inkingtwice
in love with the semicolon since 2002
a loosely bound bundle of obsessions. inktwice@AO3, also inkjade@AO3
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Last Seen Blogs
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Emma D.
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Atma's Touhou Fantasy
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History Has Its Eyes On You
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there’s just nothing that beats being at home. the world will try to convince me i should be doing more and it’s like yeah but im at home
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a raven father (i call him "pants") I've been feeding sometimes likes to sit outside my window and either wait for more food or just listen to the stuff I'm watching while I draw. Today's a colder day so he likes to fluff up a bit, and I kid you not :
this is an accurate representation of my view
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It’s not over yet! May 11/12 aurora watch continues
It was a good night for aurora watchers all over Europe on the evening of May 10th/11th, 2024. Here's a great brief timelapse video sequence from Berkshire in the UK (via @Rainmaker1973 over at the Bye Bye Birdie place).
This particular broad, pink "banner" structure was seen all over the UK and Ireland around midnight local time / 2300 UT. It persisted, twisting and morphing into a variety of new shapes, for something like half an hour. The night's display as a whole was definitely one for the record books.
The early projections at the NOAA site suggest that the power of the incoming geomagnetic storm will be significantly less on Sunday, May 12th. But the night of May 11th still holds possibilities, as for the time being the storm seems to be holding at the relatively high Kp 8 level (on a scale of 0-9).
NOAA space weather forecasters have observed at least seven coronal mass ejections (CMEs) from the sun, with impacts expected to arrive on Earth as early as midday Friday, May 10, and persist through Sunday, May 12, 2024.
Here are the early graphic projections for the zone of visibility on the evening of May 11 2024. Please note that (a) these are approximations and estimates, not hard and fast indicators of where the solar wind makes planetfall; and (b) as they did last night, they may well improve over the course of the day as newer and better data reaches the predicting devices and personnel.
The European animated projection comes via ITV (UK) weatherman Chris Page.
North American prediction images come via the Space Weather Prediction Center at the NOAA website. Right now (1 PM IDT / 1200 UT on May 11th) the NOAA's evening prediction animation for Europe and North America hasn't been generated yet. This still image shows where the auroral viewing zone stands right now; I'll replace it when the pertinent animation drops.
As a general note: the opinions being shared at the professional observational sites so far today (before 1300 IDT / 1200 UT) seem to indicate that tonight's display will be significant enough, but nowhere near as outrageous as last night's. We'll see... as last night's displays outpaced everybody's expectations. I for one am quite willing to be surprised.
It's also worth noting here that as of earlier this morning, the Kp index illustrated at the Space Weather Prediction Center's experimental aurora dashboard page—an indicator of the current strength of the geomagnetic storm—hasn't dropped off very much from last night's highs. It'll be interesting to see how this behaves as the day goes on.
...Anyway, I'll be updating this post later if and when conditions change.
Other useful resources for those interested in space weather generally, and solar weather:
NASA's SOHO (Solar and Heliospheric Observatory) satellite's "The Sun Now" page
ESA Space Weather Service Network
NOAA (US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) Space Weather and Prediction Page
OVATION auroral prediction model from the DSCOVR spacecraft, via SpaceWeatherLive
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right over my house
AAAAHHHH
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cruelty is so easy. youre not special for choosing it
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what if i told you that a lot of “Americanized” versions of foods were actually the product of immigrant experiences and are not “bastardized versions”
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my nephew, who is like 11 or 12, is playing “5D Chess With Multiverse Time Travel”, which is exactly what it says on the tin, and I have never been more terrified of the youth of today
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christ on a cracker (the last supper, oil on saltine)
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A little advice from someone studying extremist groups: if you’re in a social media environment where the daily ubiquitous message is that you have no hope of any kind of future and you can’t possibly achieve anything without a violent overthrow of society, you’re being radicalized, and not in the good way.
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