists) and Modern Monetary Theory (governments can borrow all the money they want without damaging that country’s economy), the Chinese have built a country with modern technology, become a mercantile state that controls a number of global industries, bought our officials, own 20 square miles of Texas adjacent to our air force base, and acquired Africa along with most of the rest of the world using their Fools Gold currency. The USA is now just a slave of China because they produce our stuff and own our government, universities, sports teams, and media.
The legacy media is full of meaningless talk devoid of fact but full of opinion and acting as if word jousting accomplishes something. As a capitalist, I find it fascinating to watch the dying so called mainstream media being replaced by new sources of information. CNN is reportedly on the block to be sold and the market will ultimately impact other enormous organizations like Facebook, Twitter, etc. Since they are controlled by China, they should move there.
Are you watching the electricity shortage in California and Texas? Highest cost and lowest reliability is the reality of an electric grid dependent on solar panels and bird slicers called windmills. Virginia better get some adults in leadership or we are going to be in the same fix as California and Texas. Brownouts are not my idea of good government.
Economic trends over the last week saw stock markets struggling to price in the announcements of The Fed about tapering Quantitative Easing (QE) and the effects on interest rates. The increased mortgage interest rates from The Demented Marxists (DMs) gaining control of our government have already slowed the housing market. The peak of this real estate cycle was this past January – February. The Fed now owns such a large percentage of the Treasury market that it is causing mixed signals in the markets. Do not be fooled, as The Fed tampers QE interest rates will rise and the economy will slow. The impact will be determined by a matrix of factors that will be impacted by the actions of The Fed. The highest probability is that this will be a brutal economic event.
About the only supply chain that is not disrupted is toilet paper. It is in surplus. Major supply chain problems are being reported in China and India due to the spread of a variant of the Wuhan Virus. The current twin negatives are the shortage of parts and the shortage of employees. The 20+ Conservative states that have cut back on the unemployment payments are recovering faster and better than the misnamed Progressive states that continue to pay folks not to work.
Totally lacking leadership, Virginia continues to pay folks not to work. Help wanted signs are everywhere. Every business head I talk with has had to cut back on their business operation because they cannot find anyone to hire. That is not hard to understand when you calculate that by not working, the “unemployed” reportedly receive $60,000 that is not taxable. These distortions are causing inflation. When supply chains get closer to demand, prices will be “sticky”, if they decline.
The current forecast is that oil will hit $100 per barrel by the end of this year. That means $4 per gallon gas. Biden destroyed our energy independence and returned the USA to being energy dependent on OPEC and Russia. Do you find it interesting that China and Russia are prospering with the DMs in control in the USA? Increased gasoline and diesel prices affect the cost of everything, another source of inflation.
Counting the one that is coming in 2022, during my career I will have been through seven recessions caused by one of the following – (1) increased energy prices, (2) interest rates being raised to combat inflation, and (3) increased taxes. The recession coming next year will be the result of a combination of all three of those forces. Get prepared…now.
170 days into the DM’s Coup, each day more details emerge regarding the fraudulent election last November. Eventually, we will know all the facts. Pray for the patriot attorney in Antrim County, Michigan who called for the Secretary of State to resign or be impeached and the election to be De-Certified. Another county in Michigan has voted to audit its election. Keep watching the Arizona Audit. The Secretary of State in Georgia decided to investigate the chain of custody of some of the mail in ballots to CYA. As the election audits spread and the terabytes of information from Mr. Dong bubble, you can smell the fear of the DMs.
A great piece of land remains The Best investment long term. Capitalism builds wealth, Marxism/Socialism consumes it in self destruction. Pray for a return to honest and audited elections in the USA. God is in control. Men make plans, but God ALWAYS wins.
“Rejoice in hope, be patient in suffering, persevere in prayer.”
(Romans 12:12) New Revised Standard Version, Oxford University Press)
Stay healthy,
Ned
July 1, 2021
Copyright Massie Land Network. All rights Reserved.
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Why Equifax’s 2017 Arbitration Clause Sparked Outrage
By Sylvia E, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Class of 2024  
March 16, 2021
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In May of 2017, Equifax experienced a data breach exposing the personal information of almost 148 million Americans. Included in this data were names, social security numbers, birth dates, addresses. For an unlucky few, hackers also gleaned data on email addresses, driver’s license numbers, credit card numbers, passport numbers, tax ID information, and credit report dispute documents. Naturally, Equifax suffered great losses. Equifax did not only have to deal with a profit fall of 27%, but also had to pay almost $90 million in breach-related costs. [1]
In an attempt to protect U.S. customers from the consequences of the data breach, Equifax created a 3 stage plan. According to the testimony of Equifax CEO Richard F. Smith, this plan protected consumers by creating:
“1) a website where consumers could look up if they were affected by the breach and then register for a suite of protective tools;
2) a call center to answer questions and assist with registration;
3) the package of tools themselves that the company was offering to everyone in the country” [2]
Among these tools was an offer by Equifax providing free identity theft protection and credit file monitoring through TrustedID, which was a company that Equifax owned. [1] To opt into this service, customers had to agree to an arbitration clause.
An arbitration clause is part of a legal process called arbitration, which is a process of resolving legal disputes out-of-court. Arbitration clauses are then clauses where an individual agrees to settle any issues they might have out-of-court. While arbitration clauses are all about the arbitration process, they can differ in what conditions they ask for from an individual. In Equifax’s case, the conditions they attached to their arbitration clause sparked outrage.
To understand why Equifax’s arbitration clause sparked outrage, let’s first look at what the clause says: The clause states “Neither You nor We consent or Agree to any arbitration on a class or representative basis, and the arbitrator shall have no authority to proceed with an arbitration on a class or representative basis… You will be forfeiting Your right to bring or participate in any class action (whether as a  named plaintiff or a class member) or to share in any class action awards.” [1] What this meant was that when an individual opted into Equifax’s protection services, they would forfeit their right to sue Equifax for damages and/or receive compensation.
This clause sparked outrage among Equifax customers affected by the breach, namely because “nobody asked Equifax to monitor their credit and then let hackers steal their data...if these same victims have a problem with the company’s remedy for this massive breach, they have to do all the work to make sure they’re allowed to sue.” [4]  Not only that, but arbitration overwhelmingly favors companies over individuals. One study found that over a four-year period, Californian courts ruled in favor of banks and credit card companies over individuals 94% of the time. In addition, 93% of customers didn’t even understand what the arbitration clause meant, meaning that they didn’t understand they were giving up their right to sue. [5] When it comes to arbitration itself, the arbitrator even has a financial incentive to favor the company: An arbitrator’s fee is normally paid by the company, and this might compel arbitrators to rule in favor of the company, regardless of the reality of the situation. [5]
While Equifax’s choice to make an agreement to a mandatory, binding arbitration clause for services to solve a problem they had caused sparked massive outrage, there were some who argued in Equifax’s defense. Many argued that arbitration clauses are common practice. In fact, arbitration clauses are present in more than 50% of employee contracts [6], and it’s likely that if you own a phone or TV plan, that you’ve most likely agreed to an arbitration clause [5]. It is also argued that arbitration clauses can be better for customers because it’s faster and fairer than going to court to resolve the dispute [5]. Either way, Equifax took down its arbitration clause and clarified that it would not apply to the 2017 data breach.
In light of Equifax’s data breach, cybersecurity and data privacy laws have been addressed with greater scrutiny. Consumer advocates have even moved forwards to try and introduce legislation such as the Arbitration Fairness Act to ban the use of arbitration clauses, but faced opposition in passing this bill until 2019. [7] Even so, this bill only applies to employees, and not arbitration clauses like Equifax’s where you opt into a service. Moving forwards, Equifax and other companies will continue to adapt their cybersecurity models, especially when it comes to communication between legal teams and cybersecurity analysts in order to prevent a data breach of this scale from occurring again.
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[1] Srinivasan, S., Pitcher, Q., & Goldberg, J. S. (2019). Data Breach at Equifax. Data Breach at Equifax, 1-28. Retrieved March 12, 2021, from https://hbsp.harvard.edu/download?url=/courses/806639/items/118031-PDF-ENG/content&metadata=e30=
[2] Prepared Testimony of Richard F. Smith before the U.S. Senate Committee on the Judiciary, Subcommittee on Privacy, Technology and the Law (2017) (testimony of Richard F. Smith).
[3] Shonk, K. (2021, January 25). What is an Arbitration Agreement? Retrieved March 12, 2021, from https://www.pon.harvard.edu/daily/conflict-resolution/what-is-an-arbitration-agreement/
[4] Murray, T. D. (2017, September 09). Equifax's arbitration clause raises eyebrows after data breach. Retrieved March 12, 2021, from https://www.cleveland.com/business/2017/09/equifaxs_arbitration_clause_ra.html
[5] Lazarus, D. (2017, September 12). Column: The real outrage isnt Equifaxs arbitration clause - it’s all the others. Retrieved March 12, 2021, from https://www.latimes.com/business/lazarus/la-fi-lazarus-equifax-arbitration-clauses-20170912-story.html
[6] Colvin, A. J. (2017, September 12). The growing use of mandatory arbitration: Access to the courts is now barred for more than 60 million American workers. Retrieved March 12, 2021, from https://www.epi.org/publication/the-growing-use-of-mandatory-arbitration-access-to-the-courts-is-now-barred-for-more-than-60-million-american-workers/#:~:text=More than half—53.9 percent,to mandatory employment arbitration procedures.
[7] Campbell, A. F. (2019, September 20). The House just passed a bill that would give millions of workers the right to sue their boss. Retrieved March 12, 2021, from https://www.vox.com/identities/2019/9/20/20872195/forced-mandatory-arbitration-bill-fair-act
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What Happens If Republicans Win Midterms
New Post has been published on https://www.patriotsnet.com/what-happens-if-republicans-win-midterms/
What Happens If Republicans Win Midterms
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Gop Lawmakers Threaten To Punish Democrats If They Win Back Control Of Congress
‘When we take the majority back in 2022, I’ll make sure consequences are doled out,’ said Rep. Madison Cawthorn.
Republicans are outraged that Democrats are governing by majority rule in the House. In retaliation, they are vowing to do the same things they now decry as unprecedented and wrong.
“Never in the history of our country has a Speaker acted like such an authoritarian,” House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy on Thursday.
He was upset that House Speaker Nancy Pelosi had his request to appoint Republican Reps. Jim Banks and Jim Jordan to the Select Committee to Investigate the January 6th Attack on the U.S. Capitol. Both men voted to overturn the 2020 election results and pushed the lie that President Joe Biden only won because the election was stolen.
“Never in the history of Congress and the select committee I checked with the historian has this ever taken place, where the one party decides who’s all on the committee,” McCarthy told Fox News in a video he with his tweet. McCarthy in fact to give Republican then-Speaker John Boehner the exact same unilateral appointment power in 2014 for the Select Committee on the Events Surrounding the 2012 Terrorist Attack in Benghazi.
But while House Republicans claim they are being mistreated because the majority won’t let them have their way, they are also promising to retaliate by turning the same actions they criticize now against Democrats in 2023.
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‘the Beast Is Growing’: Republicans Follow A Winning At All Costs Strategy Into The Midterms
Much remains uncertain about the midterm elections more than a year away including the congressional districts themselves, thanks to the delayed redistricting process. The Senate, meanwhile, looks like more of a toss-up.
House Democrats think voters will reward them for advancing President Joe Biden’s generally popular , which involves showering infrastructure money on virtually every district in the country and sending checks directly to millions of parents. And they think voters will punish Republicans for their rhetoric about the Covid-19 pandemic and the 2020 election.
“Democrats are delivering results, bringing back the economy, getting people back to work, passing the largest middle-class tax cut in history, while Republicans are engaged in frankly violent conspiracy theory rhetoric around lies in service of Donald Trump,” said Tim Persico, executive director of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.
But the challenges Democrats face are real and numerous.
They knew they would face a tough 2022 immediately after 2020, when massive, unexpected GOP gains whittled the Democratic majority to just a handful of seats.
“House Republicans are in a great position to retake the majority,” said Rep. Tom Emmer, R-Minn., who chairs the National Republican Congressional Committee, “but we are taking nothing for granted.”
His rural district had been trending Republican for years. Kind won re-election last year by just about 10,000 votes.
What If The Republicans Win Everything Again
Total victory for the G.O.P. would mean Trump unleashed.
Opinion Columnist
The end of Robert Muellers investigation. The loss of health insurance for several million people. New laws that make it harder to vote. More tax cuts for the rich. More damage to the environment. A Republican Party molded even more in the image of President Trump.
These are among the plausible consequences if the Republicans sweep the midterm elections and keep control of both the House and Senate. And dont fool yourself. That outcome, although not the most likely one, remains possible. The last couple of weeks of polling have shown how it could happen.
Voters who lean Republican including whites across the South could set aside their disappointment with Trump and vote for Republican congressional candidates. Voters who lean left including Latinos and younger adults could turn out in low numbers, as they usually do in midterm elections. The Republicans continuing efforts to suppress turnout could also swing a few close elections.
No matter what, Democrats will probably win the popular vote in the House elections, for the first time since 2012. Trump, after all, remains unpopular. But the combination of gerrymandering and the concentration of Democratic voters in major cities means that a popular-vote win wont automatically translate into a House majority.
I Do Not Buy That A Social Media Ban Hurts Trumps 2024 Aspirations: Nate Silver
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sarah: Yeah, Democrats might not have their worst Senate map in 2022, but it will by no means be easy, and how they fare will have a lot to do with the national environment. And as we touched on earlier, Bidens overall approval rating will also make a big difference in Democrats midterm chances.
nrakich: Yeah, if the national environment is even a bit Republican-leaning, that could be enough to allow solid Republican recruits to flip even Nevada and New Hampshire. And then it wouldnt even matter if Democrats win Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
One thing is for sure, though whichever party wins the Senate will have only a narrow majority, so I think were stuck in this era of moderates like Sens. Joe Manchin and Lisa Murkowski controlling every bills fate for at least a while longer. 
sarah: Lets talk about big picture strategy, then, and where that leaves us moving forward. Its still early and far too easy to prescribe election narratives that arent grounded in anything, but one gambit the Republican Party seems to be making at this point is that attacking the Democratic Party for being too progressive or woke will help them win.
What do we make of that playbook headed into 2022? Likewise, as the party in charge, what are Democrats planning for?
With that being said, the GOPs strategies could still gin up turnout among its base, in particular, but its hard to separate that from general dissatisfaction with Biden.
The 2024 Presidential Election Will Be Close Even If Trump Is The Gop Nominee
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One very important thing we should have all taken away from both the 2016 and 2020 presidential contests is that the two major parties are in virtual equipose . The ideological sorting-out of the two parties since the 1960s has in turn led to extreme partisan polarization, a decline in ticket-splitting and and in number of genuine swing voters. Among other things, this has led to an atmosphere where Republicans have paid little or no price for the extremism theyve disproportionately exhibited, or for the bad conduct of their leaders, most notably the 45th president.
Indeed, the polarized climate encourages outlandish and immoral base mobilization efforts of the sort Trump deployed so regularly. Some Republicans partisans shook their heads sadly and voted the straight GOP ticket anyway, And to the extent there were swing voters they tended strongly to believe that both parties were equally guilty of excessive partisanship, and/or that all politicians are worthless scum, so why not vote for the worthless scum under whom the economy hummed?
The bottom line is that anyone who assumes Republicans are in irreversible decline in presidential elections really hasnt been paying attention.
Republicans Set To Rebound Big In 2022 Midterms Unless
We are just 600 short days away from the 2022 midterm elections, which means it is the perfect time to handicap the Republicans chances to win back the House, Senate and prepare a serious challenge to President Biden
Patrick Joseph ToomeyBlack women look to build upon gains in coming electionsWatch live: GOP senators present new infrastructure proposalSasse rebuked by Nebraska Republican Party over impeachment vote already have Democrats scrambling to flip those seats in much easier electoral terrain.
As I noted in The Hill last month, Republicans are on the hook to defend 20 of their seats in 2022, while Team Blue has just 14 seats to hold, all in states won by Joe Biden in 2020. Since March is a perfect month for sports analogies, a good defense provides for a strong offense when the status quo is Democrats retaining control of the upper chamber. While there is clearly a power in incumbency, FiveThirtyEight suggests that senate vacancies are actually more of a mixed bag. In election cycles since 1974, the party with the most Senate retirements has actually gained seats just as often as it has lost them. For every year like 2008, when more Republicans than Democrats retired and Republicans lost seats accordingly, theres a year like 2012, when a whopping seven Democrats retired yet the party picked up two Senate seats.
How these various Rs play out in the next few months will determine if the Rs are successful in 2022.
Rising Violent Crime Is Likely To Present A Political Challenge For Democrats In 2022
But there are roadblocks to fully enacting Democrats’ agenda. Their thin majorities in both chambers of Congress mean nearly all Democrats have to get on board with every agenda item in order to push through major legislative priorities. And without adjusting or eliminating the legislative filibuster in the Senate, Democrats need 10 Republicans to join them for various legislation a near-impossible task.
Renewable Energy And Health Care Among The Sectors That Could Get Shakeup Due To Midterms
The 2022 midterm elections are already affecting Washington, and the results could shake up sectors such as renewable energy, health care and finance.
As Democrats in Washington work to deliver on infrastructure spending and other priorities, theyre trying to make progress in large part because of a key event thats still more than a year away.
That event is the midterm elections on Nov. 8, 2022, when Republicans will aim to take back control of the House and Senate and become a more powerful check on the priorities of President Joe Biden and his fellow Democrats.
What leaders are thinking about, particularly since we have unified party control, is that these midterm elections are inevitably a referendum on the governing party, said Sarah Binder, a senior fellow in governance studies at the Brookings Institution and a professor of political science at George Washington University in Washington, D.C.
In that sense, shrinking time coupled with What is it that Democrats want to run on? it adds pressure on Democrats to get their priorities through the door.
Time is growing short, Binder said, because party leaders often avoid making their members vote on tough issues in the same calendar year as an election, since that can hurt incumbents in tight races. Party leaders often think primarily about what they can get done in the first year of a Congress, as opposed to counting on the second year, she said.
Sectors that could win or lose
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Races worth watching
Can Democrats Avoid A Wipeout In 2022
Bidens plan: Go big or go home.
The good news for Democrats who watched Joe Biden unveil a historically ambitious agenda last night is that newly elected presidents have almost always passed some version of their core economic planparticularly when their party controls both congressional chambers, as Bidens does now.
The bad news: Voters have almost always punished the presidents party in the next midterm election anyway. The last two times Democrats had unified controlwith Bill Clinton in 199394 and Barack Obama in 200910they endured especially resounding repudiations in the midterms, which cost Clinton his majority in both chambers and Obama the loss of the House.
Theres a very different strategy this time, David Price, a Democratic representative from North Carolina and a former political scientist, told me. Theres an openness now to the sense that a bolder plan, ironically, might have greater appeal for independents and others we need to attract than trying to trim and split the difference with Republicans.
Read: The GOP cheat code to winning back the House
There is this recognition of this moment and how fleeting it is, and an evaluation that, absent the trifecta of control, it is very hard to move big policy, said a senior official at one of the partys leading outside advocacy groups, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss internal strategizing. So you have to take your shot. I think thats part of what undergirds Go big.
What If Republicans Win The Midterms
March 3, 2018
WASHINGTON A sizable portion of the American population has been convulsing with outrage at President Trump for more than a year. Millions of people who previously took only mild interest in politics have participated in protests, fumed as they stayed riveted to news out of Washington and filled social media accounts once devoted to family updates and funny videos with furious political commentary.
Yet public life on the whole has remained surprisingly calm. A significant factor in keeping the peace has surely been anticipatory catharsis: The widespread expectations of a big Democratic wave in the coming midterm elections are containing and channeling that indignation, helping to maintain order.
What will happen if no such wave materializes and that pressure-relief valve jams shut?
The country was already badly polarized before the plot twist of election night in 2016, of course, but since then liberals and much of what remains of Americas moderate center have been seething in a way that dwarfs the usual disgruntlement of whichever faction is out of power. While nobody can know for sure whether Mr. Trump would have lost but for Russias meddling, many of his critics clearly choose to believe he is in the White House because Vladimir Putin tricked the United States into making him its leader.
This November, if the wave turns out to be a mere trickle, we could see the accomplishment of that goal take hold.
Poll: Republicans Set To Win House Back In Massive Landslide
Republicans are set to win back the House in a historic landslide in 2022, according to a poll conducted by NBC News.
Based on all factors, youd have to consider Republicans the early favorites for the House majority in 2022, poll tracker David Wasserman NBC.
Democrats best hope is that Bidens approval rating stays above 50 percent and that Republicans have a tougher time turning out their voters without Trump on the ballot.
reports: The NBC report cites the all-too-predictable trend of the presidents party losing House seats in midterm elections, Democrats choosing not to run for reelection in some cases, and Republicans reaping the benefits of increased online donations, which are now on par with those of Democrats.
It is early, too early, to guarantee the Democrats loss of their slim 220-212 House majority. Voters wont hit the polls for almost 15 months, and things often have a way of changing on a dime in the world of politics. But the early signs certainly arent encouraging for the Democrats, especially as President Joe Bidens approval rating has taken a hit in recent weeks. American voters are being bombarded with images of a completely bungled withdrawal of Afghanistan and headlines about increased COVID hospitalizations and deaths. Inflation is also becoming a growing concern each month, contrary to the hopes of the Federal Reserve, and the crisis at the southern border shows no signs of abating.
Colwell: Republicans Are Likely To Win Control Of The House Next Year But
Three reasons why Republicans are very likely to take control of the House next year involve things over which Democrats have little or no control.
There is, however, one reason why Democrats might be able somehow to hang on to their slim majority. And they do have better prospects of at least holding on to the 50-50 Senate tie.
Reasons for Republicans winning control of the House:
FIRST: History is on their side. The party out of the White House almost always makes big gains in the first midterm election in a new presidency. In those midterm elections since the end of World War II, the average loss for the presidents party has been 29 seats. Democrats lost 63 seats in the 2010 midterm after election of President Barack Obama. Republicans lost 40 seats in the 2018 midterm after election of Donald Trump.
Because Democrats already lost seats in 2020, even as Joe Biden won the presidency, Republicans need only a net of five seats to win the majority. Democrats cant go back to 2020 to win more seats.
Factors in midterm losses for the presidents party include voters wanting a check on the president and disillusionment over any presidents inability to bring about everything voters hoped for.
SECOND: Redistricting after the census will result in many more safe Republican seats. Thats because Republicans control state legislatures in far more states than do Democrats. Both parties gerrymander. But it is the GOP controlling district drawing in many more states.
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Republicans In Decent Shape To Win House Majority In 2022
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Washington Examiner
It is never preferable to be in the minority party in a legislative body. But as far as minorities go, House Republicans are in a pretty good spot.
Between the trend of midterm elections usually the party that is not in the White House, a closely divided House, and a party apparatus ready to continue their expectations-exceeding 2020 strategy while Democrats rework theirs, Republicans are on track to winning back the House in 2022.
“It has the makings of what could be a good year for the Republicans when it comes to the House,” said J. Miles Coleman, associate editor of Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics.
President Bidens approval rating is around 53%, and while he is not underwater, history indicates he would need to bump that rating up by at least 10 points in order to have a shot at gaining seats. Gallup analysis found that even presidents with approval ratings of 50% during the midterm elections averaged a loss of about 14 House seats from their own party.
That would be enough to bump Republicans back into the majority. Democrats have the slimmest House majority since 1930, currently 221 seats to 210 GOP seats .
Republicans in the 2020 cycle shattered the expectations of analysts who forecasted Democrats to gain House seats in 2020. Not a single Republican incumbent lost the election, and they picked off 13 incumbent Democrats.
But it is not all smooth sailing for Republicans.
Why We Arent Going To Panic
We should all have our eyes wide open as we inch closer to the 2022 Midterms, but by no means should we give up hope. There are plenty of reasons why we can win the midterms.
For starters, Democrats appear to be quite awake to how dangerous the Republican party has become in just the past few years. And since the Republicans dont appear to be any less radicalized with Trump out of the party, I dont think Democrats are going to go back to sleep.
At this point in the election cycle, we dont have a full picture of who is retiring from Congress or who the candidates will be for these seats. Getting great candidates for crucial, must-win seats can energize voters and donors.
Presidential approval seems to have an important effect on midterms and at this point, Bidens approval rating is 15 points higher than his disapproval. If he continues to do good things for Americans and keep his approval rating high, that will help the Democrats a lot.
So, lets approach this midterm as clearly as possible: Our democracy is still on the line, and as awful as the Republicans are, they are in striking position to win back some power in Congress. Each of us needs to do everything we can to ensure that does not happen. If you arent already, consider subscribing to Political Charge as Ill be delving into specific actions we can take every month!
If you want to win the midterms, please share this post with others who want to win, too!
Republicans Will Likely Take Control Of The Senate By 2024
The usual midterm House losses by the White House party dont always extend to the Senate because only a third of that chamber is up for election every two years and the landscape sometimes strongly favors the presidential party . But there a still generally an out-party wave that can matter, which is why Republicans may have a better than average chance of winning in at least some of the many battleground states that will hold Senate elections next year . If they win four of the six youll probably be looking at a Republican Senate.
But its the 2024 Senate landscape that looks really promising for the GOP. Democrats will be defending 23 seats and Republicans just 10. Three Democratic seats, and all the Republican seats, are in states Trump carried twice. Four other Democratic seats are in states Trump won once. It should be a banner year for Senate Republicans.
Balance Of Power: 2022 Senate Races
If Democrats want to win the again, they need to win the four competitive seats they currently hold Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, and New Hampshire. That or augment any loss with a gain in any of their three competitive targets Pennsylvania, , or North Carolina.
This Senate preview still holds up, but the shorter version is Democrats are easily favored in Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada. They should also win New Hampshire if Chris Sununu doesnt run .
The thing is, theyre also favored to win in Pennsylvania, where they have a strong field of primary candidates and where Joe Biden won.
They have to be no worse than, and admittedly probably better than, a tossup in Wisconsin, where Republicans have candidate issues and Democrats have a strong likely nominee.
So even if New Hampshire goes Republican because of some local candidate factors, Democrats are in a good spot to win the Senate again.
That means if youre trying to make a bet, you can essentially box out two of four combinations where the GOP wins the Senate, and focus your attention on the two remaining options, if youre looking for the values.
The 1858 Midterm Election
November 2, 1858
There is always a lull after a tempest, and so the political world has subsided into an unwonted calm since the election, commented a reporter for The New York Times. The Republicans are naturally . . . exultant over their sweeping victories. Such a commentary might apply to any number of elections, but this reporter described the outcome of a particularly historic electionthe midterm election of 1858. The Republican success that year was especially remarkable because the Republican Party was only four years old.
Almost by spontaneous combustion, the Republican Party burst forth in 1854 in response to the controversial Kansas-Nebraska Act. For decades, Americas political battles had been fought between the Democrats and the Whigs. By the early 1850s, however, the issue of slavery had splintered the Whigs into warring factions and divided Democrats between north and south. When Democratic senator Stephen Douglas pushed his Kansas-Nebraska bill to passage, including its proposal to settle the issue of slavery by popular sovereignty, the uproar among northern abolitionists and anti-slavery activists was too fierce to be contained by the ailing Whig Party. As one person commented, The Whigs were simply not angry enough.
The Future Could Actually Be Bright For Republicans
Ed Kilgore
The most common political narrative outside MAGA-land is that the Republican Party is screwed, and richly deserves the ignominious future it faces.
Until recently the GOP was a reasonably normal and intermittently successful center-right political party, not wildly different from its counterparts in other countries with a two-party system, despite some racist and militarist habits that burst into view in times of stress. But then America elected a Black president, and Republicans went a little crazy, according to those outside their circles. First they abetted a destructively antediluvian Tea Party Movement and then lurched into the arms of an evil charlatan who somehow got elected president and spent four years trashing hallowed conservative principles and losing both Congress and the White House before his disgraceful and violence-inflected departure.
Worse yet, in the face of huge demographic challenges that beg for a new approach, the Republican Party has now lashed itself to a Trumpian mast going forward, following the most consistently unpopular president in American history in his bizarre crusade to deny he has ever lost anything. Meanwhile a shockingly united Democratic Party is whipping a few decades worth of liberal legislation through Congress as Republicans whine about cancel culture and try to sell the idea that Joe Biden is actually Che Guevara.
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